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Satellite images reveal China’s rapid expansion of its nuclear test site

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China is rapidly expanding and modernizing its nuclear test site in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, where it tested its first atomic bomb in 1964.

According to a report by The Washington Post based on satellite imagery and expert analysis, Beijing’s move aims not only to catch up with the US and Russia but also to establish nuclear deterrence against the US.

Facilities have been under continuous development for five years

The report states that military officials have been constructing new tunnels and roads, and two large boreholes in the desert could be the foundation for special vertical shafts designed for higher-yield nuclear explosions.

Additionally, support facilities have been established in the area, and electricity has been supplied.

Rennie Babiarz, vice president of AllSource Analysis, told the newspaper, “Overall, this shows a significant development in infrastructure over the last five years and a sharp increase in the capability to conduct tests.”

Babiarz’s data reveals that initial work at the site began in 2021 and has continued uninterrupted this year.

China’s goal is to close the nuclear data gap

China’s nuclear program lags behind those of the US and Russia, which is believed to be one of the primary reasons for the preparations at the test site.

Tong Zhao, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, stated, “Because China has conducted the fewest nuclear tests, it has much less experimental data. It may need additional experiments to learn more about nuclear weapons.”

Recently, tensions have also risen in relations between Russia and the US.

Russian President Vladimir Putin had made statements about weapons such as the nuclear-powered Burevestnik missile and the “Poseidon” nuclear torpedo.

In response, US President Donald Trump ordered the Pentagon to immediately begin nuclear weapons testing.

During the same period, the US also displayed the classified AGM-181 Long-Range Stand-Off nuclear missile, carried by a B-52 bomber during an official test flight.

Current state of nuclear arsenals

According to data from the Federation of American Scientists, the US, which has not conducted a nuclear test since 1992, possesses 5,117 nuclear warheads. Of these, 3,700 have been decommissioned and are held in storage.

Russia has 5,459 nuclear warheads, while China has 600. North Korea is estimated to have approximately 50 warheads.

According to an assessment by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), China’s arsenal will reach approximately one thousand warheads by 2030.

While the START III treaty, which limits strategic offensive arms for the US and Russia, is in effect, China faces no restrictions in developing its nuclear program.

The treaty is set to expire in February 2026, and Putin suspended its implementation in February 2023.

Beijing refuses to negotiate any agreement, arguing that it is far behind the US and Russia.

Two-front war concerns in Washington

China’s activity is causing concern in Washington. Speaking to The Wall Street Journal, Vipin Narang, Director of the Nuclear Security Center at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, who oversaw strategic weapons at the Pentagon during the Joe Biden administration, said, “Our entire nuclear weapons modernization program was based on the assumption that we would continue to reduce arms with Russia and that China and North Korea would not pose a threat to the US. These assumptions turned out to be wrong.”

Narang continued his remarks as follows:

“If a regional conflict erupts in Europe and China simultaneously decides to seize Taiwan, or vice versa, we would be in a very difficult situation.”

China’s strategy: Win a conventional war with a nuclear shield

According to US intelligence, Chinese leader Xi Jinping has ordered his military to be ready to take Taiwan by 2027. However, this does not necessarily mean he will give such an order in such a short timeframe.

According to US and NATO military officials, the most likely scenario is that a Chinese attack would occur simultaneously with a Russian attack on one or more NATO countries, and possibly North Korea’s invasion of South Korea.

While Russia uses nuclear blackmail to compensate for the failures of its conventional army, which has been fighting in Ukraine for nearly four years, the calculation of Chinese strategists is the opposite.

Zhou Bo, a retired colonel who is a senior fellow at Tsinghua University in Beijing and former director of the Center for Security Cooperation at the Chinese Ministry of Defense, told the WSJ:

“Some suggest using nuclear weapons against China in the Taiwan Strait because the US fears losing a conventional war. China should increase its nuclear arsenal not to achieve parity, but to a level where the US cannot even think of using nuclear weapons against it. That is when China can win a conventional war.”

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China launches patrols east of Taiwan after Japan and Philippines open maritime boundary talks

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Beijing said it had conducted law enforcement patrols in waters east of Taiwan in response to a decision by Japan and the Philippines to launch talks on maritime boundary delimitation.

According to a statement from the China Coast Guard, a flotilla led by the vessel Daishan carried out law enforcement patrols “in accordance with the law” on Monday.

China Coast Guard spokesperson Jiang Lue said the operation was “a necessary action” in response to Japan and the Philippines “unilaterally announcing the start of negotiations on maritime delimitation in waters east of China’s Taiwan Island.”

“Such an announcement seriously infringes upon China’s territorial sovereignty and its maritime rights and interests,” Jiang said.

“We urge Japan and the Philippines to immediately cease all illegal actions that violate China’s sovereignty and rights,” he added.

Jiang also said the coast guard would continue strengthening its control and management of the relevant waters and that China would take concrete measures to “resolutely safeguard territorial sovereignty and maritime rights and interests.”

The United States and most of its allies, including Japan and the Philippines, do not recognize Taiwan as an independent state and acknowledge it as part of China. The United Nations has also adopted resolutions reflecting this position. However, Washington continues to provide arms to Taiwan as part of its broader efforts to counter China and encourages its allies to do the same.

Following a summit in Tokyo between Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr., the two countries said in a joint statement issued on Thursday that they had agreed to begin “formal negotiations” to delimit their exclusive economic zones (EEZs) and continental shelves.

Beijing condemned the planned talks as “completely illegal and invalid” and swiftly lodged formal diplomatic protests with both Tokyo and Manila.

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning said on Friday: “The so-called delimitation negotiations are entirely illegal, invalid and void. They will have no impact whatsoever on China’s claims or on China’s exercise of its legitimate rights in the area east of Taiwan Island.”

The latest escalation comes at a time when relations between Beijing and both Tokyo and Manila are already strained. Japan and the Philippines are treaty allies of the United States, while China remains engaged in separate territorial disputes with Japan in the East China Sea and with the Philippines in the South China Sea.

As US attention and resources have increasingly shifted toward the war involving Iran, and as the White House has made the Western Hemisphere a strategic priority, Japan and the Philippines have stepped up diplomatic engagement in the region commonly referred to as the Indo-Pacific.

That effort has included building closer security and defence ties with other countries, prompting Beijing to accuse them of encouraging bloc confrontation in the region.

Japan and the Philippines do not share a maritime boundary. However, their seabed claims could overlap because both countries seek to extend their legal continental shelves beyond 200 nautical miles, equivalent to 370 kilometres or 230 miles.

The overlapping area lies east of Taiwan, southwest of Japan’s Ryukyu Islands and north of the Philippines’ Batanes Islands.

Yang Xiao, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, China’s highest-ranking state-affiliated think tank, said Taiwan’s EEZ and continental shelf are part of the area under discussion.

“These are China’s rights and are not something that the two sides can negotiate among themselves,” Yang said.

In an interview published on Sunday by Yuyuan Tantian, a social media account affiliated with state broadcaster CCTV, before the China Coast Guard announced the patrols, Yang said Beijing would take “historic and unprecedented” countermeasures against Tokyo and Manila.

“Since they are negotiating in a three-party overlapping zone, we can also take further steps to advance our jurisdiction in the waters east of Taiwan,” Yang said.

“If the other side insists on reckless and destructive actions, we will inevitably introduce new countermeasures.”

Yang described the waters east of Taiwan as a vital maritime area for the island’s economic activities.

“If these waters are divided between Japan and the Philippines, that would clearly harm the interests of the people living on Taiwan Island,” he added.

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SoftBank overtakes Toyota to become Japan’s most valuable company

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As artificial intelligence reshapes industrial structures in Japan and South Korea, stock market rankings are being redrawn. SoftBank Group has overtaken Toyota Motor to become Japan’s most valuable listed company.

SoftBank shares have surged as the global artificial intelligence rally gathers momentum, lifting the technology conglomerate’s market capitalisation above that of Toyota for the first time in more than two decades.

The shift reflects a broader reordering of Japan’s equity market. Automakers, alongside banks, steelmakers, energy companies and other traditional heavy industries, are losing ground to chipmakers and companies linked to artificial intelligence.

SoftBank shares jumped 14% on Monday, reaching a new record high. The company’s market value climbed to 48 trillion yen, or $301 billion, making it the most valuable company listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.

Toyota had long held the top position, with a market capitalisation of approximately 45 trillion yen. The last time SoftBank surpassed Toyota was in March 2000, at the peak of the dot-com bubble.

SoftBank’s rapid rise has been driven by strong earnings performance and its substantial investment in ChatGPT developer OpenAI.

The Japanese company reported net profit of 1.82 trillion yen, or $11.4 billion, for the first three months of 2026, 3.5 times higher than in the same period a year earlier. The group is also increasing its investment in OpenAI, completing a $10 billion investment in April and committing to invest an additional $20 billion later this year. Total investment is expected to reach roughly $65 billion.

According to The Wall Street Journal, OpenAI plans to file for an initial public offering and aims to list in the United States as early as September. Some media reports suggest the company could seek to raise $60 billion through the offering, potentially valuing it at more than $1 trillion. Such a transaction could become the largest initial public offering in history.

Investors expect the IPO to significantly boost SoftBank’s investment gains. Those expectations have helped drive the technology group’s share price higher. SoftBank shares have risen about 127% since early April.

The company is also planning to invest up to 14 trillion yen in the construction of data centres in France.

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China and Serbia agree to expand cooperation in emerging sectors

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Chinese President Xi Jinping met Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic in Beijing, where the two leaders discussed bilateral ties and oversaw the signing of multiple cooperation agreements. Xi also awarded Vucic the Friendship Medal of the People’s Republic of China.

The meeting between Xi Jinping and Aleksandar Vucic began with an official welcoming ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing.

The two leaders then proceeded to formal talks. Xi said China and Serbia had achieved “positive results” since jointly launching the construction of a “China-Serbia community with a shared future in the new era” in 2024.

Xi said the partnership had not only benefited the two peoples but had also set an example for international relations.

The Chinese president described relations between China and Serbia as an “iron friendship” based on deep historical ties and mutual trust.

Calling on both sides to strengthen exchanges, deepen practical cooperation and continue supporting each other on issues concerning their core interests, Xi also said the two countries should align their development strategies and advance cooperation under the Belt and Road Initiative. In this context, he pointed to transport, energy and infrastructure projects.

Xi also called for expanding cooperation in emerging sectors such as artificial intelligence, the digital economy, green energy and advanced manufacturing.

Aleksandar Vucic congratulated China on the start of implementation of its 15th Five-Year Plan. Vucic also expressed confidence in China’s future development under Xi Jinping’s leadership.

The Serbian president said Belgrade attached great importance to relations with China and firmly supported Beijing on issues concerning China’s core interests.

Vucic thanked Chinese companies for their contributions to Serbia’s economic development and infrastructure construction.

Saying the two countries had made notable progress since establishing their comprehensive strategic partnership, Vucic added that cooperation had expanded across numerous sectors.

The Serbian president also praised China’s role in international affairs, saying Beijing approached smaller countries on the basis of equality and respect and defended international law.

Following the talks, the two leaders witnessed the signing of more than 20 cooperation agreements covering politics, trade, science and technology, education, legal affairs and culture.

The two sides also issued joint statements on steadily advancing the construction of a China-Serbia community with a shared future in the new era and jointly supporting the implementation of four global initiatives.

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