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The impotent and the potent

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Deripaska, the founder of Rusal, published a commentary in the RBK on December 30, pouring out the big bourgeoisie’s plans to get Russia out of difficulties. According to Deripaska, to overcome the obstacles before Russia’s development, these are the must-do’s: Staying in the market economy in the age of change, “rejecting the delusions of the sinister state capitalism,” and “removing the visible or quiet bans” on “businesspeople” taking part in the government.

“Deripaska’s manifesto”

While it’s essential to break down each of the points in this neoliberal manifesto on its own, the truth is that nothing here is genuinely novel. Deripaska had already announced his program on April 8: Abandoning “state capitalism,” adopting a “market economy,” and calling an end to the Ukrainian campaign. Then, realizing that the Kremlin might get enraged over the Ukraine situation, and this time it would not be limited to being publicly shamed over a ballpoint pen and a collective bargaining agreement, he removed the message. On April 17, a revised version of the program, which deliberately made no mention of Ukraine, was issued: It is needed to “find new markets,” “deal with exports,” and establish a new “beginning point”; in this way, “we can create a strong economy in 10 years”. At the time, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, another regardable journal of the liberal bourgeoisie, covered this program under the heading “Deripaska’s manifesto” (and with absolute enthusiasm. Please see the following sentence: “Deripaska’s manifesto is a collection of extremely serious theses, proposals, and recommendations”).

Let’s have a look at the details of the April manifesto:

The end objective is to eliminate state capitalism. The reason is that “history has revealed that only under the circumstances of a free-market economy and with the importance of private property, it is feasible to achieve a high and steady rate of economic growth that ensures a balanced development and rise in incomes for the entire community.”

It’s incredible, isn’t it? It’s great to be able to quote these words as if they were verses from the Bible in a nation that owes achieving the world’s highest pace of industrialization to socialism.

If so, large it! If competition is sacred, all obstacles before foreign capital should be eliminated, free zones must be created to entice foreign capital, all state-owned businesses must be privatized, and assets held by pension funds must be transferred immediately. There must be no restrictions on moving money out of Russia. It’s necessary to reduce state expenditures at all levels. Not only at the national level, federal, regional, and local levels, including the Central Bank and state monopolies, as well as law enforcement and civil servants. The state instrument should be slashed in half; law enforcement that is “unrelated to the military” should be decreased by three or four times (it takes courage to call for lower military spending while the Ukraine crisis persists, and Navalny is the only one who has shown that). From Gaydar to Nemtsov, Ryzhkov to Navalny, this has been the common dream of all liberal prophets in Russia. At the same time, Deripaska called for an amnesty for all “businesspeople” convicted under Articles 159 and 160 of the Penal Code, as well as a release from the “aggressive pressure of law enforcement officials who dismissed them.” Fraud, credit card fraud, check fraud, electronic payment fraud, insurance fraud, data theft, extortion, and embezzlement are all covered in these articles and clauses. Deripaska’s class solidarity is a trait that should be admired and even followed as an example. Not enough, he demanded that the government and the Central Bank utilize all sources at their disposal to get out of the current crisis. He warned that escaping this crisis would be possible in commensurate with “the strength of the entrepreneurs.” Calls for the welfare state were sprinkled in the manifesto as well. For example, he wanted local governments to build homes and federal district banks to put more money into regional projects. Perhaps most importantly, he advocated for the state to finance small and medium-sized private businesses. However, these enterprises he deemed available for funding would be limited to spare part manufacturers; he favored allowing the middle bourgeoisie to rise only in intermediate goods production. Deripaska’s hopes were limitless as well as his hopes. He demanded to end “the senseless compensation of state capitalism for more than 14 years”. “Either the employment of ordinary, normal citizens who always pay their taxes regularly will be retained, or the state bourgeoisie will continue to be pampered,” Deripaska concluded his manifesto.

Deripaska’s goals are thus:

1) Wiping out all state-owned monopolies and complete privatization.

2) The middle bourgeoisie engaging solely in producing intermediary goods.

3) The “downsizing” of the government.

4) Eliminate any regulatory and legal obstacles to foreign capital, such as inquiries into the motivations of their investments in Russia and the threat of an investigation into offshore accounts.

5). A blanket pardon for the bourgeoisie, who has been convicted of bribery, embezzlement, corruption, fraud, etc.

It seems like he’s gearing up for an all-out confrontation with the Kremlin. However, that’s not the case. The big bourgeoisie is shrewd. Before publishing her manifesto, Deripaska had also argued with Lyubov Sokol, and her former silent partner had come out against this indomitable preacher of the liberal bourgeoisie, calling her an “idle parasite,” “debauched,” “racketeer,” and “jackal.” Deripaska went as far as accusing her, the most rightist woman imaginable, of being a “radical leftist.” This was the case. Sokol urged Deripaska and the other representatives of the big bourgeoisie to rise up against the Kremlin. This call terrified him so much that Deripaska wanted to guarantee that he would never do such a thing with phrases ostensibly targeting Sokol: “Don’t be afraid, I’m not keen on becoming a chef.”

The sole difference between Deripaska’s April and December manifestos is that in the latter, he enthusiastically argued that there is discrimination against entrepreneurs and demanded equality: “As long as free and private entrepreneurs enjoy equal rights with all other social groups (artists, patriotic journalists, athletes, siloviki, representatives of law enforcement, veterans), [these free entrepreneurs] along with the dismissed intelligentsia remain as ‘the impotent.’ But it is up only to entrepreneurs to bring about significant change quickly.”

Not freedom but prison

The term “slaboviki,” which I translated as “the impotent,” is a significant notion. Referring to the Medvedev fraction, the slaboviki is placed against the siloviki. The latter comes from the word “strong,” whereas the former is derived from the word “weak.” Siloviki means “employees of the force instruments to whom the state has delegated its monopoly of legal violence.” Therefore, it sounds Marxist since it refers to the state’s repressive mechanisms. In political contexts, however, the meaning narrows down: Siloviki refers not to all of the employees of these instruments but rather to their leaders, their representatives in power. Regarding slaboviki, before digging down to its meaning, I should quote a single sentence from a column that’s just as valuable as the definition itself. This is from an article regarding the situation before the Georgian war published on January 18, 2019, in Novaya Gazeta, the most “respectable” and militant mouthpiece of the big bourgeoisie and the advocates of liberal reforms (now fully declassified), former middle bourgeoisie:

“Medvedev’s slabovikis were wandering the Kremlin corridors; talks about modernization had begun.”

The slaboviki, then, included the following groups: The faction of the power bloc that Medvedev represented, the fraction against siloviki, the weak wing of power in the face of the siloviki; the proponents of “modernization,” or those who support Russia’s immediate integration with the imperialist world.

Obviously, liberal and slaboviki are linked ideas.

Saltykov-Schedrin wrote a story called “Liberal” which I translated into Turkish (in “Bilge Kayabalığı”; Helikopter, Istanbul: 2013). The liberal in Russia, and by extension all liberals, is portrayed as a man who abandoned his ideals altogether and “adapted them to life.” And how stunningly he depicts! The liberal’s ideal was not freedom anymore but a prison. He has buried his old ideas in the dirt, but he still hopes that the sun will rise tomorrow, and the muck will dry off of him.

Suddenly, he felt as if a drizzle had just hit his face. Whence did it come? What gives? The liberal looked up: “Is it raining?” However, he saw that the sky was completely clear, with the sun crazily hovering over the peaks. The wind was blowing, though, but yet there was no sign of water dripping from a window; there was no such thing.

“It’s a miracle!” said the liberal to his friend. “Not a drop falls, no puddles, yet something tickles my face.”

“But look, there’s a guy lurking in the corner,” replied his friend, “That’s his job. Due to your liberal affairs, he desired to spit in your face, but he didn’t venture into doing it. Here, in the context of ‘adapting to the life,’ he spitted out of the corner, and the wind blows his spit right to you.”

That liberal is slaboviki.

Theory and practice

I gave that a lot of thought. The adopted policy is the limitation of the political power of the big bourgeoisie and its economic power to the extent that it bolsters the political power and the replacement of the middle bourgeoisie, which has been declassed since February 24, with a new middle class that will be the stable mass base of the Kremlin. This policy can only be implemented with unstated NEP measures, leading to leftist backing.

The most crucial distinction between the big and middle bourgeoisie must not be overlooked. The big bourgeoisie can invest significant fixed capital and get adequate financing from the financial oligarchy of which it is generally a part. Thus, to maximize profits, it does not need to resort to primitive solutions like extending the workday or slashing social programs. (“Unnecessity” is a factual situation, but impulses, not needs, drive free-market capitalism.) When compared to the big bourgeoisie integrated with the financial oligarchy, the middle bourgeoisie is unable to make big investments in fixed capital or locate suitable credit opportunities like the bourgeoisie incorporated with the financial oligarchy. That fact leaves them with no choice but to resort to primitive methods like extending the working day and reducing social rights to increase profits.

The big bourgeoisie may, thus, inflame or quickly defuse the conflict with the working class it employs, but the struggle between the proletariat and the middle bourgeoisie only grows. This is the norm everywhere. This is precisely why the big bourgeoisie uses what is called “people’s capitalism” (of the kind that Potanin preached a few months ago) as one of the ideological means to gain the working people over the middle bourgeoisie. This “uselessness” situation facilitates the neutral position of the working class in the conflict between the big bourgeoisie with the middle bourgeoisie.

The bourgeoisie is generally impotent since they seldom claim for the government and almost always demand the state to protect its relative autonomy. In general, their political representatives usually rule on behalf of the bourgeoisie. The bourgeoisie, both big and middle, want a “neutral” state. On the other hand, the monopoly bourgeoisie only favors a neutral state since its members are in a mortal conflict with one another and, therefore, have lesser shared interests against their enemies. But when it is united vis-à-vis a more significant threat and starts a struggle as a bloc against its common enemy by sidelining its internal conflict, it recalls that it is “crème de la crème.” Now it is less numbered to rule directly, but politically influential, economically robust, and enormously homogenous. The working masses are often seen as the only possible common opponent for the big bourgeoisie, but this view reduces the scope of the class conflict. The struggle, even the struggle for life and death, need not necessarily be monolithically between the bourgeoisie and the working class. Moreover, the dominant aspect of class struggle under capitalism is rather often the struggle of the bourgeoisie within itself.

Thus, Deripaska’s hubris to demand the de facto transfer of the state to the “businesspeople” stems not only from his relations with the ruling circles but also, and primarily, from these two reasons: 1) A new kind of NEP conflicts with the interests of the big bourgeoisie and that makes them unite against the common enemy (the rising middle bourgeoisie) and its political representatives. 2) Since resorting to the “basic” (not referring to “primitive,” “rudimentary,” or “extinct,” but to the most animalistic impulses that never go away) methods of capitalism is “unnecessary,” the working class can remain neutral in this conflict.

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A voice rising from New Delhi: BRICS’s manifesto for a new world order

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The BRICS Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, held in the Indian capital of New Delhi on May 15, 2026, carries a significance that extends far beyond the confines of routine diplomacy. This gathering culminated in the signing of one of the most comprehensive political documents to date, outlining the vision of the world order that BRICS envisions for 2026. Reading between the lines, the document reveals not merely the proceedings of a ministerial summit, but the contours of a comprehensive alternative vision challenging the Western-centric international system. Indeed, this text must be read as a political manifesto of the shifting balances of power, the accelerating global struggle for influence, and the emerging new world order of recent years.

The overarching theme dominating the entire document is “The Rise of the Global South.” BRICS members contend that the current international order is unjust, insufficiently representative, and fails to reflect the interests of developing nations. Consequently, they emphasize the urgent need to restructure foundational institutions such as the UN, IMF, World Bank, and the World Trade Organization (WTO). In doing so, BRICS now positions itself as the voice of the non-Western world. Today, the global arena is traversing an era in which the post-World War II international system has plunged into a profound crisis of legitimacy and representation. Developments such as the wars in Ukraine, Iran, and Lebanon, the Gaza crisis, global trade wars, the weaponization of sanctions, energy security challenges, and technological competition demonstrate that the current system struggles to mirror contemporary global realities. It is precisely from this premise that the BRICS nations operate, sending a clear message to the world through the New Delhi Outcome Document: “The status quo is no longer sustainable.”

One of the most striking aspects of the document is how clearly it demonstrates that BRICS no longer views itself as a mere platform for economic cooperation. Having long focused primarily on economic development, trade, and finance since its inception, BRICS has now reached a far more ambitious posture. In the New Delhi Outcome Document, issues of security, geopolitical crises, artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, climate policies, energy transition, and international governance reforms occupy a place as central as economics. This indicates that BRICS’s ambition to become a foundational actor in global politics is steadily gaining traction. Reading between the lines, the strongest emphasis emerges on the concept of a “multipolar world.” The core approach of BRICS is animated by the premise that the Western-centric, largely US-led international order, which took shape over the decades following the end of the Cold War, is no longer the sole alternative. Throughout the declaration, the repeated use of phrases like “more just,” “more representative,” “more democratic,” and “more inclusive” international system constitutes a direct critique of the current distribution of global power.

The sections concerning the reform of the United Nations Security Council are particularly critical. Indeed, the call for UN reform stands out as one of the most pivotal political segments of the document. BRICS nations explicitly state that the current structure fails to reflect contemporary realities. They contend that Africa, Latin America, and emerging Asian powers are underrepresented in decision-making mechanisms. What is even more remarkable is that China and Russia have reaffirmed their support for India and Brazil to assume greater roles within the Security Council. This state of affairs reveals, first and foremost, the elevation of India and Brazil to global-power status. Secondly, it demonstrates an increasing political cohesion within BRICS. Finally, it illustrates a fundamental questioning of the post-WWII international order.

Another prominent element in the document is the sharp critique of the sanctions policies pursued by the United States and the West. The intensive use of economic sanctions as a foreign policy tool in recent years has engendered collective discomfort among BRICS nations. The text emphasizes that unilateral sanctions violate international law and severely hamper the economic development of developing nations. Although no countries are named directly, this formulation can be read as a potent critique targeted at measures such as US sanctions on Iran, Russia, and Venezuela, as well as the embargo on Cuba. This approach is a continuation of BRICS’s long-standing critique regarding the “weaponization of economics.” Indeed, one of the most strategic segments of the declaration emerges here. For BRICS is no longer merely criticizing the existing financial architecture; it is actively endeavoring to construct alternative mechanisms. Initiatives such as cross-border payment systems, trade in local currencies, financial integration, and the strengthening of the New Development Bank can be read as harbingers of a long-term quest to forge an alternative to the dollar-centric global economic structure. While it is premature to speak of a system capable of fully displacing the dollar, the steps taken by BRICS are beginning to demonstrate that the current financial order is not the only option.

Another major political segment of the New Delhi Document concerns the Gaza and Palestine issue. Here, we witness one of the strongest stances BRICS has ever taken on the matter. The document employs highly resolute language regarding Gaza and Palestine, with a notable emphasis on an independent Palestinian state based on the 1967 borders. Furthermore, South Africa’s legal action against Israel and the rulings of the International Court of Justice are directly recalled in the text. In the face of recent offensives and the unfolding humanitarian crisis, BRICS nations have displayed one of their clearest collective stances to date. The call for an immediate ceasefire, the demand for unhindered humanitarian aid delivery, support for Palestinian statehood, and the emphasis on international law stand among the declaration’s most potent political messages. This can be interpreted as an indication of BRICS’s desire to become a more visible and effective political actor in global crises.

On the other hand, the text does not entirely gloss over the internal divergences within BRICS. It openly acknowledges that members hold differing views, particularly on Middle Eastern issues. This is significant because today’s BRICS is no longer a bloc comprised solely of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. With the integration of new members such as Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Indonesia, it has evolved into a far more complex geopolitical entity. Interestingly, the document explicitly notes that rather than a unified stance, differing perspectives exist on certain issues. Specifically, it is conceded that members hold divergent positions on matters concerning Iran, the Gulf states, and Yemen. Despite these differences, the bloc’s ability to establish common ground demonstrates an expansion of BRICS’s diplomatic capacity. Viewed from this perspective, the New Delhi process also represents a significant diplomatic triumph for India. While the recent wave of expansion—bringing in Iran, the UAE, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Indonesia—has enriched the platform’s geopolitical diversity, it has also rendered collective decision-making processes more intricate. Particularly at a juncture where the war in Iran continues, the deep-seated divergences between Iran and the Gulf states led many experts to predict that BRICS would struggle to find common political ground and that the summit would be fraught with severe diplomatic friction. However, despite all these differences, India succeeded in rallying members with diverging interests and priorities around the same platform, proving that BRICS retains its capacity to generate dialogue rather than fracture. In this context, the outcome in New Delhi is not limited merely to the content of the published joint text. The true, striking success lies in the preservation of a diplomatic arena that enabled members—who find themselves directly opposed on certain issues in an extremely sensitive and polarized crisis environment—to compromise on other matters and continue negotiating under the BRICS umbrella.

Furthermore, one of the document’s most critical messages emerges in the realm of technology. The extensive coverage of topics such as artificial intelligence, digital infrastructure, data security, and cybersecurity is no coincidence. Indeed, the global power struggle of the future will be shaped heavily through technological supremacy. BRICS nations clearly demonstrate their awareness of this reality and their intent to act in unison in the technological race. Particularly noteworthy is their quest to develop alternatives to Western-centric norms in artificial intelligence governance. A distinct approach is also observed in energy and climate policies. Instead of the rapid energy transition frequently championed by Western nations, the concept of a “just energy transition” is prioritized. At the heart of this approach lies the conviction that the economic growth needs of developing nations must not be disregarded. BRICS countries advocate for a balance between environmental responsibility and the right to development. This points to a major fault line that will become increasingly pronounced in global climate debates in the coming years.

When all these headings are evaluated together, the resulting picture is remarkably clear: BRICS is no longer merely a platform for safeguarding economic interests. It is a center of power beginning to articulate its own vision of how the international system ought to operate. At the core of this vision lies the objective of greater representation, sovereign equality, deeper multipolarity, and a stronger voice for developing nations in global decision-making processes.

The New Delhi Document, brought to the table at the BRICS Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, is far more than a mere communique; it is one of the landmark texts of the historic transformation unfolding in global politics. As the world rapidly moves away from a unipolar structure, BRICS is emerging as one of the most powerful political and economic vehicles of this transition. Today, many rules of the international system may still be written by the West. Yet, the message rising from New Delhi is clear: far more actors now demand a seat at the table to rewrite those very rules. BRICS is transitioning from an economic club into a political, diplomatic, financial, and technological powerhouse. Its claim to serve as the collective voice and compass of the Global South is strengthening. It pursues a dual strategy: offering an alternative to Western-centric institutions while simultaneously working to transform them. BRICS is not yet establishing institutions to directly replace the UN, IMF, World Bank, or WTO; rather, it is striving to change the rules and the distribution of power within them.

The 2026 New Delhi Document of the Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, hosted by India under its presidency, can be regarded as one of the most comprehensive strategic documents in the twenty-year history of BRICS. The text serves as a political manifesto for an era marked by the sunset of the US- and Western-led unipolar epoch, the demands of rising powers for greater agency, and the accelerating quest of the Global South to establish a permanent weight in the international system.

The essence of the document can be distilled into a single sentence: while BRICS remains a platform that adapts to the rules of the existing international order, it is simultaneously transforming into a global actor that seeks to rewrite them.

Umur Tugay Yücel – Political Scientist & Author of the book “The Decline of American Power and the Rising Powers” (China-Russia-India-Brazil).

X: @umur_tugay

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NATO as the apparatus of aggression and occupation of US imperialism

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Contrary to what is written in its founding charter and press releases, or what its proponents claim, NATO is no ordinary defense and security organization. It is far more than that. It is a multidimensional, multifaceted organization driven by distinct ideological, political-economic, and class-based preferences. Moreover, as an organization born in the early stages of the Cold War, while its primary objective was ostensibly defined as “opposing the USSR and communism,” its actual function went far beyond this: it served as a mechanism to keep alliance members aligned with and under the control of the United States. Through NATO, the US has established immense influence not only over the defense, security, and foreign policies of member states, but also over their domestic politics, economic policies, educational institutions, universities, academia, think tanks, trade unions, and cultural industries.

As the apparatus of aggression and occupation of US imperialism, NATO launched its first out-of-area military operation in the mid-1990s in Bosnia and Herzegovina in the Balkans. This was followed by the intervention in Kosovo in 1999. In the Gulf War of 1990–1991, during the US assault on Iraq, NATO was not directly involved as an alliance or a corporate entity. Instead, there was a US-led coalition that included numerous NATO members. At the time, NATO provided air defense systems to Türkiye but did not launch a direct military attack on Iraq.

In those years, with less than a decade having passed since the end of the Cold War in 1991, liberals and neoliberals alike were busy extolling the virtues of a single-centered, monocentric world order (note: not a “unipolar” world order, as a “pole” logically requires at least two opposites; to call it unipolar is incorrect both linguistically and logically). A tempest of liberalism, capitalism, postmodernism, globalization, and the “New World Order” was sweeping the globe. The United States had triumphed. The USSR had dissolved. The Warsaw Pact had collapsed. The Eastern Bloc had been consigned to history. The Berlin Wall had fallen. Socialism and communism had been defeated.

Under those circumstances, since NATO’s raison d’être had ceased to exist, it should logically have been consigned to history as well. Its utility was being questioned; people were asking whom it would protect, and against whom. Consequently, there was an active search for an enemy—or enemies—for NATO. And indeed, they were found.

Weapons of mass destruction and weapons of mass persuasion

NATO—which stood idly by, biding its time and waiting for the right conditions while Yugoslavia was being torn apart, its people massacred, and ethnic cleansing and mass rapes were being carried out—finally mobilized at the exact moment and under the specific conditions dictated by US imperialism, delivering a clear message to the world. It announced to the globe that its mandate now encompassed missions such as “peacebuilding, peacekeeping, and combating radical movements and terrorism.” This, of course, aligned seamlessly with the rhetoric of “human rights, freedom, democracy, and the civilized world” championed by the United States as NATO’s founding leader. For the United States cast itself as the guardian of these values and concepts; yet in their name, and hiding behind them, it attacked, bombed, and occupied other nations. It would go so far as to first instigate disputes and conflicts in target nations, lay the groundwork for ethnic, religious, and sectarian strife, actively encourage and provoke these clashes, and then proceed to occupy those countries under the pretext of resolving these very problems and restoring stability.

And there were millions of people across the world who believed these American lies. In particular, the US media, along with global outlets, academics, non-governmental organizations, and think tanks supported by Washington, operated virtually as weapons of mass persuasion, designed to convince and deceive the public.

The United States grew so arrogant in this policy that US Presidents began to declare this mission to be far more than a mere political duty—it was, they claimed, a religious, divine, and moral responsibility. The US peddled this falsehood in Iraq, as it did in Yugoslavia. As Yugoslavia was disintegrating—or being disintegrated—NATO sought to project an image and send a message that, as an alliance whose sole Muslim member was Türkiye, it was defending Muslim Bosniaks and Kosovars against Christian Serbs, thereby shielding the righteous and oppressed from the unjust and tyrannical.

The collapse of the Atlantic system

Years have passed. The global balance of power has shifted. The imperialist dominance and hegemonic capacity of the United States have eroded and continue to decay. Russia, particularly after Putin took power, staged a rapid recovery starting in the 2000s. It consolidated its influence, beginning with its near abroad. China, alongside its economic prowess, expanded its political, military, scientific, and technological power, emerging as the primary competitor and most worrisome adversary of the United States. Within the Atlantic system and the Western alliance—whose rules and institutions were established by the US itself—deep-seated divisions have emerged, running parallel to its fragmentation and loss of power. Under these conditions, the United States is both failing to manage its own deep internal fault lines and socio-class contradictions, and experiencing major friction with its allies. Its intent to reduce Canada to a mere province, its ambition to annex Danish-administered Greenland, its barbarism in Venezuela and Palestine, its joint aggression with Israel against Iran, and its threats directed at Cuba must all be interpreted through this lens.

In the past, an imperialist power would at least superficially fabricate lies to rationalize, justify, and legitimize its invasions, aggression, plunder, and barbarism. For instance, when the United States invaded Afghanistan in 2001, immediately following the September 11 attacks, it cited the presence of Osama bin Laden—the Saudi leader of the Al-Qaeda terrorist network—in Afghanistan as its justification for the invasion. Similarly, during its 2003 invasion of Iraq, the US propagated the lie that “Saddam Hussein possesses chemical weapons and weapons of mass destruction.” When the German dictator Adolf Hitler invaded Poland in 1939, and the Italian dictator Mussolini invaded Abyssinia (Ethiopia) in 1935, they too presented historical, political, and geopolitical pretexts, however fabricated, to justify their actions.

Today, US imperialism does not even feel the need to construct such lies or manufacture pretexts. US President Trump openly talks of withdrawing from NATO, while scolding member states and insulting European leaders with arrogant remarks.

For this reason, NATO must be analyzed not by reading the words written in its founding treaty, but by grasping the shifting needs of US imperialism.

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Chinese diplomacy ascendant under Xi: All roads lead to Beijing

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Beginning in late 2025 and extending throughout 2026, one of the most striking developments in world politics has been the successive convergence of major powers upon Beijing. Direct, high-level engagement with China by actors at the very core of the global system—such as the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, and Germany—is widely interpreted as a potent signal of a shifting international order. These visits are indubitably far from routine diplomatic encounters. Rather, they represent symbolic and strategic maneuvers indicative of a fundamental realignment of the world’s power centers. In particular, the intensive engagement with China by four of the permanent members of the United Nations Security Council within a brief window demonstrates that Beijing has evolved far beyond a mere economic powerhouse, establishing itself as a principal locus of global diplomacy.

For decades, the global order was predominantly US-centric. Following the end of the Cold War, the United States attained an unrivaled position militarily, economically, and diplomatically. China, conversely, was viewed as a rapidly growing economy defined primarily by its manufacturing capacity and cheap labor force. While Beijing possessed influence within the global system, the primary decision-making mechanisms of world politics remained firmly anchored in Washington. However, the transformation of the past two decades has elevated China from a mere economic giant to the epicenter of global strategic competition.

Today, China stands as one of the most pivotal actors in world trade. The vast majority of global supply chains are intricately linked to Chinese networks. Across a multitude of critical sectors—ranging from electric vehicles and battery technologies to artificial intelligence and solar energy—China has established itself as both a dominant producer and a global standard-setter. This immense economic capacity has naturally engendered commensurate political and diplomatic leverage. Global leaders now recognize that international challenges cannot be effectively managed by bypassing or ignoring China.

It is precisely here that the core significance of these recent visits to China becomes apparent. Donald Trump’s journey to Beijing to meet with Xi Jinping underscored that despite the intense rivalry between Washington and Beijing, direct engagement has become an absolute necessity. Similarly, while Vladimir Putin’s strategic alignment with China has long been established, Moscow’s deepened cooperation with Beijing in the wake of its profound crisis with the West has significantly bolstered China’s geopolitical weight across Eurasia. Meanwhile, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s visit was interpreted as a sign of Europe pivoting toward a more pragmatic trajectory in its policy toward China. The prior engagements of French President Emmanuel Macron had already demonstrated that Europe has no desire for a complete decoupling from China. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s discussions in Beijing were particularly noteworthy from an economic standpoint, as the Chinese market remains indispensable to German industry. Furthermore, the intensive diplomatic relations maintained by Serbian President Alexander Vučić with China demonstrate that Beijing’s influence on the European continent is by no means confined to major Western European states. Through infrastructure investments, transport projects, technology transfers, and defense cooperation in recent years, Serbia has emerged as one of China’s closest partners in Europe.

The common denominator among these visits was the pursuit of direct engagement with Xi Jinping. Xi is no longer viewed merely as the leader of China; for many nations, he has become a preeminent figure shaping the future of the global system. The transformation of China under Xi into a more centralized, visionary state structured around long-term strategic planning has magnified the personal significance of his leadership. Today, the international community is intensely focused on Xi Jinping’s decision-making. Consequently, pilgrimages to Beijing represent an effort to establish a direct, unmediated channel to Xi himself.

Symbolism is of paramount importance here; in international politics, the optics of “who travels to meet whom” are central to the perception of power. If global leaders continuously travel to Beijing while Xi travels sparingly—yet remains the figure everyone seeks to audience with—it naturally reinforces the message: Xi Jinping is no longer just the leader of China, but a chief architect of the global system. Remarkably, Xi’s reduced international travel has not diluted China’s influence. On the contrary, Beijing’s emergence as the primary destination of diplomatic pilgrimage projects an image of profound self-assurance. To many observers, this stands as one of the most visible symbols of a shifting world order. By rendering their respects in Beijing as much as in Washington, global leaders signal that the global equation is now being formulated here.

This shift is driven by tangible geopolitical realities. The contemporary world operates within a highly interdependent framework. While intense competition defines US-China relations, their economies remain deeply intertwined, rendering total decoupling virtually impossible. Across a vast spectrum of critical arenas—including trade, semiconductor technology, artificial intelligence, energy security, the Taiwan question, the Russia-Ukraine war, the Iranian crisis, and global supply chains—China has emerged as a decisive actor. Consequently, no major power, including Washington, can formulate a viable global strategy by sidelining China.

For Europe in particular, the China question has grown increasingly complex. The period between 2022 and 2024 saw Europe adopt a more hawkish and distant posture toward Beijing. However, slowing economic growth, energy crises, and trade frictions with the United States have compelled Europe to seek a more balanced approach. The pivot of European leaders toward Beijing reveals that complete economic decoupling from China would carry prohibitive costs for Europe. This dynamic also underscores the divergent internal priorities within the US-led Western bloc.

China’s rise should not be viewed solely through the prism of its relations with the West; the sphere of influence Beijing has cultivated across the Global South is of equal significance. In recent years, Chinese influence has expanded dramatically across Africa, Latin America, Central Asia, the Gulf States, and South Asia. Within this context, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s visit to China carries profound weight. The China-Pakistan relationship has long been characterized as an “ironclad friendship.” Through the Belt and Road Initiative, China has constructed ports, railways, energy facilities, and critical infrastructure in numerous countries, most notably Pakistan. Furthermore, unlike Western financial institutions, Beijing extends credit and investment with fewer political conditionalities. Consequently, many developing nations view China not only as a vital economic partner but also as a geopolitical counterweight to the West.

All of this inevitably raises the question: “Is China ascendant?” Based on the current landscape, the answer must be in the affirmative. For global leaders, Beijing has now emerged as a diplomatic hub as critical as Washington. Moreover, beyond its sheer economic scale, China is increasingly distinguished by its capacity for conflict resolution. Its pivotal role in facilitating the Iran-Saudi Arabia normalization, coupled with its close ties to Russia and its sweeping influence over the Global South, has significantly amplified Beijing’s diplomatic gravity.

The diplomatic traffic observed throughout 2026 highlights a fundamental truth: the world is no longer unipolar or monocivilizational. Opposite the United States stands a China capable of challenging it economically, technologically, culturally, and diplomatically. Consequently, this new era diverges sharply from the unipolar structure of the “American Century,” resembling instead a multipolar, multi-civilizational order where all actors cooperate and compete with one another simultaneously.

Xi Jinping’s position is central to this paradigm shift. For many leaders today, meeting with Xi in Beijing is not merely a matter of bilateral diplomacy, but a strategic imperative for positioning oneself within the global balance of power. This has immensely enhanced Xi’s personal prestige. Within the international system, there is a growing consensus that on most critical issues, “if Beijing is not at the table, no resolution can be complete.” The acceleration of visits to China since late 2025 is not merely a reflection of a crowded diplomatic calendar; it must be understood as a tangible indicator of a shifting world order. Beijing has transcended its status as an economic core to become one of the primary power centers of global politics. Consequently, Chinese President Xi Jinping is emerging as one of the most influential figures of this new, multipolar, and multi-civilizational world order.

Today, the diplomatic traffic directed toward Beijing is by no means limited to the United States, Russia, or the major European powers. The efforts of leaders from a vast geographical span—from Serbia and Pakistan to the Gulf States and African nations—to establish direct contact with China render Beijing’s central position in the global system increasingly conspicuous. Consequently, these recent visits are interpreted as signs that the power map of the new international order is being redrawn. For many capitals, the path to understanding global developments and formulating future strategies now runs through Beijing as much as it does through Washington. Thus, the adage “All roads lead to Beijing” is rapidly transforming from a rhetorical trope into a defining reality of contemporary international politics.

Umur Tugay Yücel – Political Scientist & Author of the book “The Decline of American Power and the Rising Powers” (China-Russia-India-Brazil).

X: @umur_tugay

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