Opinion
The Munich Security Conference and the limits of American power
The 62nd Munich Security Conference, convened in Munich, Germany, has demonstrated once again that the divergences of opinion within the Atlantic alliance are far from negligible. Yet, despite the lofty rhetoric and ambitious pronouncements of European leaders, they possess neither the courage, the capability, nor the will to operationalize these words or do what is necessary.
The events unfolding within the Atlantic alliance are not novel; they are part of a longstanding debate. Western leaders face formidable challenges not only in foreign policy but also in their domestic spheres. They are besieged by difficulties ranging from poverty and unemployment to inflation and the refugee-migrant crisis. U.S. President Trump recognizes this as well. The state capacity of his country is waning. Neither the Democrats nor the Republicans can arrest the decline in America’s hegemonic capability or its dominance over the global ecosystem. The U.S. is unable to prevent the rise of adversaries such as China and Russia, nor can it impede them from forging alliances with one another.
Since international relations is a discipline predicated on necessities and imperatives rather than mere preferences, alliances shift as needs evolve. Every alliance inevitably begets a counter-alliance.
The U.S. is struggling to adapt to these shifting balances. This is the root cause of its hardening stance, its growing belligerence, and its declaration that it will no longer abide by the order for which it wrote the rules and established the institutions. This reality is already reflected in the country’s economy, diplomacy, and social structure. In a nation with a population of 343 million, 7.3 million are unemployed. The country’s federal debt is exceedingly high, standing at 38.7 trillion dollars, against an economic volume of 31.2 trillion dollars. The disparity in income distribution is at a terrifying level. The wealth of the richest 50 individuals equals that of half the population. By the end of 2025, the 10 wealthiest billionaires in the U.S. added another 698 billion dollars to their fortunes in a single year. More than 40 percent of the U.S. population—and half of its children—are classified as low-income. According to OECD data, the U.S. ranks first in relative poverty, second in child poverty and infant mortality, and second to last in life expectancy.
Therefore, when discoursing on the United States, it is imperative to look beyond its imperial character and scrutinize its economy, social structure, the systemic failures in health and education, high crime rates, and overflowing prisons. The political, social, cultural, and class chasms in the U.S. are numerous and diverse. Resolving these issues in the short term is a formidable task.
U.S. Policies Regarding China and Russia
The greatest rival to the U.S. is China. This reality is already inscribed in foreign policy, national security, defense, and strategy documents. China, alongside Russia, is characterized as an “adversary state,” a state challenging U.S. hegemony. However, despite their political and diplomatic friction, the U.S. and China both collaborate and compete on an economic scale. The U.S. owes the most debt to China, and China holds the most U.S. debt. Economic relations are defined by mutual investment, debt-credit dynamics, import-export volumes, and fierce competition. It is impossible for them to decouple from one another.
China, the world’s second-largest economy after the U.S., has surpassed the U.S. in calculations based on purchasing power parity to become the largest economy. In merchandise trade, China is the European Union’s second-largest partner after the U.S. China’s foreign exchange reserves reached 3.357 trillion dollars by the end of 2025. China overtook the U.S. in manufacturing in 2011, in merchandise trade in 2013, and in patent numbers in 2019. In 2020, it became the world’s largest consumer market. It is projected to become the world’s largest economy by 2030.
To encircle China within its immediate periphery, the U.S. spearheaded the quadrilateral alliance known as the QUAD (U.S., Japan, India, Australia). It is striving to expand this alliance further. The U.S. attempts to prevent a rapprochement between China and Russia and to neutralize institutions led or participated in by these two nations (such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and BRICS). It is particularly eager for India to cooperate closely with the U.S. against China, developing a specific “Indo-Pacific Strategy” to this end. Yet, thus far, it has not achieved the desired results.
As witnessed once again at the Munich Security Conference, Germany encounters friction in its relations with the U.S. whenever it articulates a desire to become a political, diplomatic, and military power commensurate with its economic, industrial, and technological might. However, despite these words, Germany cannot transition into action. It increases its defense budget and makes grand pronouncements with France regarding joint steps in defense, security, foreign policy, and even nuclear deterrence, yet it fails to do what is necessary. Let us recall that in previous years, the U.S. and Germany admitted to spying on each other’s leaders through intelligence agencies and levied massive fines on each other’s major corporations.
With Donald Trump’s return to the White House, the U.S. has begun to signal a more temperate stance toward Russia. Sensitivity regarding Ukraine has diminished. The U.S. has taken steps to cool the close relationship between Russia and China, though it has not found the success it hoped for.
Russia remains a major power with its rich natural gas and oil resources, high-tech defense industry, and capacity to build nuclear power plants. It possesses the largest landmass in the world and is rich in skilled human capital. Its statecraft experience, bureaucratic tradition, and the leadership prowess exemplified by Putin are robust. Russia also capitalizes on the eroding power of the U.S., particularly in Ukraine.
Türkiye’s Relations with the West
The U.S. possesses a potent and deep-rooted influence within Turkish political life, bureaucracy, civil-military security institutions, the business world, academia, and trade unions. Loyalty to NATO runs strong in both the government and the opposition in Türkiye. In the diplomatic sphere, while Türkiye occasionally experiences friction with the U.S. and the European Union, economic relations remain solid. Türkiyes largest economic partner in foreign trade is the European Union, and specifically Germany within the EU. They are followed by Russia and China. Russia is Türkiye’s largest energy supplier. Furthermore, the Russians are constructing Türkiye’s first nuclear power plant in Akkuyu, Mersin.
The gravest threats to Türkiye’s independence, integrity, and sovereignty originate from the U.S. and Europe. The U.S. and the European Union are the primary supporters of anti-Türkiye terrorist organizations such as FETÖ and the PKK-PYD-YPG. Beyond terrorist organizations, U.S. support for coups and coup attempts is well documented. The U.S. is attempting to carve out a Kurdish state by dividing four countries in the region (Iran, Iraq, Syria, Türkiye). Historically, many crises have occurred—and continue to occur—between Türkiye and the U.S., including the Johnson Letter, the U-2 spy plane crisis, the missile crisis, the embargo imposed after the 1974 Cyprus Peace Operation, the March 1st motion refusal, and in the present day, CAATSA sanctions, the F-35 fighter jet and S-400 crisis, the Halkbank case, the Pastor Brunson crisis, and support for the so-called Armenian genocide allegations. In bilateral and multilateral issues to which Türkiye is a party, the U.S. invariably positions itself against Türkiye.
The U.S. is an imperialist state. Its priorities, expectations, political culture, principles, values, objectives, interests, anxieties, threat definitions, and threat perceptions differ fundamentally from those of Türkiye. Moreover, the U.S. is not comprised solely of the White House. Congress, the bureaucracy, intelligence agencies, the Departments of Treasury, State, and Defense, as well as the business world—primarily the military-industrial complex—academia, think tanks, media, and lobbies are power centers that must absolutely be taken into account.
From the U.S. perspective, Türkiye is important due to its geopolitical location, its Muslim identity, and its possession of the second-largest army in NATO. It is not a strategic ally of the U.S., but rather a solution partner whose cooperation is valued in Middle Eastern issues. Because Türkiye purchased the S-400 air defense system from Russia, the U.S. refused to deliver the F-35 fighter jets for which Türkiye had already paid. It excluded Türkiye from the production process of these aircraft and activated CAATSA sanctions.
U.S.-Middle East Relations
The U.S. has won in Syria. It has broken the influence of Russia and Iran. Although the U.S. prioritizes China and dedicates a significant portion of its energy to containing Beijing, it will not withdraw completely from the Middle East. Even if it reduces its military presence in the region, it will never exit entirely. U.S. interest in the Middle East can be fundamentally explained by the following seven points:
First is the security of Israel. Second is U.S. efficacy over energy resources and routes. Third is regime change in Iran. Fourth is the establishment of a Kurdish state. Fifth is ensuring the security of Saudi Arabia and the Gulf countries it leads. Sixth is reducing Russia’s influence in the region. Seventh is curbing China’s increasing weight in the region.
Due to its diminishing state capacity, as has been more clearly observed in recent years, the U.S. is pushing its allies in the region to the forefront. It prioritizes dark warfare methods, proxy wars, and hybrid warfare—including the utilization of terrorist organizations—to destabilize the region.
There is no major power in the Middle East capable of challenging the U.S. in terms of power. A state aspiring to establish global hegemony must be able to compete with the U.S. on economic, industrial, technological, and military scales. Militarily, it must possess offensive capability, deterrence, the ability to forge alliances, and the skill to deny its adversary area dominance. It must possess economic and cultural power and instruments of public diplomacy that influence other nations. It must be capable of manufacturing consent and persuading others of its leadership.
The Trajectory of Global Change
The U.S. maintains approximately 800 bases, large and small, in over 150 countries worldwide. This military presence is simultaneously the collateral for its economic power. It is the guarantee that the U.S. dollar continues to be used as the currency of circulation on a global scale. However, for the U.S., this situation is not sustainable globally. It accepts this via the Monroe Doctrine. This is the reason for its primary focus on its immediate periphery, the Americas. The fact that Trump is less willing to use military force, despite the U.S. having a navy on the open seas, is not a preference; it is a necessity.
The U.S. is striving to preserve, at any cost, the superiority it gained after the Cold War in four areas: Economy, technology, defense, and culture. However, the U.S. is not at its former strength. Today, there is no absolute, runaway U.S. hegemony. The U.S. is far from the days when it led the world not only in economy, industry, technology, and military power but also in culture, cinema, music, academia, lifestyle, fashion, sports, and dietary habits. It has ceased to be the locomotive of growth and production. It has lost its former allure.
There no longer exists a United States defined by both invasions and color revolutions across a vast geography stretching from the Middle East to Central Asia, from Africa to Latin America. The world must recognize this reality and act accordingly.
Opinion
A voice rising from New Delhi: BRICS’s manifesto for a new world order
The BRICS Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, held in the Indian capital of New Delhi on May 15, 2026, carries a significance that extends far beyond the confines of routine diplomacy. This gathering culminated in the signing of one of the most comprehensive political documents to date, outlining the vision of the world order that BRICS envisions for 2026. Reading between the lines, the document reveals not merely the proceedings of a ministerial summit, but the contours of a comprehensive alternative vision challenging the Western-centric international system. Indeed, this text must be read as a political manifesto of the shifting balances of power, the accelerating global struggle for influence, and the emerging new world order of recent years.
The overarching theme dominating the entire document is “The Rise of the Global South.” BRICS members contend that the current international order is unjust, insufficiently representative, and fails to reflect the interests of developing nations. Consequently, they emphasize the urgent need to restructure foundational institutions such as the UN, IMF, World Bank, and the World Trade Organization (WTO). In doing so, BRICS now positions itself as the voice of the non-Western world. Today, the global arena is traversing an era in which the post-World War II international system has plunged into a profound crisis of legitimacy and representation. Developments such as the wars in Ukraine, Iran, and Lebanon, the Gaza crisis, global trade wars, the weaponization of sanctions, energy security challenges, and technological competition demonstrate that the current system struggles to mirror contemporary global realities. It is precisely from this premise that the BRICS nations operate, sending a clear message to the world through the New Delhi Outcome Document: “The status quo is no longer sustainable.”
One of the most striking aspects of the document is how clearly it demonstrates that BRICS no longer views itself as a mere platform for economic cooperation. Having long focused primarily on economic development, trade, and finance since its inception, BRICS has now reached a far more ambitious posture. In the New Delhi Outcome Document, issues of security, geopolitical crises, artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, climate policies, energy transition, and international governance reforms occupy a place as central as economics. This indicates that BRICS’s ambition to become a foundational actor in global politics is steadily gaining traction. Reading between the lines, the strongest emphasis emerges on the concept of a “multipolar world.” The core approach of BRICS is animated by the premise that the Western-centric, largely US-led international order, which took shape over the decades following the end of the Cold War, is no longer the sole alternative. Throughout the declaration, the repeated use of phrases like “more just,” “more representative,” “more democratic,” and “more inclusive” international system constitutes a direct critique of the current distribution of global power.
The sections concerning the reform of the United Nations Security Council are particularly critical. Indeed, the call for UN reform stands out as one of the most pivotal political segments of the document. BRICS nations explicitly state that the current structure fails to reflect contemporary realities. They contend that Africa, Latin America, and emerging Asian powers are underrepresented in decision-making mechanisms. What is even more remarkable is that China and Russia have reaffirmed their support for India and Brazil to assume greater roles within the Security Council. This state of affairs reveals, first and foremost, the elevation of India and Brazil to global-power status. Secondly, it demonstrates an increasing political cohesion within BRICS. Finally, it illustrates a fundamental questioning of the post-WWII international order.
Another prominent element in the document is the sharp critique of the sanctions policies pursued by the United States and the West. The intensive use of economic sanctions as a foreign policy tool in recent years has engendered collective discomfort among BRICS nations. The text emphasizes that unilateral sanctions violate international law and severely hamper the economic development of developing nations. Although no countries are named directly, this formulation can be read as a potent critique targeted at measures such as US sanctions on Iran, Russia, and Venezuela, as well as the embargo on Cuba. This approach is a continuation of BRICS’s long-standing critique regarding the “weaponization of economics.” Indeed, one of the most strategic segments of the declaration emerges here. For BRICS is no longer merely criticizing the existing financial architecture; it is actively endeavoring to construct alternative mechanisms. Initiatives such as cross-border payment systems, trade in local currencies, financial integration, and the strengthening of the New Development Bank can be read as harbingers of a long-term quest to forge an alternative to the dollar-centric global economic structure. While it is premature to speak of a system capable of fully displacing the dollar, the steps taken by BRICS are beginning to demonstrate that the current financial order is not the only option.
Another major political segment of the New Delhi Document concerns the Gaza and Palestine issue. Here, we witness one of the strongest stances BRICS has ever taken on the matter. The document employs highly resolute language regarding Gaza and Palestine, with a notable emphasis on an independent Palestinian state based on the 1967 borders. Furthermore, South Africa’s legal action against Israel and the rulings of the International Court of Justice are directly recalled in the text. In the face of recent offensives and the unfolding humanitarian crisis, BRICS nations have displayed one of their clearest collective stances to date. The call for an immediate ceasefire, the demand for unhindered humanitarian aid delivery, support for Palestinian statehood, and the emphasis on international law stand among the declaration’s most potent political messages. This can be interpreted as an indication of BRICS’s desire to become a more visible and effective political actor in global crises.
On the other hand, the text does not entirely gloss over the internal divergences within BRICS. It openly acknowledges that members hold differing views, particularly on Middle Eastern issues. This is significant because today’s BRICS is no longer a bloc comprised solely of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. With the integration of new members such as Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Indonesia, it has evolved into a far more complex geopolitical entity. Interestingly, the document explicitly notes that rather than a unified stance, differing perspectives exist on certain issues. Specifically, it is conceded that members hold divergent positions on matters concerning Iran, the Gulf states, and Yemen. Despite these differences, the bloc’s ability to establish common ground demonstrates an expansion of BRICS’s diplomatic capacity. Viewed from this perspective, the New Delhi process also represents a significant diplomatic triumph for India. While the recent wave of expansion—bringing in Iran, the UAE, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Indonesia—has enriched the platform’s geopolitical diversity, it has also rendered collective decision-making processes more intricate. Particularly at a juncture where the war in Iran continues, the deep-seated divergences between Iran and the Gulf states led many experts to predict that BRICS would struggle to find common political ground and that the summit would be fraught with severe diplomatic friction. However, despite all these differences, India succeeded in rallying members with diverging interests and priorities around the same platform, proving that BRICS retains its capacity to generate dialogue rather than fracture. In this context, the outcome in New Delhi is not limited merely to the content of the published joint text. The true, striking success lies in the preservation of a diplomatic arena that enabled members—who find themselves directly opposed on certain issues in an extremely sensitive and polarized crisis environment—to compromise on other matters and continue negotiating under the BRICS umbrella.
Furthermore, one of the document’s most critical messages emerges in the realm of technology. The extensive coverage of topics such as artificial intelligence, digital infrastructure, data security, and cybersecurity is no coincidence. Indeed, the global power struggle of the future will be shaped heavily through technological supremacy. BRICS nations clearly demonstrate their awareness of this reality and their intent to act in unison in the technological race. Particularly noteworthy is their quest to develop alternatives to Western-centric norms in artificial intelligence governance. A distinct approach is also observed in energy and climate policies. Instead of the rapid energy transition frequently championed by Western nations, the concept of a “just energy transition” is prioritized. At the heart of this approach lies the conviction that the economic growth needs of developing nations must not be disregarded. BRICS countries advocate for a balance between environmental responsibility and the right to development. This points to a major fault line that will become increasingly pronounced in global climate debates in the coming years.
When all these headings are evaluated together, the resulting picture is remarkably clear: BRICS is no longer merely a platform for safeguarding economic interests. It is a center of power beginning to articulate its own vision of how the international system ought to operate. At the core of this vision lies the objective of greater representation, sovereign equality, deeper multipolarity, and a stronger voice for developing nations in global decision-making processes.
The New Delhi Document, brought to the table at the BRICS Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, is far more than a mere communique; it is one of the landmark texts of the historic transformation unfolding in global politics. As the world rapidly moves away from a unipolar structure, BRICS is emerging as one of the most powerful political and economic vehicles of this transition. Today, many rules of the international system may still be written by the West. Yet, the message rising from New Delhi is clear: far more actors now demand a seat at the table to rewrite those very rules. BRICS is transitioning from an economic club into a political, diplomatic, financial, and technological powerhouse. Its claim to serve as the collective voice and compass of the Global South is strengthening. It pursues a dual strategy: offering an alternative to Western-centric institutions while simultaneously working to transform them. BRICS is not yet establishing institutions to directly replace the UN, IMF, World Bank, or WTO; rather, it is striving to change the rules and the distribution of power within them.
The 2026 New Delhi Document of the Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, hosted by India under its presidency, can be regarded as one of the most comprehensive strategic documents in the twenty-year history of BRICS. The text serves as a political manifesto for an era marked by the sunset of the US- and Western-led unipolar epoch, the demands of rising powers for greater agency, and the accelerating quest of the Global South to establish a permanent weight in the international system.
The essence of the document can be distilled into a single sentence: while BRICS remains a platform that adapts to the rules of the existing international order, it is simultaneously transforming into a global actor that seeks to rewrite them.
Umur Tugay Yücel – Political Scientist & Author of the book “The Decline of American Power and the Rising Powers” (China-Russia-India-Brazil).
X: @umur_tugay
Opinion
NATO as the apparatus of aggression and occupation of US imperialism
Contrary to what is written in its founding charter and press releases, or what its proponents claim, NATO is no ordinary defense and security organization. It is far more than that. It is a multidimensional, multifaceted organization driven by distinct ideological, political-economic, and class-based preferences. Moreover, as an organization born in the early stages of the Cold War, while its primary objective was ostensibly defined as “opposing the USSR and communism,” its actual function went far beyond this: it served as a mechanism to keep alliance members aligned with and under the control of the United States. Through NATO, the US has established immense influence not only over the defense, security, and foreign policies of member states, but also over their domestic politics, economic policies, educational institutions, universities, academia, think tanks, trade unions, and cultural industries.
As the apparatus of aggression and occupation of US imperialism, NATO launched its first out-of-area military operation in the mid-1990s in Bosnia and Herzegovina in the Balkans. This was followed by the intervention in Kosovo in 1999. In the Gulf War of 1990–1991, during the US assault on Iraq, NATO was not directly involved as an alliance or a corporate entity. Instead, there was a US-led coalition that included numerous NATO members. At the time, NATO provided air defense systems to Türkiye but did not launch a direct military attack on Iraq.
In those years, with less than a decade having passed since the end of the Cold War in 1991, liberals and neoliberals alike were busy extolling the virtues of a single-centered, monocentric world order (note: not a “unipolar” world order, as a “pole” logically requires at least two opposites; to call it unipolar is incorrect both linguistically and logically). A tempest of liberalism, capitalism, postmodernism, globalization, and the “New World Order” was sweeping the globe. The United States had triumphed. The USSR had dissolved. The Warsaw Pact had collapsed. The Eastern Bloc had been consigned to history. The Berlin Wall had fallen. Socialism and communism had been defeated.
Under those circumstances, since NATO’s raison d’être had ceased to exist, it should logically have been consigned to history as well. Its utility was being questioned; people were asking whom it would protect, and against whom. Consequently, there was an active search for an enemy—or enemies—for NATO. And indeed, they were found.
Weapons of mass destruction and weapons of mass persuasion
NATO—which stood idly by, biding its time and waiting for the right conditions while Yugoslavia was being torn apart, its people massacred, and ethnic cleansing and mass rapes were being carried out—finally mobilized at the exact moment and under the specific conditions dictated by US imperialism, delivering a clear message to the world. It announced to the globe that its mandate now encompassed missions such as “peacebuilding, peacekeeping, and combating radical movements and terrorism.” This, of course, aligned seamlessly with the rhetoric of “human rights, freedom, democracy, and the civilized world” championed by the United States as NATO’s founding leader. For the United States cast itself as the guardian of these values and concepts; yet in their name, and hiding behind them, it attacked, bombed, and occupied other nations. It would go so far as to first instigate disputes and conflicts in target nations, lay the groundwork for ethnic, religious, and sectarian strife, actively encourage and provoke these clashes, and then proceed to occupy those countries under the pretext of resolving these very problems and restoring stability.
And there were millions of people across the world who believed these American lies. In particular, the US media, along with global outlets, academics, non-governmental organizations, and think tanks supported by Washington, operated virtually as weapons of mass persuasion, designed to convince and deceive the public.
The United States grew so arrogant in this policy that US Presidents began to declare this mission to be far more than a mere political duty—it was, they claimed, a religious, divine, and moral responsibility. The US peddled this falsehood in Iraq, as it did in Yugoslavia. As Yugoslavia was disintegrating—or being disintegrated—NATO sought to project an image and send a message that, as an alliance whose sole Muslim member was Türkiye, it was defending Muslim Bosniaks and Kosovars against Christian Serbs, thereby shielding the righteous and oppressed from the unjust and tyrannical.
The collapse of the Atlantic system
Years have passed. The global balance of power has shifted. The imperialist dominance and hegemonic capacity of the United States have eroded and continue to decay. Russia, particularly after Putin took power, staged a rapid recovery starting in the 2000s. It consolidated its influence, beginning with its near abroad. China, alongside its economic prowess, expanded its political, military, scientific, and technological power, emerging as the primary competitor and most worrisome adversary of the United States. Within the Atlantic system and the Western alliance—whose rules and institutions were established by the US itself—deep-seated divisions have emerged, running parallel to its fragmentation and loss of power. Under these conditions, the United States is both failing to manage its own deep internal fault lines and socio-class contradictions, and experiencing major friction with its allies. Its intent to reduce Canada to a mere province, its ambition to annex Danish-administered Greenland, its barbarism in Venezuela and Palestine, its joint aggression with Israel against Iran, and its threats directed at Cuba must all be interpreted through this lens.
In the past, an imperialist power would at least superficially fabricate lies to rationalize, justify, and legitimize its invasions, aggression, plunder, and barbarism. For instance, when the United States invaded Afghanistan in 2001, immediately following the September 11 attacks, it cited the presence of Osama bin Laden—the Saudi leader of the Al-Qaeda terrorist network—in Afghanistan as its justification for the invasion. Similarly, during its 2003 invasion of Iraq, the US propagated the lie that “Saddam Hussein possesses chemical weapons and weapons of mass destruction.” When the German dictator Adolf Hitler invaded Poland in 1939, and the Italian dictator Mussolini invaded Abyssinia (Ethiopia) in 1935, they too presented historical, political, and geopolitical pretexts, however fabricated, to justify their actions.
Today, US imperialism does not even feel the need to construct such lies or manufacture pretexts. US President Trump openly talks of withdrawing from NATO, while scolding member states and insulting European leaders with arrogant remarks.
For this reason, NATO must be analyzed not by reading the words written in its founding treaty, but by grasping the shifting needs of US imperialism.
Opinion
Chinese diplomacy ascendant under Xi: All roads lead to Beijing
Beginning in late 2025 and extending throughout 2026, one of the most striking developments in world politics has been the successive convergence of major powers upon Beijing. Direct, high-level engagement with China by actors at the very core of the global system—such as the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, and Germany—is widely interpreted as a potent signal of a shifting international order. These visits are indubitably far from routine diplomatic encounters. Rather, they represent symbolic and strategic maneuvers indicative of a fundamental realignment of the world’s power centers. In particular, the intensive engagement with China by four of the permanent members of the United Nations Security Council within a brief window demonstrates that Beijing has evolved far beyond a mere economic powerhouse, establishing itself as a principal locus of global diplomacy.
For decades, the global order was predominantly US-centric. Following the end of the Cold War, the United States attained an unrivaled position militarily, economically, and diplomatically. China, conversely, was viewed as a rapidly growing economy defined primarily by its manufacturing capacity and cheap labor force. While Beijing possessed influence within the global system, the primary decision-making mechanisms of world politics remained firmly anchored in Washington. However, the transformation of the past two decades has elevated China from a mere economic giant to the epicenter of global strategic competition.
Today, China stands as one of the most pivotal actors in world trade. The vast majority of global supply chains are intricately linked to Chinese networks. Across a multitude of critical sectors—ranging from electric vehicles and battery technologies to artificial intelligence and solar energy—China has established itself as both a dominant producer and a global standard-setter. This immense economic capacity has naturally engendered commensurate political and diplomatic leverage. Global leaders now recognize that international challenges cannot be effectively managed by bypassing or ignoring China.
It is precisely here that the core significance of these recent visits to China becomes apparent. Donald Trump’s journey to Beijing to meet with Xi Jinping underscored that despite the intense rivalry between Washington and Beijing, direct engagement has become an absolute necessity. Similarly, while Vladimir Putin’s strategic alignment with China has long been established, Moscow’s deepened cooperation with Beijing in the wake of its profound crisis with the West has significantly bolstered China’s geopolitical weight across Eurasia. Meanwhile, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s visit was interpreted as a sign of Europe pivoting toward a more pragmatic trajectory in its policy toward China. The prior engagements of French President Emmanuel Macron had already demonstrated that Europe has no desire for a complete decoupling from China. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s discussions in Beijing were particularly noteworthy from an economic standpoint, as the Chinese market remains indispensable to German industry. Furthermore, the intensive diplomatic relations maintained by Serbian President Alexander Vučić with China demonstrate that Beijing’s influence on the European continent is by no means confined to major Western European states. Through infrastructure investments, transport projects, technology transfers, and defense cooperation in recent years, Serbia has emerged as one of China’s closest partners in Europe.
The common denominator among these visits was the pursuit of direct engagement with Xi Jinping. Xi is no longer viewed merely as the leader of China; for many nations, he has become a preeminent figure shaping the future of the global system. The transformation of China under Xi into a more centralized, visionary state structured around long-term strategic planning has magnified the personal significance of his leadership. Today, the international community is intensely focused on Xi Jinping’s decision-making. Consequently, pilgrimages to Beijing represent an effort to establish a direct, unmediated channel to Xi himself.
Symbolism is of paramount importance here; in international politics, the optics of “who travels to meet whom” are central to the perception of power. If global leaders continuously travel to Beijing while Xi travels sparingly—yet remains the figure everyone seeks to audience with—it naturally reinforces the message: Xi Jinping is no longer just the leader of China, but a chief architect of the global system. Remarkably, Xi’s reduced international travel has not diluted China’s influence. On the contrary, Beijing’s emergence as the primary destination of diplomatic pilgrimage projects an image of profound self-assurance. To many observers, this stands as one of the most visible symbols of a shifting world order. By rendering their respects in Beijing as much as in Washington, global leaders signal that the global equation is now being formulated here.
This shift is driven by tangible geopolitical realities. The contemporary world operates within a highly interdependent framework. While intense competition defines US-China relations, their economies remain deeply intertwined, rendering total decoupling virtually impossible. Across a vast spectrum of critical arenas—including trade, semiconductor technology, artificial intelligence, energy security, the Taiwan question, the Russia-Ukraine war, the Iranian crisis, and global supply chains—China has emerged as a decisive actor. Consequently, no major power, including Washington, can formulate a viable global strategy by sidelining China.
For Europe in particular, the China question has grown increasingly complex. The period between 2022 and 2024 saw Europe adopt a more hawkish and distant posture toward Beijing. However, slowing economic growth, energy crises, and trade frictions with the United States have compelled Europe to seek a more balanced approach. The pivot of European leaders toward Beijing reveals that complete economic decoupling from China would carry prohibitive costs for Europe. This dynamic also underscores the divergent internal priorities within the US-led Western bloc.
China’s rise should not be viewed solely through the prism of its relations with the West; the sphere of influence Beijing has cultivated across the Global South is of equal significance. In recent years, Chinese influence has expanded dramatically across Africa, Latin America, Central Asia, the Gulf States, and South Asia. Within this context, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s visit to China carries profound weight. The China-Pakistan relationship has long been characterized as an “ironclad friendship.” Through the Belt and Road Initiative, China has constructed ports, railways, energy facilities, and critical infrastructure in numerous countries, most notably Pakistan. Furthermore, unlike Western financial institutions, Beijing extends credit and investment with fewer political conditionalities. Consequently, many developing nations view China not only as a vital economic partner but also as a geopolitical counterweight to the West.
All of this inevitably raises the question: “Is China ascendant?” Based on the current landscape, the answer must be in the affirmative. For global leaders, Beijing has now emerged as a diplomatic hub as critical as Washington. Moreover, beyond its sheer economic scale, China is increasingly distinguished by its capacity for conflict resolution. Its pivotal role in facilitating the Iran-Saudi Arabia normalization, coupled with its close ties to Russia and its sweeping influence over the Global South, has significantly amplified Beijing’s diplomatic gravity.
The diplomatic traffic observed throughout 2026 highlights a fundamental truth: the world is no longer unipolar or monocivilizational. Opposite the United States stands a China capable of challenging it economically, technologically, culturally, and diplomatically. Consequently, this new era diverges sharply from the unipolar structure of the “American Century,” resembling instead a multipolar, multi-civilizational order where all actors cooperate and compete with one another simultaneously.
Xi Jinping’s position is central to this paradigm shift. For many leaders today, meeting with Xi in Beijing is not merely a matter of bilateral diplomacy, but a strategic imperative for positioning oneself within the global balance of power. This has immensely enhanced Xi’s personal prestige. Within the international system, there is a growing consensus that on most critical issues, “if Beijing is not at the table, no resolution can be complete.” The acceleration of visits to China since late 2025 is not merely a reflection of a crowded diplomatic calendar; it must be understood as a tangible indicator of a shifting world order. Beijing has transcended its status as an economic core to become one of the primary power centers of global politics. Consequently, Chinese President Xi Jinping is emerging as one of the most influential figures of this new, multipolar, and multi-civilizational world order.
Today, the diplomatic traffic directed toward Beijing is by no means limited to the United States, Russia, or the major European powers. The efforts of leaders from a vast geographical span—from Serbia and Pakistan to the Gulf States and African nations—to establish direct contact with China render Beijing’s central position in the global system increasingly conspicuous. Consequently, these recent visits are interpreted as signs that the power map of the new international order is being redrawn. For many capitals, the path to understanding global developments and formulating future strategies now runs through Beijing as much as it does through Washington. Thus, the adage “All roads lead to Beijing” is rapidly transforming from a rhetorical trope into a defining reality of contemporary international politics.
Umur Tugay Yücel – Political Scientist & Author of the book “The Decline of American Power and the Rising Powers” (China-Russia-India-Brazil).
X: @umur_tugay
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