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The UN Security Council’s Gaza plan and US-China cooperation in the Middle East

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On November 17, the UN Security Council reached a rare consensus and adopted Resolution 2803, a comprehensive governance plan for the Gaza Strip proposed by the United States. Through the full implementation of the “Comprehensive Plan to End the Gaza Conflict” (Trump’s 20-Point Plan) put forward by the Trump administration, the aim is to maintain the ceasefire in Gaza, restore humanitarian aid, promote reconstruction and economic recovery in Gaza, and lay the foundation for restarting the “two-state solution.” Since neither China nor Russia voted against it, this marks a very rare moment in the more than two years since the outbreak of the “Sixth Middle East War,” with all five permanent members of the UN Security Council maintaining a unified stance. It is expected to help shape a new pattern in Israeli-Palestinian relations, bring new hope for Middle East peace, highlight the United States’ strong geopolitical shaping capability, and reflect China’s rapidly evolving policy adjustment and strategic approach to Middle Eastern hotspot issues.

When draft Resolution 2803 (with the Trump 20-Point Plan as an annex) was submitted for a vote among the 15 Security Council members, it received 13 votes in favor, with China and Russia abstaining, allowing it to pass and become a document representing the highest will of the international community, carrying irresistible legal force and binding obligations on all UN member states. This bridges the long-standing divisions and confrontations in the Security Council over the Gaza conflict and the Russia-Ukraine conflict over the past two to three years, demonstrating the flexibility and appropriate compromise of major powers—particularly China and Russia—when addressing Middle East crises.

Resolution 2803 stipulates the establishment of a Peace Board (Board of Peace, BP), an entity with international legal status, as a transitional administrative body to supervise the Palestinian Authority (PA) in completing its reform plan, ensuring that it can safely and effectively regain control of Gaza and create conditions for Palestinian self-determination and statehood.

The resolution authorizes the creation of an International Stabilization Force (ISF), which, under the unified command of the Peace Board and in cooperation with Israel, Egypt, and newly trained Palestinian police forces, will ensure border security, dismantle military and attack facilities, promote demilitarization, protect civilians, and secure humanitarian aid corridors. Funding will come from voluntary contributions and a dedicated trust fund, with the World Bank and other financial institutions participating in reconstruction financing. The operations of the Peace Board and the Stabilization Force will be subject to international oversight, with progress reports submitted to the Security Council every six months. The mandate is valid until the end of 2027. Countries participating in the Stabilization Force must be approved by Egypt and Israel, and the mission can only end once Israel deems that appropriate demilitarization and the elimination of threats have been achieved.

The overall objective of the resolution is to achieve ceasefire, reconstruction, stability, and peace in Gaza under international coordination, thereby laying the foundation for long-term peaceful coexistence between Palestinians and Israelis and for the future construction of a Palestinian state. Although the resolution does not emphasize whether the international stabilization force will be responsible for disarming Gaza’s armed groups, including Hamas, nor does it clearly define its organizational structure, mandate, or participation criteria, it contains positive indications that the Palestinian Authority will effectively and safely administer Gaza after reforms. Considering Israel’s strong resistance to the United Nations, Resolution 2803 downplays the role of the UN and the Security Council in active involvement or oversight, though it does mention them.

After the adoption of Resolution 2803, Hamas—long-term controller of the Gaza Strip—expressed dissatisfaction, condemning the resolution for attempting to impose international trusteeship over Gaza and potentially advancing a governance plan favoring Israel. It explicitly rejected any form of international trusteeship, foreign military presence, or the establishment of international bases in Gaza, arguing that such arrangements would directly violate Palestinian national sovereignty.

Israel, on the other hand, demonstrated divided perceptions and stances. Israeli President Herzog praised it as “a rather incredible moment in world politics, a situation that only President Trump could have brought about, and of course, he also brought back all our hostages. We must create a hopeful future, and I hope that this Security Council resolution, along with civic activities and new initiatives… will bring some positive results.” However, Prime Minister Netanyahu and right-wing and far-right factions expressed dissatisfaction, arguing that the resolution contains the possibility of allowing the establishment of a Palestinian state and does not clearly mandate the complete disarmament of Hamas or full demilitarization in Gaza. Netanyahu asserted that regardless of how difficult the future may be, Gaza must be “demilitarized” and Hamas must be “disarmed.”

Regarding this U.S.-led draft resolution supported by several Arab and Islamic countries, China and Russia—who allowed its passage through abstention rather than veto—each issued clarifying remarks afterward to emphasize their reservations or dissatisfaction.

China’s Permanent Representative to the United Nations, Fu Cong, stated that the Security Council must ensure a lasting ceasefire, address the humanitarian crisis in Gaza, and begin reconstruction, but expressed “deep concern” over the unclear structure and mandate of the Peace Board and International Stabilization Force.

Fu Cong said that China believes the draft pays too little attention to Palestine and fails to explicitly affirm Palestinian sovereignty and the “two-state solution.” “The draft resolution does not reflect the basic principle that ‘Palestinians should govern Palestine.’ Gaza belongs to the Palestinian people, not to anyone else,” he said, expressing concern over the resolution’s failure to “ensure the effective participation of the UN and its Security Council.” He stated that due to these concerns and regional positions, China cast an abstention vote.

Russia’s Permanent Representative to the United Nations, Nebenzya, stated that Russia could not support the draft, arguing that it undermines the framework of the “two-state solution” and improperly grants the “International Stabilization Force” peacekeeping authority, effectively making it a party to the conflict. In addition, Nebenzya warned that the draft could serve as a cover for the United States and Israel to conduct “experiments” in the occupied Palestinian territories. He also recalled previous U.S.-driven initiatives that ran counter to their declared objectives.

Objectively speaking, although China and Russia pointed out many ambiguities and inappropriate elements in the draft resolution, their decision not to veto it indicates that both countries generally recognize the positive intention of promoting a ceasefire in Gaza, restoring humanitarian assistance, and focusing on postwar reconstruction and long-term arrangements, despite the imperfect path to implementation. In other words, faced with more than two years of disaster in Gaza, accepting this U.S.-backed plan—which attempts to consider multiple interests yet still favors Israel—amounts to “choosing the lesser of two evils.”

Since the “Sixth Middle East War” was triggered by a new round of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict in October 2023, it has expanded from the Israeli-Palestinian arena to the Eastern Mediterranean, the Red Sea, and the Persian Gulf. More than ten regional states and external powers have become involved. The conflict ultimately led Israel and the United States into direct war with Iran, the unexpected collapse of the Syrian government, and Qatar being bombed by Israel despite its innocence. Warfare has erupted across the Middle East, with flames spreading in all directions. Most distressingly, 2.3 million Palestinians in the Gaza Strip have endured an unprecedented national catastrophe. The civilized world has witnessed the killings and genocidal acts committed by one of the most brutally behaving state actors.

During this period, because the United States repeatedly blocked and vetoed ceasefire proposals, continually “handing knives” to Israel and even directly acting as an accomplice to its militarism, the battlefield in the Middle East kept expanding and slipping out of control. Only when it eventually backfired on core U.S. interests and international reputation did the Trump administration introduce the “Comprehensive Plan to End the Gaza Conflict” (Trump’s 20-Point Plan). Through strong pressure on Israel’s right-wing factions, a partially incomplete ceasefire in Gaza was finally achieved, paving the way for the Security Council to consider a new governance framework for Gaza and a new configuration for Israeli-Palestinian relations.

Frankly, this draft resolution represents the result of strenuous diplomatic effort and extensive mediation by the Trump administration and only managed to gain broad support with difficulty. Inevitably, it is filled with loopholes, deliberate ambiguities, and a lack of detail, constituting a peace roadmap that must address the concerns of all parties—an unavoidable “rushed solution.” Therefore, dissatisfaction from the parties involved, especially the bitterly opposed Israel and Hamas, is entirely expected, as both sides currently adhere to zero-sum thinking on several issues.

Resolution 2803, which reflects Trump’s Middle East foreign policy—particularly his approach to resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict—passed smoothly in the Security Council. This reflects the international community’s consensus and determination to end Gaza’s suffering as soon as possible, restore peace between Israelis and Palestinians, and ultimately implement the “two-state solution.” It also represents a diplomatic victory for the United States in leading Middle East peace efforts, shaping the regional order, and demonstrating its status and influence as a superpower. It may help offset the frustration and distrust Middle Eastern states have felt toward the U.S. due to a series of previous policy failures.

In addition, the endorsement of the Gaza governance plan through a Security Council resolution strengthens and continues Trump’s Middle East policy from version 1.0 to 2.0. During his first term, Trump—marked by a distinctly pro-Israel stance—broke long-standing taboos of previous U.S. administrations by moving the U.S. Embassy in Israel to Jerusalem, introducing the “Deal of the Century,” which unilaterally compromised core Palestinian interests, cutting off contact with the Palestinian Authority, drastically reducing or completely halting humanitarian aid to Palestinians, withdrawing from UNESCO (which was considered sympathetic to Palestine), and successfully pushing four Arab states to sign the Abraham Accords with Israel, thereby expanding the pro-peace and reconciliation camp in the Middle East.

In his second term, Trump inherited a Middle East already engulfed in war. While ensuring U.S. leadership, he provided Israel with unwavering and unlimited support, even jointly striking Iranian nuclear facilities with Israel. At the same time, he worked to prevent the expansion of war, to limit its intensity, and to keep the United States out of a new quagmire. This included ultimately reaching a ceasefire agreement with Yemen’s Houthi movement, advancing normalization with post-transition Syria, and exerting pressure on multiple parties—including Israel—to prevent further regional destabilization, particularly to achieve a Gaza ceasefire as quickly as possible. Trump also successfully brought Kazakhstan into the Abraham Accords, expanding the Middle East peace process into Central Asia and into Muslim-majority states beyond the Arab world.

The adoption of Resolution 2803 marks a new milestone, indicating that the United States has once again become the key external power in Middle Eastern diplomacy and that Washington has returned to a central decision-making position in regional affairs. This will undoubtedly enhance the United States’ global political influence and leadership, strengthening its presence and discourse power in the Middle East. A few days earlier, under U.S. leadership, the Security Council adopted a resolution on November 14 extending sanctions on Yemen, condemning Houthi attacks, reaffirming the arms embargo, and adding new maritime inspection measures.

At the moment the UN Security Council voted on Resolution 2803, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman made a highly publicized visit to the United States and may receive “U.S. ally” treatment, including the purchase of F-35 fighter jets. Prior to the outbreak of the “Sixth Middle East War,” Saudi Arabia and the United States were actively negotiating a military alliance. Washington’s conditions required Riyadh to normalize relations with Israel and drastically reduce economic, technological, and military cooperation with China. The Gaza war and the resulting unprecedented humanitarian disaster caused a major reversal in Saudi positions, with Riyadh reiterating that the Palestinian issue must be resolved first before Saudi-Israeli reconciliation can occur. As the Gaza ceasefire takes hold and U.S.-led reconstruction begins, the future direction of Saudi-U.S. and Saudi-Israeli relations has drawn close attention.

Observers have also noted that in 2023 China successfully mediated an end to the seven-year rift between Saudi Arabia and Iran, creating a diplomatic sensation and astonishing the world. In 2024 China facilitated a broad consensus among 14 Palestinian factions in Beijing. At a time when the United States was preoccupied with elections and unwilling to engage deeply in Middle Eastern affairs, international opinion exclaimed that China’s diplomacy in the region had become powerful, dynamic, and highly productive, and that Beijing seemed to have replaced Washington as the diplomatic decision-making center of the Middle East.

However, subsequent major developments in the Middle East delivered heavy setbacks to China’s regional diplomacy: Hamas leader Haniyeh, who participated in Beijing’s reconciliation talks, was openly assassinated by Israel in Tehran; Syrian President Bashar al-Assad—whose regime had survived with China’s support—was unexpectedly overthrown; Iran, which had signed a 25-year strategic cooperation agreement with China, lost large portions of its sphere of influence; Russia, China’s “comprehensive strategic coordination partner for the new era,” was forced to abandon Syria, its only Cold War asset in the Middle East; China had to conduct large-scale evacuations from Syria, Israel, and Iran; China’s efforts to build a high-quality Belt and Road Initiative with Middle Eastern states suffered from the effects of war; the Red Sea route—China’s main trade corridor to Europe—faced severe security threats, increasing trade costs.

Recently, as new opportunities have emerged in the Middle East and China-U.S. relations have gradually stabilized with multiple agreements reached at the Busan summit, China has significantly adjusted its policies and strategies regarding regional hotspots. This includes actively seeking cooperation with the United States on the Gaza ceasefire and Red Sea governance and twice abstaining to allow U.S.-led Security Council resolutions to pass. Most notably, China rapidly shifted its stance toward the Syrian transitional government, received its foreign minister for the first time, and issued a joint communiqué outlining the future of bilateral relations. These new developments indicate that China’s Middle East diplomacy is becoming more flexible, adapting to changing circumstances and evolving conditions.

Looking ahead, with the Middle East moving in a positive direction and China-U.S. relations continuing to stabilize, China will keep consulting and cooperating with the United States on regional governance. It will also work to explore its potential and leverage its strengths in promoting Syria’s comprehensive reconstruction, Gaza’s postwar administration, ending Yemen’s “one country, three governments” situation, and restoring Red Sea maritime security, helping create a new landscape of peace and stability in the Middle East.

The saying “even an impartial judge struggles to settle family disputes” applies. China’s strength in the Middle East lies in its lack of deep entanglements with any party to the conflicts and its ability to communicate with all sides, especially various Palestinian factions and parties within Yemen. However, the challenge remains that internal reconciliation and integration—whether in Palestine or Yemen—are extremely difficult and complex. This means China’s regional diplomacy, particularly its mediation efforts, will require greater wisdom, determination, and investment.

Prof. Ma is the Dean of the Institute of Mediterranean Studies (ISMR) at Zhejiang International Studies University in Hangzhou. He specializes in international politics, particularly Islam and Middle Eastern affairs. He previously worked as a senior Xinhua correspondent in Kuwait, Palestine, and Iraq.

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A voice rising from New Delhi: BRICS’s manifesto for a new world order

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The BRICS Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, held in the Indian capital of New Delhi on May 15, 2026, carries a significance that extends far beyond the confines of routine diplomacy. This gathering culminated in the signing of one of the most comprehensive political documents to date, outlining the vision of the world order that BRICS envisions for 2026. Reading between the lines, the document reveals not merely the proceedings of a ministerial summit, but the contours of a comprehensive alternative vision challenging the Western-centric international system. Indeed, this text must be read as a political manifesto of the shifting balances of power, the accelerating global struggle for influence, and the emerging new world order of recent years.

The overarching theme dominating the entire document is “The Rise of the Global South.” BRICS members contend that the current international order is unjust, insufficiently representative, and fails to reflect the interests of developing nations. Consequently, they emphasize the urgent need to restructure foundational institutions such as the UN, IMF, World Bank, and the World Trade Organization (WTO). In doing so, BRICS now positions itself as the voice of the non-Western world. Today, the global arena is traversing an era in which the post-World War II international system has plunged into a profound crisis of legitimacy and representation. Developments such as the wars in Ukraine, Iran, and Lebanon, the Gaza crisis, global trade wars, the weaponization of sanctions, energy security challenges, and technological competition demonstrate that the current system struggles to mirror contemporary global realities. It is precisely from this premise that the BRICS nations operate, sending a clear message to the world through the New Delhi Outcome Document: “The status quo is no longer sustainable.”

One of the most striking aspects of the document is how clearly it demonstrates that BRICS no longer views itself as a mere platform for economic cooperation. Having long focused primarily on economic development, trade, and finance since its inception, BRICS has now reached a far more ambitious posture. In the New Delhi Outcome Document, issues of security, geopolitical crises, artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, climate policies, energy transition, and international governance reforms occupy a place as central as economics. This indicates that BRICS’s ambition to become a foundational actor in global politics is steadily gaining traction. Reading between the lines, the strongest emphasis emerges on the concept of a “multipolar world.” The core approach of BRICS is animated by the premise that the Western-centric, largely US-led international order, which took shape over the decades following the end of the Cold War, is no longer the sole alternative. Throughout the declaration, the repeated use of phrases like “more just,” “more representative,” “more democratic,” and “more inclusive” international system constitutes a direct critique of the current distribution of global power.

The sections concerning the reform of the United Nations Security Council are particularly critical. Indeed, the call for UN reform stands out as one of the most pivotal political segments of the document. BRICS nations explicitly state that the current structure fails to reflect contemporary realities. They contend that Africa, Latin America, and emerging Asian powers are underrepresented in decision-making mechanisms. What is even more remarkable is that China and Russia have reaffirmed their support for India and Brazil to assume greater roles within the Security Council. This state of affairs reveals, first and foremost, the elevation of India and Brazil to global-power status. Secondly, it demonstrates an increasing political cohesion within BRICS. Finally, it illustrates a fundamental questioning of the post-WWII international order.

Another prominent element in the document is the sharp critique of the sanctions policies pursued by the United States and the West. The intensive use of economic sanctions as a foreign policy tool in recent years has engendered collective discomfort among BRICS nations. The text emphasizes that unilateral sanctions violate international law and severely hamper the economic development of developing nations. Although no countries are named directly, this formulation can be read as a potent critique targeted at measures such as US sanctions on Iran, Russia, and Venezuela, as well as the embargo on Cuba. This approach is a continuation of BRICS’s long-standing critique regarding the “weaponization of economics.” Indeed, one of the most strategic segments of the declaration emerges here. For BRICS is no longer merely criticizing the existing financial architecture; it is actively endeavoring to construct alternative mechanisms. Initiatives such as cross-border payment systems, trade in local currencies, financial integration, and the strengthening of the New Development Bank can be read as harbingers of a long-term quest to forge an alternative to the dollar-centric global economic structure. While it is premature to speak of a system capable of fully displacing the dollar, the steps taken by BRICS are beginning to demonstrate that the current financial order is not the only option.

Another major political segment of the New Delhi Document concerns the Gaza and Palestine issue. Here, we witness one of the strongest stances BRICS has ever taken on the matter. The document employs highly resolute language regarding Gaza and Palestine, with a notable emphasis on an independent Palestinian state based on the 1967 borders. Furthermore, South Africa’s legal action against Israel and the rulings of the International Court of Justice are directly recalled in the text. In the face of recent offensives and the unfolding humanitarian crisis, BRICS nations have displayed one of their clearest collective stances to date. The call for an immediate ceasefire, the demand for unhindered humanitarian aid delivery, support for Palestinian statehood, and the emphasis on international law stand among the declaration’s most potent political messages. This can be interpreted as an indication of BRICS’s desire to become a more visible and effective political actor in global crises.

On the other hand, the text does not entirely gloss over the internal divergences within BRICS. It openly acknowledges that members hold differing views, particularly on Middle Eastern issues. This is significant because today’s BRICS is no longer a bloc comprised solely of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. With the integration of new members such as Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Indonesia, it has evolved into a far more complex geopolitical entity. Interestingly, the document explicitly notes that rather than a unified stance, differing perspectives exist on certain issues. Specifically, it is conceded that members hold divergent positions on matters concerning Iran, the Gulf states, and Yemen. Despite these differences, the bloc’s ability to establish common ground demonstrates an expansion of BRICS’s diplomatic capacity. Viewed from this perspective, the New Delhi process also represents a significant diplomatic triumph for India. While the recent wave of expansion—bringing in Iran, the UAE, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Indonesia—has enriched the platform’s geopolitical diversity, it has also rendered collective decision-making processes more intricate. Particularly at a juncture where the war in Iran continues, the deep-seated divergences between Iran and the Gulf states led many experts to predict that BRICS would struggle to find common political ground and that the summit would be fraught with severe diplomatic friction. However, despite all these differences, India succeeded in rallying members with diverging interests and priorities around the same platform, proving that BRICS retains its capacity to generate dialogue rather than fracture. In this context, the outcome in New Delhi is not limited merely to the content of the published joint text. The true, striking success lies in the preservation of a diplomatic arena that enabled members—who find themselves directly opposed on certain issues in an extremely sensitive and polarized crisis environment—to compromise on other matters and continue negotiating under the BRICS umbrella.

Furthermore, one of the document’s most critical messages emerges in the realm of technology. The extensive coverage of topics such as artificial intelligence, digital infrastructure, data security, and cybersecurity is no coincidence. Indeed, the global power struggle of the future will be shaped heavily through technological supremacy. BRICS nations clearly demonstrate their awareness of this reality and their intent to act in unison in the technological race. Particularly noteworthy is their quest to develop alternatives to Western-centric norms in artificial intelligence governance. A distinct approach is also observed in energy and climate policies. Instead of the rapid energy transition frequently championed by Western nations, the concept of a “just energy transition” is prioritized. At the heart of this approach lies the conviction that the economic growth needs of developing nations must not be disregarded. BRICS countries advocate for a balance between environmental responsibility and the right to development. This points to a major fault line that will become increasingly pronounced in global climate debates in the coming years.

When all these headings are evaluated together, the resulting picture is remarkably clear: BRICS is no longer merely a platform for safeguarding economic interests. It is a center of power beginning to articulate its own vision of how the international system ought to operate. At the core of this vision lies the objective of greater representation, sovereign equality, deeper multipolarity, and a stronger voice for developing nations in global decision-making processes.

The New Delhi Document, brought to the table at the BRICS Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, is far more than a mere communique; it is one of the landmark texts of the historic transformation unfolding in global politics. As the world rapidly moves away from a unipolar structure, BRICS is emerging as one of the most powerful political and economic vehicles of this transition. Today, many rules of the international system may still be written by the West. Yet, the message rising from New Delhi is clear: far more actors now demand a seat at the table to rewrite those very rules. BRICS is transitioning from an economic club into a political, diplomatic, financial, and technological powerhouse. Its claim to serve as the collective voice and compass of the Global South is strengthening. It pursues a dual strategy: offering an alternative to Western-centric institutions while simultaneously working to transform them. BRICS is not yet establishing institutions to directly replace the UN, IMF, World Bank, or WTO; rather, it is striving to change the rules and the distribution of power within them.

The 2026 New Delhi Document of the Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, hosted by India under its presidency, can be regarded as one of the most comprehensive strategic documents in the twenty-year history of BRICS. The text serves as a political manifesto for an era marked by the sunset of the US- and Western-led unipolar epoch, the demands of rising powers for greater agency, and the accelerating quest of the Global South to establish a permanent weight in the international system.

The essence of the document can be distilled into a single sentence: while BRICS remains a platform that adapts to the rules of the existing international order, it is simultaneously transforming into a global actor that seeks to rewrite them.

Umur Tugay Yücel – Political Scientist & Author of the book “The Decline of American Power and the Rising Powers” (China-Russia-India-Brazil).

X: @umur_tugay

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NATO as the apparatus of aggression and occupation of US imperialism

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Contrary to what is written in its founding charter and press releases, or what its proponents claim, NATO is no ordinary defense and security organization. It is far more than that. It is a multidimensional, multifaceted organization driven by distinct ideological, political-economic, and class-based preferences. Moreover, as an organization born in the early stages of the Cold War, while its primary objective was ostensibly defined as “opposing the USSR and communism,” its actual function went far beyond this: it served as a mechanism to keep alliance members aligned with and under the control of the United States. Through NATO, the US has established immense influence not only over the defense, security, and foreign policies of member states, but also over their domestic politics, economic policies, educational institutions, universities, academia, think tanks, trade unions, and cultural industries.

As the apparatus of aggression and occupation of US imperialism, NATO launched its first out-of-area military operation in the mid-1990s in Bosnia and Herzegovina in the Balkans. This was followed by the intervention in Kosovo in 1999. In the Gulf War of 1990–1991, during the US assault on Iraq, NATO was not directly involved as an alliance or a corporate entity. Instead, there was a US-led coalition that included numerous NATO members. At the time, NATO provided air defense systems to Türkiye but did not launch a direct military attack on Iraq.

In those years, with less than a decade having passed since the end of the Cold War in 1991, liberals and neoliberals alike were busy extolling the virtues of a single-centered, monocentric world order (note: not a “unipolar” world order, as a “pole” logically requires at least two opposites; to call it unipolar is incorrect both linguistically and logically). A tempest of liberalism, capitalism, postmodernism, globalization, and the “New World Order” was sweeping the globe. The United States had triumphed. The USSR had dissolved. The Warsaw Pact had collapsed. The Eastern Bloc had been consigned to history. The Berlin Wall had fallen. Socialism and communism had been defeated.

Under those circumstances, since NATO’s raison d’être had ceased to exist, it should logically have been consigned to history as well. Its utility was being questioned; people were asking whom it would protect, and against whom. Consequently, there was an active search for an enemy—or enemies—for NATO. And indeed, they were found.

Weapons of mass destruction and weapons of mass persuasion

NATO—which stood idly by, biding its time and waiting for the right conditions while Yugoslavia was being torn apart, its people massacred, and ethnic cleansing and mass rapes were being carried out—finally mobilized at the exact moment and under the specific conditions dictated by US imperialism, delivering a clear message to the world. It announced to the globe that its mandate now encompassed missions such as “peacebuilding, peacekeeping, and combating radical movements and terrorism.” This, of course, aligned seamlessly with the rhetoric of “human rights, freedom, democracy, and the civilized world” championed by the United States as NATO’s founding leader. For the United States cast itself as the guardian of these values and concepts; yet in their name, and hiding behind them, it attacked, bombed, and occupied other nations. It would go so far as to first instigate disputes and conflicts in target nations, lay the groundwork for ethnic, religious, and sectarian strife, actively encourage and provoke these clashes, and then proceed to occupy those countries under the pretext of resolving these very problems and restoring stability.

And there were millions of people across the world who believed these American lies. In particular, the US media, along with global outlets, academics, non-governmental organizations, and think tanks supported by Washington, operated virtually as weapons of mass persuasion, designed to convince and deceive the public.

The United States grew so arrogant in this policy that US Presidents began to declare this mission to be far more than a mere political duty—it was, they claimed, a religious, divine, and moral responsibility. The US peddled this falsehood in Iraq, as it did in Yugoslavia. As Yugoslavia was disintegrating—or being disintegrated—NATO sought to project an image and send a message that, as an alliance whose sole Muslim member was Türkiye, it was defending Muslim Bosniaks and Kosovars against Christian Serbs, thereby shielding the righteous and oppressed from the unjust and tyrannical.

The collapse of the Atlantic system

Years have passed. The global balance of power has shifted. The imperialist dominance and hegemonic capacity of the United States have eroded and continue to decay. Russia, particularly after Putin took power, staged a rapid recovery starting in the 2000s. It consolidated its influence, beginning with its near abroad. China, alongside its economic prowess, expanded its political, military, scientific, and technological power, emerging as the primary competitor and most worrisome adversary of the United States. Within the Atlantic system and the Western alliance—whose rules and institutions were established by the US itself—deep-seated divisions have emerged, running parallel to its fragmentation and loss of power. Under these conditions, the United States is both failing to manage its own deep internal fault lines and socio-class contradictions, and experiencing major friction with its allies. Its intent to reduce Canada to a mere province, its ambition to annex Danish-administered Greenland, its barbarism in Venezuela and Palestine, its joint aggression with Israel against Iran, and its threats directed at Cuba must all be interpreted through this lens.

In the past, an imperialist power would at least superficially fabricate lies to rationalize, justify, and legitimize its invasions, aggression, plunder, and barbarism. For instance, when the United States invaded Afghanistan in 2001, immediately following the September 11 attacks, it cited the presence of Osama bin Laden—the Saudi leader of the Al-Qaeda terrorist network—in Afghanistan as its justification for the invasion. Similarly, during its 2003 invasion of Iraq, the US propagated the lie that “Saddam Hussein possesses chemical weapons and weapons of mass destruction.” When the German dictator Adolf Hitler invaded Poland in 1939, and the Italian dictator Mussolini invaded Abyssinia (Ethiopia) in 1935, they too presented historical, political, and geopolitical pretexts, however fabricated, to justify their actions.

Today, US imperialism does not even feel the need to construct such lies or manufacture pretexts. US President Trump openly talks of withdrawing from NATO, while scolding member states and insulting European leaders with arrogant remarks.

For this reason, NATO must be analyzed not by reading the words written in its founding treaty, but by grasping the shifting needs of US imperialism.

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Chinese diplomacy ascendant under Xi: All roads lead to Beijing

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Beginning in late 2025 and extending throughout 2026, one of the most striking developments in world politics has been the successive convergence of major powers upon Beijing. Direct, high-level engagement with China by actors at the very core of the global system—such as the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, and Germany—is widely interpreted as a potent signal of a shifting international order. These visits are indubitably far from routine diplomatic encounters. Rather, they represent symbolic and strategic maneuvers indicative of a fundamental realignment of the world’s power centers. In particular, the intensive engagement with China by four of the permanent members of the United Nations Security Council within a brief window demonstrates that Beijing has evolved far beyond a mere economic powerhouse, establishing itself as a principal locus of global diplomacy.

For decades, the global order was predominantly US-centric. Following the end of the Cold War, the United States attained an unrivaled position militarily, economically, and diplomatically. China, conversely, was viewed as a rapidly growing economy defined primarily by its manufacturing capacity and cheap labor force. While Beijing possessed influence within the global system, the primary decision-making mechanisms of world politics remained firmly anchored in Washington. However, the transformation of the past two decades has elevated China from a mere economic giant to the epicenter of global strategic competition.

Today, China stands as one of the most pivotal actors in world trade. The vast majority of global supply chains are intricately linked to Chinese networks. Across a multitude of critical sectors—ranging from electric vehicles and battery technologies to artificial intelligence and solar energy—China has established itself as both a dominant producer and a global standard-setter. This immense economic capacity has naturally engendered commensurate political and diplomatic leverage. Global leaders now recognize that international challenges cannot be effectively managed by bypassing or ignoring China.

It is precisely here that the core significance of these recent visits to China becomes apparent. Donald Trump’s journey to Beijing to meet with Xi Jinping underscored that despite the intense rivalry between Washington and Beijing, direct engagement has become an absolute necessity. Similarly, while Vladimir Putin’s strategic alignment with China has long been established, Moscow’s deepened cooperation with Beijing in the wake of its profound crisis with the West has significantly bolstered China’s geopolitical weight across Eurasia. Meanwhile, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s visit was interpreted as a sign of Europe pivoting toward a more pragmatic trajectory in its policy toward China. The prior engagements of French President Emmanuel Macron had already demonstrated that Europe has no desire for a complete decoupling from China. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s discussions in Beijing were particularly noteworthy from an economic standpoint, as the Chinese market remains indispensable to German industry. Furthermore, the intensive diplomatic relations maintained by Serbian President Alexander Vučić with China demonstrate that Beijing’s influence on the European continent is by no means confined to major Western European states. Through infrastructure investments, transport projects, technology transfers, and defense cooperation in recent years, Serbia has emerged as one of China’s closest partners in Europe.

The common denominator among these visits was the pursuit of direct engagement with Xi Jinping. Xi is no longer viewed merely as the leader of China; for many nations, he has become a preeminent figure shaping the future of the global system. The transformation of China under Xi into a more centralized, visionary state structured around long-term strategic planning has magnified the personal significance of his leadership. Today, the international community is intensely focused on Xi Jinping’s decision-making. Consequently, pilgrimages to Beijing represent an effort to establish a direct, unmediated channel to Xi himself.

Symbolism is of paramount importance here; in international politics, the optics of “who travels to meet whom” are central to the perception of power. If global leaders continuously travel to Beijing while Xi travels sparingly—yet remains the figure everyone seeks to audience with—it naturally reinforces the message: Xi Jinping is no longer just the leader of China, but a chief architect of the global system. Remarkably, Xi’s reduced international travel has not diluted China’s influence. On the contrary, Beijing’s emergence as the primary destination of diplomatic pilgrimage projects an image of profound self-assurance. To many observers, this stands as one of the most visible symbols of a shifting world order. By rendering their respects in Beijing as much as in Washington, global leaders signal that the global equation is now being formulated here.

This shift is driven by tangible geopolitical realities. The contemporary world operates within a highly interdependent framework. While intense competition defines US-China relations, their economies remain deeply intertwined, rendering total decoupling virtually impossible. Across a vast spectrum of critical arenas—including trade, semiconductor technology, artificial intelligence, energy security, the Taiwan question, the Russia-Ukraine war, the Iranian crisis, and global supply chains—China has emerged as a decisive actor. Consequently, no major power, including Washington, can formulate a viable global strategy by sidelining China.

For Europe in particular, the China question has grown increasingly complex. The period between 2022 and 2024 saw Europe adopt a more hawkish and distant posture toward Beijing. However, slowing economic growth, energy crises, and trade frictions with the United States have compelled Europe to seek a more balanced approach. The pivot of European leaders toward Beijing reveals that complete economic decoupling from China would carry prohibitive costs for Europe. This dynamic also underscores the divergent internal priorities within the US-led Western bloc.

China’s rise should not be viewed solely through the prism of its relations with the West; the sphere of influence Beijing has cultivated across the Global South is of equal significance. In recent years, Chinese influence has expanded dramatically across Africa, Latin America, Central Asia, the Gulf States, and South Asia. Within this context, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s visit to China carries profound weight. The China-Pakistan relationship has long been characterized as an “ironclad friendship.” Through the Belt and Road Initiative, China has constructed ports, railways, energy facilities, and critical infrastructure in numerous countries, most notably Pakistan. Furthermore, unlike Western financial institutions, Beijing extends credit and investment with fewer political conditionalities. Consequently, many developing nations view China not only as a vital economic partner but also as a geopolitical counterweight to the West.

All of this inevitably raises the question: “Is China ascendant?” Based on the current landscape, the answer must be in the affirmative. For global leaders, Beijing has now emerged as a diplomatic hub as critical as Washington. Moreover, beyond its sheer economic scale, China is increasingly distinguished by its capacity for conflict resolution. Its pivotal role in facilitating the Iran-Saudi Arabia normalization, coupled with its close ties to Russia and its sweeping influence over the Global South, has significantly amplified Beijing’s diplomatic gravity.

The diplomatic traffic observed throughout 2026 highlights a fundamental truth: the world is no longer unipolar or monocivilizational. Opposite the United States stands a China capable of challenging it economically, technologically, culturally, and diplomatically. Consequently, this new era diverges sharply from the unipolar structure of the “American Century,” resembling instead a multipolar, multi-civilizational order where all actors cooperate and compete with one another simultaneously.

Xi Jinping’s position is central to this paradigm shift. For many leaders today, meeting with Xi in Beijing is not merely a matter of bilateral diplomacy, but a strategic imperative for positioning oneself within the global balance of power. This has immensely enhanced Xi’s personal prestige. Within the international system, there is a growing consensus that on most critical issues, “if Beijing is not at the table, no resolution can be complete.” The acceleration of visits to China since late 2025 is not merely a reflection of a crowded diplomatic calendar; it must be understood as a tangible indicator of a shifting world order. Beijing has transcended its status as an economic core to become one of the primary power centers of global politics. Consequently, Chinese President Xi Jinping is emerging as one of the most influential figures of this new, multipolar, and multi-civilizational world order.

Today, the diplomatic traffic directed toward Beijing is by no means limited to the United States, Russia, or the major European powers. The efforts of leaders from a vast geographical span—from Serbia and Pakistan to the Gulf States and African nations—to establish direct contact with China render Beijing’s central position in the global system increasingly conspicuous. Consequently, these recent visits are interpreted as signs that the power map of the new international order is being redrawn. For many capitals, the path to understanding global developments and formulating future strategies now runs through Beijing as much as it does through Washington. Thus, the adage “All roads lead to Beijing” is rapidly transforming from a rhetorical trope into a defining reality of contemporary international politics.

Umur Tugay Yücel – Political Scientist & Author of the book “The Decline of American Power and the Rising Powers” (China-Russia-India-Brazil).

X: @umur_tugay

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