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Trump administration weighs Cuba threat amid claims of Russian and Iranian drone support

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The US administration has begun efforts to build a public case and justification for a possible military strike against Cuba.

According to what Axios described as “classified intelligence” shared with the outlet, Cuba has acquired more than 300 military drones and has recently discussed plans to use them against the US naval base at Guantanamo Bay, US military vessels, and potentially Key West, Florida, located 90 miles (144.8 km) north of Havana.

A senior US official said the intelligence, which could serve as a pretext for military action, reflected the extent to which the Trump administration views Cuba as a growing threat because of advances in drone warfare and the presence of Iranian military advisers in Havana.

“When you think about these technologies being this close and the array of bad actors — from terrorist groups to drug cartels, from Iranians to Russians — it’s concerning. This is an expanding threat,” the official said.

US officials allege that Cuba has been purchasing attack drones with “various capabilities” from Russia and Iran since 2023 and has deployed them at strategic sites across the island.

A senior US official said Cuban authorities had requested additional drones and military equipment from Russia within the past month.

The official also cited intelligence that purportedly showed Cuban intelligence officials attempting to “learn how Iran has resisted the US.”

According to the US, both Russia and China operate high-tech espionage facilities in Cuba for collecting signals intelligence, or SIGINT.

US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told a congressional hearing on Tuesday that Washington had long been concerned by “the existence of a foreign adversary operating such facilities so close to our shores.”

Responding to Miami Republican Congressman Mario Diaz-Balart, Hegseth also said Fidel Castro had been complicit in the order to shoot down aircraft belonging to the Brothers to the Rescue organization.

The Cuban Embassy initially did not respond to Axios’ request for comment, but later issued a written statement on X that did not deny possessing attack drones.

“Like every country, Cuba has the right to defend itself against foreign aggression. That is called legitimate self-defense, and this right is protected by international law and the UN Charter,” the statement said.

“Those in the US who seek the submission or even destruction of the Cuban nation through military aggression and war waste no time fabricating pretexts, producing and spreading lies, and portraying the sensible preparations required against a possible attack as though they were extraordinary developments.”

According to the report, CIA Director John Ratcliffe traveled to Cuba on Thursday and explicitly warned officials there against engaging in “hostile actions.”

A CIA official told Axios that Ratcliffe also urged Cuban authorities to “eliminate their totalitarian regime” in order to end heavy US sanctions.

“Director Ratcliffe made clear that Cuba can no longer be used as a platform for our adversaries to advance hostile agendas in our hemisphere,” the official said.

“The Western Hemisphere cannot be a playground for our enemies.”

On Wednesday, the US Department of Justice is expected to revive an indictment against Raul Castro over allegations that he ordered the 1996 downing of two aircraft belonging to the Miami-based humanitarian group Brothers to the Rescue. New sanctions targeting the island could also be announced this week.

US officials further allege that nearly 5,000 Cuban soldiers have fought for Russia in the Ukraine war and that some of them have relayed information on the effectiveness of drone warfare to military leaders on the island.

According to US officials’ estimates, Russia paid the Cuban government approximately $25,000 for every soldier sent to Ukraine.

“They are part of Putin’s meat grinder. They are learning Iran’s tactics. This is something we have to plan for,” the senior official said.

At the same time, according to the report, US officials do not believe Cuba poses an imminent threat or is actively planning attacks against US interests.

However, US intelligence assessments suggest Cuban military officials are discussing drone warfare plans in preparation for possible conflict should relations with Washington continue to deteriorate.

Unlike Iran’s ability to disrupt maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, Cuba does not possess the capability to shut down the Florida Straits.

US officials also do not believe Cuba represents a military threat on the scale of the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis.

“Nobody is worried about Cuban fighter jets. It’s not even clear whether they have a plane that can fly,” the official said.

“But it’s worth noting how close they are — 90 miles. That’s not something we’re comfortable with.”

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US wealthy demolish multimillion-dollar mansions for land

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Wealthy buyers in the US are tearing down multimillion-dollar homes shortly after purchasing them for hundreds of millions of dollars.

According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, the trend is driven by a shortage of land in prestigious locations, particularly along coastlines.

For ultra-wealthy buyers, the prime factor has become the land’s location rather than the structure standing on it. After the acquired properties are flattened, newer, more modern homes are built on the cleared lots.

Drawing attention to the shift in the luxury real estate market, the report noted:

“The home itself, formerly the primary driver of an expensive real estate purchase, is now almost beside the point. Buyers are competing first and foremost for well-located land, situated on the ocean or a mountaintop.”

The newspaper cited moves by US billionaire William Lauder as an example. Lauder purchased the oceanfront estate of radio host Rush Limbaugh, who died in March 2023, for $155 million and had it completely demolished in July.

Lauder had previously torn down two homes situated on roughly 1.2 hectares of land along the Palm Beach coast. Having initially planned to construct his own residence on the parcel, Lauder subsequently sold the cleared plot for approximately $200 million.

Jonathan Miller, a real estate appraiser, stated that such transactions are becoming increasingly common as land prices rise.

Amid this momentum, estate agents have also begun marketing luxury homes directly as teardown lots.

Listings use artificial intelligence-generated imagery to showcase how the land would look without the structures on it.

Marketers avoid using the word “demolition” directly, resorting instead to terms such as “adaptive reuse”.

Teardown listings rise across luxury housing market

The trend is not confined to the coast and is spreading to other regions across the US.

Data from property brokerage Redfin reveals that references to demolishing buildings are becoming more frequent in sales listings.

The share of such listings exceeds 15% in the Bunker Hill Village area of Houston, while standing at 6.67% in Pimmit Hills, Virginia.

Dina Goldenteyer, a real estate agent working in Miami, remarked that serial demolitions have become more frequent because buyers no longer appreciate homes older than a decade.

Former retail executives Jamie Dooley and Christine Scott spent $3.7 million in 2020 to demolish a seaside home near Destin, Florida.

Although the couple spent five years building a modern home on the cleared site, they listed the resulting new structure with a demolition condition, citing the fact that no one wanted to buy the property as it stood.

William Paddock, an employee at the environmental consultancy WAP Sustainability, pointed to the environmental damage caused by this construction cycle.

Paddock emphasized that tearing down a home of roughly 1,000 square metres and replacing it with a new building of approximately 2,700 square metres generates a carbon footprint equivalent to the annual emissions of an average 250 American households.

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US inflation reaches 3.7% as midterm election campaign intensifies

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An uptick in September inflation as the US midterm elections approach has pushed the cost-of-living debate back to the centre of the agenda for Democrats seeking to regain control of Congress from Republicans.

Annual inflation stood at 3.7% in September, according to the Consumer Price Index published by the Bureau of Labour Statistics, with energy, petrol, and electricity costs rising on a monthly basis.

Food prices remained flat from August to September, recording a 2.5% increase compared with the same period last year.

Democrats are anchoring their election campaigns to pledges of easing the cost of living, blaming the price increases on President Donald Trump’s tariffs and the war with Iran.

Trump and Republicans, pointing to the numerous left-wing candidates who won primary elections this year, contend that the opposition has become captive to “communists” within the party.

When annual inflation stood at 2.4% in February, the US and Israel launched the Iran war on the final day of that month, and prices continued to climb throughout the conflict.

The recent acceleration has not entirely reversed the retreat from the 40-year peak of 9.1% recorded in June 2022; however, the rate has remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target for over five years.

Fed policymakers raised the benchmark interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point last month, citing the battle against stubborn inflation. Officials will convene again next week to consider whether to raise rates or hold them within the 3.75% to 4% target range.

Energy and fuel record sharpest increase since first month of war

In September, energy prices posted their largest monthly jump since March, the first full month of the war with Iran, climbing 20.4% year-on-year. Energy costs had risen 2.1% from July to August, after falling 1.5% from June to July and 5.7% from May to June.

Recent escalations in Iranian attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, alongside more frequent strikes by Ukrainian forces against Russian refineries, have strained global crude oil and refined product markets, driving up US petrol and diesel prices.

Petrol prices also recorded their sharpest monthly increase since the first month of the war, climbing 9.1% from August to September, bringing the annual increase to 35.3%.

American Automobile Association (AAA) data shows the average price of regular petrol across the US stands at $4.26 per gallon; while below the level of roughly $4.48 recorded a month ago, it remains more than $1.20 higher than a year earlier. Average gallon prices exceed $6 in California and $5 in both Washington state and Nevada.

Electricity prices rose 0.2% from August to September, offsetting the 0.2% decline between July and August, and were up 4.4% year-on-year.

Heavy power demand from new data centres is feeding through into local household electricity bills. Trump argued that companies must cover the cost of the electricity required by their data centres themselves.

In a post on Truth Social, Trump claimed that he was requiring large data centres to generate their own power and feed the surplus back into the local grid, suggesting this could bring about “a major drop” in electricity prices.

Used vehicle market posts monthly rise as food costs stabilise

The cost of food at home fell 0.1% month-on-month in September, while dining out increased 0.2%.

Egg prices dropped to $2.27 a dozen, falling roughly 35% compared with September 2025 and remaining well below the 20-year peak of $6.23 recorded in March 2025.

Ground beef prices rose roughly 2.4% compared with September 2025, but at $6.48 a pound, they remained below the 20-year high of $6.98 reached in June.

Chicken held steady at its year-earlier level of $2.06 per pound last month, having fluctuated between $2.01 and $2.09 since November 2024.

Used car and truck prices fell 1.5% compared with September 2025, but rose 0.7% month-on-month in September following 0.4% increases in both July and August.

Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, noted that the sector faces severe pressure stemming from a combination of expensive replacement parts and a shortage of skilled labour.

Speaking to The Hill, Long emphasised that every cost pressure across the market is being felt directly at local auto repair shops.

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Anthropic posts $80.7bn loss ahead of IPO as computing costs soar

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Anthropic, developer of the artificial intelligence model Claude, reported a net loss of $80.7 billion for the first six months of 2026 ending 30 June.

According to a report by The Wall Street Journal citing the company’s draft initial public offering prospectus, this recorded loss nearly doubled the $42 billion loss incurred across the entirety of 2025.

The vast majority of that enormous figure, accounting for $72 billion, stemmed from accounting-driven book-value write-downs.

In contrast, the company saw a sharp surge in revenue, with turnover in the first half of the year climbing to $16.3 billion from $1.1 billion in the same period of the prior year.

During this period, Anthropic spent approximately $9 billion on computing power and infrastructure needs, surpassing in just six months the $7.3 billion spent across the whole of 2025.

The company has commitments to pay roughly $450 billion over the next seven to 10 years under cloud service contracts.

Under these obligations, contracts are planned for $111 billion with Google Cloud, $110 billion with Amazon Web Services, and $31 billion with Microsoft.

Anthropic will also spend up to $86 billion by 2033 and 2034, respectively, to lease Nvidia chips through smaller AI-focused cloud providers Nscale and Lambda.

The company could spend an additional $750 billion in the coming years to expand its computing capacity.

Roughly a third of the draft IPO prospectus was dedicated directly to risk factors.

The document highlighted the possibility that models could cause tangible real-world harm, noting that artificial intelligence could exhibit a “self-preservation” tendency and produce responses resembling “blackmail”.

Anthropic warned that the scale of damage caused by an AI-driven “catastrophic event” could render insuring against such risks impossible.

According to market expectations, Anthropic’s IPO could rank among the largest transactions in history, potentially surpassing SpaceX’s record.

Following the market debut, the company’s market valuation is projected to reach up to $2 trillion.

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