Diplomacy
Trump and Japan discuss tariffs and military support costs
US President Donald Trump expressed his satisfaction following a meeting with Japan’s trade envoy at the White House on Wednesday, noting progress in the discussions. However, the Japanese side requested that the President reconsider tariffs, stating that they would negatively impact Japanese companies’ efforts to invest in the US.
Trump posted on the Truth Social platform after trade talks with Minister of State for Economic and Fiscal Policy, Ryosei Akazawa: “Just met with the Japanese Delegation on Trade. Great Progress!”
Akazawa later told reporters that after a 50-minute meeting with Trump in the Oval Office, he attended a 75-minute meeting at the White House with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer.
Akazawa said that Trump made it clear that discussions with Japan were a high priority for America and that he hoped the talks would progress well at the ministerial level.
Akazawa noted that during the cabinet-level discussions, he conveyed his regret regarding all newly implemented tariffs, including “reciprocal” tariffs, sector-specific tariffs on automobiles, steel, and aluminum, as well as across-the-board 10% tariffs. He added that he strongly urged the US to reconsider the measures.
The two sides agreed to hold another round of talks this month, aiming to reach an agreement that could be signed by Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba as soon as possible.
Akazawa declined to provide details about Wednesday’s discussions but clarified that currencies were not discussed.
A Japanese Foreign Ministry official told reporters that the parties would take away what they learned, analyze each other’s positions, and meet again within the month. It has not yet been decided whether the second meeting will be in person or virtual.
Earlier in the day, Trump signaled that discussions on lowering reciprocal tariffs imposed on Japan, currently set at 24%, would depend on Tokyo’s willingness to further share the burden of maintaining US military bases in the country.
“Japan is coming in today to talk Tariffs, the Cost of Military Support, & ‘TRADE JUSTICE.’ I will be meeting, along with the Secretary of the Treasury & Commerce. Hopefully, something that will be good (GREAT!) for both Japan and the US can be worked out!” he wrote on Truth Social.
In the trade negotiations, Japan was represented by Akazawa, a close ally of Ishiba. He was accompanied by senior officials from the finance, economy, trade and industry, and foreign affairs ministries.
Trump’s press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, told reporters on Friday that Trump had made it clear he would be “deeply involved” in the discussions with his trade team.
“He wants to sign all of these deals himself,” Leavitt said.
Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, who told reporters in Tokyo that there was still a “gulf” between Japan and the US, said Akazawa’s meeting was constructive. “The negotiations will not be easy,” the Prime Minister said, adding, “but President Trump said he would give priority to Japan. I think it was a meeting that will lead to the next steps.”
Akazawa, a former transportation bureaucrat, faces a long task. Japan wants the 24% “reciprocal” tariff to be lowered and to be exempted from the 25% tariff imposed on foreign automobiles. However, the Trump administration has signaled that the automobile tariffs are “Section 232” tariffs based on national security concerns and are not negotiable.
Possible concessions from the Japanese side include a guarantee to purchase liquefied natural gas from Alaska on a long-term basis, more rice imports, and a commitment to buy more American cars.
One of the most contentious issues would be a demand from the US side for action on the currency front—for example, measures that would lead to a higher yen and a lower dollar.
Concessions on agriculture would be a sensitive issue ahead of upper house elections in Japan this summer, where the ruling Liberal Democratic Party cannot afford to lose agricultural votes.
Last week, Trump said at a cabinet meeting that he did not believe the security alliance with Japan was fair.
“We defend them, but they don’t have to defend us. That doesn’t sound too good,” Trump told reporters.
He expressed frustration that Japan does not pay for the protection it receives: “We spend hundreds of billions of dollars defending them… We pay for the whole thing, and they don’t pay anything. But if we are attacked, they don’t have to do anything to help us.”
According to the Congressional Research Service, Japan pays about $2 billion per year to offset the cost of stationing US military personnel in Japan. In addition, Japan pays compensation to local governments that host US troops, rent for bases, and costs for new facilities.
It is unclear what role China will play in the discussions.
According to Tuesday’s Wall Street Journal, Bessent is asking trade partners to limit China’s interference in their economies in exchange for concessions on reciprocal tariffs. The plan, according to the newspaper, is to isolate China.
According to the newspaper, these measures include not allowing China to ship goods through their countries, preventing Chinese companies from locating in their territories to avoid US tariffs, and not incorporating cheap Chinese manufactured goods into their economies.
Cutting China off from the US economy with tariffs, and even potentially delisting Chinese stocks from US exchanges, are also being considered, according to the report.
Meanwhile, Ishiba has implied that he wants to work with other countries to deal with Trump’s tariffs, rather than just making an arrangement for Japan alone.
Ishiba told a parliamentary committee on Monday that he wanted to work with US allies such as Southeast Asian countries and Britain, which are currently facing tariff threats.
As of now, Trump’s reciprocal tariffs are under a 90-day pause to allow room for trade negotiations. A 10% across-the-board tariff and a 25% tariff on exports to the US of automobiles, auto parts, steel, and aluminum remain in effect.
Diplomacy
Vance leads indirect push for US-Iran ceasefire and nuclear talks
US Vice-President JD Vance has been personally involved over the past two weeks in indirect talks with Iran aimed at securing a fresh ceasefire and restarting nuclear negotiations.
According to Axios, Vance’s intense engagement indicates that he has taken it upon himself to extract the US from the conflict, which he views as responsible for the Republican Party’s shocking losses in this week’s elections.
This elevates the latest round of indirect talks to the highest echelons of the administration.
US officials and regional sources state that Trump is currently willing to let diplomatic efforts run their course to see whether any agreement is achievable.
Asked by reporters on Friday what his message was to Iran, Trump said, “We are talking to them.”
According to sources with direct knowledge of the matter, Vance speaks almost daily with Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, Pakistan’s Chief of Army Staff Field Marshal Asim Munir, and other mediators regarding the negotiations with Iran.
White House envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, President Trump’s adviser and son-in-law, are also involved in the process.
Sources say Vance and the Qatari and Pakistani mediators have been discussing the possibility of holding a working-level technical meeting between the US and Iran in the coming days, though this has not yet materialized.
Before the war began in late February, Vance was among the most sceptical voices in Trump’s inner circle on the issue, advocating instead for a diplomatic solution.
In April, he led the US negotiating delegation at the Iran summit held in Islamabad and was personally involved in the talks that yielded a memorandum of understanding (MOU) signed between the US and Iran in June.
Vance subsequently headed the US delegation during a series of direct talks with Iran in Switzerland.
Two weeks ago, Vance sent a letter to Mohsen Rezaei, Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, proposing that direct negotiations resume.
Rezaei is one of the closest advisers to Iran’s Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei.
Iranian officials noted that Vance’s letter generated positive momentum toward restarting talks.
On Wednesday, Vance said the war was the primary reason for the Republicans’ repudiation at the polls.
Sources involved in mediation efforts report that while progress is being made, the process is moving very slowly.
On Friday evening, the prime minister of Qatar said, “Over the past few weeks, we worked with our colleagues in the US administration who have a sincere intention to contain the situation and de-escalate. Thanks to them and the voices of reason in Tehran, we prevented the situation from spinning out of control.”
The prime minister added that discussions with the Trump administration continued following the midterm elections, though they were not as active as in previous days “because there are other matters.”
Nevertheless, he noted that the US intention to find a diplomatic resolution “remains ongoing” and emphasized that an agreement is possible.
On Friday morning, Trump and the Emir of Qatar discussed Qatari efforts to bridge differences between the US and Iran as part of an accord.
According to a statement from his office, Sheikh Tamim emphasized the necessity of “pursuing dialogue and diplomatic channels to resolve differences, prevent the region from facing further escalation, and ensure freedom of maritime navigation as well as the security of energy supplies.”
Separately, Trump confirmed on Friday that the US military conducted a strike on an anti-aircraft missile launcher on Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz after it fired a missile at a US fighter jet.
Diplomacy
Ukraine faces demographic collapse as fertility rates slide
British magazine The Economist reported that mobilization, conflict casualties, and pervasive uncertainty have left Ukraine confronting the threat of demographic collapse.
According to data cited by the magazine, Ukraine’s fertility rate has declined from 1.2 children per woman in 2020 to between 0.8 and 0.9.
This rate marks a lower level than that of any major nation except South Korea.
In the first half of 2026, the number of deaths in Ukraine surpassed the number of newborn babies threefold.
The report noted that ever since independence was gained in 1991, the number of births in the country has lagged behind the number of deaths every year.
The Economist emphasized that the demographic collapse driven by the ongoing fighting constitutes an “existential threat.”
The magazine identified mass refugee migration as the principal driver of the population loss.
More than 5 million Ukrainians reside abroad, predominantly in Europe.
The proportion of those wishing to return among those who left the country is also steadily shrinking.
According to data from the Centre for Economic Strategy (CES), the share of those seeking to return dropped from 74% in 2022 to 43%.
The fact that the majority of refugees consist of Ukrainian children and women under the age of 44 further aggravates the demographic picture.
The Kyiv government decided to exempt men under the age of 25 from mobilization to alleviate the demographic decline.
The magazine reported, however, that many young people have fled the country, while those who remain do not plan to start families.
Projections cited in the report indicate that even if hostilities cease in the coming years, Ukraine can, at best, expect merely a deceleration of depopulation.
Olga Duhnich, an expert at the Ukraine-based think tank Frontier Institute, stated that the generation born in the 1990s and 2000s is the least populous in Ukraine’s modern history, meaning the country cannot expect a post-conflict baby boom.
The United Nations (UN) projects that Ukraine’s population will decline by 0.7% to 0.9% each year over the next two decades.
Under this projection, Ukraine’s population will fall to approximately 25 million by 2040.
If hostilities drag on, people are expected to abandon plans to have children, deepening the crisis even further.
Beyond exempting men under 25 from mobilization, the Kyiv government is rolling out various support packages to boost birth rates.
Under legislation enacted in the country, parents who have children receive a direct payment of 50,000 hryvnias (around $1,100).
Parents are also paid 7,000 hryvnias each month during the first year.
Other state programmes subsidize childcare costs, while Ukrainian soldiers are granted free freezing of egg and sperm cells.
Ukrainian Minister of Social Policy Denis Ulyutin said in May to the Livyi Bereh media outlet that roughly 22 to 25 million people lived in government-controlled territories.
Ulyutin characterized the prevailing picture by saying: “This is a catastrophe.”
Ella Libanova, Director of the Institute for Demography and Quality of Life Research, estimated the population at 29 million during the same period.
Libanova attributed the steep fall from a population of 30 million in 2025 to high death rates and the demographic crisis.
In a statement in October, Libanova announced that Ukraine’s population had slipped to 28.5 million.
Institute Director Libanova said: “The population is already at 28.5 million; we lost half a million people. We lost them, but thankfully this was still caused by migration rather than casualties.”
Diplomacy
Armenian opposition urged to form joint front against constitution
Narek Karapetyan, a lawmaker and head of the Strong Armenia faction in the Armenian parliament, has urged opposition parties to unite around four core principles set out in a joint declaration.
The key points of the declaration include resisting territorial concessions and blocking the adoption of a new constitution, which the opposition has termed the “Aliyev constitution”.
According to a report by Aysor.am, Narek Karapetyan stated that the opposition meeting was originally planned to be led by his uncle, businessman and Strong Armenia movement leader Samvel Karapetyan.
“We initiated the meeting, but the authorities took preemptive steps to prevent Samvel Karapetyan from launching the national unification process,” Narek Karapetyan said.
Noting that, despite these events, opposition representatives convened and signed a joint declaration based on four agreed articles, Narek Karapetyan invited other opposition forces and members of the public to join the alliance.
“We will not allow them to implement the Aliyev constitution in Armenia. We must unite,” Karapetyan said.
Ahead of these developments, Armenian National Security Service personnel detained Strong Armenia Party leader Samvel Karapetyan following a search of his home.
The party’s press secretary, Agavni Sukiasyan, announced that on the morning of the same day, the Investigative Committee of Armenia searched the homes of both Samvel Karapetyan and Narek Karapetyan.
In a report citing the Investigative Committee, Armenpress stated that Samvel Karapetyan was detained as part of a case involving allegations of causing large-scale financial damage to the Electric Networks of Armenia (ENA) company, embezzling entrusted property, and money laundering.
According to committee figures, the total damage inflicted on the company exceeds $179 million.
Narek Karapetyan’s home was also searched at the end of July as part of a criminal case.
On 22 July, Armenia’s Central Electoral Commission approved the Prosecutor General’s request to strip Narek Karapetyan of his parliamentary immunity, and Karapetyan was charged with large-scale money laundering.
According to information reported by Sputnik Armenia, the investigation is linked to charges brought against Strong Armenia supporter Aleksan Aleksanyan.
Investigative authorities allege that Aleksanyan received approximately $4.4 million and €230,000 from the Karapetyan-owned Tashir Foundation under the guise of gifts and loans.
Several criminal cases had previously been opened against Samvel Karapetyan.
In 2025, Karapetyan was charged with publicly calling for the violent seizure of power after backing the Armenian Apostolic Church, which had been criticized by Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan.
In January, legal proceedings were also launched against Karapetyan on charges of large-scale tax evasion and money laundering.
Separately, in early July 2025, the Armenian parliament approved a bill enabling the nationalization of the Electric Networks of Armenia company.
In March, Armenia’s Constitutional Court ruled that the nationalization process in question complied with the law.
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