Diplomacy
US benefits from Ukraine conflict triggering world food crisis
In 2022, the world food crisis has emerged and the world is in a weird contrast. While the latest global food crisis has thrust 345 million people into food insecurity, the US food giants are dominating global transitions. The US showed less interest to deal with the food crisis ignited from conflict in Ukraine while the US is framing itself as a guardian of global food security.
Indeed the war in Ukraine has created lots of problems especially for the underdeveloped nations in the region and Africa. The problem has hit the so-called developing nations hard. It is also topical for Afghanistan.
World food crisis brewed long before Ukraine war
The world food crisis has been brewing for a long time, while the Ukrainian conflict, which the Russian see as unleashed by the West, has allowed the US and its allies to take almost all the grain produced by Ukraine, which is a major food manufacturer.
Many argue that today’s situation at the food market is not the result of this year’s events, but at least a two-year trend. According to stock market data, in 2021 wheat prices soared by 25% (the West plays with the thesis of a 70% increase, but this is false). Biannual corn price rise has been 162%, rapeseed – 175%. In February-March 2022, quotations of the key agricultural goods were subject to severe volatility against the background of fear of curtailed deliveries. Last years’ crises at the agricultural market first and foremost are linked to the failures and accumulated systemic mistakes in macroeconomics, including finance and trade, energy, including climate, and food policies by the West.
Russia eyed safe trade corridors with Ukraine
Back in March 2022, Russia proposed to establish safe trade corridors from Ukraine for food export to the countries in need. Ukraine mined its seaports as per West’s order, and thus blocked ways out of its territorial waters to dozens of vessels stuck in its ports. Kiev refused to conduct demining. Despite Russia’s and Turkey’s efforts, an agreement on the export of grain was reached only by the end of July 2022. The sides agreed that Russian and Ukrainian grain, as well as Russian-produced fertilizers would be exported, first and foremost to those countries that need them most.
Needy countries did not benefit from grain shipment
It turned out however that the food did not in the least go to those countries that were experiencing the food crisis mentioned by the initiators of the agreement. Only 3% of exported grain left for the needy countries, while well-off Europe received 30%. In the course of the talk with UN Secretary General Antonio Gutierrez Russian President Vladimir Putin called upon to pay attention to the geography of deliveries in order to enhance the share of the most needed countries, first and foremost African ones.
Russia vessels barred from entering Mediterranean
The Russia-UN agreement lifted the barriers to Moscow’s grain and fertilizer export, which could alleviate world food conditions. However, this part of the agreement has never been fulfilled. Russian vessels are still barred from entering Mediterranean and other EU ports, while foreign vessels cannot take these goods in Russian ports. Nearly 300 thousand tonnes of the needy and efficient Russian-made potash fertilizers are arrested in the EU ports. Russia has suggested that Western countries should transfer these Russian fertilizers to the developing nations. However the West has refused to do so.
Instead of feeding the needy the food goes to West
At the end, we see the result, i.e. the West profiting from the Ukraine conflict as much as possible. Instead of feeding the needy the food goes to the US and its allies. At the same time the West is constantly blaming Russia as allegedly the only reason for the upcoming food crisis, which is refuted by the above-mentioned facts. In reality we see yet another outrageous cynical policy by the West which aims to fix its problems in the economy at the expense of others. In that context the fraud within the grain deal matches the freeze, or rather the theft, by the US of Afghan monetary reserves.
Countries warned to buy grain from Russia
On July 28, when the US commented on the grain deal signed by Ukraine, Russia, Turkey and the UN personnel, US State Department Spokesperson Ned Price urged Russia to implement the deal and lift the blockade against Ukraine quickly. But he did not mention about the US-led sanction on Russian exports which indeed affected many consumer countries. Furthermore, in mid-May, the US warned 14 countries, mostly in drought-stricken Africa not to buy wheat from Russia, while most of the Ukraine grain shipments were transferred to the West, ignoring these countries’ plight. But, India, close allies to the US, has shown readiness to resuming purchases of Russian wheat with the aim of processing and re-exporting it. India was purchasing wheat from Ukraine, Russia and Australia but suddenly stopped importing grain. India said the decision to halt the purchases of Russia’s grain has nothing to do with the conflict in Ukraine.
One thing is very clear that no matter how the situation in Ukraine may evolve, a fundamental reform is needed in the food industry and how it should be produced and prices must be set. The world is experiencing an unjust food crisis due to multiple reasons and this has to be changed in nutshell.
Diplomacy
Greece’s Marinakis says paying Hormuz transit fees beats enduring Red Sea shipping crisis detour
Evangelos Marinakis, one of Greece’s leading shipowners, has announced that he is prepared to pay up to $200,000 per transit to keep the Strait of Hormuz open to civilian maritime traffic.
Speaking to the Financial Times, Marinakis stated that paying a transit fee would be a far better option for him than having the strait closed to navigation.
As the chairman of Capital Maritime Group, which controls a fleet of 185 vessels including approximately 35 tankers, Marinakis emphasized that shipowners have been forced to use alternative routes around the Cape of Good Hope for years due to attacks launched by the Houthis in the Red Sea, a detour that has generated substantial additional costs.
The Greek shipowner indicated that paying a transit fee of $100,000 or $200,000, depending on the size of the cargo or the vessel, is far more reasonable than enduring the current logistical challenges. He added that such payments could offset all the losses experienced so far.
Following US strikes on Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the Tehran administration had introduced transit fees of up to $2 million for certain vessels transiting the waterway.
In May, Iran announced the establishment of a state agency tasked with managing the Strait of Hormuz. It was stated that the institution in question would provide real-time updates regarding maritime activities in the waterway.
Ebrahim Azizi, the chairman of the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, had noted that only commercial vessels and countries cooperating with Iran would be able to benefit from the facilities provided under this “professional mechanism.”
US President Donald Trump has explicitly opposed the imposition of transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz. In a statement on the matter, Trump said, “We want the strait to be open. We do not want any transit fees to be charged. This is an international waterway.”
On the other hand, the draft text of a planned 60-day ceasefire extension agreement between the parties stipulates that the Strait of Hormuz will remain open without any transit fees being demanded.
According to the draft details reviewed by Axios, the US in return commits to lifting the blockade it has imposed on Iranian ports. The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, however, announced that the management of the Strait of Hormuz has been excluded from the scope of the agreement with the US, asserting that the issue will be addressed solely by littoral states.
Diplomacy
Pashinyan promises aid to farmers hit by Russian import restrictions
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has pledged compensation for Armenian farmers affected by restrictions on exports to Russia.
According to Sputnik Armenia, Pashinyan made the announcement during an election campaign meeting in the Gegharkunik region.
Speaking at the event, Pashinyan said the subsidies would be designed to offset losses incurred by producers.
The prime minister also acknowledged that some Armenian products had failed to meet required quality standards, adding that such companies would receive support aimed at improving product quality.
Addressing alternative markets for Armenian exports, Pashinyan said several Armenian business delegations were already engaged in negotiations abroad.
He added that Armenia had received offers for the purchase of roses as well as fresh fruits and vegetables.
Pashinyan argued that Armenia’s agricultural output was not particularly large, describing this as an advantage under current circumstances. According to the prime minister, “a respected supermarket chain in Europe” would be capable of selling the entire volume of these products on its own.
Russia’s Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance (Rosselkhoznadzor) imposed temporary restrictions on imports of stone fruits and grapes from Armenia effective July 2.
The ban covers cherries, sour cherries, apricots, plums, peaches and nectarines, among other products.
On the same day, a temporary suspension was also introduced on certification procedures for live fish shipments from Armenia. Russian authorities had previously restricted the entry of flower products originating from Armenia into the Russian market.
In addition, Russia’s Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing (Rospotrebnadzor) halted the import of all consignments of Jermuk mineral water from Armenia.
In a statement, the agency said levels of bicarbonate, chloride and sulfate ions in the mineral water exceeded established limits and could mislead consumers regarding the product’s medicinal properties.
The Russian regulator argued that the growing number of violations stemmed from the abolition of Armenia’s Agriculture Ministry and the transfer of its responsibilities to the Economy Ministry.
Rosselkhoznadzor further stated that Armenia’s Economy Ministry was experiencing structural problems and was unable to adequately perform the supervisory functions assigned to it.
Diplomacy
Zelenskyy urges US to grant Ukraine license to produce Patriot missiles
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said he has asked the United States to grant Ukraine a license to manufacture missiles for the Patriot air defence system.
In a post on social media platform X, Zelenskyy argued that current US production of missile defence interceptors is insufficient and could contribute to crises in different parts of the world.
“Producing 60-65 missiles a month is nothing compared with the challenges we face today. This is no secret, and Russia knows it as well,” Zelenskyy wrote. “We need to expand production. As I requested from the previous US administration, I am asking the current administration to grant Ukraine a license to produce Patriot missiles.”
Zelenskyy said US companies possess advanced technologies that are not available in Ukraine, while Kyiv could contribute its extensive battlefield experience in return.
He also argued that granting such a license would benefit not only Ukraine, but also the Middle East and any country Washington chooses to support.
Washington pledges to maintain defence support
Zelenskyy’s remarks came a day after US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on May 30 that Washington would continue supporting Ukraine’s defence capabilities and ensure military shipments to Kyiv continue.
“We want them to be able to defend themselves, and we will find a way to help them do that,” Hegseth said.
Several days earlier, Yuriy Ihnat, spokesperson for the Ukrainian Air Force, warned that the country’s air defence forces were experiencing a shortage of missiles.
“Due to certain supply problems, we are practically at starvation levels when it comes to missiles today,” Ihnat said.
Concerns persist over air defence missile stocks
In April, Zelenskyy warned that Ukraine’s stockpile of air defence missiles could be exhausted at any moment.
He said that under current conditions, air defence missiles were more critical for Ukraine than the air defence systems themselves.
Highlighting what he described as a critical shortage of Patriot missiles, Zelenskyy said: “We are facing a deficit now that could hardly be worse.”
Concerns that Ukraine could face a severe shortage of US-made air defence missiles had previously been reported by Reuters.
The situation was expected to worsen as the United States and its allies depleted significant portions of their arsenals during tensions with Iran, a point Zelenskyy also underscored.
In a separate statement in January, Zelenskyy said Ukraine lacked sufficient missiles for both US- and European-made air defence systems.
The Ukrainian leader said he had been forced to personally secure every package of missiles from European countries and the United States.
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