Diplomacy
US, EU reach landmark 15% tariff deal, averting trade war
The US and the EU have reached an agreement to apply a 15% tariff on most of their exports, including automobiles, for now averting a trade war that could have dealt a severe blow to the global economy.
The deal was signed less than a week before the Friday deadline set by US President Donald Trump for higher tariffs to take effect.
Several European leaders, including German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, praised the agreement, describing it as “sustainable.”
Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced the deal on Sunday at the Turnberry golf club in Scotland but did not disclose all its details or release any written documents.
According to a US official who spoke to Bloomberg, the 15% tariffs will take effect on August 1.
“This is the greatest of all deals,” Trump said, while von der Leyen added that the agreement would bring “stability” and “predictability.”
The agreement will result in the EU facing much higher tariffs than those it will apply to products imported from the US. Von der Leyen stated that the purpose of this is to balance the trade surplus with the US.
However, such concessions in the deal have angered some European industry groups. Germany’s main lobby group said it “sends a fatal signal to the closely intertwined economies on both sides of the Atlantic.”
Von der Leyen and Trump also have differing views on some key terms of the agreement they announced. The US president said the tariff level would apply to “automobiles and everything else,” but not to pharmaceuticals and metals.
The head of the EU executive body, in a later press conference, stated that the 15% rate would cover everything, would not be added on top of sector-specific tariffs, and would include pharmaceuticals, chips, and automobiles.
Von der Leyen noted that metal tariffs would be reduced and a quota system would be introduced.
“We have secured an agreement for a 15% rate on pharmaceuticals. Whatever decision the US president makes later on how to deal with pharmaceuticals in general is a separate issue,” von der Leyen said, adding that the overall rate “should not be underestimated, but it is the best we could get.”
Senior US officials later clarified that the two sides had agreed to apply a 15% tariff on the EU’s pharmaceutical exports.
The officials added that a separate Section 232 investigation concerning pharmaceuticals would proceed within the next three weeks, but the EU’s tariff rate would remain at 15%.
Trump said the EU has agreed to purchase $750 billion worth of American energy products, make an additional $600 billion in investments on top of current spending, open their markets to trade with the US at zero tariffs, and purchase a “large amount” of military equipment.
Von der Leyen added that Europe would replace Russian gas with an annual purchase of $250 billion in energy from the US for the remainder of Trump’s term.
The president also noted that a decision on European wines and spirits has not yet been made but that the issue would be resolved soon.
According to sources close to the matter, the key to applying the 15% rate to pharmaceuticals and semiconductors was the bloc’s promise to invest in the US.
Before the meeting, the EU expected the 15% tariff applied to its imports would also apply to most pharmaceuticals. These products were one of the main sticking points in the negotiations.
If an agreement had not been reached, the total average effective US tariff rate would have risen from 13.5% under current policies to 18% on August 1, according to Bloomberg estimates. With the new deal, this rate has been reduced to 16%.
The agreement does not cover the EU’s steel and aluminum exports, which will continue to be subject to a 50% tariff, according to senior US officials.
The officials added that tariffs on the aerospace sector would remain at 0% pending the outcome of the Section 232 investigation.
The officials had discussed terms for a quota system for steel and aluminum imports. Under this system, imports below a certain threshold would be subject to a lower import tax, while imports above this threshold would be subject to the normal 50% rate. The EU had also requested a cap on quotas and future sector-specific tariffs.
US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told reporters that the outcome of the investigation into the semiconductor industry, which could lead to the imposition of new sectoral tariffs, is expected to be announced in about two weeks.
The transatlantic deal removes a major risk to the markets and the global economy: a trade war involving approximately $1.7 trillion in cross-border trade. But the final agreement also means that shipments from the EU to the US will be subject to a higher tax at the border.
Trump said the goals are to increase production in the US and to secure broader access for American exporters to the European market. Von der Leyen acknowledged that part of the driving force behind the negotiations was the rebalancing of trade, but she stated that it was beneficial for both sides.
“The starting point was an imbalance. We wanted to rebalance our trade, and we wanted to do it in a way that trade between two large economies would continue, because there should be a good flow of trade between two large economies,” said von der Leyen.
If the deal had failed and Trump had carried out his threat, the EU was prepared to impose tariffs on €100 billion ($117 billion) of US exports to the EU, which constitutes about one-third of the total.
For weeks, the EU had been demanding relief from tariffs on sectors critical to the European economy, indicating it was prepared to accept an unbalanced agreement that included a reduction of about 15%. The US president had also imposed a 25% tariff on automobiles and double that on steel, aluminum, and copper.
Not all EU members were pleased with the agreement reached on Sunday. France’s Deputy Minister for European Affairs, Benjamin Haddad, described the deal as “unbalanced” on social media and said the bloc should activate enforcement measures that would allow it to retaliate against US tech companies.
Dutch Minister for Foreign Trade Hanneke Boerma called the agreement “not ideal” and urged the commission to continue negotiations with the US.
Diplomacy
Greece’s Marinakis says paying Hormuz transit fees beats enduring Red Sea shipping crisis detour
Evangelos Marinakis, one of Greece’s leading shipowners, has announced that he is prepared to pay up to $200,000 per transit to keep the Strait of Hormuz open to civilian maritime traffic.
Speaking to the Financial Times, Marinakis stated that paying a transit fee would be a far better option for him than having the strait closed to navigation.
As the chairman of Capital Maritime Group, which controls a fleet of 185 vessels including approximately 35 tankers, Marinakis emphasized that shipowners have been forced to use alternative routes around the Cape of Good Hope for years due to attacks launched by the Houthis in the Red Sea, a detour that has generated substantial additional costs.
The Greek shipowner indicated that paying a transit fee of $100,000 or $200,000, depending on the size of the cargo or the vessel, is far more reasonable than enduring the current logistical challenges. He added that such payments could offset all the losses experienced so far.
Following US strikes on Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the Tehran administration had introduced transit fees of up to $2 million for certain vessels transiting the waterway.
In May, Iran announced the establishment of a state agency tasked with managing the Strait of Hormuz. It was stated that the institution in question would provide real-time updates regarding maritime activities in the waterway.
Ebrahim Azizi, the chairman of the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, had noted that only commercial vessels and countries cooperating with Iran would be able to benefit from the facilities provided under this “professional mechanism.”
US President Donald Trump has explicitly opposed the imposition of transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz. In a statement on the matter, Trump said, “We want the strait to be open. We do not want any transit fees to be charged. This is an international waterway.”
On the other hand, the draft text of a planned 60-day ceasefire extension agreement between the parties stipulates that the Strait of Hormuz will remain open without any transit fees being demanded.
According to the draft details reviewed by Axios, the US in return commits to lifting the blockade it has imposed on Iranian ports. The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, however, announced that the management of the Strait of Hormuz has been excluded from the scope of the agreement with the US, asserting that the issue will be addressed solely by littoral states.
Diplomacy
Pashinyan promises aid to farmers hit by Russian import restrictions
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has pledged compensation for Armenian farmers affected by restrictions on exports to Russia.
According to Sputnik Armenia, Pashinyan made the announcement during an election campaign meeting in the Gegharkunik region.
Speaking at the event, Pashinyan said the subsidies would be designed to offset losses incurred by producers.
The prime minister also acknowledged that some Armenian products had failed to meet required quality standards, adding that such companies would receive support aimed at improving product quality.
Addressing alternative markets for Armenian exports, Pashinyan said several Armenian business delegations were already engaged in negotiations abroad.
He added that Armenia had received offers for the purchase of roses as well as fresh fruits and vegetables.
Pashinyan argued that Armenia’s agricultural output was not particularly large, describing this as an advantage under current circumstances. According to the prime minister, “a respected supermarket chain in Europe” would be capable of selling the entire volume of these products on its own.
Russia’s Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance (Rosselkhoznadzor) imposed temporary restrictions on imports of stone fruits and grapes from Armenia effective July 2.
The ban covers cherries, sour cherries, apricots, plums, peaches and nectarines, among other products.
On the same day, a temporary suspension was also introduced on certification procedures for live fish shipments from Armenia. Russian authorities had previously restricted the entry of flower products originating from Armenia into the Russian market.
In addition, Russia’s Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing (Rospotrebnadzor) halted the import of all consignments of Jermuk mineral water from Armenia.
In a statement, the agency said levels of bicarbonate, chloride and sulfate ions in the mineral water exceeded established limits and could mislead consumers regarding the product’s medicinal properties.
The Russian regulator argued that the growing number of violations stemmed from the abolition of Armenia’s Agriculture Ministry and the transfer of its responsibilities to the Economy Ministry.
Rosselkhoznadzor further stated that Armenia’s Economy Ministry was experiencing structural problems and was unable to adequately perform the supervisory functions assigned to it.
Diplomacy
Zelenskyy urges US to grant Ukraine license to produce Patriot missiles
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said he has asked the United States to grant Ukraine a license to manufacture missiles for the Patriot air defence system.
In a post on social media platform X, Zelenskyy argued that current US production of missile defence interceptors is insufficient and could contribute to crises in different parts of the world.
“Producing 60-65 missiles a month is nothing compared with the challenges we face today. This is no secret, and Russia knows it as well,” Zelenskyy wrote. “We need to expand production. As I requested from the previous US administration, I am asking the current administration to grant Ukraine a license to produce Patriot missiles.”
Zelenskyy said US companies possess advanced technologies that are not available in Ukraine, while Kyiv could contribute its extensive battlefield experience in return.
He also argued that granting such a license would benefit not only Ukraine, but also the Middle East and any country Washington chooses to support.
Washington pledges to maintain defence support
Zelenskyy’s remarks came a day after US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on May 30 that Washington would continue supporting Ukraine’s defence capabilities and ensure military shipments to Kyiv continue.
“We want them to be able to defend themselves, and we will find a way to help them do that,” Hegseth said.
Several days earlier, Yuriy Ihnat, spokesperson for the Ukrainian Air Force, warned that the country’s air defence forces were experiencing a shortage of missiles.
“Due to certain supply problems, we are practically at starvation levels when it comes to missiles today,” Ihnat said.
Concerns persist over air defence missile stocks
In April, Zelenskyy warned that Ukraine’s stockpile of air defence missiles could be exhausted at any moment.
He said that under current conditions, air defence missiles were more critical for Ukraine than the air defence systems themselves.
Highlighting what he described as a critical shortage of Patriot missiles, Zelenskyy said: “We are facing a deficit now that could hardly be worse.”
Concerns that Ukraine could face a severe shortage of US-made air defence missiles had previously been reported by Reuters.
The situation was expected to worsen as the United States and its allies depleted significant portions of their arsenals during tensions with Iran, a point Zelenskyy also underscored.
In a separate statement in January, Zelenskyy said Ukraine lacked sufficient missiles for both US- and European-made air defence systems.
The Ukrainian leader said he had been forced to personally secure every package of missiles from European countries and the United States.
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