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Will Biden withdraw?

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The debate that began after US President Joe Biden’s poor performance in the televised debate against Donald Trump, his rival in the November election, is growing.
Amid growing calls for him to withdraw from the race, Biden held a meeting with his campaign team, the Democratic National Committee (DNC) and Democratic governors.

According to Politico, the president, who met with the DNC and his campaign team via Zoom, said he was in the race for the long haul, despite reports that he had privately admitted to allies that his candidacy was shaky.

He also acknowledged that the days since his debate with former President Donald Trump last week had been “damaging,” according to two people present at the meeting who requested anonymity to discuss the sensitive topic.
Biden said in the Zoom interview: “Let me say this as clearly as I can, as simply as I can: I am staying. Nobody is pushing me out. I am not leaving. I am in this race to the end and we are going to win,” he said.

Vice President Kamala Harris, who has recently come to the fore as Democrats focus on her as a possible running mate, sat next to Biden on the video call.

Harris said in the meeting: “We will not back down. We will follow the path of our president. We will fight and we will win,” Harris said.

The President thanked everyone who worked on his campaign and reminded them of what was at stake. Biden said: “There is no one I would rather be with in this fight than all of you. So let’s link arms. Let’s finish this job. You, me, the vice president. Together,” he said.

Biden also called congressional Democratic leaders earlier on Wednesday and met with Democratic governors in the evening. Some of the governors travelled from across the country to attend the meeting in person, rather than virtually.

Governors endorse Biden

Democratic governors threw their support behind Joe Biden after talks at the White House, despite a series of poor polls for the president and calls from some members of Congress for him to withdraw from the US presidential race.

Biden, who met with more than 20 influential governors, tried to convince them that he was committed to his re-election campaign.

Three governors emerged from the White House insisting that they had full confidence in the president. “The governors are behind him,” said Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, adding that Biden was “fit for the job”.

“The president has continued to tell us and show us everything,” said Maryland Governor Wes Moore, while New York Governor Kathy Hochul added: “President Joe Biden is in this to win.”

Others at the meeting included Gavin Newsom of California, Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan and JB Pritzker of Illinois.

Newsom later posted on X: “I heard four words from the President tonight: he’s fully on board. And so am I. Joe Biden has our support. Now it’s his turn,” he said.
Among the leaked information is that Biden told the governors he met with that he had “had a checkup”.

Congressional Democrats’ letter of withdrawal

According to a report in the Financial Times (FT), a group of moderate Democratic House members with a focus on national security have drafted a letter calling on Biden to withdraw from the race.

Bloomberg first reported that dozens of Democratic members of Congress were privately considering signing a letter urging Biden to step aside.

At the same time, Arizona Democratic Congressman Raúl Grijalva on Wednesday became the second member of the House of Representatives to publicly call for Biden to suspend his re-election bid.

Grijalva told the New York Times, “This is an opportunity to look elsewhere. What [Biden] needs to do is take responsibility … part of that responsibility is to withdraw from the race,” Grijalva told the New York Times.

Democratic Congressman Seth Moulton of Massachusetts also issued his own statement, saying he had “serious concerns” about Biden’s ability to defeat Trump.

Some donors have also given up on Biden

As the cauldron within the Democratic Party continues to boil, some of Biden’s campaign donors have begun to speak out.

Damon Lindelof, who has been a major donor to Democrats for years, including the campaigns of Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden, became the first high-profile donor to raise a kettle against Biden.

“I have been a lifelong Democrat and I love my complex, glorious country. I’m not writing this anonymously because I’m asking others in positions of influence to do the same. I don’t know if what I have to say matters, but I know what my eyes, ears and heart tell me. I’ve been asleep at the wheel, and it’s time to wake up,” Lindelof said.

According to Axios, “concerned Democratic donors” grilled Biden campaign officials in a Zoom call on Monday, pressing Biden’s team on how to deal with new concerns about his fitness for office.

According to Axios, the donors’ questions revealed deep doubts within the Democratic Party about whether Biden has the stamina, skill and substance to go head-to-head with former President Trump over the next four months, defeat him on November 5 and serve another four-year term.

AMERICA

Fed cuts interest rates, dollar surges to two-year high

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The U.S. Federal Reserve reduced interest rates by a quarter percentage point but signaled a slower pace of easing next year. This move drove the U.S. dollar to its highest level in two years and triggered a sell-off in both domestic and international stock markets.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted on Wednesday to lower the benchmark interest rate to 4.25–4.5%, marking the third consecutive cut. The lone dissenting vote came from Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, who favored maintaining the current rates.

Officials highlighted concerns about persistent inflation, projecting fewer rate cuts for 2025 than previously expected. Reflecting these worries, policymakers also raised their inflation forecasts for the coming year. Following the announcement, Fed Chair Jay Powell remarked that the current policy settings were “significantly less restrictive,” indicating the Fed’s inclination to adopt a more cautious approach to further easing.

“This decision was a ‘closer call’ than prior meetings,” Powell noted, emphasizing that inflation trends remain “sideways” while risks to the labor market are “diminishing.”

Aditya Bhave, senior U.S. economist at Bank of America, described the Fed’s message as “unabashedly hawkish.” He pointed to the shift in officials’ 2025 forecasts, which now anticipate just two quarter-point rate cuts instead of three, calling it a “wholesale shift.”

JPMorgan Chase, a key player in U.S. bond markets, noted that money markets are pricing in only a 0.31 percentage point rate cut in 2025. This outlook, significantly tighter than the bank’s earlier 0.75-point forecast, underscores the magnitude of the Fed’s policy shift.

The decision triggered a sharp sell-off on Wall Street, with the S&P 500 falling 3% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dropping 3.6%. High-profile winners of the 2024 rally were hit hard, including: Tesla, down 8.3%; Meta (Facebook’s parent company), down 3.6%; Amazon, down 4.6%.

Smaller companies, often seen as more sensitive to US economic fluctuations, also suffered. The Russell 2000 index declined 4.4%.

In Asia, stocks fell in early Thursday trading. Benchmarks in South Korea and Taiwan dropped 1.8% and 1.6%, respectively. Meanwhile, U.S. government bond prices fell, driving the yield on two-year Treasuries—sensitive to Fed policy—up by 0.11 percentage points to 4.35%.

The U.S. dollar surged 1.2% against a basket of six major currencies, reaching its strongest level since November 2022. According to Wells Fargo senior economist Mike Pugliese, the currency had already been rising on expectations of inflationary pressures following Donald Trump’s election victory last month. However, Wednesday’s Fed decision “poured more petrol on the fire.”

The South Korean won dropped to a 15-year low against the dollar, while the Japanese yen weakened 0.5%.

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Amazon pledges $1 billion to Trump inauguration fund

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Amazon confirmed on Thursday that it will contribute $1 million to Donald Trump’s inauguration fund, a move mirroring similar actions by other major tech companies, including Meta, the parent company of Facebook and Instagram. Amazon also plans to broadcast Trump’s inauguration via its Prime Video service.

This announcement comes as major tech executives seek to establish ties with the incoming U.S. president, despite Trump’s longstanding criticisms of Big Tech. Trump has frequently accused technology companies of censorship and bias against conservative media.

Jeff Bezos, Amazon’s founder and CEO, is reportedly planning to meet Trump at his Mar-a-Lago resort next week, according to The Wall Street Journal, which first reported Amazon’s donation. Similarly, Google CEO Sundar Pichai and Apple CEO Tim Cook have expressed their congratulations to Trump since his election victory in November.

Trump’s relationship with Amazon has been fraught with challenges. During his first term, he accused the company of undercutting competition and criticized its tax policies. In 2018, Trump ordered a review of U.S. Postal Service package pricing, claiming the agency acted as Amazon’s “courier.”

Apple, meanwhile, faces potential risks from Trump’s proposed tariff policies, which could disrupt critical supply chains in China. However, during Trump’s first term, Cook secured exemptions for certain Apple products.

Meta’s CEO, Mark Zuckerberg, and other tech leaders have also engaged with Trump. According to The Information, Zuckerberg dined with Trump after the election. Pichai is also expected to meet Trump this week.

While Trump scrutinized Big Tech during his presidency, Amazon now faces mounting regulatory pressure under President Joe Biden. The U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC), led by Lina Khan, has been investigating Amazon for alleged monopoly practices, with several states filing lawsuits last year. The FTC is also examining major cloud service providers, including Amazon, over partnerships in artificial intelligence.

Despite earlier conflicts, Bezos recently praised Trump for his “tremendous grace and courage under real fire” in a post on X (formerly Twitter) following an assassination attempt. Bezos, who also owns The Washington Post, reportedly prevented the newspaper from endorsing Trump’s Democratic opponent Kamala Harris in the 2024 election.

Speculation about a tacit agreement between Bezos and Trump has surfaced, allegedly tied to Blue Origin, Bezos’s rocket company competing with Elon Musk’s SpaceX.

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Investors poured $140 billion into U.S. equities following Trump’s victory

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Nearly $140 billion has flowed into U.S. equity funds since last month’s election, as investors anticipate Donald Trump’s administration will implement sweeping tax cuts and regulatory reforms.

According to the Financial Times (FT), which cites data from EPFR, U.S. equity funds have seen inflows totaling $139.5 billion since Trump’s victory on November 5. This surge in investment made November the busiest month for equity inflows since records began in 2000.

The massive influx of funds has driven major U.S. stock indexes to a series of record highs, as investors appeared to shrug off concerns about potential economic risks, including inflation and its implications for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy.

“The growth agenda that Trump has put on the table is being fully embraced,” said Dec Mullarkey, Chief Executive of SLC Management. He added that Trump’s picks for top administration posts have been seen as “very market friendly.”

Trump has promised to fill his administration with financial experts, including Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary, and Paul Atkins, a cryptocurrency advocate, as Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

The president-elect has outlined a pro-growth agenda, emphasizing reduced taxes, deregulation, and economic expansion. These proposals have spurred optimism among investors, fueling a rally in the market.

The S&P 500, Wall Street’s primary stock market indicator, has risen 5.3% since Election Day, bringing its total gains for the year to 28%. Smaller companies, which are often seen as more responsive to changes in the U.S. economy, have outperformed larger firms during this period. The Russell 2000 index recently hit a record high for the first time in three years.

While U.S. equity funds have enjoyed record inflows, other global markets have experienced outflows emerging market funds have seen net withdrawals of $8 billion, with China-focused funds accounting for $4 billion; funds investing in Western Europe have lost $14 billion; and Japan-focused funds have seen outflows of approximately $6 billion.

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