The detention of Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu early this morning, amid allegations of “supporting terrorism through a city consensus” and “corruption,” continues to resonate globally.
In Western media, İmamoğlu’s detention is largely viewed as a move ahead of potential presidential elections and against President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s most significant rival.
For example, the Financial Times, in its article titled “Turkish police detain Erdoğan’s main political rival,” stated, “State media said İmamoğlu’s detention on Wednesday was part of an investigation into alleged terror links, while the opposition called the move a ‘coup attempt,’ and the arrest sent the Turkish currency and markets tumbling.”
Investment management firm T Rowe Price analyst Tomasz Wieladek told the FT that the detention was “a wake-up call for everyone.”
Wieladek suggested that the Turkish Central Bank has “limited firepower” to defend the lira, adding, “Assets will probably continue to be sold off further.”
Bloomberg reported that Turkish banks sold $8 billion to support the lira from morning to midday.
Highlighting the market turmoil since morning, Bloomberg noted in another report, “Turkish markets were rattled on Wednesday after the detention of a top rival to President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, stoking concern that political turmoil risks undermining recent investor-friendly economic policies.”
Nick Rees, macro research director at Monex Europe in London, was quoted in the report, saying, “This has been a bit of a shock to the system. Markets had become increasingly complacent, and now that spell has been broken, dramatic consequences are unfolding as traders reprice Türkiye’s political risk premiums.”
Henrik Gullberg from Coex Partners said the magnitude of the move was “surprising,” but news of political pressure was less so, adding, “Practically, I’m not sure this changes much in terms of market-sensitive economic policies.”
The report also noted that the Borsa Istanbul 100 Index fell by approximately 7% at the opening, while the yield on 10-year government bonds increased by 139 basis points to 29.58%.
Germany’s Der Spiegel, in its article titled “Turkish authorities arrest Erdoğan’s most important opponent,” stated, “Turkish authorities are expanding their repressive measures against Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu.”
The report highlights that İmamoğlu, along with Ankara Metropolitan Municipality Mayor Mansur Yavaş, is seen as Erdoğan’s strongest rival.
According to DW Turkish, İmamoğlu’s detention also resonated widely in German politics. The development was assessed as an “attempt by Erdoğan to disable his main rival” and warned that it could have serious consequences.
SPD Co-Chairman Lars Klingbeil harshly criticized İmamoğlu’s detention as a “severe attack on democracy in Türkiye.”
Klingbeil stated, “The Turkish government is thus showing that it no longer wants fair elections and an independent rule of law. The steps taken are disproportionate and destroy trust and credibility. This will have dramatic consequences for the entire country.”
Max Lucks, a member of the German Federal Parliament’s Foreign Affairs Committee and Chairman of the German-Turkish Parliamentary Group, also described İmamoğlu’s detention as an attack on fair elections and fair competition in light of the presidential elections.
The British The Times, in its article titled “Istanbul Mayor arrested as Erdoğan cracks down on election rivals,” stated, “Protests have been banned across the city after the arrest of Ekrem İmamoğlu, seen as the Turkish leader’s biggest threat for the presidency.”
A report in Tokyo-based Nikkei Asia also claimed that Turkish authorities had detained “Erdoğan’s main rival,” noting that the opposition described the move as a “coup.”