Middle East
Jolani reportedly offers Trump ‘Ukraine-style’ mineral deal for Syria
According to a report in the British newspaper The Times, Abu Muhammad al-Jolani (Ahmed Shara), the leader of the HTS administration in Syria, will offer concessions to US President Donald Trump, including granting American companies permission to exploit natural resources under a “Ukraine-style” mineral deal.
As part of his proposal to the US president, conveyed through intermediaries including senior officials in Saudi Arabia and Türkiye, Jolani even raised the possibility of constructing a Trump Tower in the capital, Damascus.
The Times was informed that efforts were underway to arrange a meeting between Shara, designated a “terrorist” by the US, and Trump during the latter’s visit to Saudi Arabia this week, but the White House announced on Monday night that such a meeting would not take place.
Trump’s advisors were reportedly divided on whether direct talks would be wise during his intensive three-day Middle East visit, which is set to begin in Riyadh on Tuesday.
Trump is expected to meet with a group of regional leaders, including Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas and Lebanese President Joseph Aoun.
Speaking at the White House shortly before departing for Saudi Arabia, Trump said he was considering easing US sanctions on Syria, remnants of the Bashar al-Assad era that hinder Syria’s trade and banking activities, to provide the country with a “new beginning.”
Trump stated, “We will have to make a decision on sanctions, we will most likely ease these sanctions. We are considering lifting the sanctions we have on Syria because we want to give them a chance for a new beginning. Turkish President Erdogan also asked me about this. Many people have asked me about this because the sanctions we have imposed do not give them much of a chance for a fresh start. So we want to see if we can help them, we will make that decision.”
Last week, Jolani met with French President Emmanuel Macron, who had received an exemption from a UN travel ban for talks in Paris, and proposed a gradual lifting of EU sanctions on the condition that the new regime adheres to commitments of “inclusivity and reform.”
According to security sources cited by The Times, Jolani might offer to begin talks on joining the Abraham Accords, signed by the UAE and Bahrain to normalize relations between Arab countries and Israel.
The report suggests Jolani also appears willing to allow Israel, which occupied the Golan Heights in 1967 and subsequently established a buffer zone around them following Assad’s fall, to create a demilitarized zone in southwestern Syria or maintain a security presence in the area.
The Trump administration recognized Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights in 2019.
It is understood that Shara has spoken with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman about the possibility of a meeting with Trump.
However, there appears to be disagreement among Trump’s senior advisors on this matter. Trump’s director of national intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard, is among those who, while not hostile to the meeting, are cautious and might try to prevent it.
Gabbard, then a congresswoman, visited Syria in 2016, met with Assad, and returned calling for more dialogue.
Another figure skeptical of the meeting is Trump’s counter-terrorism advisor, Sebastian Gorka.
It is alleged that another pro-Israel advisor, former national security advisor and current nominee for UN ambassador, Mike Waltz, prevented Trump from being informed about the concessions Syria was prepared to make before Waltz was dismissed last month.
Waltz was dismissed in February after it was learned that he had secretly met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Washington and pressured Trump to comply with plans to bomb Iran.
Others, including the President’s special representative for the Middle East, Steve Witkoff, are more amenable to a thaw in relations with Syria, according to The Times. They know how easily Trump sets aside protocol and tradition to make deals and that the US president prefers making money to fighting. Witkoff is one of the most trusted members of the inner circle.
Trump is expected to announce billions of dollars in business deals during his trip. Another source told The Times that these could include a telecommunications contract for US company AT&T with Syria, though this information has not yet been confirmed.
The Trump administration is concerned about Syria turning to China for infrastructure projects. The source stated, “Shara is looking east, to China, but of course, we want him to look west.”
Another US security source with close ties to the Middle East confirmed that the possibility of Syria joining the Abraham Accords had been presented to the Jolani government through the mediation of the UAE.
Some members of the Trump administration, supported by Gulf countries, want to seize this opportunity to break Iran’s influence over Syria, a former backer of the Assad era.
The source said, “If you look at the structure of Ukraine’s mineral deal, this could be a template for Syria. If Syria joins the Abraham Accords and the US uses this as leverage to pull Syria further towards the West, that’s a possibility, and it has been discussed.”
The source added that Gulf countries support Trump’s diplomatic move and that Witkoff is trying to link deals related to Ukraine and the Middle East.
The source commented, “They love him [Witkoff] in the Gulf and Moscow because he doesn’t talk politics, he talks real estate. He talks business, and that’s what those guys like.”
Middle East
Qatar and UAE LNG tankers go dark in Strait of Hormuz to evade security risks
Qatar and United Arab Emirates liquefied natural gas (LNG) tankers are turning off their transponders in the Strait of Hormuz, shifting their logistical strategies in response to ongoing military conflict in the Middle East and the closure of the strategic waterway.
According to a Bloomberg report citing industry sources and vessel-tracking data, as time and patience run thin for both nations, tankers have begun operating under radio silence to conceal their movements and secure their LNG shipments.
The report noted that neither Qatar nor Abu Dhabi, the federal emirate of the UAE, is subject to international sanctions. Despite this, state-owned QatarEnergy and Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. (ADNOC) are employing these “going dark” tactics to minimize security risks for their vessels and crews transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
Vessel-tracking data revealed that in May, at least four Qatari LNG vessels and four tankers linked to Abu Dhabi-based ADNOC transited the Strait of Hormuz without transmitting tracking signals. Sources speaking to Bloomberg stated that Qatari authorities requested captains of state-owned and chartered tankers to turn off their Automatic Identification System (AIS) transponders when navigating around the Ras Laffan port—the world’s largest LNG export terminal—as well as when transiting or exiting the Persian Gulf.
The implemented security measures extend beyond turning off transponders. Sources reported that vessels have been instructed to transit the gulf in pairs to enhance security, and tanker captains who refused to comply with the “shadow” navigation protocols have been replaced.
Industry sources speaking to Bloomberg warned that the increase in covert transits undermines the fundamental rules of international maritime trade and transforms these shipping routes into high-risk areas.
They emphasized that until recently, every cargo in the LNG sector could be tracked in real time, but these newly adopted tactics have eliminated that transparency.
Saul Kavonic, a senior energy analyst at energy consultancy MST Marquee, commented on the situation, saying: “It is entirely natural for Persian Gulf LNG producers to try to avoid Iranian attacks and consequently adopt shadow fleet methods. This could persist as long as Iran continues to control and threaten transits through the Strait of Hormuz. This practice may continue for a long time even after a peace agreement is signed.”
Following the start of US and Israeli attacks on Iran, the Tehran government closed the Strait of Hormuz, a choke point for approximately 20% of global oil shipments and 30% of global liquefied natural gas.
After negotiations in Islamabad failed, US President Donald Trump announced on April 13 that he would impose a blockade on Iranian ports. In late May, he announced that the blockade was lifted as part of the planned peace treaty process with Tehran.
Middle East
Israeli defense exports hit record $19.2 billion fueled by regional conflicts
The Israeli Ministry of Defense has announced that international demand for military systems manufactured in the country and deployed in regional conflicts has reached unprecedented levels.
In an official statement, the ministry declared that exports of military equipment and weaponry have hit an all-time high for the fifth consecutive year.
According to the disclosed data, export volume reached $19.2 billion in 2025, representing an approximate 30% increase compared to the previous year. The figures demonstrate that the country’s defense exports have doubled over the past five years and quadrupled over the past decade.
Data shared by the ministry indicates that missile, rocket, and air defense systems secured the largest share of military sales contracts signed throughout 2025.
Sales in this sector accounted for 29% of the total trade volume. The ministry noted that the vast majority of these agreements fell into the category of “mega-contracts”—each valued at a minimum of $100 million—and that these large-scale deals constituted 53% of the total export volume.
The Ministry of Defense directly attributed this export growth to ongoing regional military operations.
The statement argued that global demand was driven by results achieved on the ground and the “combat-proven” performance of Israeli-made systems across all fronts, including the “Rising Lion” operation launched against Iran in June 2025.
Since October 7, 2023, Israel has conducted simultaneous military operations across multiple fronts in Gaza, Yemen, Lebanon, Syria, and Iran.
The military equipment and ammunition described as “combat-tested” in the ministry’s report continue to be deployed in active conflict zones, most notably in Lebanon.
Among the defense firms highlighted during this period is the Israel-based company Xtend, which has drawn attention for its unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).
Systems developed by the company have reportedly been utilized in operations in Gaza and for targeted assassinations. International reports revealed that an Xtend UAV was used to locate Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, who was killed in October 2024.
Earlier in the year, Eric Trump, son of US President Donald Trump, announced that he would make significant investments in Xtend’s technology and support the company’s merger with the Florida-based JFB Construction Holdings.
Meanwhile, airstrikes and bombings conducted by the Israeli military continue to drive up civilian casualties in Gaza and Lebanon. In Lebanon alone, attacks over the past few months have claimed more than 3,400 lives. Thousands of deaths have also been reported in US-backed military operations carried out in Iran.
Studies published in the medical journal The Lancet project that the total death toll in Gaza, when including both direct and indirect fatalities, could reach hundreds of thousands.
During this period, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which has supported Israel’s operations, emerged as one of the largest buyers of Israeli-origin weapons.
The Gulf nation is reported to have procured billions of dollars in military equipment from Israel over the past five years. According to US sources, the Abu Dhabi and Tel Aviv administrations have established a joint fund to develop and procure new weapons systems.
On the other hand, as Tel Aviv continues to market its air defense systems globally, military tensions along the Lebanese border persist.
Hizbullah kamikaze drones have reportedly targeted Iron Dome batteries positioned at Israeli locations near the Lebanese border. The Israeli military has reportedly faced difficulties intercepting these attacks, with dozens of Israeli soldiers killed in Hizbullah strikes launched since March 2.
Middle East
Report challenges official assessments of damage from Iranian attacks on US military assets
BBC Verify, the verification unit of the BBC, published a detailed investigation on June 1 based on satellite imagery and video analysis that found Iranian retaliatory strikes had successfully hit and damaged at least 20 US military facilities across the Middle East since the start of the war launched against Iran by the United States and Israel.
The findings suggest that the scale and accuracy of Iran’s retaliatory attacks were significantly greater than previously acknowledged by US officials. Some independent analysts estimate that the number of affected bases may be as high as 28.
The military facilities targeted were reportedly spread across eight Gulf countries: Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar, Kuwait, Iraq, Jordan, Bahrain and Oman.
Material losses in the region are said to include three THAAD missile defense batteries, each valued at approximately $1 billion and regarded as a cornerstone of the regional defense network.
Expert assessments also identified at least 42 aircraft that were destroyed or severely damaged, including F-35 fighter jets, MQ-9 Reaper drones and an E-3 Sentry airborne early warning and surveillance aircraft valued at $700 million.
According to military analysts, Iran achieved these results by altering its tactics. Rather than relying on large-scale, high-volume barrages, Tehran reportedly shifted to using smaller, more precise salvos concentrated on high-value infrastructure targets.
The shift in strategy was said to have exploited what was described as a degree of complacency within the US military during the early stages of the conflict.
US military commanders reportedly failed to relocate aircraft and other military assets at strategic installations such as Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia despite previous attacks on those facilities, a factor that is said to have increased losses. Commenting on the strikes, Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei declared that the Middle East was no longer a “safe place” for US bases.
The White House had previously claimed that Iran’s military capabilities had been almost entirely eliminated.
However, the Pentagon’s latest estimates place the cost of the war at $29 billion.
A substantial portion of that expenditure is reportedly being directed toward repairing heavily damaged military equipment and replenishing significantly depleted munitions stockpiles. Former military officials have warned that damaged air defense systems in the region “cannot be replaced quickly or easily.”
The heavy consumption of interceptor missiles during the conflict has also left other US facilities across the Gulf increasingly vulnerable to future Iranian precision-guided missile attacks, according to the assessments cited.
The Washington administration is also reported to have sought restrictions on satellite imagery providers in an effort to conceal the extent of the damage and limit criticism.
However, the “smoking craters” and flattened aircraft hangars featured in the BBC report appear to contradict official US assertions, illustrating what the report described as the true scale of the destruction on the ground.
Iran also announced that it struck a US air base in Kuwait with missiles and drones on Sunday night in retaliation for attacks by US forces on Iranian military targets over the weekend, which Tehran said constituted a violation of the ceasefire.
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