The European Union has launched an ambitious initiative targeting Central Asian countries, which have long fostered close military, economic, and political ties with China and Russia.

The EU-Central Asia summit held in Samarkand, Uzbekistan, on April 3-4, between the EU and five Central Asian countries, was the first of its kind and underscored Brussels’ interest in the region. With its “Global Gateway” project, the EU is attempting to create an alternative trade corridor to China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), while its share of direct foreign investment in the region has risen to 40%.

One of the summit’s most significant outcomes was European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen’s pledge of 10 billion euros in investment for the “Middle Corridor” passing through the region. Another issue that made headlines in Türkiye was the decision by member countries of the “Organization of Turkic States” to accredit ambassadors to the Republic of Cyprus, which the UN recognizes as the legitimate government of Cyprus. The joint statement referencing UN resolutions that do not recognize the establishment of the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus caused controversy in Türkiye.

EU’s Central Asia move due to resource scarcity

Speaking to Harici, Alexander Rahr, head of the Berlin-based Eurasian Society, said that the EU’s recent move toward Central Asia is driven by the EU’s need for raw materials, raw material producers, and external resources. The German author noted that the EU has very few of the raw materials needed to strengthen its industry and industrial base, and therefore the EU is becoming increasingly dependent on external resources and raw materials.

“The EU has lost Russia, its main supplier and producer of raw materials; natural gas, oil and coal, and other minerals,” Rahr said, reminding that the continent is also in conflict with America, and a long-term trade war is expected between America and Europe, according to a number of experts. According to Rahr, it is therefore dangerous for the EU to rely only on the US or countries very closely linked to the US.

Rahr also stated that the EU is moving away from China. According to him, Brussels foresees a major crisis in China, a possible war with Taiwan one day.

Therefore, according to the German expert, the EU has very few options and is now eyeing Central Asia. These states are not too far from Europe and also contain a large amount of raw materials and minerals that the EU needs. Rahr continued:

“So the issue is clear: the EU needs a strategic partnership with Central Asian countries as a supplement to the lost Russian market and as a solution to problems with China.

The EU’s problem is that the Central Asian countries are very well connected to Russia and the Russian market. Russia’s influence in the region is much greater than that of the EU. The view that the EU will break Central Asian countries away from Russian influence is extremely naive. I think this is far too ambitious for the EU. They are also too late and the EU does not have the political instruments to do this.”

‘Brussels’ policy is disturbing because it focuses on values, not cooperation’

Rahr also emphasized that there are other large, active, hegemonic powers in the region. One of these is China: with its Silk Road strategy, it connects Central Asia, the Caucasus, and Russia partly to Europe and has a great deal of authority, political power, and influence in the region.

Türkiye is also in the region. It is very active in cooperation with Central Asian countries in this field.

Rahr therefore thinks that the EU is “too late” and also points out that the EU has other problems:

“Brussels’ foreign relations and economic policies focus on human rights, liberal values, and feminist foreign policy. All of these play an important role for the EU in building cooperation with countries outside Europe. But this is very disturbing for many countries that are not part of European culture. These countries do not want to be lectured or pressured by the EU. I think this is one of the obstacles to cooperation between the EU and Central Asian countries in the future.”

‘Eurasian countries will not break their ties with Russia just because the EU wants them to’

The German author also said that if Europe tries to encourage Türkiye, Central Asian countries, and even China to get rid of Russia’s influence, to break the ties they have established with Russia for decades, and to force countries such as Türkiye and Kazakhstan to participate in anti-Russia sanctions, he thinks that it is too late in this respect as well.

According to him, these countries, Central Asian countries, especially China, India, that is, “Eurasian countries,” have established a suitable relationship with Russia during these sanction wars. Therefore, he does not expect countries outside the EU to destroy their relations with Russia.

According to him, on the contrary, they benefit from these relations with Russia: “Of course, they also want to establish relations with the EU, why not? The EU is a very attractive market and has money for investment. But these countries also know the limits and political goals of the EU.”

‘Brussels will lose if it tries to break the region’s ties with China and Russia’

Rahr, who admits that trade relations between Germany and Central Asian countries are less important than, for example, these countries’ trade with China, says that China’s Silk Road strategy has developed very rapidly in this region.

Rahr noted that the EU, and especially Germany, can enter the region with European Silk Road strategies and ideas, “They can build special and very important corridors. This is logical and should be supported because a corridor built by Europeans may balance the political power carried by China’s Silk Road strategy,” he said.

Rahr thinks that the EU’s problem is “ideology.” According to him, Brussels will lose if it tries to spoil these countries’ relations with China or Russia:

“In my opinion, the EU will only win if it enters this region with an inclusive approach. Cooperation with all the main actors in the region and the construction of necessary corridors. Asia and Türkiye also benefit from this approach. But this must be a completely inclusive approach and must also combine investment with the globalization of markets, inter-market cooperation, and a common security approach for the region. A new Cold War should not be waged, as is currently the case in Ukraine.”

‘The Cyprus issue has been politically resolved in my opinion’

Finally, touching on the Cyprus issue, Rahr argues that the problem on the island has been politically resolved. “Everyone understands that Cyprus consists of two parts, the north connected to Cyprus and Türkiye,” Rahr claimed.

Rahr, who stated that “morality and international law” are very important for the West and that the issue is not completely resolved according to the Western approach, concludes his words as follows:

“In my opinion, if you look at the issue from a realistic and political point of view, there is a status quo in Cyprus. Many referendums were held on the island and the majority of the Cypriot population accepted the current status quo as it is. It seems impossible to change the real situation in Cyprus.

A realistic view should prevail here as well. You will always find some experts who question the ongoing processes in Cyprus and representatives of a larger international perspective.”

Instead of completely dismantling Iran’s nuclear program, the US aims to limit uranium enrichment activities necessary for nuclear weapons.

The second round of nuclear negotiations between Iran and the US will take place on Saturday, April 19, again in Muscat, the capital of Oman.

Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesman Ismail Bekayi said in a statement to the official news agency IRNA, “As a result of the consultations, it was decided that Muscat will continue to host the second round of talks to be held on Saturday, April 19.”

On the other hand, Trump’s Middle East Special Representative Steve Witkoff said that the basis of a possible agreement would be based on the supervision of Iran’s uranium enrichment activities and nuclear weapons production capacity.

Witkoff, who heads the US delegation in the negotiations, said to Fox News that Iran’s justification for enriching uranium for civilian purposes is limited, saying, “Iran does not need to enrich above 3.67%. In some cases, they reach 20% and in some cases 60%. This is unacceptable.”

These statements reveal that Washington’s priority is not to completely eliminate Tehran’s nuclear program, but to impose restrictions to prevent the production of nuclear weapons. This approach differs, especially from Israel’s calls for the dismantling of the entire nuclear program.

Witkoff noted that not only uranium enrichment, but also the types of missiles Iran possesses and nuclear weapon triggers will be on the agenda in the next round of negotiations. Witkoff said, “The devil is in the details. Therefore, the verification process will form the basis of the agreement.”

Witkoff did not speak openly about who would oversee the implementation of a possible agreement, and avoided giving information on whether US inspectors or the United Nations would take part.

Witkoff’s statements show that the 2015 Iran Nuclear Agreement, which was signed during the Obama administration and terminated by Trump in 2018, forms the basis for the current discussions. The agreement prohibited Iran from enriching uranium above 3.67%.

According to a BBC report, during the Ukraine Defense Contact Group (Ramstein format) meeting held in Brussels on April 11, NATO countries and their allies decided to provide a record level of aid to Kyiv, totaling over €21 billion.

This support aims to strengthen Ukraine’s defense capabilities.

Germany will provide the largest portion of this amount, €11 billion, while Britain will contribute approximately €5.2 billion.

According to statements by German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius, Berlin’s upcoming aid to Kyiv includes 100,000 artillery shells, 25 armored combat vehicles, 15 main battle tanks, 100 ground surveillance radar stations, and 120 portable air defense missile systems.

Berlin will also deliver four IRIS-T air defense systems with 300 missiles to Ukraine.

In addition, a €523 million package jointly prepared by Britain and Norway will supply radars, anti-tank mines, repair military equipment, and purchase hundreds of thousands of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).

Pistorius stated, “Ukraine needs a strong army, but only in this way can negotiations lead to a fair and lasting peace.”

The minister added, “Russia must understand that Ukraine can continue the war, and we will support Ukraine in this regard.”

British Defense Secretary John Healey, as reported by Politico, stated in his speech that he accused Russia of disrupting the peace initiatives proposed by the US and approved by Kyiv a month ago.

Healey claimed, “Putin claims he wants peace, but his troops continue to attack Ukraine, targeting both military objectives and civilian infrastructure.”

Defense ministry representatives from 50 countries attended the 27th meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, organized at the call of Berlin and London.

US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth attended the meeting via video conference and thanked the allies for their work.

The Ukraine Defense Contact Group, informally known as the Ramstein format, first met in April 2022 at the US-owned Ramstein Air Base in Germany.

Since then, the regular meetings have become a key international platform for coordinating aid to Ukraine.

The group’s members include NATO countries, European Union members, and Ukraine’s other international partners.

The format’s main objectives include ensuring the supply of weapons, training Ukrainian soldiers, discussing the country’s current and future defense needs, and developing long-term support strategies in the war against Russia.