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Chancellor Nehammer resigns, sparking political uncertainty in Austria

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Political uncertainty has begun in Austria after the surprise resignation of Chancellor Karl Nehammer at the weekend. This step is thought to lead to the right-wing Austrian Freedom Party (FPÖ) taking control of the government for the first time.

Nehammer, a former military officer who became chancellor in 2021 after a political scandal forced Sebastian Kurz to resign, announced he would step down as leader of both the country and the centre-right Austrian People’s Party (ÖVP).

In a short video statement late on Saturday, he said his resignation as chancellor would take effect in the coming days and promised an “orderly transition.”

This decision, which comes after talks to form a tripartite centrist coalition collapsed on Friday, opens the door for the ÖVP to resume coalition talks with the FPÖ. Nehammer had opposed a coalition with the FPÖ, citing the “extremism” of its leader, Herbert Kickl.

However, this view was not shared by everyone in the ÖVP. The party’s business wing, in particular, wants the next government to introduce more aggressive reforms to stimulate the economy, which is in its second year of recession.

ÖVP officials signaled on Sunday that the party was ready for talks with the FPÖ, which won Austria’s general election in September with 29% of the vote.

After the other four parties represented in parliament refused to negotiate with the FPÖ, the FPÖ’s victory was seen as a Pyrrhic victory until Sunday.

“We are not responsible for the lost time, the chaos, and the enormous loss of trust that has been created here,” Kickl said late on Sunday. “On the contrary, it is clear that the FPÖ has been and continues to be the only stable factor in Austria’s domestic politics,” he added.

A coalition between the FPÖ and the ÖVP, which finished second in the September elections with 26% of the vote, would have a large majority in parliament.

The only question now is whether Austrian President Alexander Van der Bellen, who has the power to reject chancellor candidates, will accept Kickl as chancellor.

Theoretically, the FPÖ could field a less controversial candidate, but Kickl has made it clear that he wants the job.

If the FPÖ and the ÖVP agree to form a government and appoint Kickl as chancellor, Van der Bellen can use his veto, but this would plunge the country into a constitutional crisis.

Such an outcome would probably only increase the popularity of the FPÖ. In the latest opinion polls, the party is polling at 37%, which means that if Van der Bellen calls for a new election, the FPÖ would be even stronger.

In November, the party won an important regional election in Styria with 35% of the vote and took control of the province for the first time.

Van der Bellen is therefore more likely to take this in stride. He acknowledged this in a statement on Sunday and said he had planned a meeting with Kickl for Monday “to discuss the new situation.”

Kickl, who campaigned on the promise of becoming Volkskanzler (People’s Chancellor) and turning Austria into a “fortress” against immigration, is known for his harsh comments about foreigners and Islam.

As interior minister in 2018, for example, the FPÖ leader proposed the idea of “rounding up” refugees in special centers and ordered the refugee registration centers to be renamed “removal centers.”

Van der Bellen, former leader of the Austrian Green Party, has made no secret of his displeasure with Kickl and his party, which has sharply criticized the EU and even flirted with taking Austria out of the bloc.

After the elections in September, the President of the Republic broke with tradition and chose not to give Kickl, the leader of the strongest party, the task of forming a coalition.

The rise of the FPÖ, founded in the 1950s by a group of former Nazis who seem to have not given up on their ideas, will be the culmination of decades of evolution.

The party first came to international attention in the 1990s under Jörg Haider, who used the issue of immigration from the former Yugoslavia to mobilize voters and challenge the mainstream. By 1999, Haider had built up a strong following that propelled his party to second place in the national elections.

The FPÖ continued to enter coalitions as a junior partner of the ÖVP. The centre-right’s decision to link arms with the FPÖ was so controversial at the time that it led other members of the EU to impose “diplomatic sanctions” on Vienna. This was a symbolic gesture, which in practice meant a halt to bilateral visits.

An FPÖ-led government would be a turning point for Austria, a country whose national politics has been dominated by “centre” parties since the Second World War.

The second FPÖ-ÖVP coalition, formed in 2017 under the leadership of Sebastian Kurz, collapsed dramatically after the “Ibiza affair.”

The government collapsed 18 months after the publication of a secretly filmed video showing then FPÖ leader and Vice Chancellor Heinz-Christian Strache trying to do political favors for money to a woman he believed to be the niece of a Russian oligarch.

The footage, several hours long, was shot at a private villa on the island of Ibiza, where Strache was holidaying in the months before taking office.

The investigations that have been ongoing since then have preoccupied the Austrian justice system and played a central role in Kurz’s departure from office.

It remains to be seen whether former Chancellor Kurz will return to Austrian politics after his dramatic fall from grace.

Last February, an Austrian court found Kurz guilty of making false statements to a parliamentary commission of inquiry.

Judge Michael Radasztics gave the 37-year-old Kurz an eight-month suspended prison sentence for the serious offense of deceiving parliament under oath during the 2020 investigation into his government.

Since his resignation as chancellor, Kurz has been a consultant for Silicon Valley investor and Palantir founder Peter Thiel.

Kurz also founded a cybersecurity firm in Israel together with Shalev Hulio, co-founder of the company behind the Pegasus spyware.

On the other hand, according to Paul Ronzheimer, deputy editor-in-chief of Bild and Kurz’s biographer, Kurz does not want to return to the party, despite rumors that the ÖVP has made him an offer.

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China’s critical mineral restrictions challenge EU defence expansion plans

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The European Union’s plans to expand its defence capabilities are being hindered by China’s export controls and sales restrictions on critical raw materials.

In response, EU leaders are urging member states to accelerate efforts to diversify supply chains.

According to Nikkei Asia, the European Commission announced last week that it would propose new legislation requiring companies across the bloc to broaden their supplier base in an effort to address economic imbalances, although it did not explicitly name China.

The war in Ukraine and growing uncertainty over Washington’s security guarantees have pushed European governments to increase military spending and defence production.

At the same time, according to a report published in May by Joris Teer, a policy analyst at the European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS), China accounts for at least 70% of global mining or refining activity in 17 of the 34 materials classified as critical by the EU. Eight of those 34 materials are currently subject to Chinese export controls.

“China is undermining Europe’s rearmament efforts,” Teer wrote. “Simply by activating this tool, China has already increased its leverage and demonstrated both the capability and willingness to restrict supply whenever it chooses.”

The Aerospace, Security and Defence Industries Association of Europe also warned that geopolitical developments and intensifying global competition for critical raw materials are further underscoring the need to strengthen European supply chains.

The organisation represents more than 4,000 companies, including Britain’s BAE Systems, France’s Thales and Germany’s Rheinmetall.

European defence manufacturers are pursuing a range of strategies, including vertical integration, recycling, diversification and stockpiling.

Rheinmetall told Nikkei Asia that it has “no dependencies” and is “well prepared” regarding critical minerals.

A company spokesperson said: “Rheinmetall has stockpiled key raw materials sufficient for several years. We have also implemented IT systems that allow us to centrally monitor and precisely manage raw material consumption across the entire group.”

Analysts, however, caution that stockpiling alone will not be sufficient. Maria Shagina, a researcher at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said: “Stockpiling serves as an important buffer against sudden disruptions, but on its own it is unlikely to mitigate structural damage over the long term.”

Shagina added that replacing the volume and diversity of critical minerals controlled by Beijing with alternative sources would take years.

In 2024, the EU enacted the European Critical Raw Materials Act, aimed at rebuilding domestic supply chains for such minerals.

The legislation sets 2030 targets for domestic extraction, processing and recycling while limiting dependence on any single third-country supplier to 65%.

A €3 billion ($3.5 billion) fund was established last year to accelerate strategic projects.

Nevertheless, the European Court of Auditors has noted that the 2030 targets are not legally binding and that the EU remains far from achieving them.

Industry groups argue that policy inconsistencies could further slow progress.

The Cobalt Institute, which represents a sector vital to jet engines, advanced batteries and defence alloys, warned that proposed EU chemicals regulations risk undermining the industry.

“Europe has one foot in and one foot out,” said Michael Blakeney, head of government and public affairs at the London-based institute. “It says the right things, but its actions are inconsistent.”

Europe’s efforts are unfolding alongside a more aggressive US strategy to secure critical mineral supply chains.

Shagina said:

“The US is investing more capital to secure and expand capacity, taking greater financial risks and, in some cases, acquiring equity stakes. Europe, by contrast, is generally more cautious, which places it at a relative disadvantage in the competition for critical minerals.”

In April, the EU signed an agreement with the United States to coordinate supplies of critical minerals. Although some member states initially resisted over concerns that the deal could weaken the bloc’s strategic autonomy, they authorised the Commission in early June to join the US-led “Pax Silica” initiative, which coordinates investment and export-control policies.

Teer urged Europe to use ongoing US-EU-Japan negotiations as the nucleus of a broader coalition aimed at making critical mineral production outside China financially viable through state support, minimum-price mechanisms and supply rules.

“Particularly important are countries that either produce raw materials or possess significant mineral deposits, such as Malaysia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Brazil and Indonesia, as well as countries like India with large pools of skilled labour,” he said.

Teer also argued that the EU should activate its Anti-Coercion Instrument, which allows the bloc to impose tariffs and restrictions in response to economic pressure on countries outside the union, in order to deter China from introducing further restrictions.

A European Commission spokesperson said the bloc had “long been aware of the risks associated with the EU’s dependence on critical raw materials.”

“The objective is clear: to anticipate disruptions early and reduce the EU’s vulnerabilities while strengthening our industrial and defence capacities,” the spokesperson said.

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Four European countries move to make citizenship harder to obtain

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European countries are increasingly tightening their citizenship rules. Most recently, the Norwegian government has drafted legislation that would raise the minimum residency requirement for citizenship from three years to seven.

The proposed amendments to the citizenship law were presented by the Ministry of Labour and Social Inclusion.

Under the draft legislation, stateless individuals born in Norway, as well as those who arrived in the country as children, would be required to reside in Norway for at least five years before becoming eligible for citizenship.

The government also plans to increase residency requirements for foreign nationals who are married to or cohabiting with Norwegian citizens.

Language requirements are set to become more demanding as well. The proposal would raise the required level of spoken Norwegian proficiency from A2 to B1. The new rules would apply to applicants aged between 18 and 67.

Commenting on the changes, Minister of Labour and Social Inclusion Kjersti Stenseng said: “Obtaining and holding Norwegian citizenship should be a privilege.”

The government argues that simplifying administrative procedures while simultaneously tightening eligibility criteria will help reduce the country’s large backlog of pending applications and shorten processing times.

Norway is the latest European country to announce revisions to its citizenship rules.

In Finland, the minimum residency requirement for citizenship was increased from five years to eight years on October 1, 2024.

The country also plans to introduce a mandatory citizenship test for applicants aged between 18 and 64 from the beginning of 2027.

Finnish Interior Minister Mari Rantanen said: “The introduction of a citizenship test is the final component of a comprehensive reform aimed at making citizenship requirements more stringent.”

Sweden has also approved a similar reform. Beginning in June 2026, the standard residency requirement for citizenship will increase from five years to eight years. Authorities are also introducing a financial self-sufficiency requirement for applicants and expanding the scope of security screenings.

Explaining the rationale behind the changes, Migration Minister Johan Forssell said: “It was possible to become a citizen after living in the country for five years without knowing a single word of Swedish, learning anything about Swedish society, or even having one’s own source of income.”

The most far-reaching changes have been implemented in Portugal. Portuguese President Antonio Jose Seguro has signed legislation raising the minimum residency requirement for citizenship from five years to 10 years.

For citizens of the European Union and the Community of Portuguese Language Countries, the requirement has been set at seven years.

The residency period will now be calculated from the date a residence permit is granted rather than from the date a citizenship application is submitted. The new rules will also affect the children of immigrants.

Previously, children could obtain citizenship one year after birth if their parents held residence permits. Under the new rules, at least one parent must have legally resided in the country for a minimum of five years.

The law also introduces a mandatory examination covering Portuguese history, culture, values and social structures.

Migration policies are tightening across the European Union as well. On June 17, the European Parliament approved legislation allowing irregular migrants whose asylum applications have been rejected but who cannot be returned to their countries of origin to be deported to third countries.

The new EU rules permit the establishment of migrant detention centres outside the bloc’s borders. African countries are reportedly among the options being discussed for such facilities.

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SpaceX warns EU satellite spectrum plan could disrupt connectivity in Ukraine

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SpaceX has sharply criticised a European Union plan to restrict access to satellite spectrum, arguing that the proposal risks degrading connectivity in Ukraine and disrupting emergency communications services.

In a document shared with European officials and reviewed by the Financial Times, SpaceX warned:

“This proposal significantly increases the likelihood that Europeans will be deprived of direct-to-device satellite services, or that new European operations will create global interference issues, including for emergency services such as those operating in Ukraine.”

In a proposal unveiled in May, the EU recommended reserving part of the spectrum band used for direct satellite-to-smartphone connectivity for European operators, thereby limiting the frequencies available to US and Chinese providers.

The 2 GHz frequency band in question is currently used by two US companies, Viasat and EchoStar.

SpaceX argued that the EU plan prioritises “an operator’s country of establishment over economic, technical and regulatory realities.”

When the proposal was announced, EU technology chief Henna Virkkunen defended the move, saying the bloc wanted to “increase European capacity in this sector.” She added that other parts of the frequency band would remain open to international operators, arguing that prioritising European providers was justified.

Other participants involved in discussions over the proposal said some EU officials were specifically seeking to limit Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite network.

Europe’s initiative follows a warning from Washington. In March, the US Federal Communications Commission (FCC) cautioned that it could take retaliatory measures if the EU chose to favour European satellite operators over alternatives such as Starlink.

At the time, FCC Chairman Brendan Carr told the Financial Times: “Some of the discussions in Europe regarding satellite sovereignty concern us. If Europe decides to move down that path, then, as you know, we will have to consider reciprocal measures.”

The European Commission’s proposal has not yet entered formal negotiations with EU member states or the European Parliament.

A source close to SpaceX said the company remained hopeful of influencing the outcome of the process, given concerns raised by both businesses and several European governments.

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