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China-Japan relations in Washington’s shadow

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In the Asia-Pacific region, the China-US conflict remains intense. Beijing is responding to Washington’s attempt to surround China through regional actors, by strengthening its military and economic position in the region.

This contention, which international relations experts called ‘competition’ and China rejected the definitions of ‘competition’ and ‘power struggle’, was also reflected in the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Leaders’ Summit held in Thailand last week.

In her speech at the summit, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris underlined Washington’s message that ‘we are here to stay’, referring to its long-term plans and goals in the Indo-Pacific, while Chinese President Xi Jinping stressed that the Asia-Pacific “is nobody’s backyard”. Unlike Harris, Xi’s use of the term “Asia-Pacific” instead of “Indo-Pacific” was another notable message.

The United States, Britain and Australia formed the AUKUS alliance in September last year to suppress China in Asia-Pacific, which attracted a huge reaction from Beijing. The Chinese government said the pact would seriously damage regional peace and stability.

Japan recently announced that it will sign a military agreement with UK for security co-operation in the Asia-Pacific region. It was commented that this pact was a step that could pave the way for UK in the Pacific and expand AUKUS at the same time. As a matter of fact, the U.S. is planning to include Japan and even Canada in the AUKUS alliance against China soon.

‘Maritime’ agreement from the leaders of China and Japan

China, on the other hand, is trying to overcome the surrounding in Asia-Pacific by strengthening economic relations in the region. Chinese President Xi Jinping discussed the issue with Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida in Bangkok, saying they were aiming to build a regional economic cooperation architecture. They agreed to deepen maritime dialogue, manage differences over Taiwan and territorial disputes, and open a military helpline. Just days after the meeting, the two countries exchanged their views on maritime affairs via video conferencing, and officials pledged to “earnestly implement” the agreement reached by the leaders of the two countries.

Bilateral relations have worn out in recent months as Japan increased its alignment with the U.S. over sensitive issues such as Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Xinjiang. However, the two leaders’ 45 minutes of warm talk during the APEC summit rekindled hopes between the two countries.

Despite this, Tokyo today has accused Beijing of entering Japanese territorial waters in the East China Sea.

Tokyo economists are concerned

Japan’s business community, which has an important position in the U.S. strategy of surrounding China, is worried about the “huge losses” from the decoupling from China. Japanese economists and businessmen are discussing the cost of this disintegration as Washington attempts to urge Tokyo completely cut ties with Beijing.

Speaking to the Global Times recently, Japanese experts pointed out that “the full ‘decoupling’ of the Japanese and Chinese economies will be extremely costly, and both countries may lose in the end,” and stressed that “so-called political interests should not precede national interests.”

Japanese media outlet Nikkei Asia reported that Japanese companies are trying to structure supply chains without dependence on China amid China’s growing conflict with the U.S. However, it is stated that this policy will significantly increase the cost of all kinds of products.

In August, it is reported that Honda launched a project to restructure its large-scale supply chain to explore the possibility of producing cars and motorcycles without being dependent on Chinese-made parts. However, China accounts for more than 30 per cent of Honda’s global sales. According to Nikkei Asia, the company’s “policy of making China the basis of its earnings” will not change in the future. The report highlights that the giant carmaker doesn’t currently intend to separate from China but is preparing for potential risks.

Speaking anonymously to the Global Times, a Japanese executive said the Japanese government plans to incorporate the concept of “economic security” into its national security strategy, essentially expanding its scope of security and “intentionally keeping pace with the US.”

Based on studies conducted at Waseda University, production of about 53 trillion yen ($360 billion) could disappear if the Japanese economy breaks away from China, Nikkei Asia reported. This means a loss of about 10 per cent of Japan’s gross domestic product. China accounts for 26 per cent of Japan’s total imports, while the U.S. is behind China with 19 per cent. According to Japanese statistics, China is Japan’s largest trading partner since 2007.

In addition, one of Japan’s main export targets is China. Japan exports semiconductors, chemicals, and many other products to China. It is reported that the Washington administration have asked Tokyo to take action to impose restrictions on its semiconductor exports to China. Forcing Japan to separate from China may also lead to the loss of Japan’s most important export market. It is not clear whether Japanese politicians will risk this loss, but it seems that economists and industrialists will continue to put pressure on the government to do so.

ASIA

BYD shares soar on promise of ‘5-minute EV charge’

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Shares of BYD, China’s electric vehicle (EV) champion, hit a new record high on Tuesday after its founder, Wang Chuanfu, claimed their EVs can now charge as quickly as filling a car with traditional fuel.

BYD, a rival to Tesla, saw its shares rise by over 6% in early trading in Hong Kong, reaching HK$408.80 (approximately $52.62) per share, marking an approximate gain of 85% over the last 12 months.

The company’s billionaire founder, Wang, stated on Monday that the new charging system developed by the Shenzhen group for BYD’s own EV batteries can add approximately 470 km of range in five minutes.

This claim suggests that BYD has surpassed competitors like Tesla and Mercedes-Benz in fast-charging technology, although the new system depends on several preconditions, including sufficient voltage at charging stations.

There is increasing competition among EV and battery manufacturers to establish faster charging infrastructure to help alleviate consumer concerns about the driving range and charging speed of EVs compared to traditional internal combustion engine vehicles.

According to Chris Liu, a Shanghai-based senior analyst at Omdia consulting, China is estimated to install approximately 460,000 new public EV chargers this year, accounting for about two-thirds of the global total, bringing cumulative units to approximately 2.1 million.

BYD’s recent share price increase comes a month after the company shook the global automotive industry by launching a free advanced autonomous driving system, dubbed “God’s Eye,” which it plans to install in its entire new car series.

These moves put further pressure on Elon Musk’s Tesla and Germany’s Volkswagen, as well as a host of domestic competitors, who have been losing market share as EV sales have exploded in China in recent years.

According to data from Automobility, a consulting firm in Shanghai, BYD already holds approximately 35% of the Chinese EV market. It has an 18% share in the pure battery EV segment and a 56% share in the plug-in hybrid segment.

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China’s AsiaInfo expands with DeepSeek-powered AI

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China’s largest telecom software infrastructure provider says that working with artificial intelligence (AI) startup DeepSeek is helping the company develop its own AI capabilities, which it will use to expand in Southeast Asia, Africa, and the Middle East.

AsiaInfo Technologies CTO Ouyang Ye said in an exclusive interview with Nikkei Asia that the company’s collaboration with DeepSeek began well before it rose to global prominence earlier this year with a low-cost approach to developing AI models.

Ouyang said that AsiaInfo also works closely with other top-tier Chinese large language models (LLMs) such as Alibaba Cloud’s Tongyi Qianwen and ByteDance’s Doubao, but that the rise of the open-source DeepSeek model is what facilitates and accelerates the deployment of the company’s various AI solutions.

“Our telecom infrastructure software solutions for China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom fully support DeepSeek’s model,” said Ouyang, referring to the country’s three major telecom providers. He said that his company was the first in the industry to embed and fully support DeepSeek.

According to research by AsiaInfo and Tsinghua University, DeepSeek’s model performs well in specialized technical areas such as monitoring network failures and optimizing wireless communication performance.

The CTO said that, for example, China Unicom’s Guangdong subsidiary used AsiaInfo’s DeepSeek-enhanced solutions in February to optimize service efficiency. This initiative reduced training costs by 75%, enhanced AI assistant capabilities, accelerated response times by 200%, and increased the efficiency of human-machine collaboration by 40%.

Hong Kong-based AsiaInfo, a leading telecom software infrastructure solutions provider, competes with US-based Amdocs, India’s Infosys, and Poland’s Comarch. Some network equipment makers like Huawei, HPE, Cisco, and Nokia also provide some software services.

In addition to infrastructure software, AsiaInfo also provides business and operations support systems, such as network monitoring software and customer and billing management, including processing telecom billing information for China’s 1.4 billion population.

AsiaInfo is also the largest software provider for China’s 5G private networks, serving the country’s leading energy providers and steelmakers, such as China Nuclear Group and Shougang Group, as well as miners and wind farm operators. Private networks are set up by businesses or organizations to provide on-site connectivity to facilitate services like factory automation.

Ouyang is optimistic that AsiaInfo can leverage AI to boost its overseas expansion, and that 5G private networks are expected to be a significant growth driver in the Middle East, Africa, and Southeast Asia. The majority of AsiaInfo’s business is in China, and going overseas is one of the company’s core strategies for growth.

“This year, the growth potential in the overseas market is quite large, especially in the fields of mines, ports, and energy, where we have more specific domain expertise,” the senior executive said.

AsiaInfo Chairman and CEO Edward Tian previously stated that the traditional telecom market and spending have slowed in 2024, but the adoption of AI and LLMs has become a key growth driver for the company as customers begin to adopt these technologies in their services.

AsiaInfo says its software can run on servers and other hardware from different companies, including Nvidia, Huawei, and Hygon.

While leading Chinese tech companies and government agencies are adopting DeepSeek, some governments, such as Italy, Australia, Canada, and South Korea, are banning its use on official devices.

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China unveils ‘most comprehensive’ plan in 40 years to boost consumption

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China has unveiled a new plan to stimulate domestic consumption, called the “Special Action Plan to Boost Consumption,” as it grapples with weak confidence and deflationary pressures.

The 30-point plan, issued by the General Office of the Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party and the General Office of the State Council, aims to “strongly promote consumption, revitalize domestic demand as a whole, and enhance spending power by increasing earnings and reducing financial burdens.”

This plan supports President Xi Jinping’s directive from late last year, instructing policymakers to focus on boosting domestic demand.

Analysts have described China’s newly announced consumption action plan as the most comprehensive policy package the country has released in over four decades to boost consumer spending.

The plan from the State Council, China’s cabinet, will focus on increasing incomes, stabilizing real estate and stock markets, improving the consumption environment, and enhancing healthcare and pension services. Through this plan, the Chinese economy seeks to transition to a consumption-driven growth model.

News of the “Special Action Plan to Boost Consumption” invigorated stock markets on Monday.

The plan announcement, made late Sunday, followed the “Two Sessions” in Beijing last week, where legislators re-emphasized consumption as a top priority.

In China, domestic spending has remained weak since the end of Covid-19 lockdowns over two years ago, as households have been cautious about spending. Consumer prices fell into deflation in February, although figures were positively impacted by the New Year holiday.

The slowdown in China’s vast real estate sector has also renewed calls from economists to bolster domestic demand.

Data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Monday showed that retail sales rose 4% year-on-year in January and February, surpassing December’s 3.7% increase and aligning with forecasts from a Reuters poll of analysts.

In September, policymakers announced a long-awaited package to support the economy, but the measures largely focused on stock markets, disappointing investors.

The new plan, comprising eight main sections, addresses factors such as income growth, enhancing the quality-of-service consumption, improving large-scale consumption, and improving the consumption environment simultaneously.

It includes a commitment to raising the minimum wage, strengthening support for education, and establishing a subsidy system for childcare—a particularly pressing issue as China’s population has declined for three consecutive years.

Shi Lei, an economics professor at Fudan University in Shanghai, said, “This is the most comprehensive directive to promote consumption since China’s reform and opening up [in the late 1970s],” adding, “According to the policy, authorities will promote the reasonable growth of employees’ incomes by increasing employment, raising the minimum wage, and accelerating the implementation of the paid annual leave system.”

Speaking to the South China Morning Post, Shi noted, “In the past, policymakers often ignored income growth [when discussing ways to boost spending].” He added, “In fact, if consumers have money, they don’t need your encouragement to spend, and if they don’t have money, such encouragement won’t work.”

Lynn Song, ING’s Greater China chief economist, stated that the plan “focuses significantly on boosting household consumption capacity and willingness” and, if implemented correctly, “could help China’s economic transition towards a consumption-driven growth model.”

“The direction looks positive, but implementation is everything. It is not certain that these measures will be enough to restore consumer confidence to healthy levels,” Song wrote, also noting that the administration’s focus on boosting consumption, combined with a relatively low base last year, means that China’s consumption growth could reach a mid-single-digit growth rate in 2025.

Data released on Monday also showed that industrial production increased by 5.9% year-on-year in the first two months of 2025, slowing from 6.2% in December but exceeding analysts’ expectations of a 5.3% increase.

The new package will also promote “inbound” consumption. Beijing has granted visa-free travel to dozens of countries in the past year to revitalize inbound tourism post-pandemic.

It also highlights specific tourism sectors such as “snow and ice.” China has built several indoor ski resorts in recent years, including the world’s largest, which opened in Shanghai in September.

According to the plan, China will also broaden real estate income channels with measures to stabilize the stock market and develop more bond products suitable for individual investors.

The plan calls for exploring ways to unlock the value of homes legally owned by farmers through rental arrangements, equity participation, and cooperative models.

Notably, in addition to traditional consumption sectors such as housing and automobiles, it emphasizes emerging categories such as AI-powered products and the low-altitude economy.

It also states that new consumption sectors with high growth rates will be created by accelerating the development and application of new technologies and products such as autonomous driving, smart wearable products, ultra-high-definition video, brain-computer interfaces, robotics, and additive manufacturing, more commonly known as 3D printing.

Xu Chenggang, a senior research fellow at the Stanford University Center on China’s Economy and Institutions, said that Beijing’s shift towards consumption indicates official recognition that the economic situation is “serious.”

Zou Yunhan, a researcher at the State Information Center, also said that consumption is playing an increasingly key role in boosting economic growth, but some challenges still persist in the quest to further unleash consumer potential.

Looking ahead, Zou called for joint efforts from all sectors to ensure the full implementation and effectiveness of the action plan.

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