Diplomacy
Erdoğan, Trump meet at White House to discuss fighter jets and Russian oil
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan visited the White House after a six-year interval to meet with US President Donald Trump.
Trump signaled that the US might soon lift the embargo on the sale of advanced fighter jets to Ankara.
Trump began his two-hour meeting with Erdoğan by expressing hope that the issue could be resolved during their discussions.
The US President stated, “He needs some things, and we need some things, and we will reach a conclusion. You will find out at the end of the day,” and told Erdoğan that he would “succeed in buying the things he wants to buy.”
In a brief chat with reporters as he bid farewell to Erdoğan, the President described the meeting as “a good meeting” but did not provide further details.
Trump later characterized the meeting as “very productive on many different subjects” and said that both countries would release statements about the talks later.
In his remarks to reporters, Trump focused his concerns on Türkiye’s ongoing economic relations with Russia. Türkiye has been one of the largest buyers of Russian fossil fuels since the EU announced a boycott on most Russian seaborne oil in early 2023.
Since January 2023, Ankara has purchased over $90 billion worth of Russian oil, coal, and natural gas.
“The best thing he could do is not buy oil and gas from Russia,” Trump said of Erdoğan.
When Trump gave him the floor for opening remarks, President Erdoğan said they would do their best for the Halki seminary. The Ecumenical Patriarchate has long called for the reopening of this school, which trains clergy for the Orthodox church.
Erdoğan said they would address many topics in the meeting, including Halkbank and the fighter jets.
Erdoğan added that he would discuss this matter with Patriarch Bartholomew. Trump responded, “that’s very good,” saying, “They needed help, and I said I would bring it up.”
Following their talks, the US president said he believed Erdoğan would stop buying oil from Russia, adding, “I don’t want to say that Erdoğan agreed to stop the purchases, but if I want him to, he will.”
Tom Barrack, the US Ambassador to Türkiye and Trump’s envoy for Syria, said the two presidents discussed all major issues in US-Türkiye relations, including Russia and the F-35 program, along with “paths forward.”
When asked if Türkiye was willing to cut its significant oil purchases from Russia, Barrack replied, “You’ll have to ask them that.”
Barrack described the meeting as “epic,” stating, “They are both very strong men. It was historic, to be honest.”
In an assessment for DW Türkçe, Barrack noted that the S-400, F-35, and F-16 issues were also raised during the meeting, saying, “In my opinion, everyone will be very, very surprised at how much the leaders are cooperating with each other. It was a truly great meeting. I am proud of both sides.”
Trump added that Erdoğan is respected by both Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, noting, “He can have a major impact if he wants to.”
Trump also argued that Erdoğan deserves praise for supporting the forces that overthrew Bashar al-Assad.
“I think President Erdoğan is the one responsible for the successful fight that overthrew the former leader of Syria. He doesn’t take responsibility for it, but it’s actually a great achievement,” Trump said.
Meanwhile, the latest status of the F-35 and F-16 issue remains unclear. During his remarks to reporters in the Oval Office after his meeting with Erdoğan, Trump, when questioned, said they could “easily reach an agreement” with TurkTürkiyeey on the F-35s “if he wants to,” but noted that “first President Erdoğan has to do something for them,” without providing details on what that might be.
In response to a question about when CAATSA sanctions on Türkiye would be lifted, Trump replied, “It could be very soon. We will have a discussion about that shortly.”
Another topic was the sale of Boeing aircraft. Today, Turkish Airlines (THY) confirmed in a statement to the Public Disclosure Platform (KAP) that it has ordered 225 Boeing aircraft.
The THY statement is as follows:
“In line with the growth targets set forth in our Strategic Plan, which will generate high value for all our company’s stakeholders, our Board of Directors has decided to purchase a total of 75 B787-9 and B787-10 aircraft from Boeing, consisting of 50 firm orders and 25 options, to be delivered between 2029-2034. Negotiations are ongoing with Rolls-Royce and GE Aerospace for the procurement of over-wing engines, spare engines, and engine maintenance services for said aircraft.
Additionally, discussions with Boeing regarding the acquisition of a total of 150 737-8/10MAX type aircraft, comprising 100 firm orders and 50 options, have been completed. The 737-8/10MAX aircraft orders will also be placed upon the successful completion of negotiations with engine manufacturer CFM International.
With these orders, our goal is for our entire fleet to consist of new-generation aircraft by 2035, thereby reinforcing our operational efficiency and achieving an average annual growth rate of 6%.”
THY will thus purchase 75 B787-9 and B787-10 aircraft and 150 737-8/10MAX type aircraft.
Separately, the US and Türkiye signed an agreement facilitating cooperation in the field of civil nuclear energy.
Energy Minister Alparslan Bayraktar said in a post on X, “We have initiated a new process that will further deepen the long-standing and multifaceted partnership between Türkiye and the US in the field of nuclear energy.”
Speaking to CNN Türk, Minister Bayraktar stated, “We aim to cooperate on the installation of nuclear power plants.”
The details of the Strategic Civil Nuclear Cooperation Memorandum of Understanding have not been made public, but the agreement will likely lead to US participation in the construction of nuclear power plants on Turkish territory.
Diplomacy
FIFA abandons $4.2 billion commercial stake sale following widespread revolt
FIFA and Gianni Infantino have backed down from plans to sell a stake in the organization’s commercial and event operations following widespread backlash.
In a statement issued late Friday night, the embattled FIFA president said:
“After carefully listening to all views, it has become clear that this project, regardless of the level of support, causes divisions that are now contrary to the interests of the objective originally established. Our goal has always been, and will always be, to unite and improve. As a result, this proposal will not be implemented.”
Infantino’s proposal met with fierce resistance from UEFA, CONCACAF, and the Asian Football Confederation (AFC).
UEFA indicated that all 55 of its members would boycott FIFA competitions, including the World Cup, if the plans remained on the table.
In its statement, FIFA noted that “nobody is selling football,” and while asserting that it “acknowledges and respects the feedback and concerns expressed publicly,” emphasized that it would continue to implement suggestions.
It added that it “reaffirms its commitment to an open and democratic process of consultation.”
Shortly after FIFA issued its statement, the AFC released its own declaration of solidarity with UEFA and the Confederation of North, Central America and Caribbean Association Football (CONCACAF).
Infantino subsequently suffered two major internal blows.
First, his adviser Carlos Cordeiro resigned from his position, sharply criticizing the plan in a statement as “a bad deal for FIFA member associations, a bad deal for football, and a bad deal for the long-term future of the game.”
Then, FIFA Chief Operating Officer Kevin Lamour told the Associated Press that staff felt “deceived” by Infantino and that after raising the issue, he would “sleep better, even at the cost of losing his job.”
Lamour said:
“This is the project of a single person. Leaving aside that this project should not proceed… it is now time for the political leaders of world football to ask themselves the right questions and make the right decisions.”
These developments left Infantino cornered, and by Friday afternoon, numerous figures within the organization—speaking to The Athletic on condition of anonymity to protect their jobs—believed it was no longer a question of “if” the cord would be cut, but “when.”
Joshua Kushner’s venture capital firm Thrive had not withdrawn from the deal as of Friday night, but that became moot when FIFA management ultimately decided to kill the project via a public statement.
Joshua Kushner is the brother of Jared Kushner, the son-in-law of Donald Trump.
On Tuesday, world football’s governing body had announced its intention to establish FIFA Forward Enterprises (FFE), a new private entity to manage its flagship events, including the World Cup and the Club World Cup, with plans to sell a 21% minority stake in FFE to external investors.
The sale was targeted to generate $4.2 billion (£3.2 billion) in revenue. FIFA stated that this amount could be immediately distributed to its 211 member associations under a new funding stream named the “FIFA Fast-Forward Program” (FFFP).
Under the plan, FIFA’s total development funding would have exceeded $10 billion over the next four years.
Despite mounting criticism in recent days, FIFA confirmed that if member associations opposed the FFE plan but the proposal was accepted, the dissenting federations would each receive $20 million (£14.9 million) for the 2027–30 cycle, regardless of whether shares in FFE were sold to private investors (to be followed by $22 million for 2031–34 and $24 million for 2035–38).
However, had a given member association accepted the FFE proposal, it would have received $40 million for the 2027–30 period, with subsequent payouts remaining the same.
The three confederations that explicitly took a stand against FIFA’s plan represent 137 of the 211 FIFA member associations.
FIFA had stated that for the proposal to move forward, it required the approval of a majority of the 211 member associations as well as the 37-member FIFA Council, which consists of Infantino and eight FIFA vice presidents.
Strategic reactions and leadership crisis
South American football confederation CONMEBOL did not reject the plans in a statement on Friday, but noted that financial and commercial decisions “must always serve the interests of football and never take precedence over the essence of the game.”
According to a report by The Athletic, Infantino’s future leadership of FIFA was called into question during UEFA and CONCACAF meetings held on Thursday.
Infantino assumed the FIFA presidency in February 2016, succeeding Sepp Blatter, and was expected to run unopposed in the next election scheduled for March 2027.
There is also talk among European officials of putting forward Nasser Al-Khelaifi, the Qatari CEO of beIN Media, to run against Infantino.
Lise Klaveness, President of the Norwegian Football Federation, told VG: “My clear impression right now is that he has suffered a major loss of trust. We did not vote for him last time and were skeptical about this. There are many good aspects to FIFA, but if you take a lax approach to governance principles and rules, you lose trust quickly.”
Diplomacy
Defense Priorities director warns US air strategy in Middle East faces tactical limits
The collapse of a tentative memorandum of understanding between Washington and Tehran, coupled with the diminishing strategic returns of American air power, has left the United States locked in an unsustainable, low-intensity conflict with Iran, according to Benjamin Friedman, Policy Director at the Washington-based think tank Defense Priorities.
Speaking in an interview on the YouTube channel Harici with host Sarp Sinan Hacır, Friedman attributed the failure of the short-lived US-Iran memorandum primarily to the Trump administration’s diplomatic missteps, vague draft language, and unrealistic expectations regarding a comprehensive settlement.
“Both sides really deserve some blame, but the Trump administration deserves the bulk of the blame for drafting an agreement that was so vague on key terms,” Friedman said, citing ambiguities surrounding the timeline for unfreezing Iranian assets and the scope of American commitments to restrain Israeli military operations in Lebanon.
Friedman emphasized that deep-seated mistrust in Tehran, exacerbated by repeated instances where diplomatic engagement was followed by Israeli or American military strikes, led Iranian negotiators to adopt an unyielding posture. At the same time, he noted that Iran likely miscalculated by using disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz to aggressively force leverage.
“The Trump administration remained intent on this sort of grand bargain that would restrain Iran seeking weapons development… and I think they continue to misread the Iranian willingness to sign that kind of deal,” Friedman noted, adding that Tehran viewed its leverage over the Strait of Hormuz as essential despite the risk of provoking further strikes.
Expressing deep skepticism over the prospects for a lasting diplomatic breakthrough, Friedman criticized the administration’s reliance on informal envoys such as Steve Bannon and Jared Kushner over professional diplomatic channels, predicting that the baseline outcome will remain an unpredictable, episodic conflict.
“What’s more likely is a kind of on-off-again kind of war—sort of what we’re in now, where we have occasional strikes, with the United States perhaps by accident adopting the Israeli model of ‘mowing the lawn’ periodically,” Friedman said.
Addressing the efficacy of US air power, Friedman argued that military operations against Iranian targets have reached a point of diminishing returns. While early strikes successfully eliminated critical high-value assets—such as over-the-horizon radar systems that targeted anti-ship missiles—Iran’s ballistic missile and long-range drone capabilities remain largely intact and operational.
He pointed to a recent strike on a base hosting US personnel in Jordan, launched from western Iran over a distance exceeding 1,000 kilometers, as evidence of Tehran’s sustained strike precision and the tactical limits of American interdiction efforts.
“The war is a failure for air power even in a tactical sense,” Friedman stated. “Initially, we looked at it and said we had a lot of success in destroying targets, but as more information came out, it turned out they had maybe more than half of their missiles and launchers survive the initial phase of the war.”
Friedman observed that the global proliferation of low-cost, high-precision guidance technology has permanently altered the strategic landscape, neutralizing the traditional invulnerability of forward-deployed US installations. “The precise effects of air power that used to be almost a monopoly of the United States… is actually making our posture in the region less sustainable,” he said, warning that similar vulnerabilities would be vastly amplified in any potential high-intensity conflict with China.
As an alternative to open-ended military engagement, Friedman suggested that Washington consider a complete military withdrawal from the region, even if it entails accepting Iranian transit fees on commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. “The cost of preventing that through perpetual outbursts of warfare is much higher than just accepting it,” he noted.
Turning to regional dynamics, Friedman addressed Israel’s current absence from active strike operations against Iran, characterizing it as a calculated move to preserve its own air defense interceptors while relying on Washington to bear the operational and political burdens of containment.
On European security and the broader alliance structure, Friedman offered a critical assessment of the NATO summit in Ankara and the administration’s “NATO 3.0” concept. He described the white paper led by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth as an effort to coerce European states into escalating defense expenditures and purchasing American hardware under the threat of reduced security guarantees, rather than executing a structured, strategic US posture adjustment.
“This is not a real US withdrawal; it’s a kind of pressure to up your loyalty in a particular way,” Friedman said, noting that major European powers such as Germany, France, and the UK lack a compelling existential incentive to construct independent, large-scale conventional war-fighting capabilities.
Regarding bilateral relations with Ankara, Friedman noted that US-Turkish tensions have eased considerably following the shift in American posture in Syria and progress toward resolving long-standing friction points, including the F-35 program and S-400 procurement. He added that while Israeli leadership under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has expressed frustration over Washington’s constructive engagement with President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, the White House has maintained its strategic course despite pressure from domestic pro-Israel lobbying groups.
Addressing internal Republican Party dynamics, Friedman highlighted the evolving public stance of Vice President J.D. Vance, whose cautious criticism of Israeli influence and emphasis on divergent national interests reflects broader ideological shifts within the conservative base.
“Vance is more representative of the shift in the Republican Party,” Friedman said. “He’s criticizing them in a limited way and saying, ‘Our interests are different.’ From the perspective of those of us who would like the United States to have a more distant relationship from Israel, it’s progress.”
Looking ahead to the upcoming US midterm elections, Friedman anticipated that a loss of congressional control by the Republican Party would severely curtail the administration’s domestic executive overreach, though its structural impact on foreign policy execution and Middle Eastern operations would remain comparatively limited.
Diplomacy
UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham pledges full support to Ukraine in meeting with Zelenskyy
UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham has met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Portsmouth, England.
Zelenskyy is the first world leader Burnham has met in person since taking office, with the prime minister committing to building a “firm partnership” between the United Kingdom and Ukraine.
Demonstrating their support, the two leaders toured a military base in Portsmouth where 200 Ukrainian troops are currently undergoing naval training exercises.
Burnham described his meeting with the Ukrainian president as “warm” and said he plans to visit Ukraine soon.
“We will build this together and address the various issues President Zelenskyy is facing, many of which we discussed today,” Burnham said.
The meeting follows an announcement by London that it will share intellectual property rights to assist Kyiv’s war effort.
The new prime minister announced that the UK will share the “Stone Cloak” electronic warfare system—which is fitted to drones to prevent detection—and will assist Ukraine in mass-producing the technology.
Burnham has focused primarily on domestic matters since replacing Keir Starmer, who faced criticism from elements within his own party for spending too much time abroad and focusing heavily on foreign affairs.
However, Burnham sought to signal continuity in Britain’s policy toward Ukraine. In one of his first phone calls after becoming prime minister last week, Burnham invited Zelenskyy to visit the UK “as soon as possible.”
Starmer spent his final full day as prime minister in Kyiv, where he announced £255 million in funding for Ukraine.
Speaking to Sky on Monday, Zelenskyy said his telephone conversation with Burnham had been “very good.”
The Ukrainian leader noted that Starmer had previously assured him that “the new government would maintain the policy of supporting Ukraine during the war.”
The new prime minister told the Ukrainian leader it was “no coincidence” that he was his first international visitor since moving into Downing Street.
“The purpose of this is to send a very clear message. We stand 100% with Ukraine, I personally stand 100% with you, and I will fully deliver on every commitment this country has made to Ukraine,” Burnham said.
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