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Europe struggles to find troops for proposed Ukraine peacekeeping force

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Despite the commitment by European leaders to present a plan with security guarantees within a week to give Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy a stronger position in potential peace negotiations, implementing this plan appears challenging. There are significant obstacles to securing the necessary number of troops, authorization, and funding for its execution.

According to a Bloomberg report citing sources familiar with the matter, the deployment of a military contingent to Ukraine after military operations cease was discussed at a meeting of European leaders on August 19. This force is expected to be supplied by approximately 10 countries, including the United Kingdom and France.

On the same day, French President Emmanuel Macron stated that Europe was ready to deploy “support forces” composed of British, French, German, Turkish, and other soldiers to conduct operations on land, in the air, and at sea. Donald Trump, who said the US would not send troops to Ukraine, remarked that the first soldiers to set foot on Ukrainian soil would be “from France and Germany, that duo, and from the United Kingdom.”

However, interviews conducted by Politico magazine with European officials reveal that many questions about the plan remain unanswered. Issues such as which countries will send troops, the conditions of their deployment, how they would respond to a potential attack, and who will cover the costs remain uncertain.

Troops must have combat authorization

A European security official told Politico that the military unit must have at least “combat authorization” to be able to defend itself against a possible attack from Russia.

The official stated that the task of monitoring violations of the peace agreement would belong to Ukrainian soldiers. Meanwhile, French officials warned against engaging in “theoretical discussions” about sending troops.

Macron and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, who have emerged as leaders of the coalition, are eager to demonstrate their countries’ roles on the world stage.

However, the domestic political positions of both leaders have weakened. “Considering how politically weak Macron and Starmer are, it’s not easy to see how this plan will be implemented,” an EU diplomat said, noting the difficult economic situations in both countries.

Germany’s troop shortage

Germany faces its own unique challenges in supporting the plan. Although President Friedrich Merz passed a law allocating significant funds to the armed forces through the Bundestag before taking office, a reform to increase the size of the German military has not yet begun.

The German army (Bundeswehr) currently consists of just over 182,000 soldiers. Even the armored brigade that began its permanent deployment in Lithuania this year is being formed gradually. Initially, only 150 soldiers were sent near Vilnius, with this number expected to reach 500 by the end of the year and a combat-ready force of 5,000 soldiers not until 2027.

German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul expressed that his country might not have enough soldiers for Ukraine either. Merz said it was too early to give a definitive answer on the matter and that it needed to be discussed with coalition partners. Andreas Schwarz, the Bundestag representative responsible for overseeing the defense budget for the coalition partner Social Democratic Party, told Politico that the decision to send troops should be made by parliament, not the chancellor.

Pointing to the army’s insufficient number of soldiers, Schwarz said, “We do not have the soldiers for a large military contingent. It will be difficult to deploy even a small unit.”

According to Deutsche Welle, opposition parties in Germany, including the right-wing Alternative for Germany and the leftist The Left party, also oppose the idea of sending German soldiers to Ukraine.

Poland will not send troops, Italy proposes a defense pact

Poland, which has one of the largest armies in Europe, has refused to send troops, though it has stated it is ready to provide logistical support.

A senior Polish official told Politico, “Poland has its own strategic dilemma: because it borders Russia and Belarus, it cannot weaken the forces needed to deter an attack.”

Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni argues that it would be more sensible to offer Ukraine a defense pact instead of sending troops.

As reported by Corriere della Sera, Meloni asked, “Russia has 1.3 million soldiers; how many troops would we have to send to handle this mission?” For this reason, Meloni proposed giving Ukraine collective defense guarantees similar to NATO’s Article 5, instead of Macron’s idea.

Meloni added, “If one of our soldiers dies, will we turn a blind eye, or will we have to react? If we react, it clearly means NATO will have to react. In that case, we might as well activate the [Article 5] provision immediately.”

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EU states hold talks with Taliban in Brussels on Afghan returns

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Representatives from 15 European Union member states met with the Taliban in Brussels on June 23 to discuss the return of Afghan nationals to Afghanistan.

A European Commission spokesperson said on Tuesday that the meeting was co-chaired with Sweden. Belgium and the Netherlands also took part.

The Commission stressed that the discussions primarily focused on the return of Afghan citizens with criminal records or those considered security threats.

Talks covered a wide range of issues, including the identification of returnees, the issuance of travel documents and procedures related to their repatriation.

However, Johannes Luchner, a senior European Commission official who travelled to Kabul in January, had previously indicated that the scope could extend beyond convicted individuals.

Addressing European lawmakers at the end of January, he said: “Our primary concern is the return of criminals, but the number of non-criminal Afghans who have received return orders is also increasing.”

Another EU source has now expressed a similar view. Speaking to EUobserver on Tuesday ahead of the meeting, the source said the discussions would also cover the return of asylum seekers whose applications had been rejected.

Earlier in the day, the Commission declined to provide details about the meeting.

As a result, questions remained unanswered regarding who covered the Taliban delegation’s travel expenses, where the meeting would take place, whether women would participate and what the Taliban expected in return for assisting the EU with deportations of Afghan nationals.

The EU and its member states have not recognised the Taliban government since it returned to power five years ago.

Brussels defended its decision to maintain limited contacts with Afghanistan’s “de facto authorities,” arguing that such engagement is necessary to facilitate the deportation of rejected asylum seekers who have committed crimes or are considered dangerous.

A European Commission spokesperson said officials from the Commission and 15 EU member states attended the Brussels meeting, which followed a previous gathering held in Kabul in January.

“The Commission services and Sweden today co-chaired a technical-level meeting in Brussels together with technical-level representatives of Afghanistan’s de facto authorities responsible for return and readmission matters,” the spokesperson said.

A spokesperson for Afghanistan’s Foreign Ministry said the agenda was broader and included the possibility of a future consular presence in the EU, the resumption of consular services for Afghans living there and “the need for confidence-building measures.”

Spokesperson Abdul Qahar Balkhi added that the meeting raised hopes of creating “positive momentum to safeguard the consular rights of Afghans residing abroad.”

According to a European Commission letter addressed to Balkhi and reviewed by Reuters, the discussions would focus on “the return and readmission of Afghan nationals without a right to reside in the EU.”

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EU defence chief calls for integration of Ukraine’s military into European defence architecture

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The European Union’s Defence Commissioner, Andrius Kubilius, said the bloc should integrate Ukraine into a future European defence union, speaking at the European Defence and Security Summit in Brussels.

According to remarks reported by Reuters, Kubilius said: “It would be difficult to make sense of things if we did not regard the integration of Ukraine’s armed forces into our defence architecture in Europe as a vital issue.”

Kubilius stressed that Ukraine currently holds a dominant position on the battlefield thanks to the transformation of its military doctrine.

Calling for the integration of Europe’s defence industry and Ukraine’s manufacturing facilities into a single military structure, Kubilius said Ukraine should be fully integrated into the EU’s military market.

He added that the European Commission could present a detailed analysis of the defence market and initial proposals for next steps as early as next week.

At a later stage, the commissioner said, the Commission would propose changes to defence procurement rules and other market regulations.

Kubilius also outlined a strategic objective for the European Union.

He argued that EU member states should spend around €7 trillion on arms production over the next decade in order to surpass Russia in military strength and weapons stockpiles. According to Kubilius, such spending would be consistent with commitments under NATO to raise defence budgets to 5% of gross domestic product.

Urging Europeans to be prepared to bear the cost, Kubilius described it as “the price of peace.”

At the same time, he suggested moving away from the production of highly sophisticated weapons that are difficult to manufacture in large quantities. Instead, citing the example of drones used in Ukraine, he called for a focus on producing “enormous quantities of satisfactory weapons.”

The EU Defence Commissioner also underscored the need to integrate Ukraine’s innovative defence industry into Europe’s broader defence and technological base.

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Hungary blocks joint EU letter backing Ukraine and Moldova accession process

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Hungary has refused to endorse a joint letter intended to be sent on behalf of all 27 European Union member states to the European Council and the European Commission in support of Ukraine’s and Moldova’s accession to the bloc.

According to Politico, citing sources familiar with the matter, the letter is required for Kyiv’s and Chisinau’s membership applications to advance to the next stage of the accession process.

The sources said Hungary was the only member state that declined to back the document. Because approval requires the consent of all 27 member states, the issue is expected to be revisited next week.

Hungary, which previously blocked Ukraine’s accession negotiations for an extended period, was led at the time by Prime Minister Viktor Orban. His successor, Prime Minister Peter Magyar, has not opposed the launch of the negotiation process but has insisted on removing the phrase “as soon as possible” from the draft letter’s reference to Ukraine’s accession.

Magyar said Hungary does not support opening all negotiating chapters simultaneously in an effort to accelerate Ukraine’s membership bid.

Explaining the government’s position, he said: “Partly because the ink on the documents relating to the first chapter has barely dried, and partly because this would send the wrong message to Western Balkan countries such as Serbia, Albania, Montenegro and North Macedonia, which have been working for years to become members of the European Union.”

The European Union formally opened the first chapter of accession negotiations with Ukraine and Moldova in June. The process was launched during a ceremony in Luxembourg attended by the foreign ministers of member states and is divided into six thematic clusters covering different areas of legislation and policy.

The opening of the first cluster, which covers core issues including the rule of law, the functioning of democratic institutions and public administration, marks the transition from the preparatory phase to practical work on meeting accession requirements.

The EU’s ambassador to Ukraine, Katarina Mathernova, has said Kyiv could join the bloc by 2030, although the final timeline will depend on how quickly the Ukrainian authorities complete the required legal and institutional reforms.

Mathernova also said she hoped all 33 negotiating chapters could be opened by the end of the summer.

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