Diplomacy
Europe welcomes Japan’s shift to non-US arms suppliers
European defense companies indicate that Japan has been rapidly opening its doors to non-American military equipment suppliers since the election of US President Donald Trump.
According to the Financial Times (FT), Tokyo’s growing inclination to turn to suppliers outside its traditional defense partner was a focal point at Japan’s largest defense industry fair, held this month in Makuhari, near Tokyo.
This development follows Trump unnerving US allies worldwide by questioning Washington’s commitment to common defense.
Company representatives attending the three-day International Defence and Security Equipment Japan (DSEI) fair stated that Japanese politicians and officials have made it clear they are now more open to deals with companies outside the US, supported by plans to significantly increase national defense spending.
Lars Eriksson, Saab’s country manager for Japan, said, “In the past, this area was dominated by the US. But recently, doors have opened for other countries to take a larger slice of the pie.”
Paul MacGregor, managing director of the British sensor and information defense group Roke, also noted a change in Japan, indicating a sentiment among Japanese officials of “we love anything as long as it’s not American-made.”
Roke, owned by the UK-listed Chemring, supplied electronic warfare systems to Japan’s Self-Defense Forces for the first time last year and hopes to generate £100 million in revenue from the Japanese market over the next five years by expanding its relationship with local trading company Kaigai.
British, Italian, Scandinavian, Israeli, and German defense manufacturers echoed MacGregor’s enthusiasm, stating that the domestic arms market has completely changed following the war in Ukraine.
The war increased Tokyo’s awareness of “geopolitical uncertainties” and convinced policymakers to take more precautions against what they see as the strategic threat of an increasingly powerful and assertive China.
In 2023, Japan announced plans to increase its defense spending limit from approximately 1% of GDP, a level maintained since the 1960s, to 2% by 2027.
As a sign of the changing commercial landscape, 471 companies from 33 countries participated in the DSEI trade fair. This number represents an increase of over 60% compared to the previous event in 2023. Of these, 128 came from Europe, marking the largest participation to date.
James de St John-Pryce, business director for British armored vehicle manufacturer NMS UK, commented, “While Japan has hitherto had a much more US-centric approach, it now seems far more open to what the UK, Europe, and broader international allies have to offer. Amid mixed messages from the US, mutual cooperation between the UK and Japan has become much more meaningful.”
Robert Dane, CEO of Australian uncrewed marine vessel supplier Ocius, said that his company’s talks to supply the Japanese navy have “defied expectations since last October by moving at lightning speed.”
Dane added, “We were told this was going to take six years and involve a lot of sake.”
In a speech at the fair on Thursday, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba emphasized Japan’s inclination to open up to deeper partnerships with missile, drone, and fighter jet manufacturers.
Ishiba stated, “To ensure the peace and stability of Japan and the wider region, it is extremely important to promote cooperation in the transfer, joint development, and production of defense equipment.”
Japan’s most significant military collaboration is the Global Combat Air Programme (GCAP), a multi-billion dollar fighter jet project with the United Kingdom and Italy. The explicit aim of this program is to find state-of-the-art alternatives to US military technologies, which are often kept secret.
Andrew Howard, Future Combat Air director at Leonardo UK, one of four companies that will supply avionics systems for the fighter jet, added, “The essence of the GCAP program is freedom of action and freedom to modify for each nation. The desire to retain significant sovereign capabilities in each of the three nations… is reinforced by concerns over US behavior.”
The Trump administration is trying to alleviate Asian allies’ concerns about its commitment. US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, who visited Japan at the end of March, praised Japan as an “exemplary ally” and said Washington and Tokyo were beginning to establish a “war headquarters.”
Hegseth noted that “America First” does not mean “America alone.”
In this context, attendees at the defense fair agreed that even if supply and joint development activities with Europe increase significantly, the US will remain Japan’s primary defense partner and supplier.
Diplomacy
Greece’s Marinakis says paying Hormuz transit fees beats enduring Red Sea shipping crisis detour
Evangelos Marinakis, one of Greece’s leading shipowners, has announced that he is prepared to pay up to $200,000 per transit to keep the Strait of Hormuz open to civilian maritime traffic.
Speaking to the Financial Times, Marinakis stated that paying a transit fee would be a far better option for him than having the strait closed to navigation.
As the chairman of Capital Maritime Group, which controls a fleet of 185 vessels including approximately 35 tankers, Marinakis emphasized that shipowners have been forced to use alternative routes around the Cape of Good Hope for years due to attacks launched by the Houthis in the Red Sea, a detour that has generated substantial additional costs.
The Greek shipowner indicated that paying a transit fee of $100,000 or $200,000, depending on the size of the cargo or the vessel, is far more reasonable than enduring the current logistical challenges. He added that such payments could offset all the losses experienced so far.
Following US strikes on Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the Tehran administration had introduced transit fees of up to $2 million for certain vessels transiting the waterway.
In May, Iran announced the establishment of a state agency tasked with managing the Strait of Hormuz. It was stated that the institution in question would provide real-time updates regarding maritime activities in the waterway.
Ebrahim Azizi, the chairman of the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, had noted that only commercial vessels and countries cooperating with Iran would be able to benefit from the facilities provided under this “professional mechanism.”
US President Donald Trump has explicitly opposed the imposition of transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz. In a statement on the matter, Trump said, “We want the strait to be open. We do not want any transit fees to be charged. This is an international waterway.”
On the other hand, the draft text of a planned 60-day ceasefire extension agreement between the parties stipulates that the Strait of Hormuz will remain open without any transit fees being demanded.
According to the draft details reviewed by Axios, the US in return commits to lifting the blockade it has imposed on Iranian ports. The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, however, announced that the management of the Strait of Hormuz has been excluded from the scope of the agreement with the US, asserting that the issue will be addressed solely by littoral states.
Diplomacy
Pashinyan promises aid to farmers hit by Russian import restrictions
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has pledged compensation for Armenian farmers affected by restrictions on exports to Russia.
According to Sputnik Armenia, Pashinyan made the announcement during an election campaign meeting in the Gegharkunik region.
Speaking at the event, Pashinyan said the subsidies would be designed to offset losses incurred by producers.
The prime minister also acknowledged that some Armenian products had failed to meet required quality standards, adding that such companies would receive support aimed at improving product quality.
Addressing alternative markets for Armenian exports, Pashinyan said several Armenian business delegations were already engaged in negotiations abroad.
He added that Armenia had received offers for the purchase of roses as well as fresh fruits and vegetables.
Pashinyan argued that Armenia’s agricultural output was not particularly large, describing this as an advantage under current circumstances. According to the prime minister, “a respected supermarket chain in Europe” would be capable of selling the entire volume of these products on its own.
Russia’s Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance (Rosselkhoznadzor) imposed temporary restrictions on imports of stone fruits and grapes from Armenia effective July 2.
The ban covers cherries, sour cherries, apricots, plums, peaches and nectarines, among other products.
On the same day, a temporary suspension was also introduced on certification procedures for live fish shipments from Armenia. Russian authorities had previously restricted the entry of flower products originating from Armenia into the Russian market.
In addition, Russia’s Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing (Rospotrebnadzor) halted the import of all consignments of Jermuk mineral water from Armenia.
In a statement, the agency said levels of bicarbonate, chloride and sulfate ions in the mineral water exceeded established limits and could mislead consumers regarding the product’s medicinal properties.
The Russian regulator argued that the growing number of violations stemmed from the abolition of Armenia’s Agriculture Ministry and the transfer of its responsibilities to the Economy Ministry.
Rosselkhoznadzor further stated that Armenia’s Economy Ministry was experiencing structural problems and was unable to adequately perform the supervisory functions assigned to it.
Diplomacy
Zelenskyy urges US to grant Ukraine license to produce Patriot missiles
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said he has asked the United States to grant Ukraine a license to manufacture missiles for the Patriot air defence system.
In a post on social media platform X, Zelenskyy argued that current US production of missile defence interceptors is insufficient and could contribute to crises in different parts of the world.
“Producing 60-65 missiles a month is nothing compared with the challenges we face today. This is no secret, and Russia knows it as well,” Zelenskyy wrote. “We need to expand production. As I requested from the previous US administration, I am asking the current administration to grant Ukraine a license to produce Patriot missiles.”
Zelenskyy said US companies possess advanced technologies that are not available in Ukraine, while Kyiv could contribute its extensive battlefield experience in return.
He also argued that granting such a license would benefit not only Ukraine, but also the Middle East and any country Washington chooses to support.
Washington pledges to maintain defence support
Zelenskyy’s remarks came a day after US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on May 30 that Washington would continue supporting Ukraine’s defence capabilities and ensure military shipments to Kyiv continue.
“We want them to be able to defend themselves, and we will find a way to help them do that,” Hegseth said.
Several days earlier, Yuriy Ihnat, spokesperson for the Ukrainian Air Force, warned that the country’s air defence forces were experiencing a shortage of missiles.
“Due to certain supply problems, we are practically at starvation levels when it comes to missiles today,” Ihnat said.
Concerns persist over air defence missile stocks
In April, Zelenskyy warned that Ukraine’s stockpile of air defence missiles could be exhausted at any moment.
He said that under current conditions, air defence missiles were more critical for Ukraine than the air defence systems themselves.
Highlighting what he described as a critical shortage of Patriot missiles, Zelenskyy said: “We are facing a deficit now that could hardly be worse.”
Concerns that Ukraine could face a severe shortage of US-made air defence missiles had previously been reported by Reuters.
The situation was expected to worsen as the United States and its allies depleted significant portions of their arsenals during tensions with Iran, a point Zelenskyy also underscored.
In a separate statement in January, Zelenskyy said Ukraine lacked sufficient missiles for both US- and European-made air defence systems.
The Ukrainian leader said he had been forced to personally secure every package of missiles from European countries and the United States.
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