America
Fear of “if Biden loses, Trump comes” in the West

Could the potential loss of US President Joe Biden in the 2024 presidential election bolster Russia’s negotiating stance? According to four senior US and European officials who spoke to CNN International, Russian leader Putin is strategizing his Ukrainian war plans with an eye on the 2024 elections. According to US and EU officials, Moscow believes that Biden’s departure from office could strengthen its position in Ukraine.
The conflict in Ukraine is intensifying in various hot spots, from Donbass in eastern Ukraine to the Black Sea and the coast of Odessa, making it challenging to forecast the immediate future of the war. Nonetheless, in the medium term, the trajectory of events can be somewhat predicted.
Currently, it appears unlikely that either side will achieve a definitive military victory.
During this stage of the war, Russia is concentrating on depleting Ukraine’s resources, while the Ukrainian government is actively seeking to enhance its inventory with advanced weapon systems, notably F-16 fighter jets.
While Russia is solidifying its position and has not shown significant vulnerability on the front line, even in the face of military rebellions like Wagner’s, the future military aid and training processes for the Ukrainian army, as well as the duration of the war for Ukraine, appear to be contingent on external developments beyond Kyiv’s control.
US and European officials have already initiated discussions regarding the implications of the 2024 presidential elections in light of the ongoing context. According to four US and EU officials who spoke to CNN International, Russian President Vladimir Putin has factored the 2024 presidential elections into his strategic considerations for the Ukrainian conflict.
“Trump will help Putin”
An anonymous US official suggests that Putin is trying to “hold out” until the 2024 election. According to the same source, Putin “knows that Trump will help him. So do the Ukrainians and our European partners.”
Former US President Donald Trump has consistently asserted in his statements on Ukraine that he could swiftly resolve the conflict in a day or two. Moreover, numerous Republicans in the US Senate and House of Representatives have been critical of and have questioned the provision of aid to Ukraine throughout the duration of the war.
According to a recent CNN International poll, a majority of Americans are opposed to providing further aid to Ukraine. Specifically, 71 percent of Republicans believe that Congress should not authorize new funding, and 59 percent of Republicans are of the opinion that the US has already done enough to assist Ukraine. On the other hand, the sentiments among Democrats differ significantly, with 62 percent expressing support for providing additional funding to Ukraine, and 61 percent believing that the US should do more to aid the country.
Donald Trump’s extremely heavy dossier, in which he is accused of interfering in the outcome of the 2020 US presidential election, makes sense in this context.
2023 summer front
During this summer, two significant developments had an impact on the conflict in Ukraine. The first was the NATO Summit, and the second was Russia’s withdrawal from the Grain Corridor agreement. Ukraine aimed to attend the summit with a military victory, but NATO commanders urged them to launch an offensive they were not fully prepared for. Despite their efforts, the Ukrainian forces were unable to break through the multi-layered defense lines established by Russia, which had learned from past mistakes of the last year. Additionally, there was a rebellion by the Wagner Group during the offensive, but it did not lead to a favorable outcome for Ukraine.
When the offensive did not yield the desired results, the special forces attack on the Crimean Bridge and drone strikes against Moscow became prominent in Ukraine’s military actions.
In response to the situation before and after the NATO summit, Russia withdrew from the Grain Corridor. It started to strike Ukraine’s ports and Black Sea coasts again.
Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu also visited the conflict zone in Ukraine. He inspected the command center of the Central Troop Group and received reports from the commanders of the troops on the current situation and performance.
The US administration is calling on the UN Security Council to take action against Russia, which seems to have recovered on the front line compared to a year ago.
According to the US, Russia is using food as a weapon and striking ports in Ukraine. A document condemning this has been submitted by the US to the UN Security Council. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has also called on Security Council members to say “enough” to Moscow.
Moscow, for its part, says it will return to the Grain Corridor Agreement only after the compromise text includes steps to remove obstacles to the export of Russian agricultural products. According to the Kremlin, Ukrainian grain mainly goes to rich countries, not poor ones.
A reminder: Jubilation for Trump in Damascus in 2016
Beyond the daily and weekly developments, the 2024 elections will redefine the attitude of both Moscow and the Western bloc towards the Ukrainian war. In 2016, it is worth remembering why the Damascus regime cheered when Trump won the presidency. We do not know what would have happened in Syria, the hot conflict zone of that period, if Hilary Clinton, who laughed at the cameras during a program about Gaddafi, had won. However, trying to evaluate the possible effects of the US elections in 2024 on the Ukraine crisis by looking at the effects of the previous elections on Syria is also quite possible and perhaps the subject of a separate article.
America
OpenAI eyes Google’s Chrome browser amid antitrust trial

Nick Turley, manager of the ChatGPT unit at artificial intelligence giant OpenAI, said in a court hearing on Tuesday, June 18, that OpenAI would be interested in buying Google’s Chrome browser if a federal court decides to separate it.
As reported by Bloomberg, when asked if they would want to buy Google’s browser, Turley replied, “Yes, we would, just like many other parties.”
Turley was called to testify by the Department of Justice as part of a three-week hearing aimed at determining what changes Alphabet Inc.’s Google should be required to make to its business practices after a federal judge ruled last year that the company had monopolized the search market.
Judge Amit Mehta is expected to decide by August what business practices Google must change.
The Department of Justice has requested that Google be forced to divest Chrome.
Currently, OpenAI’s chatbot ChatGPT has an extension available for users to download on Google’s Chrome browser.
However, Turley stated that deeper integration of Chrome with OpenAI would allow them to offer a better product.
“If ChatGPT were integrated into Chrome, you could offer a truly incredible experience. We would have the ability to introduce users to what an AI-centric experience looks like,” Turley added.
Turley said that one of the most difficult problems the company faces today is distribution, noting that the company had reached a deal to integrate ChatGPT into Apple Inc.’s iPhone but had not achieved any success with Android smartphone manufacturers.
Earlier, a Google executive had acknowledged that the company began paying Samsung Electronics Co. in January to pre-install its Gemini AI application on its phones.
That deal is not exclusive, but Turley said OpenAI had made little progress in discussions with the South Korean company due to Google’s ability to spend more than the startup.
“It’s not for lack of trying,” Turley said. “We just never got to a point where we could discuss concrete terms.”
Later in his testimony, Turley said they were “deeply concerned about being shut out” by some of the large companies in the market, such as Google.
“We have powerful competitors who control the access points for how our products are discovered,” Turley stated. “People discover through a browser or an app store. Real choice fosters competition. Users should be able to choose.”
Launched in November 2022, ChatGPT quickly achieved viral success as one of the fastest-growing consumer software products of all time.
In February, OpenAI reported having over 400 million weekly active users.
Turley stated that the company had exceeded its weekly active user targets for 2024 but did not provide a number.
This week, Google began facing off against the Department of Justice and dozens of state attorneys general over what changes Mehta will order to prevent the company from monopolizing the online search market.
The remedies proposed by the Department of Justice include forcing Google to sell its Chrome browser, licensing search data to competitors, and stopping paid agreements for exclusive positions on apps and devices.
Google argues that the government’s proposal would harm consumers by degrading everyday Google products and would damage US leadership in technology.
If the court orders Google to sell its popular web browser, it would mark the first time a major US company has been broken up by court order since the breakup of AT&T in the 1980s.
America
US imposes new Iran sanctions amid nuclear talks

As preparations continue for the third round of US-Iran nuclear negotiations, new sanctions against Iran have emerged. The US administration announced new sanctions targeting an Iranian LPG company and its affiliated entities. Iran condemned the new sanctions, stating they “contradict the dialogue process.”
At a time when nuclear negotiations between Tehran and Washington were reportedly “progressing better than expected,” the US imposed new sanctions on Iran’s energy sector. Days before the third round of nuclear talks, the US Treasury Department announced new sanctions targeting Seyyed Asadollah Emamjomeh, a leading Iranian businessman in the liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) sector, and his associated corporate network. The sanctions were imposed within the framework of the “maximum pressure” policy against Iran, which US President Donald Trump continued despite the nuclear negotiations.
In its statement, the US Treasury Department alleged that Emamjomeh and the affiliates of his son, Meysam Emamjomeh, a British and Iranian citizen residing in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), “provide revenue to the Iranian regime and its proxies.” The department stated that the father and son “own and operate an LPG sales, transportation, and delivery network worth hundreds of millions of dollars using multiple Iran and UAE-based companies,” and made the following claim:
“In addition to crude oil, LPG continues to be a significant revenue source for the Iranian regime, and this revenue finances Iran’s nuclear and advanced conventional weapons programs, as well as regional proxy groups and partners such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, and Hamas.”
In a written statement regarding the new sanctions, Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Ismail Bekayi said that the sanctions were a clear indication of the Washington administration’s hostile attitude towards the Iranian people and contradicted the US’s claims of dialogue.
Bekayi stated that the US was “bullying for political pressure” and that the sanctions were “illegal.”
The new sanctions were announced at a time when sources speaking to al-Arabi al-Jadeed said that “nuclear negotiations between Tehran and Washington are progressing better than expected.” These sources had stated, “We expect an agreement between Tehran and Washington within the next two months – which is likely to be sooner. Iran-American negotiations are progressing better than expected.”
The report noted that “the serious conduct of the American negotiator surprised the Iranian side; unrealistic demands unrelated to the nuclear dispute were not raised,” and used the phrase, “The US approves Iran’s right to enrich uranium in principle.” The sources also said that Iran had “submitted proposals to provide assurances regarding the peaceful nature of its nuclear program.”
The first round of nuclear negotiations between Tehran and Washington, mediated by Oman, took place last Saturday in Muscat, and the second round was held on April 19 in Rome. The third round is planned to take place this Saturday in Oman.
America
Three prosecutors resign in New York Mayor Adams case

Three Manhattan federal prosecutors working on the criminal case against New York Mayor Eric Adams resigned on Tuesday, accusing the Department of Justice of “forcing us to admit wrongdoing” in connection with their opposition to the dismissal of charges.
In a letter to Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche, the prosecutors stated, “The Department has decided that obedience is paramount, asking us to abandon our legal and ethical obligations in favor of Washington’s directives. This is wrong.”
The prosecutors alleged that Adams improperly issued permits for the “Turkish House,” a building constructed directly across from the United Nations building in Manhattan, and the Consulate General of the Republic of Türkiye building in exchange for luxury class flights, hotel suite accommodations, and meals at upscale restaurants.
Prosecutors Celia Cohen, Andrew Rohrbach, and Derek Wikstrom, along with US Attorney Danielle Sassoon, who was working in Manhattan at the time, were placed on administrative leave in February after they refused to accept the Department of Justice’s directive to dismiss the five-count corruption case against the Democratic mayor.
Sassoon, along with at least five other prosecutors in New York and Washington, had resigned in protest. The prosecutors had alleged that the Department of Justice dropped the case in exchange for the mayor’s support for President Donald Trump’s policy objectives, particularly regarding immigration practices.
The Department stated that it would review the prosecutors’ handling of the case, and Cohen, Rohrbach, and Wikstrom said in their letter that officials had improperly pressured them to admit errors in their conduct.
The prosecutors wrote, “It is now clear that one of the preconditions you have set for our return to the Office is that we express remorse and admit to certain errors made by the Office in connection with the request to dismiss the case. We will not confess to wrongdoing when there was none.”
The prosecutors’ letter comes at a time when the Manhattan US Attorney’s Office is in turmoil regarding the outcome of the Adams case. On Tuesday, interim US Attorney Jay Clayton, nominated by Trump for the position, took over as the department’s interim leader.
Clayton was appointed to the interim position last week after Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer announced he would block his nomination, citing concerns about the Department of Justice’s stance.
Clayton, who has never worked as a prosecutor, spent most of his career at Sullivan & Cromwell, the law firm Trump hired to represent him in his appeal of his criminal conviction in Manhattan earlier this year.
According to a person familiar with the matter, Clayton is preparing to hire Amanda Houle, another Sullivan & Cromwell partner, to serve as the office’s chief of criminal division.
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