Middle East
First phase of Trump’s Gaza plan begins with ceasefire and partial Israeli withdrawal
The first phase of Trump’s Gaza plan is in effect, calling for a cessation of hostilities within 24 hours and the release of hostages within 72 hours.
The Israeli government approved a ceasefire with Hamas last night, paving the way for a halt to the fighting in Gaza within 24 hours, followed by the release of Israeli hostages within 72 hours.
The Israeli public broadcaster KAN announced that the agreement was signed by both Israel and Hamas and has been endorsed by mediating countries.
According to the details of the published agreement, hostilities will cease immediately upon the Israeli government’s approval. The ceasefire includes a complete stop to all military activities, including airstrikes, artillery fire, and ground offensives.
With the first phase of the Gaza plan now in effect, the ceasefire will be implemented immediately, and the Israeli army will withdraw to a border defined as the “yellow line” within 24 hours. Following this process, Hamas is expected to release all Israeli prisoners within 72 hours.
Immediately after the Israeli government’s approval, all humanitarian aid will be allowed to enter Gaza and be distributed freely. This measure will be based on the standard of 600 aid trucks per day, as established in the decision dated January 19, 2025.
Israel-Palestine-Egypt-Qatar-Türkiye joint mechanism
It was decided that Hamas will transfer information about the deceased Israeli soldiers in its possession to a joint mechanism to be established with the participation of Qatar, Egypt, Türkiye, and the International Committee of the Red Cross.
Under the agreement, the Israeli army will withdraw to the designated “X” borders (a partial withdrawal) within 24 hours of US President Donald Trump’s announcement. The army will not be able to re-enter the areas from which it has withdrawn, and the ceasefire will be fully implemented.
Following the complete withdrawal, the process of releasing all Israeli prisoners in Gaza (both living and deceased) will begin.
The Israeli side states that there are 48 Israeli prisoners in Gaza, 20 of whom are alive, while over 11,000 Palestinians are held in Israeli prisons. According to Palestinian and Israeli human rights sources, these detainees are held in conditions of torture, starvation, and medical neglect.
According to the document, aerial surveillance will be suspended in the areas from which the Israeli army withdraws during the initial 72-hour period. Furthermore, the release of prisoners will take place without any ceremonies or media coverage, and the process will be supervised by a joint committee consisting of the US, Qatar, Egypt, and Türkiye.
The KAN report, citing unnamed sources, stated that the locations of some Israeli soldiers’ bodies have not yet been identified, and an Israel-Palestine-Egypt-Qatar-Türkiye joint mechanism will be established to address this issue.
‘Partial withdrawal has begun’
With the agreement coming into effect, Israeli forces reportedly began a gradual withdrawal from the Gaza Strip this morning.
According to reports on KAN, following the acceptance of the agreement, Israeli soldiers are withdrawing from some occupied areas in Gaza to “deployment lines.”
Israel Army Radio also reported that some brigades have withdrawn from Gaza after the agreement went into effect.
Hamas: We received assurances
Khalil al-Hayya, Hamas’s Gaza official in exile, stated that he received assurances from the US and other mediators that the war is over.
Al-Hayya thanked the mediating countries—Türkiye, Egypt, and Qatar—for their significant role in achieving the agreement. He also expressed appreciation for Yemen, Lebanon, Iraq, and Iran, who joined them in the war.
Referring to the guarantee that the war has ended, al-Hayya said: “We have received a guarantee from the mediators and the US administration that the war is over, and we will continue to work with national and Islamic forces to complete the remaining steps.”
Obstacles remain
Despite this, many things could go wrong. Even after the agreement was signed, a Palestinian source said the list of hundreds of Palestinians to be released has not been finalized. Hamas is demanding the release of some prominent Palestinian prisoners held in Israeli jails and hundreds of others detained during Israel’s attacks.
The subsequent steps in Trump’s 20-point plan have not yet been negotiated. These include how the devastated Gaza Strip will be governed once the fighting ends and the ultimate fate of Hamas, which rejects Israel’s demand for disarmament.
Netanyahu is also viewed with suspicion within his coalition, as many members have long opposed any deal with Hamas. Indeed, in the cabinet meeting where the agreement was voted on, the first phase of the Trump plan received 24 votes in favor and 4 against. Those who voted against were National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, Diaspora Affairs Minister Amichai Chikli, and Heritage Minister Amihai Eliyahu.
Trump to visit the region
Trump announced that he will travel to the region on Sunday and may attend a possible signing ceremony in Egypt. Israeli Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana has also invited Trump to address the Knesset. This would be the first time a US president has spoken at the Knesset since 2008.
Meanwhile, US officials speaking to the Associated Press reported that the US Central Command (CENTCOM) will establish a “civil-military coordination center” in Israel. The officials emphasized that approximately 200 US soldiers will be deployed to Israel as part of a structure that will also include partner countries and NGOs to support and monitor the ceasefire’s implementation. They stressed that no US soldiers will enter the Gaza Strip.
On October 7, 2023, militants led by Hamas attacked Israeli towns and a music festival, killing 1,200 people and taking 251 hostage. To date, Israel’s attacks on Gaza have resulted in the deaths of more than 67,000 Palestinians.
Middle East
US waives human rights terms on $320m military aid to Egypt
The US State Department stated that it has waived human rights conditions on more than $300 million in military aid to Egypt.
The statement emphasised that this decision was taken in consideration of Cairo’s “helpful role” since the outbreak of the war against Iran.
Egypt began receiving substantial support from the US after signing a peace treaty with Israel in 1979.
Since the late 1980s, the country has received approximately $1.3 billion annually in US military assistance.
A portion of this aid is subject to conditions related to human rights and democracy, which can be waived on national security grounds.
Withholding funds, including during the administration of former US President Joe Biden, has caused tension between Cairo and Washington in the past.
A letter dated 21 September and addressed to various congressional committees, obtained by Reuters, stated that Secretary of State Marco Rubio “decided to waive the certification requirement under the fiscal year 2025 Foreign Military Financing programme for Egypt of $320 million.”
This waiver was subsequently confirmed by the State Department.
An accompanying memorandum justifying the decision stated that this portion of military aid was “essential for counterterrorism, border security, or non-proliferation programmes, or otherwise important to the national security interests of the United States.”
The memorandum, dated 4 September and bearing Rubio’s signature, stated: “Exercising this waiver authority is critical to the US-Egypt relationship and to US national security priorities, particularly given the helpful role Egypt has played in the aftermath of Operation Epic Fury.”
“Operation Epic Fury” is the designation used by the US military for the campaign launched jointly with Israel against Iran in late February.
The State Department memorandum, whose authenticity was confirmed by two sources in Washington familiar with the letter, did not provide detailed information regarding what was termed Egypt’s “helpful role”.
The State Department’s annual decision on military aid to Egypt typically covers funds allocated for the preceding fiscal year, which ends on 30 September.
A State Department spokesperson stated that Rubio waived the certification in the interest of US national security and that the US continues to cooperate with the Egyptian government across a range of issues.
In an emailed statement, the spokesperson said: “This waiver recognizes the importance of maintaining security cooperation with Egypt at a time of significant security challenges in the region.”
The Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not immediately comment on the matter.
The spillover effects of the Iran war have imposed a heavy toll on US security partners, including Egypt.
Owing to rising fuel prices and other disruptions, the Egyptian economy is passing through a difficult period.
Under the Biden administration, the US withheld portions of the annual military allocation on multiple occasions over Egypt’s human rights record.
In 2024, following the Hamas-led 7 October attack on Israel and the subsequent war in Gaza, the Biden administration set aside human rights conditions, disbursing the entire $1.3 billion allocation to Egypt for the first time in its tenure.
Human rights organisations have long accused Egypt, under the administration of President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, of widespread human rights abuses, including torture and enforced disappearances.
This week, Egyptian police detained six journalists from a fact-checking and investigative media outlet, accusing them of spreading false information on behalf of the banned Muslim Brotherhood.
Egyptian authorities state that they have taken steps to address human rights issues. Sisi said stability is paramount and that the government supports human rights by working to provide for basic needs.
Middle East
Britain expands curbs on arms exports to Israel over Gaza risks
Britain has significantly broadened its military export restrictions targeting Israel, suspending or rejecting more than 80 licences for items the IDF could use in Gaza.
This figure is nearly triple the number affected when the policy was first introduced in September 2024.
United Kingdom Minister of State for the Middle East Stephen Doughty said that as part of what he described as a “tighter system” for assessing exports to Israel, more than 50 further export applications have been refused since approximately 30 licences were initially suspended.
Under the initial decision taken in September 2024, 30 of roughly 350 licences were suspended after the British government concluded there was a “clear risk” that certain military exports could be used to commit or facilitate serious violations of international humanitarian law in Gaza.
The affected equipment included components for military aircraft, drones, naval systems, and targeting gear.
Doughty said additional measures adopted this month established what he termed a “double safeguard” mechanism within the approvals process.
Export applications must now be assessed both against existing international humanitarian law criteria and in light of Britain’s position on the legality of Israel’s presence in the Palestinian territories.
“We have so far suspended or refused more than 80 licences,” Doughty said, adding that he had personally examined each licence.
Despite the wider restrictions, British-origin parts entering the international F-35 fighter jet supply chain continue to be largely exempt.
The UK government argues that preventing British-made components from entering the global F-35 pool could undermine the programme as a whole and have serious consequences for the security of the UK and its allies.
Direct exports of F-35 parts intended specifically for Israel remain suspended.
Doughty defended maintaining the supply of components via the international programme, arguing that halting it could have severe ramifications for the broader European and allied security architecture.
Foreign Affairs Committee Chair Emily Thornberry challenged this position, arguing that the issue was political rather than purely legal.
Thornberry suggested adopting an approach similar to the Dutch model, under which components entering the international supply chain could be flagged as “not intended for aircraft bound for Israel”.
The initial suspension was implemented in September 2024 by then Foreign Secretary David Lammy.
Lammy stressed at the time that the measure did not constitute an arms embargo and applied solely to items assessed as usable in military operations in Gaza.
Since then, the policy has been tightened further under Prime Minister Andy Burnham.
The expanded export restrictions follow the Burnham government’s adoption of a more confrontational policy toward the Israeli government.
Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband drew sustained applause at the Labour Party’s annual conference in Liverpool after delivering a sharp critique of the Netanyahu government’s policies and defending the decision to ban trade with Israeli settlements in the West Bank.
Accusing Israel of committing war crimes in Gaza, Miliband stated that the British government heard public outrage over the conflict, telling delegates: “We hear you. You were right.”
Middle East
Netanyahu holds secret UAE talks with Saudi Arabia and Arab officials
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with representatives of Gulf and Arab nations that lack diplomatic ties with Israel, including Saudi Arabia, during his weekend visit to the United Arab Emirates.
Sources close to the gathering told the Israeli newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth on Monday that representatives from Morocco, Libya, Jordan, and Qatar also took part in the meeting.
Netanyahu made a unannounced visit to Abu Dhabi on Sunday, where he met with the country’s leader, Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan.
According to Israeli media, this marked the first time the United Arab Emirates officially confirmed a visit by Netanyahu.
The meeting was arranged by Mossad Director Roman Goffman “at the request of Saudi Arabia, which asked for Israel’s assistance against Houthi attacks in the Red Sea region,” according to Yedioth Ahronoth.
The discussions addressed Iran and the Houthi militia. The newspaper added that the Arab states heard from Israel that “Israel is prepared to assist countries in the region with air defence systems, just as it aided the UAE during the conflict with Iran.”
Conflict in Yemen intensified in September when Ansarullah militiamen launched a rapid offensive that seized Yemen’s entire Red Sea coastline, including the vital maritime corridor of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
The Yemeni resistance also imposed a blockade on Saudi Arabia’s energy exports and staged multiple attacks against the kingdom.
Saudi Arabia reportedly sought military assistance from the US to counter Ansarullah.
Washington declined to attack the Houthis directly, but announced that it would provide intelligence and targeting support.
Reporting on the same visit, The Jerusalem Post said Netanyahu spent six hours in the UAE and that the principal subject of his discussions with MBZ was Iran.
Citing sources familiar with the matter, the newspaper added that the trip came “after Netanyahu exerted heavy pressure on the United Arab Emirates to arrange a meeting ahead of the Israeli elections on 27 October.”
Separately, the Associated Press, citing a person with direct knowledge of the meeting, reported that Netanyahu’s visit to the UAE was arranged in part to ask MBZ to deny reports that he had warned the Israeli prime minister of an impending Hamas threat prior to 7 October 2023.
According to Israeli media, Netanyahu’s office denied the AP report, issuing the following statement:
“Fake news. The visit focused solely on strengthening ties between the two countries and on regional issues.”
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