Middle East
First phase of Trump’s Gaza plan begins with ceasefire and partial Israeli withdrawal
The first phase of Trump’s Gaza plan is in effect, calling for a cessation of hostilities within 24 hours and the release of hostages within 72 hours.
The Israeli government approved a ceasefire with Hamas last night, paving the way for a halt to the fighting in Gaza within 24 hours, followed by the release of Israeli hostages within 72 hours.
The Israeli public broadcaster KAN announced that the agreement was signed by both Israel and Hamas and has been endorsed by mediating countries.
According to the details of the published agreement, hostilities will cease immediately upon the Israeli government’s approval. The ceasefire includes a complete stop to all military activities, including airstrikes, artillery fire, and ground offensives.
With the first phase of the Gaza plan now in effect, the ceasefire will be implemented immediately, and the Israeli army will withdraw to a border defined as the “yellow line” within 24 hours. Following this process, Hamas is expected to release all Israeli prisoners within 72 hours.
Immediately after the Israeli government’s approval, all humanitarian aid will be allowed to enter Gaza and be distributed freely. This measure will be based on the standard of 600 aid trucks per day, as established in the decision dated January 19, 2025.
Israel-Palestine-Egypt-Qatar-Türkiye joint mechanism
It was decided that Hamas will transfer information about the deceased Israeli soldiers in its possession to a joint mechanism to be established with the participation of Qatar, Egypt, Türkiye, and the International Committee of the Red Cross.
Under the agreement, the Israeli army will withdraw to the designated “X” borders (a partial withdrawal) within 24 hours of US President Donald Trump’s announcement. The army will not be able to re-enter the areas from which it has withdrawn, and the ceasefire will be fully implemented.
Following the complete withdrawal, the process of releasing all Israeli prisoners in Gaza (both living and deceased) will begin.
The Israeli side states that there are 48 Israeli prisoners in Gaza, 20 of whom are alive, while over 11,000 Palestinians are held in Israeli prisons. According to Palestinian and Israeli human rights sources, these detainees are held in conditions of torture, starvation, and medical neglect.
According to the document, aerial surveillance will be suspended in the areas from which the Israeli army withdraws during the initial 72-hour period. Furthermore, the release of prisoners will take place without any ceremonies or media coverage, and the process will be supervised by a joint committee consisting of the US, Qatar, Egypt, and Türkiye.
The KAN report, citing unnamed sources, stated that the locations of some Israeli soldiers’ bodies have not yet been identified, and an Israel-Palestine-Egypt-Qatar-Türkiye joint mechanism will be established to address this issue.
‘Partial withdrawal has begun’
With the agreement coming into effect, Israeli forces reportedly began a gradual withdrawal from the Gaza Strip this morning.
According to reports on KAN, following the acceptance of the agreement, Israeli soldiers are withdrawing from some occupied areas in Gaza to “deployment lines.”
Israel Army Radio also reported that some brigades have withdrawn from Gaza after the agreement went into effect.
Hamas: We received assurances
Khalil al-Hayya, Hamas’s Gaza official in exile, stated that he received assurances from the US and other mediators that the war is over.
Al-Hayya thanked the mediating countries—Türkiye, Egypt, and Qatar—for their significant role in achieving the agreement. He also expressed appreciation for Yemen, Lebanon, Iraq, and Iran, who joined them in the war.
Referring to the guarantee that the war has ended, al-Hayya said: “We have received a guarantee from the mediators and the US administration that the war is over, and we will continue to work with national and Islamic forces to complete the remaining steps.”
Obstacles remain
Despite this, many things could go wrong. Even after the agreement was signed, a Palestinian source said the list of hundreds of Palestinians to be released has not been finalized. Hamas is demanding the release of some prominent Palestinian prisoners held in Israeli jails and hundreds of others detained during Israel’s attacks.
The subsequent steps in Trump’s 20-point plan have not yet been negotiated. These include how the devastated Gaza Strip will be governed once the fighting ends and the ultimate fate of Hamas, which rejects Israel’s demand for disarmament.
Netanyahu is also viewed with suspicion within his coalition, as many members have long opposed any deal with Hamas. Indeed, in the cabinet meeting where the agreement was voted on, the first phase of the Trump plan received 24 votes in favor and 4 against. Those who voted against were National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, Diaspora Affairs Minister Amichai Chikli, and Heritage Minister Amihai Eliyahu.
Trump to visit the region
Trump announced that he will travel to the region on Sunday and may attend a possible signing ceremony in Egypt. Israeli Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana has also invited Trump to address the Knesset. This would be the first time a US president has spoken at the Knesset since 2008.
Meanwhile, US officials speaking to the Associated Press reported that the US Central Command (CENTCOM) will establish a “civil-military coordination center” in Israel. The officials emphasized that approximately 200 US soldiers will be deployed to Israel as part of a structure that will also include partner countries and NGOs to support and monitor the ceasefire’s implementation. They stressed that no US soldiers will enter the Gaza Strip.
On October 7, 2023, militants led by Hamas attacked Israeli towns and a music festival, killing 1,200 people and taking 251 hostage. To date, Israel’s attacks on Gaza have resulted in the deaths of more than 67,000 Palestinians.
Middle East
Qatar and UAE LNG tankers go dark in Strait of Hormuz to evade security risks
Qatar and United Arab Emirates liquefied natural gas (LNG) tankers are turning off their transponders in the Strait of Hormuz, shifting their logistical strategies in response to ongoing military conflict in the Middle East and the closure of the strategic waterway.
According to a Bloomberg report citing industry sources and vessel-tracking data, as time and patience run thin for both nations, tankers have begun operating under radio silence to conceal their movements and secure their LNG shipments.
The report noted that neither Qatar nor Abu Dhabi, the federal emirate of the UAE, is subject to international sanctions. Despite this, state-owned QatarEnergy and Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. (ADNOC) are employing these “going dark” tactics to minimize security risks for their vessels and crews transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
Vessel-tracking data revealed that in May, at least four Qatari LNG vessels and four tankers linked to Abu Dhabi-based ADNOC transited the Strait of Hormuz without transmitting tracking signals. Sources speaking to Bloomberg stated that Qatari authorities requested captains of state-owned and chartered tankers to turn off their Automatic Identification System (AIS) transponders when navigating around the Ras Laffan port—the world’s largest LNG export terminal—as well as when transiting or exiting the Persian Gulf.
The implemented security measures extend beyond turning off transponders. Sources reported that vessels have been instructed to transit the gulf in pairs to enhance security, and tanker captains who refused to comply with the “shadow” navigation protocols have been replaced.
Industry sources speaking to Bloomberg warned that the increase in covert transits undermines the fundamental rules of international maritime trade and transforms these shipping routes into high-risk areas.
They emphasized that until recently, every cargo in the LNG sector could be tracked in real time, but these newly adopted tactics have eliminated that transparency.
Saul Kavonic, a senior energy analyst at energy consultancy MST Marquee, commented on the situation, saying: “It is entirely natural for Persian Gulf LNG producers to try to avoid Iranian attacks and consequently adopt shadow fleet methods. This could persist as long as Iran continues to control and threaten transits through the Strait of Hormuz. This practice may continue for a long time even after a peace agreement is signed.”
Following the start of US and Israeli attacks on Iran, the Tehran government closed the Strait of Hormuz, a choke point for approximately 20% of global oil shipments and 30% of global liquefied natural gas.
After negotiations in Islamabad failed, US President Donald Trump announced on April 13 that he would impose a blockade on Iranian ports. In late May, he announced that the blockade was lifted as part of the planned peace treaty process with Tehran.
Middle East
Israeli defense exports hit record $19.2 billion fueled by regional conflicts
The Israeli Ministry of Defense has announced that international demand for military systems manufactured in the country and deployed in regional conflicts has reached unprecedented levels.
In an official statement, the ministry declared that exports of military equipment and weaponry have hit an all-time high for the fifth consecutive year.
According to the disclosed data, export volume reached $19.2 billion in 2025, representing an approximate 30% increase compared to the previous year. The figures demonstrate that the country’s defense exports have doubled over the past five years and quadrupled over the past decade.
Data shared by the ministry indicates that missile, rocket, and air defense systems secured the largest share of military sales contracts signed throughout 2025.
Sales in this sector accounted for 29% of the total trade volume. The ministry noted that the vast majority of these agreements fell into the category of “mega-contracts”—each valued at a minimum of $100 million—and that these large-scale deals constituted 53% of the total export volume.
The Ministry of Defense directly attributed this export growth to ongoing regional military operations.
The statement argued that global demand was driven by results achieved on the ground and the “combat-proven” performance of Israeli-made systems across all fronts, including the “Rising Lion” operation launched against Iran in June 2025.
Since October 7, 2023, Israel has conducted simultaneous military operations across multiple fronts in Gaza, Yemen, Lebanon, Syria, and Iran.
The military equipment and ammunition described as “combat-tested” in the ministry’s report continue to be deployed in active conflict zones, most notably in Lebanon.
Among the defense firms highlighted during this period is the Israel-based company Xtend, which has drawn attention for its unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).
Systems developed by the company have reportedly been utilized in operations in Gaza and for targeted assassinations. International reports revealed that an Xtend UAV was used to locate Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, who was killed in October 2024.
Earlier in the year, Eric Trump, son of US President Donald Trump, announced that he would make significant investments in Xtend’s technology and support the company’s merger with the Florida-based JFB Construction Holdings.
Meanwhile, airstrikes and bombings conducted by the Israeli military continue to drive up civilian casualties in Gaza and Lebanon. In Lebanon alone, attacks over the past few months have claimed more than 3,400 lives. Thousands of deaths have also been reported in US-backed military operations carried out in Iran.
Studies published in the medical journal The Lancet project that the total death toll in Gaza, when including both direct and indirect fatalities, could reach hundreds of thousands.
During this period, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which has supported Israel’s operations, emerged as one of the largest buyers of Israeli-origin weapons.
The Gulf nation is reported to have procured billions of dollars in military equipment from Israel over the past five years. According to US sources, the Abu Dhabi and Tel Aviv administrations have established a joint fund to develop and procure new weapons systems.
On the other hand, as Tel Aviv continues to market its air defense systems globally, military tensions along the Lebanese border persist.
Hizbullah kamikaze drones have reportedly targeted Iron Dome batteries positioned at Israeli locations near the Lebanese border. The Israeli military has reportedly faced difficulties intercepting these attacks, with dozens of Israeli soldiers killed in Hizbullah strikes launched since March 2.
Middle East
Report challenges official assessments of damage from Iranian attacks on US military assets
BBC Verify, the verification unit of the BBC, published a detailed investigation on June 1 based on satellite imagery and video analysis that found Iranian retaliatory strikes had successfully hit and damaged at least 20 US military facilities across the Middle East since the start of the war launched against Iran by the United States and Israel.
The findings suggest that the scale and accuracy of Iran’s retaliatory attacks were significantly greater than previously acknowledged by US officials. Some independent analysts estimate that the number of affected bases may be as high as 28.
The military facilities targeted were reportedly spread across eight Gulf countries: Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar, Kuwait, Iraq, Jordan, Bahrain and Oman.
Material losses in the region are said to include three THAAD missile defense batteries, each valued at approximately $1 billion and regarded as a cornerstone of the regional defense network.
Expert assessments also identified at least 42 aircraft that were destroyed or severely damaged, including F-35 fighter jets, MQ-9 Reaper drones and an E-3 Sentry airborne early warning and surveillance aircraft valued at $700 million.
According to military analysts, Iran achieved these results by altering its tactics. Rather than relying on large-scale, high-volume barrages, Tehran reportedly shifted to using smaller, more precise salvos concentrated on high-value infrastructure targets.
The shift in strategy was said to have exploited what was described as a degree of complacency within the US military during the early stages of the conflict.
US military commanders reportedly failed to relocate aircraft and other military assets at strategic installations such as Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia despite previous attacks on those facilities, a factor that is said to have increased losses. Commenting on the strikes, Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei declared that the Middle East was no longer a “safe place” for US bases.
The White House had previously claimed that Iran’s military capabilities had been almost entirely eliminated.
However, the Pentagon’s latest estimates place the cost of the war at $29 billion.
A substantial portion of that expenditure is reportedly being directed toward repairing heavily damaged military equipment and replenishing significantly depleted munitions stockpiles. Former military officials have warned that damaged air defense systems in the region “cannot be replaced quickly or easily.”
The heavy consumption of interceptor missiles during the conflict has also left other US facilities across the Gulf increasingly vulnerable to future Iranian precision-guided missile attacks, according to the assessments cited.
The Washington administration is also reported to have sought restrictions on satellite imagery providers in an effort to conceal the extent of the damage and limit criticism.
However, the “smoking craters” and flattened aircraft hangars featured in the BBC report appear to contradict official US assertions, illustrating what the report described as the true scale of the destruction on the ground.
Iran also announced that it struck a US air base in Kuwait with missiles and drones on Sunday night in retaliation for attacks by US forces on Iranian military targets over the weekend, which Tehran said constituted a violation of the ceasefire.
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