America
Foreign investors rush to hedge dollar risk amid concerns over Trump’s agenda
Foreign investors in US assets are rushing to hedge against the dollar, a sign of growing concern over the impact of Donald Trump’s agenda on the world’s reserve currency.
According to a Financial Times report on Deutsche Bank’s analysis, hedged investments in US bonds and stocks are outpacing unhedged investments for the first time in four years, following a sharp move since Trump’s election last November.
Deutsche Bank strategist George Saravelos said, “Foreigners may have returned to buying US assets, but they do not want the accompanying dollar risk,” adding that these investors are “eliminating dollar risk at an unprecedented rate.”
According to the Financial Times, this behavior helps explain an apparent paradox in US markets following the sharp sell-off triggered by Trump’s tariff announcements in April: how did Wall Street stocks stage a strong comeback without prompting a dollar recovery?
According to Deutsche Bank’s analysis, 80% of the nearly $7 billion that has flowed into US stock exchange-traded funds domiciled in foreign countries over the past three months has been on a hedged basis. This figure was approximately 20% at the start of the year.
This type of hedge means investors are exposed only to movements in an asset’s price, not to fluctuations between the dollar and their home currency, but they must pay a premium for this protection.
Analysts say the increase in hedging activity has contributed to the dollar’s depreciation of over 10% against other currencies, such as the euro and sterling, this year.
The dollar’s decline pushed the euro above $1.18 on Tuesday, its highest level in four years.
Fund managers report that clients are eager to invest in US stocks amid the artificial intelligence boom but are less willing to bear the associated dollar risk.
Arun Sai, a senior multi-asset strategist at Pictet Asset Management, said the Swiss fund company has increased the dollar hedging on its US stock portfolio, predicting that the dollar is in a “long-term bear market.”
“The dollar will continue to bear the brunt of the erosion of institutional credibility,” Sai added.
According to a September Bank of America survey of global fund managers, 38% of investors want to increase their hedging positions against a weakening dollar, while only 2% want to hedge against a strong one.
“This is not the time to ‘sell America’… It is the time to ‘hedge the dollar’,” said Meera Chandan, co-head of global foreign exchange strategy at JPMorgan.
Weak economic data causing the dollar to fall below its recent trading range could trigger a new wave of currency hedging.
“The flow of hedging will further exacerbate the dollar’s weakness,” Chandan said.
While bond investors often seek to hedge their currency risk to prevent return fluctuations in low-risk investments, the practice is less common among equity investors.
Some noted that the foreign capital flowing into US stocks in recent years contributed to the dollar’s strength, pointing to a virtuous cycle of stock prices and currency gains.
However, this relationship has broken down this year as concerns about the US economy and Trump’s policies have dragged the dollar down. The S&P 500 stock index has risen 12% in dollar terms this year but has fallen 2% in euro terms.
Charles-Henry Monchau, chief investment officer at the Swiss private bank SYZ Group, said he moved to a fully dollar-hedged position in US stocks in March of this year.
Referring to Trump’s statements against a strong dollar, he said, “It was a geopolitical decision. This year is different. This year, you need to be hedged.”
Pension funds in many countries, including Australia and Denmark, are increasingly hedging their dollar exposure.
According to analysis by BNP Paribas, Danish pension funds reduced their unhedged US dollar exposure by approximately $16 billion to $76 billion at the end of June, while Dutch pension funds increased their hedging ratios at the start of the year.
In a report published in June, the Bank for International Settlements stated that currency hedging by institutions outside the US made a “significant contribution” to the dollar’s weakness in April and May, suggesting that Asia-based investors played a key role.
A typical way to hedge against dollar weakness is through derivatives such as currency forwards, which lock in a future exchange rate. These contracts reflect differences in short-term interest rates, and falling US interest rates have made hedging cheaper.
Kamakshya Trivedi, chief foreign exchange strategist at Goldman Sachs, said the falling cost could encourage more hedging from investors in Asia, which in turn could cause the dollar to fall further.
America
Unauthorised AI agents access customer accounts at major US banks
Incidents have been detected at the largest US banks in which unauthorised artificial intelligence agents gained access to customer accounts.
According to a report by Axios based on sources, some of these AI agents attempted to take actions that were not included in user instructions.
Institutions facing risks arising from such agents include leading lenders such as Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, and Citi.
In some cases, AI software entered customer accounts using usernames and passwords directly with user consent.
In contrast, security rules at most banks require users to log in to their accounts personally.
According to Axios, in other instances, AI agents designed to carry out tasks on behalf of customers contacted bank call centres directly or tried to take independent steps without receiving any instruction from the user.
Bank executives worry that such software with access to credentials could make unauthorized purchases or transfer funds.
Following these risks, banks are moving to restrict third-party AI agents from accessing their platforms. While Morgan Stanley has begun blocking such software, JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Citi are also introducing similar restrictions.
Banks are also considering offering a financial access model that gives AI agents read-only permissions while completely cutting off transaction capabilities.
Sources speaking to Axios point out that it is extremely difficult for banks to determine whether an agent is acting on user instructions or accessing the account entirely on its own initiative.
Regulators hold emergency meeting with systemically risky banks
According to reports by Bloomberg and the Financial Times citing sources, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell held an extraordinary meeting in April with top executives of the country’s largest banks over concerns about cyber threats that could be posed by a new AI model developed by Anthropic.
Sources providing details on the talks stated that US officials wanted to gauge bank awareness regarding risks tied to the Claude Mythos model and inspect the measures they have taken to protect their systems.
Senior executives from Citigroup Inc., Bank of America Corp., Wells Fargo & Co., Goldman Sachs Group Inc., and Morgan Stanley attended the meeting.
Organised at short notice, the summit indicated that regulatory authorities view this new breed of cyber attack as one of the greatest threats to the financial sector.
All of the banks represented at the table are classified as systemically important institutions within the global financial architecture.
Axios reported that leading AI firms, including Anthropic and OpenAI, harbour concerns that an AI-driven “catastrophic event” could take place over the next 6 to 12 months.
America
US wealthy demolish multimillion-dollar mansions for land
Wealthy buyers in the US are tearing down multimillion-dollar homes shortly after purchasing them for hundreds of millions of dollars.
According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, the trend is driven by a shortage of land in prestigious locations, particularly along coastlines.
For ultra-wealthy buyers, the prime factor has become the land’s location rather than the structure standing on it. After the acquired properties are flattened, newer, more modern homes are built on the cleared lots.
Drawing attention to the shift in the luxury real estate market, the report noted:
“The home itself, formerly the primary driver of an expensive real estate purchase, is now almost beside the point. Buyers are competing first and foremost for well-located land, situated on the ocean or a mountaintop.”
The newspaper cited moves by US billionaire William Lauder as an example. Lauder purchased the oceanfront estate of radio host Rush Limbaugh, who died in March 2023, for $155 million and had it completely demolished in July.
Lauder had previously torn down two homes situated on roughly 1.2 hectares of land along the Palm Beach coast. Having initially planned to construct his own residence on the parcel, Lauder subsequently sold the cleared plot for approximately $200 million.
Jonathan Miller, a real estate appraiser, stated that such transactions are becoming increasingly common as land prices rise.
Amid this momentum, estate agents have also begun marketing luxury homes directly as teardown lots.
Listings use artificial intelligence-generated imagery to showcase how the land would look without the structures on it.
Marketers avoid using the word “demolition” directly, resorting instead to terms such as “adaptive reuse”.
Teardown listings rise across luxury housing market
The trend is not confined to the coast and is spreading to other regions across the US.
Data from property brokerage Redfin reveals that references to demolishing buildings are becoming more frequent in sales listings.
The share of such listings exceeds 15% in the Bunker Hill Village area of Houston, while standing at 6.67% in Pimmit Hills, Virginia.
Dina Goldenteyer, a real estate agent working in Miami, remarked that serial demolitions have become more frequent because buyers no longer appreciate homes older than a decade.
Former retail executives Jamie Dooley and Christine Scott spent $3.7 million in 2020 to demolish a seaside home near Destin, Florida.
Although the couple spent five years building a modern home on the cleared site, they listed the resulting new structure with a demolition condition, citing the fact that no one wanted to buy the property as it stood.
William Paddock, an employee at the environmental consultancy WAP Sustainability, pointed to the environmental damage caused by this construction cycle.
Paddock emphasized that tearing down a home of roughly 1,000 square metres and replacing it with a new building of approximately 2,700 square metres generates a carbon footprint equivalent to the annual emissions of an average 250 American households.
America
US inflation reaches 3.7% as midterm election campaign intensifies
An uptick in September inflation as the US midterm elections approach has pushed the cost-of-living debate back to the centre of the agenda for Democrats seeking to regain control of Congress from Republicans.
Annual inflation stood at 3.7% in September, according to the Consumer Price Index published by the Bureau of Labour Statistics, with energy, petrol, and electricity costs rising on a monthly basis.
Food prices remained flat from August to September, recording a 2.5% increase compared with the same period last year.
Democrats are anchoring their election campaigns to pledges of easing the cost of living, blaming the price increases on President Donald Trump’s tariffs and the war with Iran.
Trump and Republicans, pointing to the numerous left-wing candidates who won primary elections this year, contend that the opposition has become captive to “communists” within the party.
When annual inflation stood at 2.4% in February, the US and Israel launched the Iran war on the final day of that month, and prices continued to climb throughout the conflict.
The recent acceleration has not entirely reversed the retreat from the 40-year peak of 9.1% recorded in June 2022; however, the rate has remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target for over five years.
Fed policymakers raised the benchmark interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point last month, citing the battle against stubborn inflation. Officials will convene again next week to consider whether to raise rates or hold them within the 3.75% to 4% target range.
Energy and fuel record sharpest increase since first month of war
In September, energy prices posted their largest monthly jump since March, the first full month of the war with Iran, climbing 20.4% year-on-year. Energy costs had risen 2.1% from July to August, after falling 1.5% from June to July and 5.7% from May to June.
Recent escalations in Iranian attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, alongside more frequent strikes by Ukrainian forces against Russian refineries, have strained global crude oil and refined product markets, driving up US petrol and diesel prices.
Petrol prices also recorded their sharpest monthly increase since the first month of the war, climbing 9.1% from August to September, bringing the annual increase to 35.3%.
American Automobile Association (AAA) data shows the average price of regular petrol across the US stands at $4.26 per gallon; while below the level of roughly $4.48 recorded a month ago, it remains more than $1.20 higher than a year earlier. Average gallon prices exceed $6 in California and $5 in both Washington state and Nevada.
Electricity prices rose 0.2% from August to September, offsetting the 0.2% decline between July and August, and were up 4.4% year-on-year.
Heavy power demand from new data centres is feeding through into local household electricity bills. Trump argued that companies must cover the cost of the electricity required by their data centres themselves.
In a post on Truth Social, Trump claimed that he was requiring large data centres to generate their own power and feed the surplus back into the local grid, suggesting this could bring about “a major drop” in electricity prices.
Used vehicle market posts monthly rise as food costs stabilise
The cost of food at home fell 0.1% month-on-month in September, while dining out increased 0.2%.
Egg prices dropped to $2.27 a dozen, falling roughly 35% compared with September 2025 and remaining well below the 20-year peak of $6.23 recorded in March 2025.
Ground beef prices rose roughly 2.4% compared with September 2025, but at $6.48 a pound, they remained below the 20-year high of $6.98 reached in June.
Chicken held steady at its year-earlier level of $2.06 per pound last month, having fluctuated between $2.01 and $2.09 since November 2024.
Used car and truck prices fell 1.5% compared with September 2025, but rose 0.7% month-on-month in September following 0.4% increases in both July and August.
Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, noted that the sector faces severe pressure stemming from a combination of expensive replacement parts and a shortage of skilled labour.
Speaking to The Hill, Long emphasised that every cost pressure across the market is being felt directly at local auto repair shops.
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