Middle East
Gaza reconstruction plan: $53 billion needed, Palestinian Authority to govern
According to a plan devised by Arab leaders, the governance of Gaza will be handed over to the Palestinian Authority.
The “Arab plan,” prepared by Egypt for the reconstruction of Gaza and adopted at the Arab League’s Cairo Summit, envisages the establishment of a temporary administrative committee for a period of six months, followed by the transfer of Gaza’s governance to the Palestinian Authority. The plan suggests that, without explicitly naming Hamas, the group would lay down its arms if a credible political process is initiated.
Egypt has prepared a 91-page plan titled “Early Recovery, Reconstruction, and Development of Gaza.”
The report on this plan states that the total material damage resulting from Israel’s war of destruction on Gaza amounts to $29.9 billion, with the housing sector being the most affected, costing $15.8 billion and constituting 53% of the total damage.
According to the report, an estimated 30,000 residential buildings have been damaged, of which 272,000 apartments have been completely destroyed, and 58,500 apartments have been partially damaged.
The report indicates that satellite imagery reveals that 1,190 kilometers of Gaza Strip’s roads have been destroyed, with an additional 415 kilometers severely damaged and 1,440 kilometers significantly damaged.
In the health sector, the damage is estimated at $1.3 billion, with losses amounting to $6.3 billion. The report notes that 50% of the hospitals in the Gaza Strip (18 hospitals) are completely out of service, while 17 hospitals are partially operational, failing to meet the increasing health needs.
In the education sector, the damage is estimated at $874 million, with losses reaching $3.2 billion. The report highlights that 88% of schools have been destroyed, with the remainder converted into temporary shelters for families fleeing the war. Additionally, 51 university buildings have been destroyed.
In the trade and industry sector, the damage amounts to $5.9 billion, with losses totaling $2.2 billion. The report also estimates that the damage in the transportation sector is $2.5 billion, with losses of $377 million.
The damage in the water and sewage sector is recorded at $15 billion, with losses reaching $64 million. In the electricity sector, losses are estimated to be $450 million.
Recovery and reconstruction needs
Considering these damages, the plan estimates the total need for Gaza’s reconstruction at $53 billion, with $3 billion allocated for “early recovery” to be used within six months.
The report states that the housing sector accounts for the largest share of recovery needs, with a total value of $15.2 billion. This is followed by the health, trade, and industry sectors, each requiring $6.9 billion for recovery, roads at $2.45 billion, and the electricity sector at $1.5 billion.
The education sector needs $3.8 billion for recovery, while the agriculture and social protection sectors each require $4.2 billion. The transportation sector needs $2.9 billion, and the water and sanitation sector needs $2.7 billion.
The report indicates a need for $1.25 billion for a four-stage process that includes debris removal, unexploded ordnance disposal, recycling, and transformation.
Implementation stages of the plan
The report emphasizes the need to prepare a roadmap and an urgent development plan for the reconstruction of the Gaza Strip in three phases over a five-year period until 2030, accommodating approximately 3 million people.
The first phase, termed the “early recovery phase,” with an estimated timeframe of six months and a cost of $3 billion, includes tasks such as removing debris in some areas and repairing them for temporary housing, repairing 60,000 partially damaged houses to accommodate 360,000 people, and constructing 200,000 temporary housing units to accommodate 1.2 million people.
The second phase, with a two-year timeframe and a cost of $20 billion, envisages the construction of 200,000 new housing units, infrastructure development, completion of debris removal and sorting, restoration of 60,000 houses to accommodate 1.6 million people, reclamation of 20,000 acres of land, and the establishment of service facilities.
The third phase, termed the “second phase of reconstruction,” is expected to be completed in 2.5 years at a cost of $30 billion. This phase includes the construction of an additional 200,000 housing units to accommodate 1.2 million people and infrastructure development.
The report states that this phase envisages the establishment of the first stage of an industrial zone on a 600-acre area, as well as the construction of a fishing port, a commercial port, and Gaza Airport. It also indicates the provision of 500,000 jobs for Palestinians in Gaza in various sectors.
Political context of the plan
The plan states that while preserving the internationally accepted two-state solution horizon, reconstruction is based on the rights and dignity of Palestinians.
Emphasizing the rejection of any attempts to displace Palestinians from Gaza, the plan points out that it is illogical to ignore the desire and right of the Palestinian people, who are firmly attached to their land, to remain on this land in the face of this catastrophic crisis that the Gaza Strip and its people are experiencing.
Noting that the Gaza Strip is an integral part of the Palestinian territories, the plan warns that attempts to geographically separate Gaza from the West Bank will lead to further instability.
The plan warns that ignoring the suffering of Palestinians in Gaza could lead to an escalation of conflicts in the region and calls on the international community to support reconstruction efforts primarily for humanitarian reasons.
Transitional governance during Gaza’s reconstruction
Regarding the governance of Gaza during the reconstruction process, the plan indicates that efforts are underway to establish a temporary administrative committee composed of independent technocrats under the umbrella of the Palestinian government in the Gaza Strip for a period of six months, with the aim of paving the way for the full return of the Palestinian National Authority to the Gaza Strip.
The plan emphasizes that what is currently expected from the international community is to support and encourage these efforts to ensure the success of the administrative committee and its ability to manage the subsequent phase.
Regarding the mission to ensure security in Gaza, the plan notes that Egypt and Jordan are working to train Palestinian police to be sent to the Gaza Strip to enable the Palestinian Authority to return to the Gaza Strip and fulfill its administrative duties.
Calling for these efforts to be supported by political and financial support and the efforts of international and regional partners, the plan suggests that the United Nations Security Council consider deploying an international peacekeeping force in the Palestinian territories, including Gaza and the West Bank, within a clear timetable for the establishment of a Palestinian state.
The plan indicates that the problem of numerous Palestinian parties carrying weapons in Gaza can be eliminated forever “if the reasons are removed through a credible political process with a clear horizon and ensuring the return of rights to their owners.”
Egypt’s plan emphasizes that all previous efforts should be directed towards implementing the two-state solution and working to achieve a medium-term ceasefire between Israel and the Palestinian Authority, encompassing the West Bank and Gaza, as well as halting all unilateral initiatives such as settlement construction, house demolitions, military interventions, and protecting the legal and historical status of holy sites.
The plan notes that if there is political will, the reconstruction of Gaza as proposed is possible.
Middle East
Qatar and UAE LNG tankers go dark in Strait of Hormuz to evade security risks
Qatar and United Arab Emirates liquefied natural gas (LNG) tankers are turning off their transponders in the Strait of Hormuz, shifting their logistical strategies in response to ongoing military conflict in the Middle East and the closure of the strategic waterway.
According to a Bloomberg report citing industry sources and vessel-tracking data, as time and patience run thin for both nations, tankers have begun operating under radio silence to conceal their movements and secure their LNG shipments.
The report noted that neither Qatar nor Abu Dhabi, the federal emirate of the UAE, is subject to international sanctions. Despite this, state-owned QatarEnergy and Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. (ADNOC) are employing these “going dark” tactics to minimize security risks for their vessels and crews transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
Vessel-tracking data revealed that in May, at least four Qatari LNG vessels and four tankers linked to Abu Dhabi-based ADNOC transited the Strait of Hormuz without transmitting tracking signals. Sources speaking to Bloomberg stated that Qatari authorities requested captains of state-owned and chartered tankers to turn off their Automatic Identification System (AIS) transponders when navigating around the Ras Laffan port—the world’s largest LNG export terminal—as well as when transiting or exiting the Persian Gulf.
The implemented security measures extend beyond turning off transponders. Sources reported that vessels have been instructed to transit the gulf in pairs to enhance security, and tanker captains who refused to comply with the “shadow” navigation protocols have been replaced.
Industry sources speaking to Bloomberg warned that the increase in covert transits undermines the fundamental rules of international maritime trade and transforms these shipping routes into high-risk areas.
They emphasized that until recently, every cargo in the LNG sector could be tracked in real time, but these newly adopted tactics have eliminated that transparency.
Saul Kavonic, a senior energy analyst at energy consultancy MST Marquee, commented on the situation, saying: “It is entirely natural for Persian Gulf LNG producers to try to avoid Iranian attacks and consequently adopt shadow fleet methods. This could persist as long as Iran continues to control and threaten transits through the Strait of Hormuz. This practice may continue for a long time even after a peace agreement is signed.”
Following the start of US and Israeli attacks on Iran, the Tehran government closed the Strait of Hormuz, a choke point for approximately 20% of global oil shipments and 30% of global liquefied natural gas.
After negotiations in Islamabad failed, US President Donald Trump announced on April 13 that he would impose a blockade on Iranian ports. In late May, he announced that the blockade was lifted as part of the planned peace treaty process with Tehran.
Middle East
Israeli defense exports hit record $19.2 billion fueled by regional conflicts
The Israeli Ministry of Defense has announced that international demand for military systems manufactured in the country and deployed in regional conflicts has reached unprecedented levels.
In an official statement, the ministry declared that exports of military equipment and weaponry have hit an all-time high for the fifth consecutive year.
According to the disclosed data, export volume reached $19.2 billion in 2025, representing an approximate 30% increase compared to the previous year. The figures demonstrate that the country’s defense exports have doubled over the past five years and quadrupled over the past decade.
Data shared by the ministry indicates that missile, rocket, and air defense systems secured the largest share of military sales contracts signed throughout 2025.
Sales in this sector accounted for 29% of the total trade volume. The ministry noted that the vast majority of these agreements fell into the category of “mega-contracts”—each valued at a minimum of $100 million—and that these large-scale deals constituted 53% of the total export volume.
The Ministry of Defense directly attributed this export growth to ongoing regional military operations.
The statement argued that global demand was driven by results achieved on the ground and the “combat-proven” performance of Israeli-made systems across all fronts, including the “Rising Lion” operation launched against Iran in June 2025.
Since October 7, 2023, Israel has conducted simultaneous military operations across multiple fronts in Gaza, Yemen, Lebanon, Syria, and Iran.
The military equipment and ammunition described as “combat-tested” in the ministry’s report continue to be deployed in active conflict zones, most notably in Lebanon.
Among the defense firms highlighted during this period is the Israel-based company Xtend, which has drawn attention for its unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).
Systems developed by the company have reportedly been utilized in operations in Gaza and for targeted assassinations. International reports revealed that an Xtend UAV was used to locate Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, who was killed in October 2024.
Earlier in the year, Eric Trump, son of US President Donald Trump, announced that he would make significant investments in Xtend’s technology and support the company’s merger with the Florida-based JFB Construction Holdings.
Meanwhile, airstrikes and bombings conducted by the Israeli military continue to drive up civilian casualties in Gaza and Lebanon. In Lebanon alone, attacks over the past few months have claimed more than 3,400 lives. Thousands of deaths have also been reported in US-backed military operations carried out in Iran.
Studies published in the medical journal The Lancet project that the total death toll in Gaza, when including both direct and indirect fatalities, could reach hundreds of thousands.
During this period, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which has supported Israel’s operations, emerged as one of the largest buyers of Israeli-origin weapons.
The Gulf nation is reported to have procured billions of dollars in military equipment from Israel over the past five years. According to US sources, the Abu Dhabi and Tel Aviv administrations have established a joint fund to develop and procure new weapons systems.
On the other hand, as Tel Aviv continues to market its air defense systems globally, military tensions along the Lebanese border persist.
Hizbullah kamikaze drones have reportedly targeted Iron Dome batteries positioned at Israeli locations near the Lebanese border. The Israeli military has reportedly faced difficulties intercepting these attacks, with dozens of Israeli soldiers killed in Hizbullah strikes launched since March 2.
Middle East
Report challenges official assessments of damage from Iranian attacks on US military assets
BBC Verify, the verification unit of the BBC, published a detailed investigation on June 1 based on satellite imagery and video analysis that found Iranian retaliatory strikes had successfully hit and damaged at least 20 US military facilities across the Middle East since the start of the war launched against Iran by the United States and Israel.
The findings suggest that the scale and accuracy of Iran’s retaliatory attacks were significantly greater than previously acknowledged by US officials. Some independent analysts estimate that the number of affected bases may be as high as 28.
The military facilities targeted were reportedly spread across eight Gulf countries: Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar, Kuwait, Iraq, Jordan, Bahrain and Oman.
Material losses in the region are said to include three THAAD missile defense batteries, each valued at approximately $1 billion and regarded as a cornerstone of the regional defense network.
Expert assessments also identified at least 42 aircraft that were destroyed or severely damaged, including F-35 fighter jets, MQ-9 Reaper drones and an E-3 Sentry airborne early warning and surveillance aircraft valued at $700 million.
According to military analysts, Iran achieved these results by altering its tactics. Rather than relying on large-scale, high-volume barrages, Tehran reportedly shifted to using smaller, more precise salvos concentrated on high-value infrastructure targets.
The shift in strategy was said to have exploited what was described as a degree of complacency within the US military during the early stages of the conflict.
US military commanders reportedly failed to relocate aircraft and other military assets at strategic installations such as Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia despite previous attacks on those facilities, a factor that is said to have increased losses. Commenting on the strikes, Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei declared that the Middle East was no longer a “safe place” for US bases.
The White House had previously claimed that Iran’s military capabilities had been almost entirely eliminated.
However, the Pentagon’s latest estimates place the cost of the war at $29 billion.
A substantial portion of that expenditure is reportedly being directed toward repairing heavily damaged military equipment and replenishing significantly depleted munitions stockpiles. Former military officials have warned that damaged air defense systems in the region “cannot be replaced quickly or easily.”
The heavy consumption of interceptor missiles during the conflict has also left other US facilities across the Gulf increasingly vulnerable to future Iranian precision-guided missile attacks, according to the assessments cited.
The Washington administration is also reported to have sought restrictions on satellite imagery providers in an effort to conceal the extent of the damage and limit criticism.
However, the “smoking craters” and flattened aircraft hangars featured in the BBC report appear to contradict official US assertions, illustrating what the report described as the true scale of the destruction on the ground.
Iran also announced that it struck a US air base in Kuwait with missiles and drones on Sunday night in retaliation for attacks by US forces on Iranian military targets over the weekend, which Tehran said constituted a violation of the ceasefire.
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