Middle East
Hamas approves ceasefire proposal, placing the decision with Israel
Hamas has approved a ceasefire proposal presented to it a day earlier. In a statement, Hamas announced, “The Hamas movement and Palestinian groups have approved the proposal presented yesterday by Egyptian and Qatari mediators.”
The proposal reached Israel on Monday evening. However, the Tel Aviv administration stated it is not interested in partial agreements, declaring that the war will only end when all hostages are released simultaneously and other conditions are met.
Following the announcement of the agreement, an Israeli official confirmed to the Times of Israel that Tel Aviv had received Hamas’s latest proposal. Another Israeli official reiterated Israel’s insistence on a comprehensive agreement: “Israel’s position has not changed. The release of all hostages and adherence to the conditions set for ending the war are mandatory.” However, the fact that Netanyahu did not completely reject the partial deal was interpreted as a sign that the proposal is still under consideration. News reports indicated that Netanyahu would review the proposal.
Turkey is also involved in the latest round
An Arab diplomat revealed that Hamas’s chief negotiator, Khalil al-Hayya, presented the new proposal to Qatari Prime Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman al-Thani on Sunday night, noting that the organization had backed down from many of the demands that caused talks to collapse last month. The negotiations are being conducted in Cairo, led by Egypt, with the participation of Qatar, the US, and Turkey, which contributed to restarting the process last week.
Last week, a source told Haaretz that Turkey was pressuring senior Hamas officials to surrender their weapons and relinquish control of the region.
Although there were reports that Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan met with the Mossad Director during his visit to Doha last week, sources close to the Turkish Foreign Ministry denied this claim.
“The proposal is supported by all resistance groups in Gaza”
Meanwhile, the Arab diplomat interviewed by the Times of Israel detailed the plan accepted by Hamas. According to the report, the plan involves the release of 10 hostages during a 60-day ceasefire in exchange for the release of 150 Palestinian security prisoners. It also includes the return of the bodies of deceased hostages.
A source from Islamic Jihad, which is fighting alongside Hamas in Gaza, provided similar details. According to the source, after the first 10 hostages are freed, the remaining hostages will be released in a second phase, and negotiations for a permanent ceasefire will begin with international guarantees. The source added, “The proposal presented is supported by all groups.”
“It resembles Witkoff’s plan”
Similar to the plan prepared this year by US special envoy Steve Witkoff, the new proposal calls for negotiations for a permanent ceasefire to begin at the start of the 60-day truce. Mediators aim to reach a permanent agreement by the end of the two months.
A diplomatic source speaking to Axios said the proposal accepted by Hamas is “98% the same” as the Witkoff plan it rejected last month. According to a Channel 12 report, Hamas reduced the number of prisoners it demanded be released and stepped back on the issue of the buffer zone Israel wants to establish on the Gaza border. While Israel wants a 1-1.2 kilometer strip, Hamas had previously demanded a maximum of 800 meters. It has now indicated it could accept a distance between 800 meters and 1 kilometer.
As Netanyahu evaluated Hamas’s response, he reiterated that the organization was under “immense pressure.” The Prime Minister stated that he had discussed the invasion of Gaza City with senior commanders on Monday and that they were moving to the phase of “completing the tasks.”
While talks for a partial agreement progressed in Cairo, Netanyahu stressed he is no longer interested in partial proposals and will only end the war if all hostages are released at once, Hamas is disarmed, Gaza is demilitarized, and its administration is transferred to an institution other than the Palestinian Authority. However, mediators believe this rhetoric is a pressure tactic and that Netanyahu might change his stance if Hamas makes further concessions.
Defense Minister Israel Katz also asserted that the only reason Hamas returned to the table was the fear that Israel was seriously preparing to capture Gaza City. Katz noted that the city is a military, political, and symbolic center for Hamas. “Hamas, which refused to discuss any proposal for weeks, is now at the table. The reason is clear: the fear of Gaza falling,” Katz said.
Speaking at the same meeting, Chief of Staff Zamir stated that the war had reached a “turning point” and that the army was preparing for a new phase of “Operation Chariots of Gideon.” Zamir said, “We are in a multi-front, long, and unprecedented war. We are about to move to a new phase that will deepen the blow against Gaza City.”
US President Donald Trump wrote in a social media post that the hostages in Gaza will only be freed when Hamas is destroyed. “The return of the hostages will only happen when Hamas is destroyed. The sooner this happens, the greater the chance of success,” he said. Trump also claimed to have previously secured the release of hundreds of hostages, although records show this number was actually 30.
An Arab diplomat said Trump’s post was a “pressure tactic” to compel Hamas to accept Witkoff’s proposal. He reiterated that the proposal submitted by Hamas is almost identical to the Witkoff plan.
According to Israeli authorities, armed groups in Gaza are still holding 50 hostages. Of these, 20 are alive, 28 are dead, and there are serious concerns for 2 individuals.
Middle East
US waives human rights terms on $320m military aid to Egypt
The US State Department stated that it has waived human rights conditions on more than $300 million in military aid to Egypt.
The statement emphasised that this decision was taken in consideration of Cairo’s “helpful role” since the outbreak of the war against Iran.
Egypt began receiving substantial support from the US after signing a peace treaty with Israel in 1979.
Since the late 1980s, the country has received approximately $1.3 billion annually in US military assistance.
A portion of this aid is subject to conditions related to human rights and democracy, which can be waived on national security grounds.
Withholding funds, including during the administration of former US President Joe Biden, has caused tension between Cairo and Washington in the past.
A letter dated 21 September and addressed to various congressional committees, obtained by Reuters, stated that Secretary of State Marco Rubio “decided to waive the certification requirement under the fiscal year 2025 Foreign Military Financing programme for Egypt of $320 million.”
This waiver was subsequently confirmed by the State Department.
An accompanying memorandum justifying the decision stated that this portion of military aid was “essential for counterterrorism, border security, or non-proliferation programmes, or otherwise important to the national security interests of the United States.”
The memorandum, dated 4 September and bearing Rubio’s signature, stated: “Exercising this waiver authority is critical to the US-Egypt relationship and to US national security priorities, particularly given the helpful role Egypt has played in the aftermath of Operation Epic Fury.”
“Operation Epic Fury” is the designation used by the US military for the campaign launched jointly with Israel against Iran in late February.
The State Department memorandum, whose authenticity was confirmed by two sources in Washington familiar with the letter, did not provide detailed information regarding what was termed Egypt’s “helpful role”.
The State Department’s annual decision on military aid to Egypt typically covers funds allocated for the preceding fiscal year, which ends on 30 September.
A State Department spokesperson stated that Rubio waived the certification in the interest of US national security and that the US continues to cooperate with the Egyptian government across a range of issues.
In an emailed statement, the spokesperson said: “This waiver recognizes the importance of maintaining security cooperation with Egypt at a time of significant security challenges in the region.”
The Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not immediately comment on the matter.
The spillover effects of the Iran war have imposed a heavy toll on US security partners, including Egypt.
Owing to rising fuel prices and other disruptions, the Egyptian economy is passing through a difficult period.
Under the Biden administration, the US withheld portions of the annual military allocation on multiple occasions over Egypt’s human rights record.
In 2024, following the Hamas-led 7 October attack on Israel and the subsequent war in Gaza, the Biden administration set aside human rights conditions, disbursing the entire $1.3 billion allocation to Egypt for the first time in its tenure.
Human rights organisations have long accused Egypt, under the administration of President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, of widespread human rights abuses, including torture and enforced disappearances.
This week, Egyptian police detained six journalists from a fact-checking and investigative media outlet, accusing them of spreading false information on behalf of the banned Muslim Brotherhood.
Egyptian authorities state that they have taken steps to address human rights issues. Sisi said stability is paramount and that the government supports human rights by working to provide for basic needs.
Middle East
Britain expands curbs on arms exports to Israel over Gaza risks
Britain has significantly broadened its military export restrictions targeting Israel, suspending or rejecting more than 80 licences for items the IDF could use in Gaza.
This figure is nearly triple the number affected when the policy was first introduced in September 2024.
United Kingdom Minister of State for the Middle East Stephen Doughty said that as part of what he described as a “tighter system” for assessing exports to Israel, more than 50 further export applications have been refused since approximately 30 licences were initially suspended.
Under the initial decision taken in September 2024, 30 of roughly 350 licences were suspended after the British government concluded there was a “clear risk” that certain military exports could be used to commit or facilitate serious violations of international humanitarian law in Gaza.
The affected equipment included components for military aircraft, drones, naval systems, and targeting gear.
Doughty said additional measures adopted this month established what he termed a “double safeguard” mechanism within the approvals process.
Export applications must now be assessed both against existing international humanitarian law criteria and in light of Britain’s position on the legality of Israel’s presence in the Palestinian territories.
“We have so far suspended or refused more than 80 licences,” Doughty said, adding that he had personally examined each licence.
Despite the wider restrictions, British-origin parts entering the international F-35 fighter jet supply chain continue to be largely exempt.
The UK government argues that preventing British-made components from entering the global F-35 pool could undermine the programme as a whole and have serious consequences for the security of the UK and its allies.
Direct exports of F-35 parts intended specifically for Israel remain suspended.
Doughty defended maintaining the supply of components via the international programme, arguing that halting it could have severe ramifications for the broader European and allied security architecture.
Foreign Affairs Committee Chair Emily Thornberry challenged this position, arguing that the issue was political rather than purely legal.
Thornberry suggested adopting an approach similar to the Dutch model, under which components entering the international supply chain could be flagged as “not intended for aircraft bound for Israel”.
The initial suspension was implemented in September 2024 by then Foreign Secretary David Lammy.
Lammy stressed at the time that the measure did not constitute an arms embargo and applied solely to items assessed as usable in military operations in Gaza.
Since then, the policy has been tightened further under Prime Minister Andy Burnham.
The expanded export restrictions follow the Burnham government’s adoption of a more confrontational policy toward the Israeli government.
Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband drew sustained applause at the Labour Party’s annual conference in Liverpool after delivering a sharp critique of the Netanyahu government’s policies and defending the decision to ban trade with Israeli settlements in the West Bank.
Accusing Israel of committing war crimes in Gaza, Miliband stated that the British government heard public outrage over the conflict, telling delegates: “We hear you. You were right.”
Middle East
Netanyahu holds secret UAE talks with Saudi Arabia and Arab officials
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with representatives of Gulf and Arab nations that lack diplomatic ties with Israel, including Saudi Arabia, during his weekend visit to the United Arab Emirates.
Sources close to the gathering told the Israeli newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth on Monday that representatives from Morocco, Libya, Jordan, and Qatar also took part in the meeting.
Netanyahu made a unannounced visit to Abu Dhabi on Sunday, where he met with the country’s leader, Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan.
According to Israeli media, this marked the first time the United Arab Emirates officially confirmed a visit by Netanyahu.
The meeting was arranged by Mossad Director Roman Goffman “at the request of Saudi Arabia, which asked for Israel’s assistance against Houthi attacks in the Red Sea region,” according to Yedioth Ahronoth.
The discussions addressed Iran and the Houthi militia. The newspaper added that the Arab states heard from Israel that “Israel is prepared to assist countries in the region with air defence systems, just as it aided the UAE during the conflict with Iran.”
Conflict in Yemen intensified in September when Ansarullah militiamen launched a rapid offensive that seized Yemen’s entire Red Sea coastline, including the vital maritime corridor of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
The Yemeni resistance also imposed a blockade on Saudi Arabia’s energy exports and staged multiple attacks against the kingdom.
Saudi Arabia reportedly sought military assistance from the US to counter Ansarullah.
Washington declined to attack the Houthis directly, but announced that it would provide intelligence and targeting support.
Reporting on the same visit, The Jerusalem Post said Netanyahu spent six hours in the UAE and that the principal subject of his discussions with MBZ was Iran.
Citing sources familiar with the matter, the newspaper added that the trip came “after Netanyahu exerted heavy pressure on the United Arab Emirates to arrange a meeting ahead of the Israeli elections on 27 October.”
Separately, the Associated Press, citing a person with direct knowledge of the meeting, reported that Netanyahu’s visit to the UAE was arranged in part to ask MBZ to deny reports that he had warned the Israeli prime minister of an impending Hamas threat prior to 7 October 2023.
According to Israeli media, Netanyahu’s office denied the AP report, issuing the following statement:
“Fake news. The visit focused solely on strengthening ties between the two countries and on regional issues.”
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