Middle East
HTS to ‘shrink the state’ through privatization and civil servant sackings
Syria’s new Islamist leaders are embarking on a radical overhaul of the country’s economy, including plans to sack a third of public sector workers and privatize state-owned companies that dominated under the Baath Party and the Assad’s.
The first sackings began just weeks after the ouster of Bashar al-Assad on December 8, while the pace of the announced crackdown “against waste and corruption” has triggered protests by government employees, including fears of a “sectarian purge of jobs,” Reuters reported by Riham Alkousaa.
Reuters spoke to five ministers in the interim government formed by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), all of whom described the broad scope of plans to “downsize the state.” They said this included the elimination of a large number of “ghost employees” (people who allegedly received salaries for doing little or nothing under Assad).
Reuters lends support to the sectarian narrative, arguing that under Hafez and Bashar al-Assad, Syria was organized as a “militarized, state-led economy that favored an inner circle of allies and family members, with members of the Alawite sect of the family heavily represented in the public sector.”
107 state-owned companies to be divested
HTS’s economy minister, 40-year-old former energy engineer Basil Abdel Hanan, told Reuters that there was a major shift towards a “competitive free market economy.”
The government under “interim president” Abu Mohammed al-Jolani (Ahmed al-Shara) will work to privatize state-owned industrial companies, which Hanan said total 107, most of which are loss-making.
Hanan promised to keep “strategic” energy and transport assets in public hands but did not name the companies to be sold. Syria’s main industries include oil, cement, and steel.
Finance Minister Mohammad Abazeed said in an interview that some state-owned companies existed only to embezzle funds and would be closed down. Abazeed said, “We expected corruption, but not this much.”
Half of the civil servants may be sacked
Abazeed said that based on a preliminary examination, only 900,000 of the 1.3 million people on the state payroll actually showed up for work.
“That means there are 400,000 ghost names. Eliminating them would save considerable resources,” Mr. Abazeed said.
Administrative Development Minister Mohammad Alskaf, who oversees public sector staffing, went further, telling Reuters that the state would need between 550,000 and 600,000 employees, less than half the current number.
Abazeed said that the reforms, which also aim to grant amnesty for penalties and simplify the tax system, aim to remove obstacles and encourage investors to return to Syria.
HTS’s goal is familiar: Reduce bureaucracy, boost exports
“So factories inside the country can serve as a launching pad for global exports,” said Abazeed, who was an economist at Al-Shamal private university before serving as a treasury official in the HTS stronghold of Idlib in 2023.
Since 2017, HTS has been attracting investment and the private sector in Idlib “with less bureaucracy and pressure on hardline religious groups,” according to Reuters.
The new government hopes for a nationwide increase in foreign and domestic investment to create new jobs as Syria rebuilds after 14 years of conflict, three ministers told Reuters.
However, for HTS to replicate the “Idlib model,” it will have to overcome a wide range of challenges, notably international sanctions that severely hamper foreign trade.
The question of the legitimacy of al-Jolani’s government could be raised
Maha Katta, Resilience and Crisis Response Specialist for Arab Countries at the International Labour Organisation, said the economy is currently not in a position to create enough private jobs.
Katta said, “I’m not sure it’s really a wise decision,” adding that restructuring the public sector “makes sense” but questioning whether it should be a top priority for a government that needs to revive the economy first.
While recognizing the imperative for interim leaders to act quickly to get the country under control, some critics see the scale and pace of the planned changes as overreaching.
Aron Lund of the Middle East-focused think tank Century International said, “They talk about a transition, but they are making decisions as if they were a legitimately constituted government.”
Islamist government to administer neoliberal ‘shock therapy’
Economy Minister Hanan said economic policy would be designed to manage the consequences of rapid market reforms to avoid the chaos of recession and unemployment that followed the “shock therapy” imposed on post-Soviet countries in Europe in the 1990s.
Mr. Hanan said, “The aim is to balance private sector growth with support for the most vulnerable.”
The government has announced a 400% increase in civil servant salaries, currently around $25 a month, starting in February. It is also mitigating the impact of layoffs through severance pay or by asking some workers to stay at home while needs are assessed.
Hussein El Khatib, Director of Health Facilities at the Ministry of Health said, “We are saying to the employees who are hired just to get a salary: please take your salary and sit at home, but let us do our job.”
Discontent Among Public Laborers Grows
But discontent among workers is growing. Workers have been showing Reuters lists circulating in the labor and trade ministries, which have scaled back Assad-era employment programs for former soldiers who fought alongside the government in the war.
One of these veterans, Mohammed, told Reuters he was dismissed from his data entry job at the labor ministry on January 23 and given three months’ paid leave. Mohammed said 80 other former fighters had received the same notice, which he shared with Reuters.
Responding to questions from Reuters, the labor ministry said that “due to administrative inefficiencies and implicit unemployment” some employees had been placed on three months’ paid leave to assess their work situation, after which their status would be reviewed.
The plans sparked protests in January in cities such as Daraa in southern Syria and Latakia on the coast.
Daraa Health Directorate employees carried banners reading “No to arbitrary and unjust dismissals” during a demonstration attended by dozens of people.
Demonstrator Adham Abu Al-Alaya said he fears losing his job. He says he supports the elimination of ghost labor but rejects the allegation that he or his colleagues are being paid for doing nothing. He was hired in 2016 to manage records and pay bills.
Abu Al-Alaya said, “My salary helps me meet my basic needs, such as bread and yogurt,” adding that he also works another job to make ends meet.
He said, “If this decision is implemented, unemployment will increase across society, which is something we cannot afford.”
Middle East
Iran to receive hundreds of Chinese shoulder-fired missiles within weeks, sources say
Iran is expected to receive its first shipment of 400 Chinese-made shoulder-fired air defense missile systems within weeks as it seeks to rebuild its air defenses amid an ongoing war with the US.
Three sources with knowledge of the agreement disclosed the information to Reuters.
Valued at between $60 million and $70 million, the purchase represents one of Tehran’s largest known efforts to bolster its short-range air defense capabilities since the outbreak of hostilities with the US and Israel.
According to the sources, the contract covers between 300 and 400 man-portable air defense systems, or MANPADS, including Chinese-made QW-12 and FN-16 missiles.
The deal was signed with Hong Kong-based Zhongqing Baoshang International Investment, which reportedly acted as an intermediary between the Iranian side and the Chinese supplier.
Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs has not yet responded to a request for comment from Reuters regarding the information provided by the sources, who spoke on condition of anonymity due to the sensitivity of the matter.
China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued the following statement:
“The relevant reports are completely baseless. China has consistently played a role in promoting peace and bringing an end to the conflict.”
Beijing-based Zhong Qing Bao Shang Group, the parent company of Zhongqing Baoshang International Investment, did not immediately respond to a request for comment sent on Tuesday.
Iran needs to rearm following months of conflict during which the US and Israel struck facilities tied to its missile, drone, and air defense programs. Tehran responded to those attacks with salvos of ballistic missiles and drones.
The fighting demonstrated the difficulty of defending static military and strategic installations against advanced fighter jets and precision-guided munitions.
Washington abruptly halted its two-week bombing campaign on Saturday. However, US President Donald Trump said attacks would resume if negotiations aimed at ending the five-month war—which has theoretically been under a ceasefire since April—fail.
The delivery of hundreds of MANPADS systems would significantly expand Iran’s inventory of short-range air defense weapons.
However, the sources cautioned that while the agreement has been signed, the delivery schedule, quantities, and other operational details remain subject to change.
Under the plan agreed upon by the parties, initial deliveries will be transported by air from the western Chinese city of Urumqi before being routed through Pakistan to Iran. The sources did not clarify whether transport following the transit through Pakistan would occur by air or land.
The Pakistani military’s public relations wing, ISPR, said in a statement:
“Allegations that Pakistan is playing a role in the supply of air defense weapons from China to Iran are completely fabricated and contrary to fact.”
Two Western intelligence sources and an Iranian official said Tehran is also exploring the option of using overland routes to transport Chinese-made military equipment and dual-use components more covertly, reducing the risk of shipments being intercepted.
The procurement process underscores how the Islamic Republic of Iran continues to rely on a combination of domestic arms production and foreign suppliers, despite years of sanctions and defense import restrictions.
Reuters previously reported, citing individuals familiar with the discussions, that Iran was close to concluding a separate deal to purchase anti-ship cruise missiles from China. Reuters was unable to confirm whether that agreement was finalized.
Middle East
Saudi crude exports from Yanbu plunge 40% as Yemeni strikes force reliance on costlier routes
Crude oil shipments from Saudi Arabia’s Yanbu Port on the Red Sea coast have dropped by 40% over the past few days.
According to data published on July 26 by maritime intelligence firm Vortexa, the Riyadh administration has begun utilizing the SUMED pipeline in Egypt and alternative transit routes in an effort to bypass the naval blockade declared by forces aligned with Sanaa.
The sharp decline in shipment volumes follows retaliatory operations and the enforcement of a maritime blockade against Saudi Arabia by the Yemeni Armed Forces, operating under the Ansarallah movement.
Riyadh has maintained military strikes and blockade measures against Yemen for nearly 12 years.
A Sunday report by maritime intelligence firm Windward, drawing on Vortexa data, noted that Saudi Arabia has established a new logistical framework to maintain its export flows. “Saudi Arabia has created an alternative export route functioning via the SUMED pipeline and the Cape of Good Hope,” the report stated. The agency reported that this shift has driven up transportation costs by approximately $9 per barrel.
The market analysis report provided the following assessment regarding the operational mechanics of the transition:
“Saudi crude shipments have not stopped; they have been split into two distinct routes. Tankers berthing at Yanbu Port are now operating with their AIS signals completely turned off. Vessels are concealing their locations to avoid inclusion on Ansarallah’s target list. Saudi Arabia has established an alternative export route operating via the SUMED pipeline and the Cape of Good Hope. Although this route increases costs and transit times, it demonstrates that the market is capable of adapting to changing conditions.”
Saudi Arabia previously activated a similar alternative route via Yanbu during the initial phase of the US-Israel war, following Iran’s first blockade measures directed at the Strait of Hormuz.
At the time of the Windward report’s release, satellite imagery published by SoarAtlas revealed the ongoing situation at Saudi Aramco’s Jizan Oil Refinery. Massive fires triggered by attacks carried out by the Yemeni Armed Forces were shown to be persisting at the $12 billion facility. Images captured on Saturday documented dense black smoke continuing to billow from a giant oil storage tank at the site.
The Yemeni Armed Forces publicly announced their latest military operations against Saudi Arabia on July 25. They stated that the strikes were executed in response to the Saudi-led coalition resuming aerial bombardments against the Yemeni port city of Hodeidah.
An official statement issued by the Yemeni military under the Ansarallah-led administration provided the following details:
“In response to this overt and criminal aggression, the Yemeni Armed Forces carried out two specialized military operations. In the first operation, sensitive Saudi Aramco facilities in Jizan were targeted with dozens of ballistic missiles and drones. In the second operation, sensitive Saudi Aramco facilities in Yanbu were struck using ballistic and cruise missiles alongside unmanned aerial vehicles.”
Spokespersons for the Yemeni military emphasized that the strikes were “precise” and “direct,” while residents in the city of Yanbu were reported to have heard explosions over the weekend. In the early hours of Saturday, Saudi airstrikes had targeted fuel storage facilities and telecommunications infrastructure in Hodeidah.
Mahdi al-Mashat, President of the Ansarallah Supreme Political Council, issued a warning to the Saudi Arabian leadership in a statement on July 27. “We say to the Saudi enemy that those offering you false hopes will be of no avail. Anything short of an end to the aggression and the complete lifting of the blockade is mere fantasy,” al-Mashat said.
In line with their naval blockade decision, the Yemeni Armed Forces have also targeted two Saudi oil tankers with missiles in recent days. The Sanaa administration officially initiated its maritime restrictions on July 20 under the stated principle of “a blockade for a blockade.”
This latest phase of heightened tension began in early July when Saudi Arabia launched an airstrike targeting Sanaa International Airport for the first time after a prolonged hiatus. Yemeni forces responded by striking Abha Airport in Saudi Arabia with missiles and drones. The attack marked the Yemeni military’s first direct retaliatory strike inside Saudi territory since 2021.
The Saudi-led coalition initially intervened in Yemen in 2015 after Ansarallah took control of the capital, Sanaa, and ousted the Riyadh-backed government. The United Arab Emirates joined as a principal coalition partner, while the UK, the US, and Israel provided logistical support.
During peace negotiations conducted between Saudi Arabia and Yemen in 2023, the parties came close to a final agreement before talks stalled. Nevertheless, those contacts effectively served to freeze large-scale combat operations for an extended period.
The air and sea blockade enforced by Saudi Arabia for over a decade has deepened the humanitarian crisis, particularly due to commercial flight restrictions imposed on Sanaa International Airport. These measures have prevented critically ill and injured civilians from traveling abroad for medical treatment, while the coalition’s military intervention has driven widespread famine and resulted in the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people. Prior to Riyadh’s latest airstrikes, Yemeni forces had been conducting a general mobilization aimed at expelling coalition elements from the country.
Middle East
Pentagon faces severe budget crunch as Middle East operational costs drain key military funds
The US Department of Defense is facing a severe budgetary shortfall driven by the escalation of the war with Iran, according to current and former American officials cited by The Washington Post.
Officials noted that funding for several critical areas could be completely exhausted in the coming weeks. Budgets allocated for this year’s operations of the Navy and Air Force, which have deployed warships and aviation assets to the Middle East, are projected to run out by the end of July.
To cover the funding deficit expected before the start of fiscal year 2027 on October 1, the Pentagon is internally redirecting its budgetary resources. Under this approach, military exercises and training sessions designed to maintain troop combat readiness are being scaled back or canceled. Additionally, funds originally allocated for the maintenance and repair of military equipment and facilities are being transferred to operational expenses.
In recent weeks, the Department of Defense requested permission from Congress to shift $4.3 billion—initially allocated for personnel training and weapons procurement—to cover emergency requirements. However, no decision has yet been made regarding this request.
The White House has also requested that Congress allocate $67 billion in emergency supplemental funding to cover military expenditures. Despite this, the House of Representatives plans to begin a one-month recess on Thursday, which will delay any decision on the funding for at least several weeks.
“Everyone needs to look at this situation and shake off the complacency,” said Representative Pat Harrigan, a Republican from North Carolina, commenting on the development.
Pentagon Spokesperson Sean Parnell emphasized the critical importance of defense funding, stating that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth will do everything necessary to maintain the combat readiness of the armed forces.
Secretary Hegseth and the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Dan Caine, are scheduled to present the justification for the funding allocation at an upcoming hearing before the Senate Appropriations Committee. Russell Vought, the Director of the White House Office of Management and Budget, is also among those scheduled to testify before the committee.
Vought stated last month that the cost of the war had reached approximately $30 billion. However, this White House calculation did not include the cost of rebuilding and repairing US bases damaged as a result of Iranian attacks in the Middle East.
Current and former officials warn that if Congress fails to act, military leadership will soon be forced to make even deeper compromises.
In closed-door discussions, Pentagon officials are expressing more profound anxieties. They emphasize that supplemental funding is urgently required to replenish munitions stockpiles, which are vital for deterring adversaries such as Russia and China.
The US defense budget for this year stands at approximately $1 trillion. This figure includes $150 billion in one-time funding approved by Congress last year for various priority goals, ranging from designing advanced weapons systems to stimulating the domestic defense industry. Meanwhile, the Donald Trump administration has requested a $1.5 trillion defense budget for 2027.
Internal Pentagon assessments indicate that when accounting for base repairs, the replacement of destroyed aircraft, and the replenishment of munitions stockpiles, the total cost of the Iran war could rise to between $80 billion and $100 billion, according to reporting by NBC. Sources state that the repair costs for US military facilities in Bahrain alone could reach $1 billion.
Senators are expected to question Hegseth on the collapse of the ceasefire, rising war costs, and the American service members who lost their lives in Jordan, Bloomberg reported.
-
America2 weeks agoUS agricultural superpower status at risk as trade wars shift global markets to Brazil
-
America2 weeks agoUS controls $13 billion in Venezuelan oil revenues with little transparency, raising congressional concerns
-
Europe2 weeks agoUS secures multi-billion-dollar energy and AI deals at Three Seas summit in Dubrovnik
-
Diplomacy2 weeks agoPalantir CEO Alex Karp says he would not vote for ‘pro-Russian’ AfD in Germany
-
Diplomacy2 weeks agoWorld Bank warns US-Iran conflict could slash global growth to 1.3% as inflation looms
-
Middle East2 weeks agoPentagon faces severe budget crunch as Middle East operational costs drain key military funds
-
Europe2 weeks agoGermany accelerates African energy diplomatic push to secure natural gas and green hydrogen
-
America2 weeks agoAIPAC cuts online donation links for Democrats after Israel aid vote
