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International Peace Coalition warns 2026 may be an existential turning point for humanity

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The International Peace Coalition (IPC), hosted by the Schiller Institute, convened its 135th meeting last Friday to address escalating global geopolitical tensions, military mobilization in Germany, and the latest developments in the Ukraine-Russia conflict.

Helga Zepp-LaRouche, founder of the Schiller Institute, told participants that 2026 would serve as a critical juncture for strategic global stability.

In her opening remarks, Zepp-LaRouche evaluated the current landscape:

“If you thought 2025 was a turbulent year, fraught with danger and events people could hardly imagine possible, the new year suggests this trend will continue, with 2026 set to be a year of even more traumatic changes. The entire strategic situation and its many components are so strained that we must expect things to deviate from their current path and evolve into destructive developments.”

Drone attack on the Russian President

A primary focus of the meeting was the recent attempted strike on Russian President Vladimir Putin’s residence near Novgorod, which reportedly involved 91 unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).

Highlighting the gravity of the incident, Zepp-LaRouche stated: “According to Russian military officials, all of these UAVs were neutralized, and no damage was sustained. However, the strategic implications of this event are incredibly high. Had President Putin been there and been killed, the world would likely have already spiraled into an open-ended world war.”

Zepp-LaRouche added that the Russian Ministry of Defense had analyzed the programming of the recovered drone debris and presented the evidence to the US military attaché in Moscow.

Missile threats in Germany: “A knife at Russia’s throat”

Wolfgang Effenberger, a German author and former military officer, focused on the dangers posed by the reactivation of the 56th Artillery Command in Wiesbaden, Germany, and the planned deployment of new missile systems across Europe.

Effenberger pointed to the connection between the development of “Dark Eagle” hypersonic missiles and the termination of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty.

“The Dark Eagle hypersonic rocket began development in 2019, the same year the US withdrew from the INF Treaty,” Effenberger noted. “With a range of 2,800 to 3,500 kilometers, this weapon would have been prohibited under the treaty. These systems enable Germany to strike targets and command centers deep within Russia. This would effectively blind Russia and place it under immense pressure.”

Effenberger warned that such a scenario could force Russia into a preemptive strike. “Just before the invasion of Ukraine, Putin remarked that ballistic missiles launched from Ukraine would reach Moscow in just seven to eight minutes, describing it as a ‘knife held to the throat.’ The Dark Eagle makes this situation even worse.”

Reminding the coalition that the New START treaty is set to expire in February 2026, Effenberger concluded:

“The end of New START combined with the deployment of the Dark Eagle represents a fundamental breaking point in strategic stability. Without the limitations imposed by the agreement, both sides will likely develop significantly more weapon systems.”

“Dancing on the edge of a nuclear abyss”

Beto Almeida, a Brazilian journalist and co-founder of TeleSUR, characterized the global state of affairs as “dancing on the edge of a nuclear abyss.”

“We are dancing on the edge of a nuclear precipice without even realizing it,” Almeida said. “There are four distinct flashpoints: Ukraine, Gaza, Taiwan, and Venezuela. Ukraine is the most explosive of them all.”

Addressing Donald Trump’s alleged reaction to the reports of the attack on Putin’s residence, Almeida shared the following account:

“Trump’s response to the call from Moscow explaining the attack was reportedly, ‘Thank God we didn’t give Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine.’ I was not there, but this is how the event was relayed. This is a highly significant indicator of what might be possible if a different approach were to prevail in Washington.”

Almeida also touched upon cooperation between China and Russia in Latin America and other regions, noting: “President Xi Jinping’s words are quite clear; the reunification of Taiwan with China is inevitable.”

The collapse of Mutual Assured Destruction

Dennis Small of the Schiller Institute argued that the Cold War-era doctrine of “Mutual Assured Destruction” (MAD) is no longer a functional deterrent.

“Mutual Assured Destruction depends on a rival power responding to the threat of nuclear annihilation with at least a minimum level of logic,” Small evaluated. “That minimum logic no longer exists. Those on the NATO side do not seem to care and have openly stated they believe they can win a nuclear conflict. We are now beyond the point where MAD can function. All it will do now is accelerate our descent into a thermonuclear confrontation.”

Call for a new security architecture

At the conclusion of the meeting, Helga Zepp-LaRouche reiterated the necessity of a new security and development architecture as the only way out of the current crisis.

“Western elites are completely unwilling to face the fact that the current state of the world is entirely their own creation,” Zepp-LaRouche concluded. “If we cannot transcend geopolitics and shift our mindset to the idea of ‘humanity first,’ we will not survive. In the age of nuclear weapons, viewing war as a method of conflict resolution will lead us to extinction as a civilization.”

Diplomacy

South Korea pulls part of embassy staff from Ukraine amid POW dispute

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The South Korean government has decided to withdraw part of its embassy staff from Ukraine.

According to the Yonhap news agency, Foreign Ministry spokesman Park Doo-sun cited the Kyiv administration’s failure to take “positive steps” in the dispute that began with the leak of information concerning the handover of North Korean prisoners of war as the justification for the move.

The spokesman also listed the ongoing threat of air strikes, which complicates the safety of diplomats, among the reasons.

Following the withdrawal of part of the personnel, essential diplomatic contacts will continue under the leadership of the charge d’affaires ad interim to Ukraine. All consular staff tasked with protecting South Korean citizens will remain in Ukraine.

Prior to this move, the Seoul administration decided on 8 October to withdraw its ambassador. The Foreign Ministry stated at the time that it was ready to continue consultations with Kyiv to resolve the emerging issues constructively.

Tensions between the two countries began with a speech delivered by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the United Nations General Assembly in September.

Zelenskyy announced that two captured soldiers from the North Korean army had been handed over to South Korea.

South Korean President Lee Jae-myung, meanwhile, accused Kyiv of breaching a confidentiality agreement.

Lee said the disclosure of this information endangered the prisoners’ families and stability on the Korean Peninsula.

Seoul expects a public apology

Dmytro Lytvyn, an adviser to the Ukrainian president, denied the existence of a confidentiality agreement.

The South Korean Foreign Ministry summoned Ukrainian Charge d’Affaires Andriy Veshkin on 28 September and issued a note of protest against Lytvyn’s remarks.

President Lee Jae-myung warned in a statement on 2 October that they would take additional measures against Kyiv if Ukrainian authorities did not acknowledge the agreement and make a public apology. Lee stated that Ukraine itself had initially requested that the transfer of the prisoners be kept confidential.

Ukrainian Foreign Ministry spokesman Heorhii Tykhyi said the dispute stemmed from differing interpretations of the confidentiality regime.

Tykhyi noted that Seoul, based on its constitution which recognises the entire Korean Peninsula as its own territory, requested that the prisoners be handed over “like its own citizens”.

Describing the handover as a “gesture of goodwill”, Tykhyi stated that they were conducting closed-door negotiations to resolve differences of opinion.

Ambassador Park Ki-chang returned to Seoul on 10 October. According to a report by The Korea Times newspaper citing the ministry, recalling the ambassador served as a diplomatic protest against the leak of information regarding the prisoners.

The newspaper wrote that South Korea had last taken a similar step in 2008 by withdrawing its ambassador to Japan.

Moscow warned foreign diplomats

On 3 October, the Russian Foreign Ministry reiterated its warning to foreign nationals, including diplomatic mission staff, against remaining in Ukraine.

The ministry recalled its advice to leave Kyiv, citing ongoing strikes against military targets.

The ministry noted that those who failed to heed the warnings would bear responsibility for the potential consequences.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said in a statement on 24 September that they had no information regarding Kyiv handing over two North Korean prisoners of war to Seoul.

Peskov, noting that prisoner matters fall under the authority of the Defence Ministry and intelligence services, said, “Contacts through the special services are continuing.”

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Ex-BND head Hanning tied to former Mossad chief amid spy inquiry

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August Hanning, who led Germany’s Federal Intelligence Service (BND) between 1998 and 2005, was arrested on 6 October on allegations that he obtained roughly 2,000 classified agency documents and used them during contacts with intelligence officers from a foreign state.

Accused of high treason and espionage on behalf of a foreign intelligence agency, the former spy chief is alleged to have procured the documents from former BND employee Manfred D.

Prosecutors stated that the leaked records included internal briefing notes presented to senior German officials, though the Berlin government has not yet publicly disclosed which country received the classified data.

According to an exclusive report by Jake Green for The Cradle, seized email exchanges revealed extensive ties between the arrested Hanning and former Mossad director Danny Yatom.

The correspondence shows that the two former intelligence directors built an ongoing network of contacts following their public service, combining commercial ventures, efforts to secure political influence, and intelligence links.

This dynamic has triggered debate that using personal connections and official access for private gain has left Germany’s intelligence apparatus vulnerable.

Intelligence notes for 10,000 euros and campaign proposals

According to the reviewed emails, Hanning told Yatom in a 2018 message that he could prepare an “overall assessment based on information obtained from senior German officials and intelligence agencies” concerning an unidentified candidate.

The former BND head committed to completing the report by 13 July in exchange for 10,000 euros.

Contacts between the two men subsequently expanded to cover domestic political processes in Germany. Ahead of the September 2021 federal election, Yatom asked Hanning to approach leading candidates.

Describing CIY Global as a “political campaign company”, the former Mossad chief noted that he aimed to introduce its capabilities to German politicians, and he mentioned his intention in the same exchange to transfer documents concerning a cybersecurity firm.

Cybersecurity partnership and surveillance operations across Europe

The partnership between Yatom and Hanning reached beyond political lobbying initiatives into the cybersecurity sector.

Hanning reportedly served as a consultant for World Health Energy Holdings, a cybersecurity company linked to Yatom.

Firms of this type, established or managed by former intelligence personnel, provide commercial platforms on the international market for Israeli-origin surveillance, cyber intelligence, and political influence capabilities.

The operational presence of private Israeli-based surveillance technologies across Europe has recently entered judicial records through scandals in Poland, Spain, and Greece.

Polish prosecutors announced on 12 October that data collected under the previous government via Pegasus spyware against political opponents had been transferred out of the country, adding that manufacturer NSO Group maintained access to the technical infrastructure.

In Spain, the 2022 CatalanGate investigation established that at least 65 people, including politicians, lawyers, and civil society representatives, were targeted using Pegasus or Candiru software, with Citizen Lab researchers publishing strong evidence linking the operation to Spanish authorities.

In Greece, the surveillance operation targeting journalist Thanasis Koukakis and Member of the European Parliament Nikos Androulakis was determined to have used Predator software, linked to Intellexa, a company founded by former Israeli intelligence officer Tal Dilian.

In the German espionage investigation, the traffic between Hanning and Yatom involving paid reporting, contacts with electoral candidates, and commercial partnerships does not yet provide conclusive legal evidence regarding the final destination of the roughly 2,000 classified documents.

Nevertheless, the disclosed correspondence gives German investigators a concrete line of inquiry to assess whether classified state secrets reached commercial networks tied to Israeli intelligence.

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Trump dismisses US envoy to Greece Kimberly Guilfoyle

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US President Donald Trump has dismissed Kimberly Guilfoyle, the US ambassador in Athens, following serious press reports concerning her conduct.

White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia told reporters during her first briefing that Guilfoyle had been asked to resign.

“She was doing a good job, but we didn’t like what we read in the press,” Trump said. “She was not a member of my family. I think she dated my son a long time ago.”

In a social media post, Guilfoyle stated: “These claims are unfounded, and I will resolutely defend my name, reputation, and integrity.” She added that she was particularly proud of the embassy’s work.

According to Kathimerini, her removal came as no surprise in Washington. Days of successive disclosures and vigorous exploitation of the matter by Democrats had been inflicting political damage on the White House ahead of the sensitive midterm elections.

The US State Department was instructed not to comment, with crisis management transferred entirely to the White House.

Reports indicate that most of the president’s team swiftly favoured Guilfoyle’s dismissal, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio was reportedly uneasy with the demonstratively warm public welcome she had staged for him.

Democrats on the House Foreign Affairs Committee have called for an investigation.

“Her resignation does not absolve her of responsibility,” the lawmakers wrote, adding: “While American families struggled to make ends meet, she used her position as a Trump administration official to enrich herself.”

Chargé d’Affaires Josh Huck will assume ambassadorial duties until a successor is chosen.

Meanwhile, Guilfoyle’s departure is expected to cause delays in agreements between Greece and the US.

These include the so-called “Rubio package”, comprising approximately $4 billion in arms deals finalised only days before the secretary of state’s arrival.

Several procedural steps still remain before the contracts can be signed.

In Athens, opposition parties are demanding answers. Dimitris Mantzos of PASOK called for a detailed briefing on the agreements reached during Rubio’s visit.

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