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Iran and Pakistan missile firings: Tit-for-tat or diplomacy failure

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Pakistan did not remain silent over Iran’s brazen missile attack on an alleged militant group inside the country’s Balochistan region as it fired back against what it had claimed as rebel-held sites in Iranian territory. The exchange of fires between the two neighbors marked an explosive new development in growing unrest in the Middle East since the outbreak of deadly war in Gaza, the new wave of clashes in Yemen and now toward South Asia.

It was Iran which fired first on Tuesday and Pakistan responded on Thursday and Islamabad called it a clear violation of its national territory. Both sides claimed that they had targeted hideouts of the separatist Baloch militants but the reports speak otherwise and the civilians were the victims on both sides. Iranian state media reported the death toll from Pakistan’s missile attack in southeastern Sistan-Baluchistan region has reached to ten, including three women and four children. Three civilians, including two children were also killed in Iran’s attack on Pakistani soil.

The attack, of course, further deteriorated the ties between the two nuclear weapons neighbors which indeed is not in their interest at all. Both Iran and Pakistan apparently have a clear interest in finding a ceiling for this conflict and pathway toward de-escalation. At the same time, it is not simply possible as Iran is angrier now because the diplomacy approach failed to convince Islamabad not to retaliate.

China works to ease tensions between Iran and Pakistan

However, the mediation process has been scrambled, especially by China which has a very good tie with both the countries.

China’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson, Mao Ming expressed her country’s willingness to play a constructive role in easing tensions between Iran and Pakistan

“China has always advocated that relations between countries should be handled in accordance with the purposes and principles of the United Nations Charter and international law, and that the sovereignty, independence, and territorial integrity of all countries should be effectively respected and maintained,” Mao stated.

She furthered: “Iran and Pakistan are close neighbors, friendly countries to China, and countries with important influence. China sincerely hopes that both sides can maintain calm and restraint and avoid escalating tensions. If needed, we are also willing to play a constructive role in alleviating the situation.”

Meanwhile, Afghanistan, the closest neighbor to both Iran and Pakistan had deemed the recent violence between Iran and Pakistan alarming, and called on the two neighboring countries to exercise restraint.

“In light of the region’s newfound peace and stability after protracted imposed wars and instability, both sides should direct efforts towards further strengthening regional stability and resolving disputes through diplomatic channels and dialogue,” Taliban Foreign Ministry Spokesman Abdul Qahar Balkhi said.

Iran’s enemy has spoken of course negatively

However, US President Joe Biden said that the recent clashes between Iran and Pakistan indicate Iran’s lack of popularity in the region.

Youth activists of Muslim Talba Mahaz (MTM) holding a banner shout slogans during a protest against Iranian air strike, in Islamabad on January 18, 2024. AFP

“As you can see, Iran is not particularly well-liked in the region, and where that goes, we’re working on now. I don’t know where that goes,” Biden said.

But US State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller urged restraint among all parties amid escalating tensions between Iran and Pakistan, and lauded Pakistan’s emphasis on cooperative relations with its neighbors.

Attacking Pakistan was a mistake – diplomacy wins

An Iranian war expert said that Pakistan has been under attack for several years, and there was a wave of attacks on bordering sides against Pakistani soldiers, but Islamabad didn’t attack directly any country like Iran did. “I am not blaming Iran, but carrying out a missile attack inside Pakistan was not a right decision,” he told Harici.

Speaking on condition of anonymity, he said that Iran is already alone in the region, attacking Pakistan is making Iran more peril to terrorist attacks by different names and agenda. “We are already at war with Israel, Syria, Iraq, and now with Pakistan. We also fought with the Taliban in bordering areas. So, these are not good signs. We need friends not more enemies,” he added.

We need to think twice before taking any action, he said, adding that Iran should not lose its way with recent attacks in Kerman. “Iran should understand that the extremist groups like Islamic State (IS), who claimed responsibility for Kerman twin bombings, and Baloch militant groups, have no specific hideouts as they are just brain-made by the intelligence agencies of countries,” he added.

He said that Pakistan claimed it targeted militant sides, but the casualties all were civilians, including children and similarly to Iran’s claim attacking Pakistan. “My advice to the government of Iran is that do not retaliate again and the diplomacy channel must work to resolve the issue,” he added.

Pakistan convenes emergency security meeting  

Following a deadly airstrike exchanged between Islamabad and Tehran, the government of Pakistan has decided to hold an emergency meeting with military and intelligence chiefs on Friday. As of now, the meeting has not been held, however the national security committee meeting comes as both sides are apparently trying to reduce the tension. It has been reported that the Pakistani Chief of Army Staff and the head of Intelligence services are expected to attend the meeting.

Meanwhile, Pakistan foreign ministry in a statement described Iran as a brotherly country, stating that the people of Pakistan have great respect and affection for the Iranian people. “We have always emphasized dialogue and cooperation in confronting common challenges, including the menace of terrorism, and will continue to endeavor to find joint solutions,” the statement reads.

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Pentagon plans covert spy ring for economic war on China, report says

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The US Department of War (Pentagon) is reportedly planning to establish an extensive network of deep-cover agents to wage economic warfare against China and other adversaries of the US.

According to a report by The Washington Post citing six sources familiar with the initiative, the plan has not yet been put into effect. The newspaper reported that the initiative remains at the planning stage. The Pentagon, however, denies that any such initiative exists.

The report said the operatives would pose as entrepreneurs or private sector employees while concealing their ties to the US government. The network’s mission would be to gather economic intelligence and counter China.

The programme is led by Tom Rakusa, who spent 39 years at the CIA. Rakusa serves as a senior adviser to Deputy Secretary of Defence Steve Feinberg.

The proposed spy network is seen as part of a broader policy by the Donald Trump administration to sharpen economic competition with other countries.

The US is already resorting to tariffs, export controls, and investment in strategic sectors, alongside expanding its economic intelligence gathering.

According to The Washington Post, the new initiative demonstrates the Pentagon’s growing influence under the Trump administration. The department is currently seeking a record budget of $1.5 trillion.

Trade war flares up again with Trump’s return to the White House

The trade friction between the US and China flared up again following Donald Trump’s return to the White House. In April 2025, Washington raised tariffs on Chinese goods to as much as 145%, and Beijing retaliated with tariffs of up to 125%.

In May, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio described China as the primary geopolitical challenge facing Washington. Rubio said that to avoid war, the two sides needed to manage their conflict of interests.

In July, Chinese expert Zheng Yongnian did not simply warn that underestimating the US could prove to be a “fatal mistake”; he stated it explicitly.

According to Zheng’s assessment, the US maintains its primacy through the role of the dollar, its military superiority, and its technological advantages.

Even so, the two sides agreed in June to declare a truce and lower tariffs. In autumn 2026, the US and China extended their trade truce until 10 January 2027.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the extension would give the parties more time to discuss economic issues.

Trade deals do not eliminate the strategic contradictions between the two countries. Financial Times columnist Rana Foroohar likened the race between the two nations for commercial, technological, and geopolitical influence to the 19th-century “Great Game” between the Russian and British empires.

Foroohar cited China’s standing in shipbuilding and commercial maritime transport, as well as its expanding footprint in overseas ports, among its key advantages.

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Japan plans curbs on short-term home sales to cool urban prices

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Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) plans to restrict short-term property trading to rein in surging home prices in major urban centres, particularly Tokyo.

Led by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, the party aims to make support for working households a core priority ahead of local elections scheduled for April next year.

The LDP’s research commission on housing and land policy met on Wednesday to discuss the issue.

According to a report by the Nikkei Asia newspaper, Commission Chair and LDP lawmaker Midori Matsushima said at the opening of the meeting: “Prices of newly built condominiums across Tokyo’s 23 wards have doubled over the past decade. We must work on measures ensuring that people who wish to live in these homes can actually afford to buy them.”

Homeownership in the capital has become virtually unattainable for broad segments of the population. According to data from the Real Estate Economic Institute, the average sale price of a newly built condominium in Tokyo’s 23 wards rose %18.5 in fiscal 2025 compared with the previous year, reaching 137.84 million yen (around $872,000).

Meanwhile, statistics from the Ministry of Labour show that the average annual income of a full-time worker in the capital remained at 6.78 million yen in fiscal 2025. This widening gap between incomes and residential property prices is directly shaping political priorities.

During its campaign for the House of Representatives election in February, the LDP pledged to curb speculative transactions across metropolitan Tokyo and other regions. Earlier this month, a party project team focused on policies concerning foreign nationals also submitted a recommendation urging the government to introduce immediate tax measures against rising home prices.

Under current legislation, profits realized from properties sold within five years of acquisition are classified as “short-term capital gains”. These returns face a tax rate approaching %40, including income tax and local inhabitant tax.

Although this rate is twice the approximately %20 levied as “long-term capital gains” tax on properties held for more than five years, several party members argue it remains insufficient to deter speculation. Calls to tighten the framework may be considered as part of the annual tax reform package to be drafted in December alongside the LDP’s coalition partner, the Japan Innovation Party.

The ruling bloc wants to present concrete housing pledges to voters heading to the polls in April across numerous urban centres, including 22 of Tokyo’s wards where local assembly terms expire.

“We need to support families with children, who are typically at the stage of purchasing a home,” a senior LDP official said.

Opposition parties are also preparing alternative proposals that target not only prospective homebuyers, but also residents forced into the rental market by high property prices and now affected by escalating rents.

Tax steps take precedence over limits on foreign buyers

Several countries seeking answers to housing affordability pressures have imposed direct restrictions on foreign purchasers. In South Korea, real estate policies played a major part in the declining public approval ratings of President Lee Jae Myung.

In August 2025, authorities in Seoul introduced an approval requirement for foreign nationals buying homes in the capital and adjacent areas, while also mandating that buyers reside in the properties for at least two years.

Canada and Australia have enacted temporary bans on foreign residential purchases, while Singapore levies a %60 additional stamp duty on foreign buyers.

The role of overseas investors in Japan’s property market also drew debate during the February election. However, restrictions aimed directly at foreign nationals are viewed as potentially conflicting with international trade and services agreements.

Consequently, rather than imposing restrictions based on the nationality of buyers, the government is discussing tax measures aimed at speculative real estate deals, such as rapid resales.

Fears that sharp market measures could shake regional banks

Concerns have also surfaced that aggressive steps to force down prices could harm the wider national economy.

A senior LDP tax official cautioned that a steep drop in land prices could weaken local financial institutions, warning: “We must consider the impact on regional banks.”

The real estate sector accounts for roughly %18 of total lending by Japanese banks. This proportion sits well above the %10 level recorded during Japan’s bubble economy of the mid-to-late 1980s.

At certain regional banks, property lending accounts for nearly half of total loan portfolios.

According to March 2025 data from the Financial Services Agency, approximately one-quarter of all loans extended by regional banks to the real estate sector are concentrated directly in Tokyo’s five central wards.

Buoyant asset valuations, supported in part by rising stock indices, have underpinned strong public approval for the Takaichi administration. Observers note that property interventions designed to cool the market could drag down equity prices and weaken the government’s standing.

A senior official on the LDP research commission stressed that decision-makers must act with caution regarding the scope and timing of any measures intended to bring price increases under control.

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South Korea plans $120B spend on eight US nuclear power plants

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South Korea will spend $120 billion to construct eight nuclear power plants in the US under an agreement that provides for $350 billion in investments in exchange for lower tariffs.

The South Korean government also announced that Seoul and Washington will begin examining a liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in Alaska comprising a large-scale pipeline to transport natural gas from the north of the state to the south, alongside the construction of an LNG terminal for exports overseas.

Seoul stated that a decision regarding the LNG project will be made following a commercial feasibility study. However, US President Donald Trump said that South Korea would invest $54 billion in the project, pointing to an apparent lack of full coordination between the two sides on the matter.

Trade and Industry Minister Kim Jung-kwan said in a statement: “This announcement opens a new horizon of cooperation where the two countries join forces to develop joint commercial ventures in strategic areas directly linked to economic security and future sectors such as artificial intelligence, nuclear energy, and LNG.”

“We will adhere to the principle of prioritising national interests and investing solely in commercially viable projects,” Kim said.

Speaking at the White House, Trump characterised South Korea’s plans as “one of the largest energy infrastructure investments in American history”.

The announcement followed a meeting between Trump and South Korean President Lee Jae Myung roughly one year ago at the APEC Economic Leaders’ Meeting held in South Korea, where they agreed on the creation of a $350 billion investment fund.

Under that agreement, $150 billion was allocated to the shipbuilding sector and $200 billion to other sectors. In return, the US announced it would reduce tariffs imposed on goods imported from South Korea from 25% to 15%.

Under the nuclear power project, South Korea’s state-controlled utility will build two plants in the US, while Pennsylvania-based Westinghouse Electric will construct six plants.

According to the South Korean government, this will mark the first instance in which a foreign country builds its own nuclear power plants in the US.

South Korean firms are also evaluating the possibility of acquiring a stake in Westinghouse as part of negotiations over sharing profits generated by the project.

South Korea additionally announced that it will build a $22.3 billion natural gas-fired power plant in Texas with a capacity of 6,472 megawatts.

The facility will be designed to supply electricity directly to nearby data centres. The project’s first phase is targeted to begin commercial operations in 2029, with full-capacity operations slated for 2032.

Seoul also disclosed that it had agreed to allow the US to receive 50% of the profits generated by the projects until South Korea recoups all of its investments.

After South Korea fully recovers its total investment amount, 90% of the profits will go to the US.

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