Connect with us

Middle East

Iran’s attack in Pakistan: Any message for Washington

Published

on

The unexpected attack of the Islamic Republic of Iran on the territory of Pakistan has raised questions about the hidden motives of this attack; An attack that can indicate deeper concerns.

Some reports from the recent visit of General Asim Munir, Chief of Army Staff of Pakistan to Washington indicates that the ground for a “complex deal” has been created between the United States of America and the Pakistani military.

Pakistan, whose economy has been fueled and improved by regional tensions for several decades, has long acted as a player to protect other interests in this region.

After the United States cut off financial aid to Pakistan in 2018 and the role of this country became less important for Washington, especially after the withdrawal of NATO forces from Afghanistan. Islamabad’s economic and financial needs were also not met by other regional players, including China, so Pakistan faced serious political, security and economic challenges. It is struggling and many believe that the country is on the verge of economic collapse.

Secret deal is on the making

On September 17 of last year, the American Internet magazine “The Intercept” reported, citing two informed sources, that during Asim Munir’s visit to the United States, a “secret deal” was made, including the payment of 700-800 million dollars by the United States to Pakistan for “supplying Ammunition for Ukraine.”

This news has not yet been confirmed by official sources. But due to Pakistan’s closeness to the West, especially the United States, close cooperation between Islamabad and Washington is not unusual. However, Pakistan also has its regional considerations towards Russia.

Also, according to reports, the United States, with its influence on international financial institutions, including the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund, has adjusted its positions to guarantee loans to Pakistan, in return for Pakistan agreeing to set up a “Shamsi” military base in its territory of Balochistan. It’s worth mentioning that this base is about 140 kilometers away from “Panjgur”, an area that was attacked by Iran.

US making efforts to take over Shamsi military base in Pakistan

Although a spokesperson of the US State Department said that Washington had no role in granting the IMF loan to Pakistan and that these negotiations were only between Pakistan and this organization and the US did not participate in it.

Another US media outlet, The New York Times had also reported in 2021 on the CIA’s efforts to take over “Shamsi” military base.

Pakistani newspaper (DAWN) also reported that US Deputy Defense Secretary David Helvey told the Senate Armed Services Committee that Pakistan had allowed the US to have military access to Afghanistan through its airspace.

It seems that the United States of America has long sought the reactivation of some bases inside Pakistan to achieve broader strategic goals, including intelligence gathering, but it is said that Imran Khan, the then Prime Minister of Pakistan had opposed this decision.

The United States pursues various goals by using the “Shamsi” base in Baluchistan such as monitoring “terrorist activities” in the region and Afghanistan. In this regard, it can be said that the cooperation between Pakistan and the United States of America regarding the intelligence and technical monitoring of the activities of the TTP (Pakistani Taliban) and the secession of the Baloch Taliban is a part of these goals. The activities of these groups have become a security challenge for Pakistan.

US, Pakistan, UK and UAE to stand against Iran

There is also a possibility that after the return of Nawaz Sharif, the former prime minister of Pakistan to power who enjoys close ties with UK, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, will raise Iran’s doubts about a “secret alliance” between the United States and Pakistan to “strengthen the information ring around Iran.”

Syed Asim Munir, the chief of Pakistan’s Army met with General Mohammad Bagheri, the chief of joint staff of Iran’s armed force during his visit to Tehran last year.

Iran’s simultaneous attack on Syria, Iraq and Pakistan may be a reflection of the concerns of this country as a whole.

The activity of opponents of the Iranian government has created problems for this country. According to Iranian officials, the attack on Pakistan was aimed at countering Jaish al-Adl, firing missiles at Iraqi Kurdistan with the aim of destroying the Mossad spy base in Erbil, and attacking Idlib in northwestern Syria in response to the attack of the ISIS terrorist group in Kerman.

US under pressure to deal with Iran

Amid the escalation of tensions in the Middle East and Iran’s activities related to its nuclear program, the United States and its allies are becoming increasingly restless and the pressure on the Biden administration is increasing. On the eve of the presidential election of this country, Biden has been accused by his electoral rivals of appeasing Iran and ignoring terrorist activities in Afghanistan.

On the other hand, the politicians of the United States, UK, Israel and their allies present Iran as a supporter of movements that threaten the interests of the United States and its allies in the region and liken Iran to a “snake’s head” that must be dealt with.

Considering the mentioned concerns, Iran’s attack on Iraq, Syria and of course Pakistan can be considered as a “deterrent and warning.” To what extent Iran had predicted Pakistan’s reaction is a point worth pondering. But this act of attack inside Pakistan’s soil and near the Shamsi base can be considered important at least as a message to America.

Iran and Pakistan acting wisely to ease tensions

Now it should be seen whether the current disputes and confrontations can end here or it will intensify the attacks of the representative groups of the two countries inside each other’s territory. The complex geopolitical landscape is based on the complexities of regional dynamics and the delicate balance of power.

Just two days ago, gunmen killed nine Pakistani nationals in the southeastern border area of Iran. This comes from efforts by the two sides to mend ties after recent tit-for-tat attacks.

Pakistani ambassador to Iran, Muhammad Mudassir Tipi had expressed shock by “by horrifying killing” of nine Pakistanis in Saravan.

He called on the government of Iran to extend full cooperation in the matter.

Iranian media reported the attack on Sarvan in Sistan-Baluchestan province and identified the dead as foreign nationals.

Middle East

Iran to receive hundreds of Chinese shoulder-fired missiles within weeks, sources say

Published

on

Iran is expected to receive its first shipment of 400 Chinese-made shoulder-fired air defense missile systems within weeks as it seeks to rebuild its air defenses amid an ongoing war with the US.

Three sources with knowledge of the agreement disclosed the information to Reuters.

Valued at between $60 million and $70 million, the purchase represents one of Tehran’s largest known efforts to bolster its short-range air defense capabilities since the outbreak of hostilities with the US and Israel.

According to the sources, the contract covers between 300 and 400 man-portable air defense systems, or MANPADS, including Chinese-made QW-12 and FN-16 missiles.

The deal was signed with Hong Kong-based Zhongqing Baoshang International Investment, which reportedly acted as an intermediary between the Iranian side and the Chinese supplier.

Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs has not yet responded to a request for comment from Reuters regarding the information provided by the sources, who spoke on condition of anonymity due to the sensitivity of the matter.

China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued the following statement:

“The relevant reports are completely baseless. China has consistently played a role in promoting peace and bringing an end to the conflict.”

Beijing-based Zhong Qing Bao Shang Group, the parent company of Zhongqing Baoshang International Investment, did not immediately respond to a request for comment sent on Tuesday.

Iran needs to rearm following months of conflict during which the US and Israel struck facilities tied to its missile, drone, and air defense programs. Tehran responded to those attacks with salvos of ballistic missiles and drones.

The fighting demonstrated the difficulty of defending static military and strategic installations against advanced fighter jets and precision-guided munitions.

Washington abruptly halted its two-week bombing campaign on Saturday. However, US President Donald Trump said attacks would resume if negotiations aimed at ending the five-month war—which has theoretically been under a ceasefire since April—fail.

The delivery of hundreds of MANPADS systems would significantly expand Iran’s inventory of short-range air defense weapons.

However, the sources cautioned that while the agreement has been signed, the delivery schedule, quantities, and other operational details remain subject to change.

Under the plan agreed upon by the parties, initial deliveries will be transported by air from the western Chinese city of Urumqi before being routed through Pakistan to Iran. The sources did not clarify whether transport following the transit through Pakistan would occur by air or land.

The Pakistani military’s public relations wing, ISPR, said in a statement:

“Allegations that Pakistan is playing a role in the supply of air defense weapons from China to Iran are completely fabricated and contrary to fact.”

Two Western intelligence sources and an Iranian official said Tehran is also exploring the option of using overland routes to transport Chinese-made military equipment and dual-use components more covertly, reducing the risk of shipments being intercepted.

The procurement process underscores how the Islamic Republic of Iran continues to rely on a combination of domestic arms production and foreign suppliers, despite years of sanctions and defense import restrictions.

Reuters previously reported, citing individuals familiar with the discussions, that Iran was close to concluding a separate deal to purchase anti-ship cruise missiles from China. Reuters was unable to confirm whether that agreement was finalized.

Continue Reading

Middle East

Saudi crude exports from Yanbu plunge 40% as Yemeni strikes force reliance on costlier routes

Published

on

Crude oil shipments from Saudi Arabia’s Yanbu Port on the Red Sea coast have dropped by 40% over the past few days.

According to data published on July 26 by maritime intelligence firm Vortexa, the Riyadh administration has begun utilizing the SUMED pipeline in Egypt and alternative transit routes in an effort to bypass the naval blockade declared by forces aligned with Sanaa.

The sharp decline in shipment volumes follows retaliatory operations and the enforcement of a maritime blockade against Saudi Arabia by the Yemeni Armed Forces, operating under the Ansarallah movement.

Riyadh has maintained military strikes and blockade measures against Yemen for nearly 12 years.

A Sunday report by maritime intelligence firm Windward, drawing on Vortexa data, noted that Saudi Arabia has established a new logistical framework to maintain its export flows. “Saudi Arabia has created an alternative export route functioning via the SUMED pipeline and the Cape of Good Hope,” the report stated. The agency reported that this shift has driven up transportation costs by approximately $9 per barrel.

The market analysis report provided the following assessment regarding the operational mechanics of the transition:

“Saudi crude shipments have not stopped; they have been split into two distinct routes. Tankers berthing at Yanbu Port are now operating with their AIS signals completely turned off. Vessels are concealing their locations to avoid inclusion on Ansarallah’s target list. Saudi Arabia has established an alternative export route operating via the SUMED pipeline and the Cape of Good Hope. Although this route increases costs and transit times, it demonstrates that the market is capable of adapting to changing conditions.”

Saudi Arabia previously activated a similar alternative route via Yanbu during the initial phase of the US-Israel war, following Iran’s first blockade measures directed at the Strait of Hormuz.

At the time of the Windward report’s release, satellite imagery published by SoarAtlas revealed the ongoing situation at Saudi Aramco’s Jizan Oil Refinery. Massive fires triggered by attacks carried out by the Yemeni Armed Forces were shown to be persisting at the $12 billion facility. Images captured on Saturday documented dense black smoke continuing to billow from a giant oil storage tank at the site.

The Yemeni Armed Forces publicly announced their latest military operations against Saudi Arabia on July 25. They stated that the strikes were executed in response to the Saudi-led coalition resuming aerial bombardments against the Yemeni port city of Hodeidah.

An official statement issued by the Yemeni military under the Ansarallah-led administration provided the following details:

“In response to this overt and criminal aggression, the Yemeni Armed Forces carried out two specialized military operations. In the first operation, sensitive Saudi Aramco facilities in Jizan were targeted with dozens of ballistic missiles and drones. In the second operation, sensitive Saudi Aramco facilities in Yanbu were struck using ballistic and cruise missiles alongside unmanned aerial vehicles.”

Spokespersons for the Yemeni military emphasized that the strikes were “precise” and “direct,” while residents in the city of Yanbu were reported to have heard explosions over the weekend. In the early hours of Saturday, Saudi airstrikes had targeted fuel storage facilities and telecommunications infrastructure in Hodeidah.

Mahdi al-Mashat, President of the Ansarallah Supreme Political Council, issued a warning to the Saudi Arabian leadership in a statement on July 27. “We say to the Saudi enemy that those offering you false hopes will be of no avail. Anything short of an end to the aggression and the complete lifting of the blockade is mere fantasy,” al-Mashat said.

In line with their naval blockade decision, the Yemeni Armed Forces have also targeted two Saudi oil tankers with missiles in recent days. The Sanaa administration officially initiated its maritime restrictions on July 20 under the stated principle of “a blockade for a blockade.”

This latest phase of heightened tension began in early July when Saudi Arabia launched an airstrike targeting Sanaa International Airport for the first time after a prolonged hiatus. Yemeni forces responded by striking Abha Airport in Saudi Arabia with missiles and drones. The attack marked the Yemeni military’s first direct retaliatory strike inside Saudi territory since 2021.

The Saudi-led coalition initially intervened in Yemen in 2015 after Ansarallah took control of the capital, Sanaa, and ousted the Riyadh-backed government. The United Arab Emirates joined as a principal coalition partner, while the UK, the US, and Israel provided logistical support.

During peace negotiations conducted between Saudi Arabia and Yemen in 2023, the parties came close to a final agreement before talks stalled. Nevertheless, those contacts effectively served to freeze large-scale combat operations for an extended period.

The air and sea blockade enforced by Saudi Arabia for over a decade has deepened the humanitarian crisis, particularly due to commercial flight restrictions imposed on Sanaa International Airport. These measures have prevented critically ill and injured civilians from traveling abroad for medical treatment, while the coalition’s military intervention has driven widespread famine and resulted in the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people. Prior to Riyadh’s latest airstrikes, Yemeni forces had been conducting a general mobilization aimed at expelling coalition elements from the country.

Continue Reading

Middle East

Pentagon faces severe budget crunch as Middle East operational costs drain key military funds

Published

on

The US Department of Defense is facing a severe budgetary shortfall driven by the escalation of the war with Iran, according to current and former American officials cited by The Washington Post.

Officials noted that funding for several critical areas could be completely exhausted in the coming weeks. Budgets allocated for this year’s operations of the Navy and Air Force, which have deployed warships and aviation assets to the Middle East, are projected to run out by the end of July.

To cover the funding deficit expected before the start of fiscal year 2027 on October 1, the Pentagon is internally redirecting its budgetary resources. Under this approach, military exercises and training sessions designed to maintain troop combat readiness are being scaled back or canceled. Additionally, funds originally allocated for the maintenance and repair of military equipment and facilities are being transferred to operational expenses.

In recent weeks, the Department of Defense requested permission from Congress to shift $4.3 billion—initially allocated for personnel training and weapons procurement—to cover emergency requirements. However, no decision has yet been made regarding this request.

The White House has also requested that Congress allocate $67 billion in emergency supplemental funding to cover military expenditures. Despite this, the House of Representatives plans to begin a one-month recess on Thursday, which will delay any decision on the funding for at least several weeks.

“Everyone needs to look at this situation and shake off the complacency,” said Representative Pat Harrigan, a Republican from North Carolina, commenting on the development.

Pentagon Spokesperson Sean Parnell emphasized the critical importance of defense funding, stating that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth will do everything necessary to maintain the combat readiness of the armed forces.

Secretary Hegseth and the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Dan Caine, are scheduled to present the justification for the funding allocation at an upcoming hearing before the Senate Appropriations Committee. Russell Vought, the Director of the White House Office of Management and Budget, is also among those scheduled to testify before the committee.

Vought stated last month that the cost of the war had reached approximately $30 billion. However, this White House calculation did not include the cost of rebuilding and repairing US bases damaged as a result of Iranian attacks in the Middle East.

Current and former officials warn that if Congress fails to act, military leadership will soon be forced to make even deeper compromises.

In closed-door discussions, Pentagon officials are expressing more profound anxieties. They emphasize that supplemental funding is urgently required to replenish munitions stockpiles, which are vital for deterring adversaries such as Russia and China.

The US defense budget for this year stands at approximately $1 trillion. This figure includes $150 billion in one-time funding approved by Congress last year for various priority goals, ranging from designing advanced weapons systems to stimulating the domestic defense industry. Meanwhile, the Donald Trump administration has requested a $1.5 trillion defense budget for 2027.

Internal Pentagon assessments indicate that when accounting for base repairs, the replacement of destroyed aircraft, and the replenishment of munitions stockpiles, the total cost of the Iran war could rise to between $80 billion and $100 billion, according to reporting by NBC. Sources state that the repair costs for US military facilities in Bahrain alone could reach $1 billion.

Senators are expected to question Hegseth on the collapse of the ceasefire, rising war costs, and the American service members who lost their lives in Jordan, Bloomberg reported.

Continue Reading

MOST READ

Turkey