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Israel strikes Iran’s nuclear program, killing high-level commanders

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Israel launched a comprehensive air operation early this morning, targeting Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile program. In the operation, codenamed “Rising Lion,” Israeli warplanes struck nuclear and military facilities in strategic cities such as Tehran, Tabriz, the Natanz nuclear facility in Isfahan, Lorestan, Kermanshah, and Hamedan. High-ranking Iranian commanders and nuclear scientists were killed in the attacks.

This attack is considered the most serious military intervention Iran has faced since its war with Iraq in the 1980s. The development has brought the two long-confronting countries to the brink of an all-out war.

It was reported that many people were killed and wounded in the attacks, where some residential buildings in Tehran were also hit. The Subashi Radar Center, crucial to Iran’s radar infrastructure, military barracks in Kermanshah, and the Khosravi Border Crossing were among the points struck. A military base in Lorestan, five separate targets in Tabriz, and the Natanz Uranium Enrichment Facility were also focal points of the attack.

According to the Israeli press, the first wave of the operation targeted air defense systems, surface-to-surface missile batteries, and military command centers such as the Iranian General Staff Headquarters. Speaking to CNN, journalist Barak Ravid reported that Israel’s intelligence agency, Mossad, also conducted covert sabotage operations against Iran’s air defense infrastructure concurrently with the attacks.

Israel claims that Iran currently possesses enough enriched uranium to produce 15 nuclear bombs.

Netanyahu: Our future is in jeopardy

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu defended the legitimacy of the attack, stating, “If we do not act now, we will have no future.” Netanyahu noted that Iran plans to produce 20,000 ballistic missiles within the next six years, emphasizing that these missiles could reach Israel in minutes.

Israeli Army Spokesperson Major General Effie Defrin announced that approximately 200 fighter jets participated in the attack, striking about 100 targets. As the operation continued, it was reported that Iran sent more than 100 unmanned aerial vehicles to Israel, and Israeli air defense systems were activated.

Israel, Iran, Iraq, and Jordan have temporarily closed their airspace to flights. A state of emergency has been declared in the country.

High-ranking commanders and scientists killed

Iranian state television confirmed that Revolutionary Guards Commander Major General Hossein Salami and Chief of the General Staff of the Iranian Armed Forces Major General Mohammad Bagheri were killed in the attacks. The Tasnim News Agency reported that nuclear scientists Fereydoon Abbasi, Mohammad Mehdi Tehranchi, Abdolhamid Monouchehr, Ahmad Reza Zolfaghari, Amir Hossein Faghihi, and Motlabizadeh also lost their lives.

Retaliation from Iran

As the operation continued, it was reported that Iran sent more than 100 unmanned aerial vehicles toward Israel, and Israeli air defense systems were activated. The Israeli military warned the public to remain in shelters and follow civil defense instructions. Israeli Chief of General Staff Eyal Zamir said, “This operation has been planned for a long time. I cannot guarantee absolute success. Iran’s reaction may be different from what we are used to.”

Numerous airlines are moving their passenger aircraft out of Ben Gurion Airport in Tel Aviv. Israeli airlines El Al, Israir, and Arkia announced they have moved their planes out of the country. According to Flightradar24 data, some of Israir’s planes have flown to Southern Cyprus, while El Al’s aircraft have headed to airports in Europe. Many airlines are also canceling flights in the region.

A source from AJet, a subsidiary of Turkish Airlines, told Reuters that flights to Iran, Iraq, and Jordan have been canceled until Monday.

Khamenei: This regime will face a heavy punishment

Following the attack, Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei stated, “The Zionist regime committed a crime on our soil this morning, targeting residential areas. This regime will face a severe punishment.” He added, “The martyred commanders and scientists will be replaced by their comrades and successors. This regime has hastened its own end.”

Iran: The US is also responsible

The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs also held the US responsible for Israel’s attacks. In a statement, the ministry said, “The Zionist regime’s aggressive actions against Iran could not have been carried out without the coordination and permission of the US.” The statement continued: “The US will also be responsible for the consequences of this adventure.”

The statement also emphasized that Iran reserves its right to legitimate self-defense under the relevant articles of the UN Charter.

US: We were not involved in the attack

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, in a statement regarding the attack, said, “Israel informed us that this operation was necessary for self-defense purposes. However, the US did not participate in this attack.” Rubio added that the US’s priority is the protection of American forces in the region.

The US had evacuated some of its diplomats from Baghdad before the attack and offered military personnel’s families in the region the option of voluntary evacuation.

Israel’s military capacity strained

According to the Times of Israel, the operation pushed the Israeli army’s logistical capabilities to their limits. Aging aerial tankers were used to reach Iran. While it remains unclear whether Israeli planes entered Iranian airspace directly, it is assessed that the attacks may have been carried out with long-range “standoff” missiles launched from other countries. Eyewitnesses in Iraq reported hearing the sound of jets during the attack.

Timing debate in the shadow of Gaza

The operation was carried out while the Gaza war, which has been ongoing for 20 months in Israel and has been met with public backlash, continues. According to the Times of Israel, experts suggest Netanyahu may have chosen this timing for the attack to divert attention from Gaza. Despite this, the threat from Iran is widely perceived as real by the Israeli public. Even opposition leader Yair Lapid, who had submitted a motion to the Knesset to topple Netanyahu’s government just yesterday, gave Netanyahu his “full support.” However, public opinion could change rapidly if an Iranian retaliation leads to increased casualties or disrupts daily life.

Indeed, Netanyahu stated, “There is no such thing as a free war,” suggesting that Israelis may need to stay in shelters longer than they are accustomed to.

Attack was anticipated

The possibility of an Israeli strike on Iran, citing its nuclear activities, had been discussed for weeks. A day before the attack, US President Donald Trump had stated, “Such an attack seems very likely.” When the strike began, the US Embassy in Israel instructed all American personnel to “remain in place.”

Meanwhile, the US National Security Council is set to convene under President Trump’s leadership. It is not yet known whether Trump will make a public statement regarding the attack.

Oil prices rise

Oil prices surged by more than 7% following Israel’s attack on Iran after last evening’s close. As of 04:10 Turkish time, the price of a barrel of Brent crude rose by 7.40% to $74.49. In the same minutes, a barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil climbed by 7.86% to $73.39.

Middle East

US waives human rights terms on $320m military aid to Egypt

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The US State Department stated that it has waived human rights conditions on more than $300 million in military aid to Egypt.

The statement emphasised that this decision was taken in consideration of Cairo’s “helpful role” since the outbreak of the war against Iran.

Egypt began receiving substantial support from the US after signing a peace treaty with Israel in 1979.

Since the late 1980s, the country has received approximately $1.3 billion annually in US military assistance.

A portion of this aid is subject to conditions related to human rights and democracy, which can be waived on national security grounds.

Withholding funds, including during the administration of former US President Joe Biden, has caused tension between Cairo and Washington in the past.

A letter dated 21 September and addressed to various congressional committees, obtained by Reuters, stated that Secretary of State Marco Rubio “decided to waive the certification requirement under the fiscal year 2025 Foreign Military Financing programme for Egypt of $320 million.”

This waiver was subsequently confirmed by the State Department.

An accompanying memorandum justifying the decision stated that this portion of military aid was “essential for counterterrorism, border security, or non-proliferation programmes, or otherwise important to the national security interests of the United States.”

The memorandum, dated 4 September and bearing Rubio’s signature, stated: “Exercising this waiver authority is critical to the US-Egypt relationship and to US national security priorities, particularly given the helpful role Egypt has played in the aftermath of Operation Epic Fury.”

“Operation Epic Fury” is the designation used by the US military for the campaign launched jointly with Israel against Iran in late February.

The State Department memorandum, whose authenticity was confirmed by two sources in Washington familiar with the letter, did not provide detailed information regarding what was termed Egypt’s “helpful role”.

The State Department’s annual decision on military aid to Egypt typically covers funds allocated for the preceding fiscal year, which ends on 30 September.

A State Department spokesperson stated that Rubio waived the certification in the interest of US national security and that the US continues to cooperate with the Egyptian government across a range of issues.

In an emailed statement, the spokesperson said: “This waiver recognizes the importance of maintaining security cooperation with Egypt at a time of significant security challenges in the region.”

The Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not immediately comment on the matter.

The spillover effects of the Iran war have imposed a heavy toll on US security partners, including Egypt.

Owing to rising fuel prices and other disruptions, the Egyptian economy is passing through a difficult period.

Under the Biden administration, the US withheld portions of the annual military allocation on multiple occasions over Egypt’s human rights record.

In 2024, following the Hamas-led 7 October attack on Israel and the subsequent war in Gaza, the Biden administration set aside human rights conditions, disbursing the entire $1.3 billion allocation to Egypt for the first time in its tenure.

Human rights organisations have long accused Egypt, under the administration of President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, of widespread human rights abuses, including torture and enforced disappearances.

This week, Egyptian police detained six journalists from a fact-checking and investigative media outlet, accusing them of spreading false information on behalf of the banned Muslim Brotherhood.

Egyptian authorities state that they have taken steps to address human rights issues. Sisi said stability is paramount and that the government supports human rights by working to provide for basic needs.

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Middle East

Britain expands curbs on arms exports to Israel over Gaza risks

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Britain has significantly broadened its military export restrictions targeting Israel, suspending or rejecting more than 80 licences for items the IDF could use in Gaza.

This figure is nearly triple the number affected when the policy was first introduced in September 2024.

United Kingdom Minister of State for the Middle East Stephen Doughty said that as part of what he described as a “tighter system” for assessing exports to Israel, more than 50 further export applications have been refused since approximately 30 licences were initially suspended.

Under the initial decision taken in September 2024, 30 of roughly 350 licences were suspended after the British government concluded there was a “clear risk” that certain military exports could be used to commit or facilitate serious violations of international humanitarian law in Gaza.

The affected equipment included components for military aircraft, drones, naval systems, and targeting gear.

Doughty said additional measures adopted this month established what he termed a “double safeguard” mechanism within the approvals process.

Export applications must now be assessed both against existing international humanitarian law criteria and in light of Britain’s position on the legality of Israel’s presence in the Palestinian territories.

“We have so far suspended or refused more than 80 licences,” Doughty said, adding that he had personally examined each licence.

Despite the wider restrictions, British-origin parts entering the international F-35 fighter jet supply chain continue to be largely exempt.

The UK government argues that preventing British-made components from entering the global F-35 pool could undermine the programme as a whole and have serious consequences for the security of the UK and its allies.

Direct exports of F-35 parts intended specifically for Israel remain suspended.

Doughty defended maintaining the supply of components via the international programme, arguing that halting it could have severe ramifications for the broader European and allied security architecture.

Foreign Affairs Committee Chair Emily Thornberry challenged this position, arguing that the issue was political rather than purely legal.

Thornberry suggested adopting an approach similar to the Dutch model, under which components entering the international supply chain could be flagged as “not intended for aircraft bound for Israel”.

The initial suspension was implemented in September 2024 by then Foreign Secretary David Lammy.

Lammy stressed at the time that the measure did not constitute an arms embargo and applied solely to items assessed as usable in military operations in Gaza.

Since then, the policy has been tightened further under Prime Minister Andy Burnham.

The expanded export restrictions follow the Burnham government’s adoption of a more confrontational policy toward the Israeli government.

Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband drew sustained applause at the Labour Party’s annual conference in Liverpool after delivering a sharp critique of the Netanyahu government’s policies and defending the decision to ban trade with Israeli settlements in the West Bank.

Accusing Israel of committing war crimes in Gaza, Miliband stated that the British government heard public outrage over the conflict, telling delegates: “We hear you. You were right.”

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Middle East

Netanyahu holds secret UAE talks with Saudi Arabia and Arab officials

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Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with representatives of Gulf and Arab nations that lack diplomatic ties with Israel, including Saudi Arabia, during his weekend visit to the United Arab Emirates.

Sources close to the gathering told the Israeli newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth on Monday that representatives from Morocco, Libya, Jordan, and Qatar also took part in the meeting.

Netanyahu made a unannounced visit to Abu Dhabi on Sunday, where he met with the country’s leader, Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan.

According to Israeli media, this marked the first time the United Arab Emirates officially confirmed a visit by Netanyahu.

The meeting was arranged by Mossad Director Roman Goffman “at the request of Saudi Arabia, which asked for Israel’s assistance against Houthi attacks in the Red Sea region,” according to Yedioth Ahronoth.

The discussions addressed Iran and the Houthi militia. The newspaper added that the Arab states heard from Israel that “Israel is prepared to assist countries in the region with air defence systems, just as it aided the UAE during the conflict with Iran.”

Conflict in Yemen intensified in September when Ansarullah militiamen launched a rapid offensive that seized Yemen’s entire Red Sea coastline, including the vital maritime corridor of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

The Yemeni resistance also imposed a blockade on Saudi Arabia’s energy exports and staged multiple attacks against the kingdom.

Saudi Arabia reportedly sought military assistance from the US to counter Ansarullah.

Washington declined to attack the Houthis directly, but announced that it would provide intelligence and targeting support.

Reporting on the same visit, The Jerusalem Post said Netanyahu spent six hours in the UAE and that the principal subject of his discussions with MBZ was Iran.

Citing sources familiar with the matter, the newspaper added that the trip came “after Netanyahu exerted heavy pressure on the United Arab Emirates to arrange a meeting ahead of the Israeli elections on 27 October.”

Separately, the Associated Press, citing a person with direct knowledge of the meeting, reported that Netanyahu’s visit to the UAE was arranged in part to ask MBZ to deny reports that he had warned the Israeli prime minister of an impending Hamas threat prior to 7 October 2023.

According to Israeli media, Netanyahu’s office denied the AP report, issuing the following statement:

“Fake news. The visit focused solely on strengthening ties between the two countries and on regional issues.”

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