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Philippines withdraws vessel from disputed South China Sea shoal

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The Philippines has withdrawn a coastguard vessel from Sabina Shoal in the contested South China Sea, prompting discussions on China’s next steps in the region. The BRP Teresa Magbanua was recalled over the weekend following a five-month deployment, citing deteriorating weather conditions, depleted supplies, and the need to evacuate medical personnel. China refers to the shoal as Xianbin Reef.

The vessel returned to Puerto Princesa in Palawan on Sunday, where it received a warm welcome. However, four of the 63 crew members required medical treatment for dehydration.

Analysts suggest the sudden withdrawal may facilitate the rotation and resupply of troops stationed aboard the BRP Sierra Madre, a grounded World War II-era U.S. warship that the Philippines uses as a military outpost at Second Thomas Shoal, another contested area in the South China Sea.

China’s Global Times characterized the withdrawal as a result of “China’s successful intervention,” claiming that the Philippines had no choice but to pull back. The withdrawal reportedly occurred just three days after a meeting of the China-Philippines Bilateral Consultative Mechanism on the South China Sea. However, the Philippines did not notify China in advance of its decision to withdraw the vessel.

Carl Thayer, professor emeritus at the University of New South Wales, expressed concerns that the Philippines should have deployed a replacement ship before recalling the Teresa Magbanua. “The initiative is now in China’s hands,” Thayer told This Week in Asia. He warned that China might justify actions to prevent the Philippines from replacing the vessel under the guise of self-defense.

Thayer added that China could use the incident to support its territorial claims in the region, pointing out that approximately 70 Chinese military, coastguard, and militia vessels are stationed near the disputed shoal. He suggested that China would likely oppose any future attempts by the Philippines to deploy replacement vessels.

According to Thayer, China’s objective is not to occupy Sabina Shoal but to prevent the Philippines from establishing a permanent presence in the area. The Teresa Magbanua had been stationed at Sabina Shoal, located 146 kilometers (90 miles) from Palawan and about 1,200 kilometers from China’s nearest significant landmass, further escalating tensions between Beijing and Manila.

Lucas Bersamin, chairman of the Philippines’ National Maritime Council, explained on Sunday that withdrawing the vessel would allow for necessary repairs and provide the crew with much-needed rest.

“We have lost nothing. We have not abandoned anything,” Philippine Coast Guard spokesman Commodore Jay Tarriela reassured during a press conference on Monday.

ASIA

Khalil Haqqani’s assassination will damage Pakistan influence on Taliban

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Targeting the Afghanistan minister for refugees and one of key members of the Haqqani network has generated a stock of questions. Since the return of Taliban into power Khalil Haqqani become third most important figure targeted by suicide bomber inside his most guarded ministerial complex at Kabul. In the wake of prolonged links, Pakistan is likely to face decline in its influence in war devastated Afghanistan.

Not only it claimed but even Taliban high command has blamed the Islamic States (IS) also called Daeesh terrorist for carrying out suicide attack against Khalil Haqqani. However, common men and analysts as well are in hunt of answers to queries pertained to honouring of IS militants on the soil of Afghanistan. It is no more secret that almost all hardline Islamists organs and individuals including al-Qaeda, Daeesh and others are benefitting no other than US lead allies. Rebellion against Syrian president Bashar Asad after Libyan leader Col Gaddafi has confirmed brain behind such so called Islamist groups. Whatever might be by Persian (Islamic Republic of Iran) establishment designs but its patronised Hammas and Hezbollah doing has made more strengthen US puppet Israel in the Middle East. 

Through different jihadic period, Pakistan has established unbeatable influence across Afghanistan.

Reaction of Kandaharis within Emirate Islami over murdering of Khalil Haqqani in a suicide attack is not encouraging. Not even a single top leader of Emirate Islamic turned up to the funeral of Khalil Haqqani which confirms rifts within Taliban ranks. Only foreign minister Amir Khan Muttaqi and Maulvi Abdul Kabir both from South-Eastern zone were amongst those who attended funeral or last rites of Khalil Haqqani who had accredited himself as pioneer of suicide bombers in the region. 

Rifts within Taliban ranks are not new but lingering on since mid of August 2021 last. At that time, Taliban high command had made up its mind for monopolising the government set up but opposed by none other than Khalil Haqqani. Even former Pakistan ISI chief Lt Gen (Retd) Faiz Hameed had also extended help to Khalil in this respect. Sirajuddin Haqqani who is leading the family and notorious Haqqani Network and less experienced and he was always guided by uncle Khalil Haqqani to right directions. Now when Khalil Haqqani is no more therefore Sirajuddin Haqqani would definitely face hardships.

Through different jihadic, militant and other individuals, Pakistan has established unbeatable influence across Afghanistan. Earlier, this influence has sustained first ever set back when the US established direct links with the Emirate Islami through Qatar. However, Pakistan succeeded in recovering such losses to some extent by exploiting geo-politico locations. But now the sudden death of Khalil Haqqani is likely to end Pakistan influence in Afghanistan as Khalil after his elder brother Jalaluddin Haqqani was considered most loyal and obedient to Rawalpindi-Islamabad.

All those played pivotal roles in the “Great Game” either lost their lives or end up in exile.

In the wake of recent developments in Syria, the US has confirmed its main role in Islamic world not only for safeguarding its own geo-strategic economic interests but also for making Israel safe and sound. On such ground, US lead allies are interested in further confining Russia to its own international border. Like hard line Islamist groups and individuals of Syria, US spy agencies eyeing and hopeful of a due role from al-Qaeda and IS lead Asian Islamic groups, camping across Afghanistan and its border regions along with Pakistan.

No one can deny the fact that Haqqanis are witnesses to prolonged war on the soil of Afghanistan. Almost all the eyewitnesses of this war have been eliminated. Khalil’s brutal killing is also considered in sequence or part of the move in progress against eyewitnesses of war on the soil of Afghanistan, declared a Great Game by former President Dr Najibullah little before signing of the Geneva Accord in 1988. All those who played pivotal roles in this great game have either lost their lives or are now unable to live inside the country with honour and peace.

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South Korea’s constitutional court reviews President Yoon’s impeachment case

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South Korea’s Constitutional Court convened on Monday to begin its review of the impeachment of President Yoon Suk Yeol. The case follows the National Assembly’s impeachment motion, passed late Saturday with 204 votes—well above the two-thirds majority threshold required in the 300-member legislature.

Six judges from the court decided to hold the first hearing on December 27, following their initial meeting after the impeachment vote. Representatives from the National Assembly and President Yoon will participate in the hearing to determine procedural steps for resolving the case. Additionally, the court announced the formation of a task force to facilitate the review.

“We will handle this swiftly and fairly,” said Judge Kim Hyung-du, addressing reporters before the meeting. He emphasized the importance of organizing preparatory procedures effectively. Judge Kim also expressed confidence that the court would achieve its full composition of nine members by the end of December, as motions to elect three judges were submitted last week, with confirmation hearings planned for later this week.

For the impeachment to be upheld, six of the nine judges must vote in favor.

The court’s review comes amid escalating legal challenges for President Yoon. On Sunday, Yoon declined a summons from prosecutors investigating his alleged involvement in a case of martial law declaration earlier this month. Prosecutors reissued the summons on Monday, though Yoon’s appearance remains uncertain, according to Yonhap News Agency.

Separately, police announced plans to summon Yoon on Wednesday in connection with allegations of rioting and abuse of office. The president has yet to respond to these summonses.

The impeachment vote has triggered a crisis within the People Power Party (PPP). On Monday, PPP leader Han Dong-hoon resigned after facing backlash for supporting the impeachment measure and persuading enough party members to vote in favor.

“I am resigning as leader of the People Power Party because I can no longer fulfill my duties following the resignations of board members,” Han stated during a press conference. Five of the nine board members resigned, citing dissatisfaction with Han’s handling of the impeachment.

Despite a consensus within the PPP to oppose impeachment, a secret ballot revealed that 12 PPP lawmakers joined all 192 opposition and independent MPs in supporting the motion.

The main opposition Democratic Party continues to press its advantage amid the political turmoil. Democratic leader Lee Jae-myung called on acting president and Prime Minister Han Duck-soo to establish a bipartisan body to address national issues while the Constitutional Court deliberates Yoon’s fate.

“It is time for the National Assembly to actively manage the affairs of the Republic of Korea,” Lee said at a press conference on Sunday. “The People’s Power Party is no longer the ruling party. The ruling party, as it stands, no longer exists,” he added.

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Taliban, Turkmenistan FMs visit construction site of multibillion-dollar gas pipeline project

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The Afghan Foreign Minister Amir Khan Muttaqi with his Turkmenistan counterpart Rashid Murdov, had visited the construction site of the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India gas pipeline project near the common border between the two countries. During the visit, they reviewed the operational affairs of the TAPI pipeline, where both the officials discussed laying the railway track, optical fiber transfer and visa and transportation facilities.

Spokesman for the Afghan Foreign Ministry Hafiz Zia Ahmad said that the discussions “extended beyond the TAPI pipeline project to include the expansion of the railway, the construction of railway warehouses in Torghundi, the deployment of fiber optic networks, and the facilitation of visa issuance and transportation services.”

The Turkmen Foreign Minister provided a comprehensive briefing on the progress of the TAPI pipeline, the acceleration of construction activities, and the next steps in the Project, Zia said in a statement.

The $7 billion TAPI project will bring natural gas to Afghanistan, Pakistan and India

The $7 billion Turkmenistan–Afghanistan–Pakistan–India (TAPI) Gas Pipeline, also known as Trans-Afghanistan Pipeline, is a natural gas pipeline being developed by the Galkynysh – TAPI Pipeline Company Limited with the participation of the Asian Development Bank. The pipeline will transport natural gas from the Galkynysh Gas Field in Turkmenistan through Afghanistan into Pakistan and then to India. The official work on the project was opened on 13 December 2015 in Turkmenistan and the practical work in Afghanistan began on 11 September 2024.

The pipeline will have a capacity to carry 33 billion cubic meters of gas from Turkmenistan to Pakistan and India through Afghanistan’s provinces of Herat, Farah, Helmand and Nimroz.

It is worth mentioning that the much-delayed project was first signed in 2010 but the work has been put on hold due to technical and financial complications. The work was also stalled due disagreement between the archrivals Pakistan and India. However, the four countries Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India agreed to work on the TAPI pipeline project

However, the work on the Afghan side remained stuck due to war and the Taliban’s war against the foreign forces and the Afghan regime in that time backed by the US. However, the Taliban resumed work on the TAPI following their victory and the escape of the then Afghan President Ashraf Ghani following the withdrawal of foreign forces from Afghanistan after 20 years of presence.

Taliban spokesman Zia Ahmad, said that Muttaqi and Murdov reaffirmed their commitment to expediting the TAPI project, expanding railway infrastructure, improving energy and transport services, and enhancing broader economic cooperation. He furthered that the technical teams will continue their engagements in Kabul and Ashgabat to achieve these objectives.

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