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PiS presidential hopeful calls for end to Russia ties

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For weeks, Karol Nawrocki, the presidential candidate of the Law and Justice (PiS) party in Poland, who has been sharply criticizing Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, has now taken a hard line against Russia, even calling for the severance of diplomatic relations with Moscow.

In a recent interview with Wirtualna Polska, Nawrocki stated that he could sit at the negotiating table with Vladimir Putin and Zelenskyy, and even shake Putin’s hand if it were in Poland’s interest.

Nawrocki said, “Trump, Zelenskyy, Putin, and I would sit at the table and discuss whether Ukraine would be a stable buffer between the Russian Federation and Poland.”

On Monday (March 3), in an interview with Radio ZET, he responded affirmatively to the question of whether Poland should sever diplomatic relations with Russia. “My view is that it is not good for Poland to maintain diplomatic relations with a barbaric state,” Nawrocki said.

Then, on Tuesday, when Polsat News asked about the apparent contradiction in his stance towards Russia, he said, “In an ideal world, states like Russia – post-Soviet, neo-imperial, cruel, and barbaric – should not have diplomatic relations and should be isolated.”

Nawrocki’s stance on this issue is even more contradictory, given his criticism of Zelenskyy in recent weeks. In the same interview with Radio ZET, he stated that the Ukrainian President “behaved inappropriately towards his allies, including Poland.”

The PiS candidate added, “He claimed that Ukraine was left alone at the beginning of the war, which shows a lack of recognition for the significant efforts of the Polish people and the Polish president.”

Nawrocki trusts Trump

Speaking at the Local Government Congress in Mikołajki, Northern Poland, on Tuesday, Karol Nawrocki stated that he believes Donald Trump will ensure the security of Central Europe, including Poland.

Referring to the discussion between Trump and Zelenskyy at the White House on Friday, Nawrocki said that the Ukrainian leader “cannot afford to succumb to the pressure of the anti-American rebellion in the EU, which includes our country’s Prime Minister Donald Tusk.”

Following Friday’s events, Tusk wrote on X, “Dear President Zelenskyy, dear Ukrainian friends, you are not alone.”

Tusk also suggested that Nawrocki is a candidate who aims to “serve Russian interests in Poland, whether out of stupidity or calculation.”

Tusk’s candidate favors continued support for Ukraine

Rafał Trzaskowski of Tusk’s Civic Platform (PO), Nawrocki’s main rival in the elections, consistently demonstrates a pro-Ukrainian stance.

During a briefing in parliament on Tuesday, when asked about the US suspension of aid to Ukraine, he expressed his hope that “this would be a kind of signal.”

“I am saddened that such a decision has been made, but above all, this decision should lead us to draw a conclusion. As Europe, we must do more to help Ukraine,” he said.

PiS denies candidate change

Meanwhile, a survey conducted by SW Research for Wprost weekly reveals that most Poles believe Sławomir Mentzen, the candidate of the far-right Confederation, has a chance to advance to the second round alongside Trzaskowski instead of Nawrocki.

According to another survey by Opinia24, former Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki (PiS) is a potential presidential candidate who could receive more support than Nawrocki, especially if there is an economic crisis in Europe.

However, PiS leader Jarosław Kaczyński has denied claims that the party is considering changing its candidate.

“This is our candidate. We have no other candidate,” Kaczyński said at Nawrocki’s election rally on Sunday.

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Ramstein format delivers massive military packages to Ukraine

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The 28th meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, held in the Ramstein format, concluded with unprecedented military support for Ukraine from its allies.

According to a statement from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, the security assistance to be provided this year is expected to exceed the figures from all previous years of the full-scale war.

Ukrainian Defense Minister Rustem Umerov stated after the meeting, “The 28th meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group in the Ramstein format was another confirmation that partners remain reliable and determined in supporting Ukraine.”

Umerov emphasized that Ukraine achieved significant results, adding, “According to the outcomes of the meeting, our partners announced new aid packages and significant support measures.”

Record drone aid from Britain

Britain announced a record £350 million in aid for drone procurement. According to Minister Umerov, this will enable the delivery of 100,000 drones to Ukraine in 2025.

Overall, Britain’s military support in 2025 will amount to £4.5 billion, with £247 million of this sum allocated for the training of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

Germany’s massive €5 billion package

Germany approved a new military aid package totaling €5 billion.

Umerov shared the information, stating, “The Federal Parliament (Bundestag) has already approved this decision.” The package will specifically include funding for long-range weapons to be produced in Ukraine, as well as the delivery of air defense systems, weapons, and ammunition.

Netherlands’ contribution to naval power

The Netherlands is providing an aid package worth €400 million. This package includes a mine countermeasures vessel, boats, and naval drones.

Belgium’s long-term commitment

Belgium announced a long-term initiative. Within this framework, €1 billion in annual aid will be provided to Ukraine until 2029, and a mine countermeasures vessel will be delivered.

Norway allocated $700 million for drones, focusing on Ukraine’s defense industry, and $50 million to the NSATU Trust Fund.

Canada allocated $45 million for drones, electronic warfare systems, IT solutions, and Coyote and Bison armored vehicles.

Sweden will contribute €440 million to international programs for the procurement of artillery ammunition, drones, and other weapons for Ukraine.

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‘Force with force’: DGAP calls for aggressive EU strategy in US trade dispute

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Officials from the German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP) state in their public announcements that the EU should respond to the US government “force with force” to stop it.

Brussels’ measures against the Trump administration’s tariffs have so far been extremely timid. In April, the EU prepared a list of US goods threatened with retaliatory tariffs in response to US steel and aluminum tariffs; this list includes goods such as soybeans and Harley Davidson motorcycles, valued at 21 billion euros.

Additionally, it prepared another list of US goods worth 95 billion euros, planned to be finalized next week; this list includes cars and auto parts, aircraft, medical devices, and chemicals.

‘The only way to fight Trump is to risk instability’

The EU’s cautious approach is causing growing dissatisfaction among economic experts and political advisors. For example, DGAP expert Markus Jaeger argues in his new article that the EU should adopt a more aggressive policy.

Jaeger states that attacking US states where Trump has a broad voter base with tariffs is pointless, as these measures “rebound without hitting Trump.” Instead, he suggests that directly addressing “the president’s cost-benefit calculations” would be a better approach.

The German expert points out that past experiences have shown Trump avoids a “comprehensive financial instability risk” and withdraws tariffs when such a risk emerges. He recalls, for instance, that a significant stock market decline prompted Trump to freeze the tariff war against China.

Therefore, Jaeger calls for the EU to switch to a strategy involving a “credible and effective retaliatory threat,” stressing that, if necessary, an escalation of the conflict against “hostile protectionist measures” should not be avoided.

According to Jaeger, a former employee of Deutsche Bank Research, “risking comprehensive instability” if necessary is the only tactical way to defend against Trump.

‘China did what the EU couldn’t do against the US’

A more fundamental critique came from another DGAP expert, Shahin Vallée.

Vallée previously served as an economic advisor to EU Council President Herman Van Rompuy, then-Economy Minister Emmanuel Macron, and finally George Soros.

Vallée argues that the EU’s efforts to understand and deal with US President Donald Trump after his re-election have been a “complete failure.”

The DGAP expert argues that the EU failed to recognize the need to respond to Trump “force with force,” “openly and visibly.” He believes Brussels missed the “extraordinary opportunity” that arose when Trump was “colliding head-on with the entire world simultaneously.”

According to Vallée, it would have been possible to make Trump yield if action had been taken to isolate the US by immediately forming alliances with countries like China or Canada.

Vallée asserts that China achieved this success by “resisting and leveraging its power in critical areas,” compelling the US to “completely surrender.” He further claims China managed this without needing EU cooperation in a future economic war with the US.

According to the expert, the EU is currently stuck in the next round of tariff threats and will face even stronger pressure in the future.

‘Respond to force with force’

In this context, Vallée insistently calls for the EU to make a “complete U-turn” in its economic policy towards the Trump administration.

According to the author, as a first step, Brussels should immediately implement retaliatory tariffs against US steel and aluminum tariffs. Simultaneously, it should announce new counter-tariffs against automotive tariffs and suspended “reciprocal” tariffs; this should cover imports from the US exceeding 150 billion euros.

Secondly, the EU should restrict exports of goods that the US cannot substitute. Vallée gives the example of lithography technology used in semiconductor manufacturing, likely referring to equipment produced by the Dutch company ASML, which is used in manufacturing the most advanced chips and currently has largely no alternative, at least in the West.

Thirdly, the DGAP expert advocates for measures against US service sector imports. These measures include imposing digital taxes on the profits of large US internet companies on one hand, and restricting the activities of US financial service providers benefiting from European assets on the other.

Vallée advises being prepared for a “sharp escalation” of the conflict in this regard.

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Vatican under Pope Leo XIV warns against AI ‘playing God,’ urges ethical development

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The new leader of the Catholic world, Pope Leo XIV, has made reducing the risks of “uncontrolled artificial intelligence” the defining mission of his papacy.

In his first official address to the cardinals, the new Pope warned against the dangers artificial intelligence poses to “human dignity, justice, and labor.” Two days later, speaking to journalists, he praised the technology’s “immense potential” while also emphasizing the responsibility to “ensure it is used for the benefit of all people.”

Like Pope Leo XIII, whose name he took and who called for “restructuring” relations between workers and capital during the industrial revolution in the last quarter of the 19th century, Leo XIV positions himself as a “guardian of the social fabric” against uncontrolled modern technologies.

Indeed, the new Pope had said he took this name pointing to the role of his predecessor, who published the famous papal encyclical Rerum Novarum, in “social matters.”

Franciscan friar Paolo Benanti, a Vatican advisor on artificial intelligence ethics, told POLITICO, “The Church asks us to look to the heavens, but also to walk on earth as the times require,” adding that it is not unusual for the church to offer expertise in such a futuristic field.

Maria Savona, an AI expert and professor of innovation economics at Luiss University in Rome and the University of Sussex, stated, “The Vatican wants to avoid certain AI developments that could harm human rights and dignity and disproportionately affect low-skilled workers.”

The Vatican’s efforts to secure a place for itself in artificial intelligence regulation began with Leo’s predecessor. In 2020, Pope Francis brought together technology companies like IBM and Cisco, as well as religious and political leaders, to sign the Rome Call for AI Ethics, a commitment to developing artificial intelligence technologies that are “accountable and benefit society.”

In January, the Vatican issued an official statement warning that artificial intelligence could lead humanity to become a “slave to its own work.”

Leo, the first pope from the US—the homeland of Silicon Valley and the tech revolution—and a mathematics graduate, is in a “unique position” to carry this banner, according to POLITICO.

Meanwhile, Washington is spearheading a deregulation move in the AI field. President Donald Trump rolled back the security rules set by his predecessor, Joe Biden, and announced a half-trillion-dollar AI plan with leading company OpenAI.

According to Benanti, the church’s role as an “expert in humanity” can encourage leaders, especially in Catholic countries, to “create AI that values people and aligns with social justice.”

In Leo’s first meeting with Italian leader Giorgia Meloni, the two pledged to continue working for “ethical and human-centered artificial intelligence development.” Last year, at Meloni’s invitation, Francis had addressed G7 leaders on artificial intelligence ethics.

Savona commented, “The Vatican’s interest in artificial intelligence is not strange. Francis also showed great interest in climate change, one of today’s significant problems. The Church’s mission is to adapt to the world while remaining true to its fundamental principles.”

Savona argued that as power concentrates in the hands of tech giants and wealthy nations, the Vatican could use its network in the “Global South” to ensure “more democratic access” to artificial intelligence and push for European-dominated regulations to be adapted to global standards.

On the other hand, Leo himself has fallen victim to AI-generated content. In the first week of his papacy, a YouTube video was published allegedly showing Leo praising Burkina Faso’s President Ibrahim Traoré for contrasting the Vatican’s wealth with poverty in Africa.

The Vatican stated that the video was a “deepfake” and part of a recent wave of AI-generated content on African platforms glorifying Traoré as an example of pan-African leadership.

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