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South Korean election could reshape US ties and regional policy

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Early voting has begun for the South Korean presidential election. Liberal candidate Lee Jae-myung is predicted to win the snap presidential election scheduled for June 3. This outcome could lead to a new direction in the policies of a key US ally, spanning from China to North Korea.

Conservative former President Yoon Suk Yeol, who was removed from office in December following a brief martial law decree, had worked diligently to support Washington, maintain a tough stance against North Korea, repair relations with Japan, and coordinate actions with the US. Lee, who narrowly lost to Yoon in the 2022 election, has long approached the US alliance with greater skepticism, promising to improve relations with North Korea and harshly criticizing Yoon’s rapprochement with Japan. During his campaign, Lee emphasized that South Korea should stay out of any China-Taiwan conflict and pledged to mend ties with China. However, following subsequent discussions, he began to praise the US alliance and stated he would continue trilateral cooperation with Japan and the US, which Washington deems vital for countering China and North Korea.

Wi Sung-lac, a lawmaker advising Lee on foreign policy, told Reuters, “The Yoon administration advocated for democratic values in foreign policy while pursuing authoritarian tactics in domestic policy,” adding: “In contrast, if the Democratic Party wins, the new government will be prepared to genuinely defend democracy and pursue a foreign policy based on these values, proven by the long history of the struggle for democratic rights in Korea.”

According to Reuters, some in Washington wonder whether Lee’s changes on a range of issues will be permanent and whether his views might clash with the US. Trump imposed tariffs on South Korea, demanded it cover more of the costs for the 28,500 troops stationed in the country, and increased competition with China.

Bruce Klingner, a former CIA analyst at the Heritage Foundation in Washington, said, “There are significant doubts whether Lee will genuinely deviate from his previous stance of reconciliation with China and North Korea, nationalist antagonism towards Japan, and greater independence in the alliance with the US.”

Darcie Draudt-Vejares from the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace wrote in a report that while this transformation increases Lee’s appeal, “it also raises concerns about future policy and governance consistency.”

Much has changed in the three years since South Korea’s last liberal president, Moon Jae-in, left office. His tenure involved managing trade and political conflicts with Tokyo over historical disputes related to Japan’s 1910-1945 occupation of the Korean peninsula, and his attempts to secure lasting diplomatic agreements between Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. The impeached conservative Yoon reversed this entire process, aligning South Korea’s defense and foreign policy with US preferences.

On the other hand, a Western diplomat, who wished to remain anonymous, told Reuters that Lee is unlikely to revert to his previous stance due to China’s assertive posture, doubts about US commitments, and North Korea’s new cooperation with Russia.

Lee has pledged to cooperate with Japan in security, technology, culture, and environmental fields, but criticized Yoon for conceding too much while receiving little in return.

Yoon and the conservatives raised the possibility of redeploying American nuclear weapons to the peninsula to counter North Korea, or even developing their own arsenal. However, Lee has rejected these calls.

In an interview with TIME magazine published on Thursday, Lee praised Trump’s “extraordinary skills” in negotiation. He also compared himself to the American president, saying both survived assassination attempts and sought to protect their countries’ interests.

Lee stated on a discussion program on Tuesday, “I believe the South Korea-US alliance is the foundation of South Korean diplomacy.” Nevertheless, he listed US protectionism as a challenge and said he would not “unnecessarily” antagonize China and Russia.

North Korea is one area where Lee might find common ground with Trump. This could also be one of the most challenging issues to address.

Lee has said he will reopen hotlines with North Korea and attempt to establish dialogue with Pyongyang to reduce tensions. Lee could cooperate on this matter with Trump, who has emphasized his desire to handle relations with Kim Jong Un.

On the other hand, Lee, who accuses the conservative Yoon administration of bringing relations with China to their worst point in South Korean history, might adopt a more cautious and balanced approach to ties with Beijing, not succumbing to US demands.

Following Yoon’s impeachment after the failed martial law attempt, the South Korean presidential election will be held on June 3.

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South Korea emerges as major beneficiary of shifts in global arms market

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Uncertainty in the global arms market, driven by the United States reassessing its relationships with allies and a broad rearmament drive across many countries, is creating major commercial opportunities for South Korea. According to an analysis published by Politico, Seoul has become the world’s fastest-growing supplier of military equipment.

The report said that large-scale conflicts around the world have created urgent demand for weapons as countries seek both to support allies and strengthen their own defenses against potential future confrontations. At the same time, changes in the US role within the global arms market have opened new opportunities for South Korean manufacturers. Statements and policy decisions by US President Donald Trump regarding NATO have led allies to question Washington’s reliability in times of crisis, increasing uncertainty across the global market. In addition, the diversion of a large share of US weapons supplies to the Middle East because of ongoing conflicts has placed further strain on already overstretched supply chains.

European countries increase purchases from South Korea

Faced with what Politico described as the Trump administration’s more distant approach toward allies, European countries in particular have accelerated arms purchases from South Korea. The publication noted that Seoul’s growing influence as a supplier has been driven largely by major defense contracts signed with Poland.

Following the outbreak of the conflict in Ukraine, several Eastern European capitals, including Warsaw, transferred portions of their military inventories to Kyiv, relying on German support to replenish their arsenals. However, Berlin’s slow pace in replacing allied stockpiles generated frustration across the region.

South Korea emerged as an alternative supplier during this period and became a reliable source of military equipment for Eastern European countries. Poland became Seoul’s largest customer through a $13.7 billion agreement covering the purchase of tanks, rocket launchers, self-propelled howitzers and other military equipment.

“We were originally preparing against North Korea, but now we are ready to provide these solutions to customers around the world,” said Choo Hyung-kim, head of the Security Management Institute, a defense analysis organization affiliated with South Korea’s National Assembly.

Lack of political baggage gives Seoul an advantage

Politico reported that one of the greatest advantages enjoyed by South Korean defense companies is the absence of the “political baggage” associated with major arms exporters such as the United States, China, Russia and Israel.

According to the figures cited, the combined projected revenue of South Korea’s largest defense companies, including Hanwha Group, Hyundai Rotem, LIG Nex1 and Korea Aerospace Industries, is expected to reach approximately $37 billion in 2026. That would represent a fourfold increase from their combined revenues in 2021.

Meanwhile, an official from the office of former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol told the Yonhap news agency in 2024 that the scale of any weapons shipments to Ukraine would depend on Russia’s approach to its relationship with North Korea. Seoul later clarified that it had no plans to provide ammunition directly to Ukraine.

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DeepSeek raises $7.4 billion in funding round, surpasses $50 billion valuation

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Chinese artificial intelligence startup DeepSeek has raised more than 50 billion yuan ($7.4 billion) in its first funding round. According to Reuters, citing The Information, the company’s valuation has surpassed $50 billion.

The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported that the capital will be used to support the costly development of advanced artificial intelligence technologies.

According to the newspaper, citing sources familiar with the matter, investors valued the company at more than $50 billion. The valuation makes DeepSeek the most valuable AI startup in China.

DeepSeek founder Liang Wenfeng reportedly owned about 90% of the company before the funding round. Liang is said to have contributed roughly $3 billion during the fundraising process, making him the largest participant in the round.

According to Reuters, the transaction was structured in an unusual way that allows Liang to retain control of the company.

Rather than investing directly in DeepSeek, investors were required to invest through a limited partnership managed by a senior executive of the startup. Under the arrangement, investors were not granted voting rights. The report also said restrictions were placed on the use of invested funds for a period of five years.

The sole exception was the China National Artificial Intelligence Industry Investment Fund. The fund reportedly invested approximately $150 million directly in DeepSeek, allowing it to retain both voting rights and full discretion over its stake.

Other major investors in the funding round included Tencent, which invested approximately $1.5 billion, and Contemporary Amperex Technology, which invested about $740 million.

Bloomberg previously described the transaction as one of the largest fundraising rounds undertaken by a Chinese startup. According to the agency, the investment marks a new stage in the efforts of leading Chinese AI companies to compete with their US rivals.

DeepSeek told prospective investors that it would prioritize foundational and transformative AI research over short-term commercialization.

Based in the Chinese city of Hangzhou, DeepSeek emerged as one of Beijing’s most prominent AI companies after unveiling a more powerful and lower-cost model more than a year ago. The WSJ reported that interest surrounding the company has accelerated AI adoption in China and increased investor appetite for domestic startups.

Liang Wenfeng has previously said he intends to continue developing open-source AI models and ultimately aims to achieve artificial general intelligence (AGI). According to Bloomberg, the strategy continues an approach that has contributed to the spread of open models and influenced companies across China’s AI market, including Alibaba’s Qwen platform.

Bloomberg added that while global rivals such as OpenAI and Anthropic are exploring public offerings and revenue-generation strategies, DeepSeek has maintained its “research first” approach.

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China issues white paper on global governance reform, urging support for UN-centered international system

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China’s State Council Information Office on Wednesday released a white paper titled “A More Just and Equitable Global Governance: China’s Principles, Proposals and Actions.”

The white paper was issued to introduce China’s principles, proposals, and actions regarding global governance, to foster a broader consensus within the international community, to enable more effective responses to global challenges, and to build a more just and equitable global governance system.

The document states that global governance is a common endeavor concerning the well-being of all humanity, and that building a just and equitable global governance system is a shared vision long pursued by people around the world. It also emphasizes that China has always been an active participant, contributor, and builder of global governance.

According to the white paper, in the new era, Chinese President Xi Jinping has put forward the vision of building a community with a shared future for mankind. Advancing a global governance system shaped on the basis of extensive consultation, joint contribution, and shared benefits, Xi has called for true multilateralism to promote an equal and orderly multipolar world and an economic globalization that is inclusive and beneficial for all.

In 2025, Xi proposed the Global Governance Initiative (GGI). This initiative was designed to offer China’s solutions to two urgent questions of the era: What kind of global governance system should be established, and how should global governance be reformed and improved?

The white paper notes that shortly after its introduction, the GGI received support from approximately 160 countries and international organizations, with more than 60 countries joining the Group of Friends of the Global Governance Initiative. It states that the international community is of the view that the GGI sends a clear message: to defend multilateralism, join forces, and strive for a just future.

According to the white paper, the GGI aligns with the growing trend toward greater democracy in international relations and strengthens international confidence in the practice of multilateralism. The initiative provides a clear and actionable roadmap for the improvement of global governance, injecting valuable stability and positive energy into a turbulent world.

The white paper emphasizes that China proposed the GGI to accelerate the construction of a more just and equitable global governance system. The document states that firmly defending the authority and status of the United Nations is of fundamental importance for the effective implementation of this initiative.

According to the white paper, success will also depend on major countries acting with a sense of responsibility and all nations working together in unity to bridge deficits in peace and development. It states that rather than attempting to reinvent the wheel, all countries must firmly defend the international system with the UN at its core, maintain the international order based on international law, and uphold the fundamental norms of international relations based on the purposes and principles of the UN Charter.

In addition to the preface and conclusion, the white paper consists of five chapters: “Today’s World Faces Severe and Complex Challenges,” “The Global Governance Initiative Responds to the Challenges of Our Era,” “China’s Contribution to the Development of Global Governance,” “Directing the Course of Change Toward a Bright Future,” and “Advancing Hand in Hand at a Critical Juncture in History.”

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