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Purpose behind President Raisi’s visit to China

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Iranian president Ebrahim Raisi has wrapped up a three-day trip to China, a trip that is important from different aspects in the current situation. Raisi’s visit to China comes after two decades which is an important step that can have many potential positive consequences for both countries.

One of the core goals behind this trip was to strengthen economic relations between Iran and China, especially in the energy sector.

Meanwhile, Iran has been looking and hopes to compensate for the impact of sanctions imposed by the US and diversify its export markets by strengthening economic relations with China. Another important goal of this trip was to strengthen political relations between Beijing and Iran.

What was the purpose of Raisi’s trip to China?

President Raisi’s visit to China was an important event that has attracted the attention of everyone. Iran and China have long-standing relations that go back to the centuries. The two sides had in recent years also tried to strengthen their economic and political relations.

Raisi’s trip can be scrutinized from a strategic perspective in a bid to understand its potential implications for Iran and China and the wider region.

Iran and China have maintained diplomatic relations in the past over 50 years, and their relations have evolved significantly in the past few decades.

In the 1980s, China was one of the few countries that supported Iran during the Iran-Iraq war. The support comes while other major powers provided military and economic support to Iraq.

When war ended, China was also the first to continue supporting Iran by investing in the country’s infrastructure, including energy and transportation projects.

China largest trade partner to Iran

In the 2000s, Iran and China strengthened their strategic partnership, and China became Iran’s largest trading partner and major purchaser of Iranian oil.

Today, Iran and China are important economic partners, and China imports significant amounts of oil from Iran and invests in various infrastructure projects in the country.

At the same time, economic relations between China and Iran have been complicated by US sanctions against Iran. The series of sanctions have limited the ability of Iranian companies to do business with Chinese companies operating in the United States.

Despite these challenges, China has continued to support Iran and the two countries recently signed a 25-year strategic partnership agreement. These schemes included cooperation in various economic sectors.

Why did Raisi visit China at this time?

The visit of Raisi to China after two decades is an important step that can have many potential positive consequences for both the countries.

One of the main goals of this trip was to strengthen economic relations between Iran and China, especially in the energy sector as we already touched upon.

Iran is also looking forward to further improving ties with China in order to overcome its economic issues which are increasingly under heavy sanctions by the US and its allies due to acceleration of its nuclear power program.

This is the core reason Iran expects to strengthen relations with China and it will enable Tehran to improve its position in the world and in the region and gain a more powerful ally in its struggle in the regional powers. For China, the visit of Raisi is also an opportunity to strengthen its position in the Middle East and gain a reliable energy supplier.

China focusing on energy and infrastructure projects

China in the past several years has increased its involvement in the Middle East with a special focus on energy and infrastructure projects. Raisi’s visit to China was also significant in the context of the extensive geopolitical competition between the US and China.

China can also challenge US’s dominance in the region by deepening its economic and political relations with Iran.

Meanwhile, Raisi described his visit to China as very successful and fruitful and while addressing reporters upon arrival in Tehran from Raisi said Iran’s foreign policy is to build trust in neighbors and economic convergence in Asia.

He labeled his visit to China as an important step in the field of regional and global commercial issues.

Given that, Raisi called China as one of the world’s largest economies which can play an important role in the field of trade in Asia and around the globe.

Chinese President Mr. Xi also accepted an invitation from Iranian counterpart to visit Iran in order to further improve mutual cooperation in all areas.

*Translated from armanmeli newspaper

MIDDLE EAST

‘Turkey-Syria negotiations to be held in Baghdad’

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The Syrian daily al-Watan reports that the first round of talks between Syria and Turkey to normalise bilateral relations will take place in Baghdad.

Turkish and Syrian officials are expected to meet in the Iraqi capital Baghdad to restore diplomatic relations between Syria and Turkey, which were severed more than 12 years ago, after President Erdogan said there was “no reason not to meet with Syria”.

Press TV quoted an unnamed official as saying that the meeting would be the first step in a long process of negotiations leading to a political agreement, al-Watan reported.

According to the sources, Ankara has asked Moscow and Baghdad to pave the way for Turkish diplomats to sit at the negotiating table with the Syrian side without a third party. They also asked that the meetings be closed to the press.

Al-Watan noted that the Turkish-Syrian rapprochement and the initiative to restore diplomatic relations have received wide support from Arab countries, especially Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, as well as Russia, China and Iran.

Mutual statements

President Erdoğan said on Friday: “There is no reason not to re-establish diplomatic relations with Syria. We can do it again as we did in the past. We have no intention of interfering in Syria’s internal affairs. As you know, there is no reason why we should not re-establish diplomatic relations with Mr Assad, as we did in the past, down to family meetings”.

During a meeting with Russia’s special envoy to Syria, Aleksander Lavrentiev, in Damascus on 26 June, Syrian leader Assad said he was open to initiatives to normalise relations with Turkey.

“Syria is open to all attempts to normalise Syrian-Turkish relations on the basis of respect for the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Syrian state and within the framework of the fight against all forms of terrorism,” SANA quoted Assad as saying.

New mediator Iraq

While Turkish-Iraqi relations are developing positively, Baghdad’s mediation role in the normalisation of Turkish-Syrian relations is attracting attention. On 31 May, during a visit to Turkey, Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shiya al-Sudani said that he was working on reconciliation between Ankara and Damascus. Asked if he had spoken to Erdogan or Assad about this issue, Sudani replied: “Certainly, negotiations on this issue are continuing. And God willing, there will be some steps in this regard soon”.

In June, an Iraqi government source told Iraqi media that Baghdad would soon host officials from both countries in Baghdad as part of efforts to reconcile Syria and Turkey.

What happened?

Turkey severed all diplomatic ties with Syria in 2012 following the outbreak of war in 2011 and supported armed opposition groups in the northwest of the country.

Since 2016, Turkish forces have carried out a series of military operations and established a ‘safe zone’ in the north of the country, claiming that terrorist organisations such as PKK-ISIS threaten Turkey’s security.

The normalisation of relations between Ankara and Damascus began on 28 December 2022 with a Russian-mediated meeting between the Turkish and Syrian defence ministers in Moscow, the highest-level meeting between the two sides since 2011.

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Imran Khan accuses Pakistan army chief of cover-up of assassination plot against him

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Former Pakistani prime minister Imran Khan has stepped up his criticism of Pakistani army chief Asim Munir’s attempt to seize political power from his prison cell, The Intercept reports, citing several sources close to Khan.

The report also contains new allegations about Khan’s history with Munir. According to those in contact with the detained prime minister, Khan is making new allegations that he violated an agreement to remain neutral in Pakistani politics in exchange for accepting Munir’s appointment as army chief.

The deposed prime minister also claims that Munir conspired with his civilian political rivals, including former prime minister Nawaz Sharif, to work against him in exchange for dropping corruption charges that forced Sharif into exile.

According to the report, the escalating personal conflict between Khan and Munir is also an important part of the dialogue. Khan alleges that Munir ordered agents of Pakistan’s notorious Inter-Services Intelligence to kill him, and that the general covered up the assassination attempts by suppressing a police investigation and hiding CCTV footage.

While Khan’s fate remains the biggest unanswered question in the country’s politics, prison communiqués allegedly show that the situation was fuelled by animosity between Khan and Munir.

Khan’s allegations against Munir were shared with The Intercept by a number of sources close to him, who requested anonymity to protect their safety.

The correspondence allegedly includes surveillance footage and other evidence that Munir hatched a plan to have Khan killed in a raucous courtroom on 18 March 2023.

According to sources close to the former prime minister, Khan accused Munir of covering up the plot against him.

Among Khan’s supporters who believe his personal safety is at risk are Pakistani-Americans who recently lobbied Senator Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) to contact the Pakistani government about his safety.

As well as accusing Munir of betraying his trust and plotting to kill him, Khan has repeatedly claimed from prison that the general is leading the country towards a repeat of the traumatic partition of 1971.

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Israeli, Arab generals hold secret meeting

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Israeli Chief of Staff Hayzi Halevi met with his counterparts from various Arab armies in Bahrain to discuss regional security cooperation, two sources with direct knowledge of the meeting told Axios.

The meeting, which took place under the auspices of the US Central Command (CENTCOM), was not made public due to sensitivities surrounding the war in Gaza.

The meeting, which took place in Manama on Monday, was attended by CENTCOM commander Michael Erik Kurilla and Halevi, as well as senior generals from Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Egypt.

According to Barak Ravid’s report, the meeting was a sign that military dialogue and cooperation between Israel and the Arab countries continues under the umbrella of CENTCOM, despite harsh public criticism of Israel’s military operations in Gaza.

The IDF and CENTCOM did not comment on the meeting.

CENTCOM and the Pentagon have recently sought to increase air defence cooperation with regional militaries.

The US success in countering Iran’s unprecedented missile and drone attack on Israel on 13 April is seen as a result of this work.

US officials say that cooperation with Israel and Arab countries in the region allows them to gather intelligence and receive early warning of an attack. This cooperation includes the active involvement of Jordan and Saudi Arabia in intercepting missiles and drones that pass through their airspace after being fired at Israel from Iran, Iraq and Yemen, they said.

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