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SNA enters Manbij as Israel enters Sheikh Mountain

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The Turkish-backed FSA, known as the Syrian National Army (SNA), captured Manbij, which is occupied by the U.S.-backed PKK/YPG. Meanwhile, the Israeli army mobilized to take full control of the buffer zone in the Golan Heights.

The lightning advance of the organization’s led by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and their entry into the capital Damascus was one of the most important turning points in the Middle East in decades.

There have been reports of looting as well as celebrations following the departure of Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad. Organizations are releasing prisoners from Syrian jails.

But while hopes for a relatively ‘bloodless’ transition have been raised in the capital with Syrian Prime Minister Mohammed al-Jalali’s declaration that he is ready to ‘cooperate’ with any popularly elected leader and ‘hand over’ power, military mobilization continues in the north and south of the country.

This morning the SNA, backed by Turkey, advanced from the town of Ureyme to the west of Manbij and the village of Um Dadat to the north, as well as from the northern and western lines of the town, driving the PKK/YPG out of the area. The YPG thus lost its main stronghold west of the Euphrates. Search and sweep operations for mines and booby traps are reportedly underway in the area.

On the first day of the operation, launched on 1 December, the SNA pushed the PKK/YPG out of Tel Rifaat district center.

West of the Euphrates, Arab tribes from Deir ez-Zor began to push back the PKK/YPG. The tribes expelled the PKK/YPG from the Albukamal and Mayadeen neighborhoods on the Iraqi-Syrian border in Deir ez-Zor. The terrorist organization had entered these areas after the withdrawal of the Syrian army.

Israel seizes the opportunity

Meanwhile, in southern Syria, Israel has entered Sheikh Mountain on the Syrian side of the occupied Golan Heights. Israeli aircraft continue to strike targets in Syria.

Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar gave the press an assessment of the agenda, particularly the developments in Syria.

Sa’ar, who tried to legitimize the Israeli army’s attacks on Syria, made the following statements Our only interest is the security of Israel and its citizens. That is why we attacked strategic weapons systems, such as chemical weapons or long-range missiles and rockets, which remain ‘so that they do not fall into the hands of extremists’.

Sa’ar claimed that the Israeli army’s seizure of the buffer zone in the occupied Golan Heights, under the pretext of developments in Syria, was a ‘limited and temporary step’.

Saar also expressed his dissatisfaction with the SDF’s operation against the terrorist organization in Manbij, demanding that this operation be ‘stopped’.

Saar stated that they had discussed the operation organized in Manbij with many countries, especially the U.S.

The Israeli minister claimed that the international community has an obligation towards the PKK/YPG terrorist organization, which he said ‘ensures stability’ in Syria.

Turkey, U.S. in full engagement

On the other hand, a U.S. official, who spoke to reporters on condition of anonymity, said Turkey and the U.S. were in full engagement in the process.

In this context, U.S. Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin, Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) Director Bill Burns and U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken held meetings with their Turkish counterparts, the official said, adding that these meetings had constructive effects.

On U.S. relations with HTS, the official said it was clear that the group would play an important role in the Syrian transition.

The official stated that the U.S. relationship with HTS will be conducted in an appropriate manner by putting ‘U.S. interests’ first, noting that it will be important to see how the rhetoric of HTS officials is translated into action.

In addition, U.S. President Joe Biden, assessing the collapse of the Syrian government, said that this development was ‘a direct result of the blows that Ukraine and Israel dealt’ to Russia, Hamas, and Hezbollah ‘with the unstinting support of the United States’.

“For many years, Assad’s main supporters have been Iran, Hezbollah, and Russia, but in the last week that support has collapsed because all three are in a much weaker position than when I took over,” Biden said at a press conference on developments in Syria. Biden argued that Iran had been weakened by U.S. and Israeli strikes, and Russia by Ukraine’s strong stance, so that these countries no longer had the power to support the ‘terrible Assad regime’.

Our approach has changed the balance of power in the Middle East through a combination of support for our partners, sanctions and diplomacy, and targeted military force when necessary. Now we see new opportunities for the Syrian people and the wider region.

“We will work with our partners and stakeholders in Syria to seize the opportunities and manage the risks of Syria’s transition,” Biden said.

Biden stressed that stability and U.S. personnel would continue to be maintained in eastern Syria and that the mission against ISIS would be maintained.

Middle East

Qatar and UAE LNG tankers go dark in Strait of Hormuz to evade security risks

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Qatar and United Arab Emirates liquefied natural gas (LNG) tankers are turning off their transponders in the Strait of Hormuz, shifting their logistical strategies in response to ongoing military conflict in the Middle East and the closure of the strategic waterway.

According to a Bloomberg report citing industry sources and vessel-tracking data, as time and patience run thin for both nations, tankers have begun operating under radio silence to conceal their movements and secure their LNG shipments.

The report noted that neither Qatar nor Abu Dhabi, the federal emirate of the UAE, is subject to international sanctions. Despite this, state-owned QatarEnergy and Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. (ADNOC) are employing these “going dark” tactics to minimize security risks for their vessels and crews transiting the Strait of Hormuz.

Vessel-tracking data revealed that in May, at least four Qatari LNG vessels and four tankers linked to Abu Dhabi-based ADNOC transited the Strait of Hormuz without transmitting tracking signals. Sources speaking to Bloomberg stated that Qatari authorities requested captains of state-owned and chartered tankers to turn off their Automatic Identification System (AIS) transponders when navigating around the Ras Laffan port—the world’s largest LNG export terminal—as well as when transiting or exiting the Persian Gulf.

The implemented security measures extend beyond turning off transponders. Sources reported that vessels have been instructed to transit the gulf in pairs to enhance security, and tanker captains who refused to comply with the “shadow” navigation protocols have been replaced.

Industry sources speaking to Bloomberg warned that the increase in covert transits undermines the fundamental rules of international maritime trade and transforms these shipping routes into high-risk areas.

They emphasized that until recently, every cargo in the LNG sector could be tracked in real time, but these newly adopted tactics have eliminated that transparency.

Saul Kavonic, a senior energy analyst at energy consultancy MST Marquee, commented on the situation, saying: “It is entirely natural for Persian Gulf LNG producers to try to avoid Iranian attacks and consequently adopt shadow fleet methods. This could persist as long as Iran continues to control and threaten transits through the Strait of Hormuz. This practice may continue for a long time even after a peace agreement is signed.”

Following the start of US and Israeli attacks on Iran, the Tehran government closed the Strait of Hormuz, a choke point for approximately 20% of global oil shipments and 30% of global liquefied natural gas.

After negotiations in Islamabad failed, US President Donald Trump announced on April 13 that he would impose a blockade on Iranian ports. In late May, he announced that the blockade was lifted as part of the planned peace treaty process with Tehran.

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Israeli defense exports hit record $19.2 billion fueled by regional conflicts

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The Israeli Ministry of Defense has announced that international demand for military systems manufactured in the country and deployed in regional conflicts has reached unprecedented levels.

In an official statement, the ministry declared that exports of military equipment and weaponry have hit an all-time high for the fifth consecutive year.

According to the disclosed data, export volume reached $19.2 billion in 2025, representing an approximate 30% increase compared to the previous year. The figures demonstrate that the country’s defense exports have doubled over the past five years and quadrupled over the past decade.

Data shared by the ministry indicates that missile, rocket, and air defense systems secured the largest share of military sales contracts signed throughout 2025.

Sales in this sector accounted for 29% of the total trade volume. The ministry noted that the vast majority of these agreements fell into the category of “mega-contracts”—each valued at a minimum of $100 million—and that these large-scale deals constituted 53% of the total export volume.

The Ministry of Defense directly attributed this export growth to ongoing regional military operations.

The statement argued that global demand was driven by results achieved on the ground and the “combat-proven” performance of Israeli-made systems across all fronts, including the “Rising Lion” operation launched against Iran in June 2025.

Since October 7, 2023, Israel has conducted simultaneous military operations across multiple fronts in Gaza, Yemen, Lebanon, Syria, and Iran.

The military equipment and ammunition described as “combat-tested” in the ministry’s report continue to be deployed in active conflict zones, most notably in Lebanon.

Among the defense firms highlighted during this period is the Israel-based company Xtend, which has drawn attention for its unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).

Systems developed by the company have reportedly been utilized in operations in Gaza and for targeted assassinations. International reports revealed that an Xtend UAV was used to locate Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, who was killed in October 2024.

Earlier in the year, Eric Trump, son of US President Donald Trump, announced that he would make significant investments in Xtend’s technology and support the company’s merger with the Florida-based JFB Construction Holdings.

Meanwhile, airstrikes and bombings conducted by the Israeli military continue to drive up civilian casualties in Gaza and Lebanon. In Lebanon alone, attacks over the past few months have claimed more than 3,400 lives. Thousands of deaths have also been reported in US-backed military operations carried out in Iran.

Studies published in the medical journal The Lancet project that the total death toll in Gaza, when including both direct and indirect fatalities, could reach hundreds of thousands.

During this period, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which has supported Israel’s operations, emerged as one of the largest buyers of Israeli-origin weapons.

The Gulf nation is reported to have procured billions of dollars in military equipment from Israel over the past five years. According to US sources, the Abu Dhabi and Tel Aviv administrations have established a joint fund to develop and procure new weapons systems.

On the other hand, as Tel Aviv continues to market its air defense systems globally, military tensions along the Lebanese border persist.

Hizbullah kamikaze drones have reportedly targeted Iron Dome batteries positioned at Israeli locations near the Lebanese border. The Israeli military has reportedly faced difficulties intercepting these attacks, with dozens of Israeli soldiers killed in Hizbullah strikes launched since March 2.

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Report challenges official assessments of damage from Iranian attacks on US military assets

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BBC Verify, the verification unit of the BBC, published a detailed investigation on June 1 based on satellite imagery and video analysis that found Iranian retaliatory strikes had successfully hit and damaged at least 20 US military facilities across the Middle East since the start of the war launched against Iran by the United States and Israel.

The findings suggest that the scale and accuracy of Iran’s retaliatory attacks were significantly greater than previously acknowledged by US officials. Some independent analysts estimate that the number of affected bases may be as high as 28.

The military facilities targeted were reportedly spread across eight Gulf countries: Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar, Kuwait, Iraq, Jordan, Bahrain and Oman.

Material losses in the region are said to include three THAAD missile defense batteries, each valued at approximately $1 billion and regarded as a cornerstone of the regional defense network.

Expert assessments also identified at least 42 aircraft that were destroyed or severely damaged, including F-35 fighter jets, MQ-9 Reaper drones and an E-3 Sentry airborne early warning and surveillance aircraft valued at $700 million.

According to military analysts, Iran achieved these results by altering its tactics. Rather than relying on large-scale, high-volume barrages, Tehran reportedly shifted to using smaller, more precise salvos concentrated on high-value infrastructure targets.

The shift in strategy was said to have exploited what was described as a degree of complacency within the US military during the early stages of the conflict.

US military commanders reportedly failed to relocate aircraft and other military assets at strategic installations such as Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia despite previous attacks on those facilities, a factor that is said to have increased losses. Commenting on the strikes, Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei declared that the Middle East was no longer a “safe place” for US bases.

The White House had previously claimed that Iran’s military capabilities had been almost entirely eliminated.

However, the Pentagon’s latest estimates place the cost of the war at $29 billion.

A substantial portion of that expenditure is reportedly being directed toward repairing heavily damaged military equipment and replenishing significantly depleted munitions stockpiles. Former military officials have warned that damaged air defense systems in the region “cannot be replaced quickly or easily.”

The heavy consumption of interceptor missiles during the conflict has also left other US facilities across the Gulf increasingly vulnerable to future Iranian precision-guided missile attacks, according to the assessments cited.

The Washington administration is also reported to have sought restrictions on satellite imagery providers in an effort to conceal the extent of the damage and limit criticism.

However, the “smoking craters” and flattened aircraft hangars featured in the BBC report appear to contradict official US assertions, illustrating what the report described as the true scale of the destruction on the ground.

Iran also announced that it struck a US air base in Kuwait with missiles and drones on Sunday night in retaliation for attacks by US forces on Iranian military targets over the weekend, which Tehran said constituted a violation of the ceasefire.

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