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Trump and ‘Liberation Day’: Beyond tariffs

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US President Donald Trump has challenged the global trade order by imposing tariffs on goods imported into the US.

Trump said on Wednesday that a 10% tariff would be imposed on nearly all imports entering the US starting April 5, describing these measures as a way to “liberate” the US economy.

The White House also unveiled sweeping “reciprocal” tariffs on goods from the US’s largest trading partners, targeting a global trading system that, according to Trump, has “ripped off” the United States for decades.

Historically, the term “reciprocal” in trade refers to measures taken by both sides to ensure fairness in bilateral agreements. For much of the past 90 years, this typically involved reducing trade barriers. In the US, the Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act of 1934 signaled the end of an era of US protectionism, enabling the US and partner countries to negotiate lower tariffs on each other’s goods.

Under the new plan, tariffs on goods from China, the world’s largest exporter, will rise to 54%, reflecting an additional 34% tariff imposed by Trump on top of the existing 20% levied earlier this year.

The EU faces tariffs totaling up to 20%, while imports from Japan, a close Washington ally, will be subject to 24% tariffs. UK exports will incur a 10% tariff.

Tough measures on Asian countries

A 10% base tariff applies to imports from all countries. Beyond this, “individualized reciprocal higher tariffs” are planned for the 60 countries identified by the US as the “worst offending” due to their large trade deficits with the US. These reciprocal tariffs will range from 10% to 50%.

The specific tariff rate is calculated based on the White House Council of Economic Advisers’ assessment of the combined tariffs and non-tariff barriers imposed on US goods by a given country. Half of this assessed level will be applied as the reciprocal tariff rate for imports from the 60 designated “worst offending” countries.

Several Southeast Asian export hubs face tariffs approaching 50%. Cambodia is assigned a rate of 49%, Laos 48%, and Vietnam 46%.

Other countries facing tariffs above 40% include Sri Lanka (44%), Madagascar (47%), and Myanmar (44%). Saint Pierre and Miquelon, a small French territory off the coast of Newfoundland, Canada, is subject to a 50% tariff.

The high tariffs targeting several Asian countries are partly attributed to China shifting production to these nations, which then serve as conduits for exporting goods to the US.

Mexico and Canada, despite being frequent targets of Trump’s criticism, will be exempt from these new reciprocal tariffs. However, the existing 25% tariff on goods non-compliant with their 2020 trade agreement with the US remains effective.

The White House stated that cars and auto parts subject to the 25% tariffs announced last week will be exempt from the new reciprocal tariffs.

Bullion, energy resources, and minerals not domestically available in the US are also exempt from reciprocal tariffs. Additionally, semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, copper, and lumber will not be subject to these specific tariffs.

However, this exemption contrasts with previous actions and statements by Trump, who had already announced tariffs on copper and lumber and indicated potential tariffs on pharmaceuticals and computer chips.

Trump declares national emergency

The US President invoked emergency powers to implement the new tariffs. The administration declared a national emergency, citing “national security and economic security concerns arising from conditions reflected by large and persistent annual US goods trade deficits”.

US officials announced that the initial tariffs will take effect shortly. The basic 10% tariff is scheduled to begin at 00:01 on Saturday, April 5, with the higher reciprocal tariffs following at 00:01 on Thursday, April 9.

Negotiating exemptions or reductions might be possible, contingent on Trump’s discretion. The decree announcing the tariffs states that the president “may reduce or limit the scope” of the duties if “any trading partner takes significant steps to correct non-reciprocal trade arrangements and adequately align with the United States on economic and national security matters.”

However, US officials indicated a current focus solely on implementation. A senior White House official told the FT, “Of course countries want to see what they can do for more reciprocal trade. Right now, we’re focused on enacting the tariff regime.”

What is the purpose of tariffs?

Reducing the US trade deficit is a long-standing goal for Trump. In his Rose Garden speech, the president stated that he has advocated for this for over 40 years.

Administration officials attribute the erosion of manufacturing capabilities, wage depression, and the “transferring assets into foreign hands” to the US’s “massive” and “chronic” trade deficits.

Another objective is to compel companies to relocate production to the US. Trump anticipates that businesses will establish plants domestically to circumvent tariffs, thereby creating more jobs.

A US official said, “The goal is to restore American greatness and prosperity for everyday American workers in their communities.”

Correcting “unfair trade practices” is also cited as a goal. White House officials stated that Trump “has been clear for decades about his commitment to correct unfair trade practices by foreign trading partners, both friendly and hostile.”

While not explicitly cited by US officials as a primary justification, the tariffs are expected to generate significant revenue. Officials estimate the duties could bring in “hundreds of billions of dollars in any given year” or “trillions over a 10-year period,” potentially offsetting steep tax cuts.

Tariffs and beyond: A systemic shift

While Trump’s speech centered on tariffs and the potential for trade wars, it signifies the strengthening of a trend originating in his first term and partially maintained under President Joe Biden.

Essentially, Trump’s “protectionist” economic policies stem from the belief that the era of free markets and globalization—often termed the “Washington Consensus”—now disadvantages the US.

Trump said in his speech, “Foreign trade and economic practices have created a national emergency,” arguing that the US has now achieved “economic independence” and that his goal is to bolster the US’s international economic standing and protect its workers.

Trump’s executive order contends that the US’s large, persistent annual trade deficits have hollowed out the manufacturing sector, disincentivized the expansion of advanced domestic manufacturing capacity, weakened critical supply chains, and increased the defense industry’s reliance on foreign adversaries.

Trump emphasized that the trade imbalance has fueled a large and persistent deficit in both industrial and agricultural goods, shifted production overseas, “empowered non-market economies” like China, and ultimately harmed the American middle class and small towns.

The order stated, “These tariffs are intended to address inequities in global trade, bring manufacturing back home and spur economic growth for the American people.”

Trump highlighted the decline in the US share of global manufacturing output, noting it fell to 17.4% in 2023 from 28.4% in 2001. He said, “The decline in manufacturing output has reduced US manufacturing capacity. The need to maintain a robust domestic manufacturing capacity is particularly acute in advanced sectors such as automobiles, shipbuilding, pharmaceuticals, transportation equipment, technology products, machine tools, and basic and fabricated metals, where the loss of capacity could permanently weaken US competitiveness.”

In this context, the presidential order lists the “Golden Rules of the Golden Age” as follows:

— Access to the US market is a privilege, not a right.

— The US will no longer put itself last in international trade matters in exchange for empty promises.

— Reciprocal tariffs were one of the main reasons why Americans voted for President Trump; they were a cornerstone of his campaign from the start.

— Everyone knew that he would push for it as soon as he took office; it was exactly what he promised and it was one of the main reasons why he won the election.

— These tariffs are at the center of President Trump’s plan to reverse the economic damage left by President Biden and put America on the path to a new golden age.

— This plan is part of a broader economic agenda focused on energy competitiveness, tax cuts (including eliminating taxes on tips and Social Security benefits), and deregulation aimed at increasing US prosperity.

Declaration of the bankruptcy of the post-World War II order

He said, “For decades, our country has been looted, pillaged, raped and plundered by friend and foe alike, by nations near and far. Foreign crooks have looted our factories and foreign scavengers have torn apart our once beautiful American dream.”

He also saluted the American steelworkers, autoworkers, farmers and artisans in the audience.

Trump said, “I think this is one of the most important days in American history. This is our declaration of economic independence.” He argued that for years, “hard-working Americans” were sidelined while other nations prospered, but now it was the US’s turn. “Today we stand up for the American worker and finally put America first,” he added.

The President declared in a speech infused with American dream rhetoric, “April 2, 2025 will forever be remembered as the day American industry was reborn, America’s destiny was reclaimed, and we began to make America rich again.”

US embassies issue ultimatums to European companies

Even before the tariff announcement, the Trump administration took steps impacting US trade relations, extending beyond typical commercial diplomacy.

Last week, the Trump administration reportedly attempted to compel European companies to adhere to specific US domestic policies, an action highlighted by a letter sent from the US embassy in France to French businesses.

The letter, sent by the US Embassy in Paris to dozens of major French companies operating in the US, was first reported on Friday by the French business daily Les Echos.

According to reports, the letter stated that Executive Order 14.173, aimed at ending “unlawful discrimination” and restoring “merit” in business, is “equally binding on all suppliers and service providers to the US government,” including French companies, irrespective of their nationality or location of work.

The term “unlawful discrimination,” in the context of the Trump administration’s policy, refers to Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) programs, which the administration has moved to dismantle within the US and is now reportedly pressuring foreign companies to abandon.

The letter included a form requesting that affected companies detail their plans for implementing the executive order.

The Financial Times (FT) reported on Friday that US embassies in Belgium and several Eastern European countries sent similar letters to companies in those nations.

The US initiative provoked strong reactions. The French Trade Ministry said in a statement late last week, “US interference in the inclusion policies of French companies is unacceptable.” The ministry asserted that French law, including regulations on inclusion, continues to apply within France.

On Monday morning, French Trade Minister Laurent Saint-Martin expressed his “deep shock” and cautioned against violating French laws and “values.”

Patrick Martin, President of the French business association Medef (Mouvement des entreprises de France), previously stated that abandoning existing inclusion rules was “out of the question.”

Amir Reza-Tofighi, President of the CPME (Confédération des petites et moyennes entreprises), described the move as an “attack on the sovereignty” of France and urged relevant parties to “stand up together” against this US pressure.

The action also drew protests in Belgium. Minister Maxime Prévot called the stance in the US letter “deeply regrettable” and declared that Belgium “will not back down an inch” regarding the principle of social diversity.

Washington’s attempts to compel European nations to adopt specific US regulations are not entirely unprecedented. For years, the US has employed extraterritorial sanctions—coercive measures requiring compliance from companies in third countries to avoid penalties.

What distinguishes this instance, however, is the administration’s attempt to impose domestic regulations—specifically those concerning DEI, which are contentious within the US itself and potentially divisive in Europe—onto European companies.

America

US wealthy demolish multimillion-dollar mansions for land

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Wealthy buyers in the US are tearing down multimillion-dollar homes shortly after purchasing them for hundreds of millions of dollars.

According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, the trend is driven by a shortage of land in prestigious locations, particularly along coastlines.

For ultra-wealthy buyers, the prime factor has become the land’s location rather than the structure standing on it. After the acquired properties are flattened, newer, more modern homes are built on the cleared lots.

Drawing attention to the shift in the luxury real estate market, the report noted:

“The home itself, formerly the primary driver of an expensive real estate purchase, is now almost beside the point. Buyers are competing first and foremost for well-located land, situated on the ocean or a mountaintop.”

The newspaper cited moves by US billionaire William Lauder as an example. Lauder purchased the oceanfront estate of radio host Rush Limbaugh, who died in March 2023, for $155 million and had it completely demolished in July.

Lauder had previously torn down two homes situated on roughly 1.2 hectares of land along the Palm Beach coast. Having initially planned to construct his own residence on the parcel, Lauder subsequently sold the cleared plot for approximately $200 million.

Jonathan Miller, a real estate appraiser, stated that such transactions are becoming increasingly common as land prices rise.

Amid this momentum, estate agents have also begun marketing luxury homes directly as teardown lots.

Listings use artificial intelligence-generated imagery to showcase how the land would look without the structures on it.

Marketers avoid using the word “demolition” directly, resorting instead to terms such as “adaptive reuse”.

Teardown listings rise across luxury housing market

The trend is not confined to the coast and is spreading to other regions across the US.

Data from property brokerage Redfin reveals that references to demolishing buildings are becoming more frequent in sales listings.

The share of such listings exceeds 15% in the Bunker Hill Village area of Houston, while standing at 6.67% in Pimmit Hills, Virginia.

Dina Goldenteyer, a real estate agent working in Miami, remarked that serial demolitions have become more frequent because buyers no longer appreciate homes older than a decade.

Former retail executives Jamie Dooley and Christine Scott spent $3.7 million in 2020 to demolish a seaside home near Destin, Florida.

Although the couple spent five years building a modern home on the cleared site, they listed the resulting new structure with a demolition condition, citing the fact that no one wanted to buy the property as it stood.

William Paddock, an employee at the environmental consultancy WAP Sustainability, pointed to the environmental damage caused by this construction cycle.

Paddock emphasized that tearing down a home of roughly 1,000 square metres and replacing it with a new building of approximately 2,700 square metres generates a carbon footprint equivalent to the annual emissions of an average 250 American households.

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US inflation reaches 3.7% as midterm election campaign intensifies

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An uptick in September inflation as the US midterm elections approach has pushed the cost-of-living debate back to the centre of the agenda for Democrats seeking to regain control of Congress from Republicans.

Annual inflation stood at 3.7% in September, according to the Consumer Price Index published by the Bureau of Labour Statistics, with energy, petrol, and electricity costs rising on a monthly basis.

Food prices remained flat from August to September, recording a 2.5% increase compared with the same period last year.

Democrats are anchoring their election campaigns to pledges of easing the cost of living, blaming the price increases on President Donald Trump’s tariffs and the war with Iran.

Trump and Republicans, pointing to the numerous left-wing candidates who won primary elections this year, contend that the opposition has become captive to “communists” within the party.

When annual inflation stood at 2.4% in February, the US and Israel launched the Iran war on the final day of that month, and prices continued to climb throughout the conflict.

The recent acceleration has not entirely reversed the retreat from the 40-year peak of 9.1% recorded in June 2022; however, the rate has remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target for over five years.

Fed policymakers raised the benchmark interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point last month, citing the battle against stubborn inflation. Officials will convene again next week to consider whether to raise rates or hold them within the 3.75% to 4% target range.

Energy and fuel record sharpest increase since first month of war

In September, energy prices posted their largest monthly jump since March, the first full month of the war with Iran, climbing 20.4% year-on-year. Energy costs had risen 2.1% from July to August, after falling 1.5% from June to July and 5.7% from May to June.

Recent escalations in Iranian attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, alongside more frequent strikes by Ukrainian forces against Russian refineries, have strained global crude oil and refined product markets, driving up US petrol and diesel prices.

Petrol prices also recorded their sharpest monthly increase since the first month of the war, climbing 9.1% from August to September, bringing the annual increase to 35.3%.

American Automobile Association (AAA) data shows the average price of regular petrol across the US stands at $4.26 per gallon; while below the level of roughly $4.48 recorded a month ago, it remains more than $1.20 higher than a year earlier. Average gallon prices exceed $6 in California and $5 in both Washington state and Nevada.

Electricity prices rose 0.2% from August to September, offsetting the 0.2% decline between July and August, and were up 4.4% year-on-year.

Heavy power demand from new data centres is feeding through into local household electricity bills. Trump argued that companies must cover the cost of the electricity required by their data centres themselves.

In a post on Truth Social, Trump claimed that he was requiring large data centres to generate their own power and feed the surplus back into the local grid, suggesting this could bring about “a major drop” in electricity prices.

Used vehicle market posts monthly rise as food costs stabilise

The cost of food at home fell 0.1% month-on-month in September, while dining out increased 0.2%.

Egg prices dropped to $2.27 a dozen, falling roughly 35% compared with September 2025 and remaining well below the 20-year peak of $6.23 recorded in March 2025.

Ground beef prices rose roughly 2.4% compared with September 2025, but at $6.48 a pound, they remained below the 20-year high of $6.98 reached in June.

Chicken held steady at its year-earlier level of $2.06 per pound last month, having fluctuated between $2.01 and $2.09 since November 2024.

Used car and truck prices fell 1.5% compared with September 2025, but rose 0.7% month-on-month in September following 0.4% increases in both July and August.

Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, noted that the sector faces severe pressure stemming from a combination of expensive replacement parts and a shortage of skilled labour.

Speaking to The Hill, Long emphasised that every cost pressure across the market is being felt directly at local auto repair shops.

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Anthropic posts $80.7bn loss ahead of IPO as computing costs soar

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Anthropic, developer of the artificial intelligence model Claude, reported a net loss of $80.7 billion for the first six months of 2026 ending 30 June.

According to a report by The Wall Street Journal citing the company’s draft initial public offering prospectus, this recorded loss nearly doubled the $42 billion loss incurred across the entirety of 2025.

The vast majority of that enormous figure, accounting for $72 billion, stemmed from accounting-driven book-value write-downs.

In contrast, the company saw a sharp surge in revenue, with turnover in the first half of the year climbing to $16.3 billion from $1.1 billion in the same period of the prior year.

During this period, Anthropic spent approximately $9 billion on computing power and infrastructure needs, surpassing in just six months the $7.3 billion spent across the whole of 2025.

The company has commitments to pay roughly $450 billion over the next seven to 10 years under cloud service contracts.

Under these obligations, contracts are planned for $111 billion with Google Cloud, $110 billion with Amazon Web Services, and $31 billion with Microsoft.

Anthropic will also spend up to $86 billion by 2033 and 2034, respectively, to lease Nvidia chips through smaller AI-focused cloud providers Nscale and Lambda.

The company could spend an additional $750 billion in the coming years to expand its computing capacity.

Roughly a third of the draft IPO prospectus was dedicated directly to risk factors.

The document highlighted the possibility that models could cause tangible real-world harm, noting that artificial intelligence could exhibit a “self-preservation” tendency and produce responses resembling “blackmail”.

Anthropic warned that the scale of damage caused by an AI-driven “catastrophic event” could render insuring against such risks impossible.

According to market expectations, Anthropic’s IPO could rank among the largest transactions in history, potentially surpassing SpaceX’s record.

Following the market debut, the company’s market valuation is projected to reach up to $2 trillion.

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