Diplomacy
Trump presses Putin on Ukraine “bloodbath,” hints at US withdrawal from peace talks
US President Donald Trump held a two-hour phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin on the evening of May 19.
Following the discussion, Trump addressed reporters at the White House, stating that he asked Putin when the “bloodbath” in Ukraine would end and warned that he might withdraw from the conflict resolution process if there was no “significant progress” in negotiations.
Trump also announced that Russia and Ukraine would “immediately” begin negotiations for a ceasefire and to end the war.
Trump’s sanctions message
Addressing Putin, Trump stated, “I told him: You have to make progress. And I also added: If I think you cannot do this, I will withdraw [from the resolution process], because what can be done?”
The US President indicated that he had a “red line” where he would decide to withdraw from negotiations but did not specify what it was.
In such a scenario, Trump stated that the US would transfer its role in the resolution to Europe, emphasizing that the war in Ukraine should have remained Europe’s problem from the very beginning and that Washington should not have been involved.
Despite this, Trump expressed his assurance that significant changes would occur after his meeting with Putin. The US President said, “Big egos are involved, but I think something will happen.”
Trump also noted that he would not impose sanctions on Russia because there was a chance of progress toward ending the war, adding, “If you do that (impose sanctions on Russia), you could make the situation much worse. But a time may come when that happens.”
In a post on his social media account, Truth Social, Trump wrote, “My two-hour phone conversation with Russian President Vladimir Putin just ended. I believe it went very well. Russia and Ukraine will immediately begin negotiations for a ceasefire and, more importantly, an end to the war.”
He emphasized that the conditions for future agreements would be determined directly by Moscow and Kyiv because “only they know the details that no one else knows.” Trump also added that his meeting with Putin took place in a constructive atmosphere.
Putin proposes memorandum for peace agreement
Following his discussion with Trump, Vladimir Putin also issued a statement, indicating that Russia was ready to consider the possibility of a ceasefire only if “appropriate agreements” were reached.
Putin reiterated that Moscow’s primary priority was to eliminate the “root causes of this crisis,” stating, “Russia is ready to work on a memorandum regarding a possible future peace agreement with the Ukrainian side.”
According to Putin, this document could include a series of key parameters such as principles for resolution, a timeline for signing a peace agreement, and conditions for a possible temporary ceasefire.
Zelenskyy Greenlights Memorandum
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, for his part, stated that Kyiv was ready to sign a memorandum that would pave the way for an agreement to end the war with Moscow. Zelenskyy expressed that they would await Russia’s draft document before a new round of negotiations to understand Moscow’s views on how a ceasefire could be achieved and what the subsequent steps might be.
He also added that the next meeting of Ukrainian and Russian representatives could take place in Vatican City, Istanbul, or Switzerland, with the participation of the US, the European Union, and the United Kingdom.
Kremlin: No specific timeline for memorandum
Meanwhile, Kremlin Spokesperson Dmitry Peskov announced that Russia had not set any specific timeline for preparing a possible peace agreement memorandum with Ukraine.
Peskov stated, “There is no timeline, and there cannot be. It is clear that everyone wants to do this as soon as possible, but of course, all the devil is in the details.”
According to Peskov, Moscow and Kyiv would create their own memorandum drafts, and then the parties would engage in “complex contacts to ultimately agree on a single text.”
At the same time, he emphasized that the most important thing for Russia in any document was the “elimination of the root causes of this conflict.”
Peskov also stated, “No concrete decisions have yet been made regarding where contacts between Russia and Ukraine will continue.”
The phone call between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin took place on the evening of May 19. Before this call, Trump had also spoken by phone with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
According to The Wall Street Journal, the White House President asked Zelenskyy which topics he should raise with Putin during their meeting.
It was reported that Zelenskyy asked Trump to persuade Putin to hold a personal meeting with him and offered the US President to participate in such a meeting.
Additionally, Zelenskyy insisted that Trump confirm that Washington would not make any decisions regarding Ukraine without Kyiv’s participation.
Trump signals broad trade potential
The US President also stated that Putin expressed readiness for large-scale commercial cooperation with the US after the war ends.
Trump emphasized, “Russia wants to develop extensive trade relations with the United States after this disastrous ‘bloodbath’ ends. And I support this idea.”
Noting that Russia has significant economic potential and opportunities to create jobs and raise living standards, Trump said, “This potential is almost unlimited.”
Trump added that Ukraine could also be one of the main beneficiaries of future trade relations during the post-war reconstruction process.
Trump concluded his remarks by saying, “Negotiations between Russia and Ukraine will begin immediately; I informed Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, French President Emmanuel Macron, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz (Germany’s current Chancellor is Olaf Scholz, Friedrich Merz is the CDU/CSU opposition leader), and Finnish President Aleksandr Stubb of this in my phone calls immediately after my meeting with Vladimir Putin. Vatican City, through the Pope, expressed special interest in these negotiations taking place on its territory. Let the process begin!”
Diplomacy
Vance leads indirect push for US-Iran ceasefire and nuclear talks
US Vice-President JD Vance has been personally involved over the past two weeks in indirect talks with Iran aimed at securing a fresh ceasefire and restarting nuclear negotiations.
According to Axios, Vance’s intense engagement indicates that he has taken it upon himself to extract the US from the conflict, which he views as responsible for the Republican Party’s shocking losses in this week’s elections.
This elevates the latest round of indirect talks to the highest echelons of the administration.
US officials and regional sources state that Trump is currently willing to let diplomatic efforts run their course to see whether any agreement is achievable.
Asked by reporters on Friday what his message was to Iran, Trump said, “We are talking to them.”
According to sources with direct knowledge of the matter, Vance speaks almost daily with Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, Pakistan’s Chief of Army Staff Field Marshal Asim Munir, and other mediators regarding the negotiations with Iran.
White House envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, President Trump’s adviser and son-in-law, are also involved in the process.
Sources say Vance and the Qatari and Pakistani mediators have been discussing the possibility of holding a working-level technical meeting between the US and Iran in the coming days, though this has not yet materialized.
Before the war began in late February, Vance was among the most sceptical voices in Trump’s inner circle on the issue, advocating instead for a diplomatic solution.
In April, he led the US negotiating delegation at the Iran summit held in Islamabad and was personally involved in the talks that yielded a memorandum of understanding (MOU) signed between the US and Iran in June.
Vance subsequently headed the US delegation during a series of direct talks with Iran in Switzerland.
Two weeks ago, Vance sent a letter to Mohsen Rezaei, Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, proposing that direct negotiations resume.
Rezaei is one of the closest advisers to Iran’s Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei.
Iranian officials noted that Vance’s letter generated positive momentum toward restarting talks.
On Wednesday, Vance said the war was the primary reason for the Republicans’ repudiation at the polls.
Sources involved in mediation efforts report that while progress is being made, the process is moving very slowly.
On Friday evening, the prime minister of Qatar said, “Over the past few weeks, we worked with our colleagues in the US administration who have a sincere intention to contain the situation and de-escalate. Thanks to them and the voices of reason in Tehran, we prevented the situation from spinning out of control.”
The prime minister added that discussions with the Trump administration continued following the midterm elections, though they were not as active as in previous days “because there are other matters.”
Nevertheless, he noted that the US intention to find a diplomatic resolution “remains ongoing” and emphasized that an agreement is possible.
On Friday morning, Trump and the Emir of Qatar discussed Qatari efforts to bridge differences between the US and Iran as part of an accord.
According to a statement from his office, Sheikh Tamim emphasized the necessity of “pursuing dialogue and diplomatic channels to resolve differences, prevent the region from facing further escalation, and ensure freedom of maritime navigation as well as the security of energy supplies.”
Separately, Trump confirmed on Friday that the US military conducted a strike on an anti-aircraft missile launcher on Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz after it fired a missile at a US fighter jet.
Diplomacy
Ukraine faces demographic collapse as fertility rates slide
British magazine The Economist reported that mobilization, conflict casualties, and pervasive uncertainty have left Ukraine confronting the threat of demographic collapse.
According to data cited by the magazine, Ukraine’s fertility rate has declined from 1.2 children per woman in 2020 to between 0.8 and 0.9.
This rate marks a lower level than that of any major nation except South Korea.
In the first half of 2026, the number of deaths in Ukraine surpassed the number of newborn babies threefold.
The report noted that ever since independence was gained in 1991, the number of births in the country has lagged behind the number of deaths every year.
The Economist emphasized that the demographic collapse driven by the ongoing fighting constitutes an “existential threat.”
The magazine identified mass refugee migration as the principal driver of the population loss.
More than 5 million Ukrainians reside abroad, predominantly in Europe.
The proportion of those wishing to return among those who left the country is also steadily shrinking.
According to data from the Centre for Economic Strategy (CES), the share of those seeking to return dropped from 74% in 2022 to 43%.
The fact that the majority of refugees consist of Ukrainian children and women under the age of 44 further aggravates the demographic picture.
The Kyiv government decided to exempt men under the age of 25 from mobilization to alleviate the demographic decline.
The magazine reported, however, that many young people have fled the country, while those who remain do not plan to start families.
Projections cited in the report indicate that even if hostilities cease in the coming years, Ukraine can, at best, expect merely a deceleration of depopulation.
Olga Duhnich, an expert at the Ukraine-based think tank Frontier Institute, stated that the generation born in the 1990s and 2000s is the least populous in Ukraine’s modern history, meaning the country cannot expect a post-conflict baby boom.
The United Nations (UN) projects that Ukraine’s population will decline by 0.7% to 0.9% each year over the next two decades.
Under this projection, Ukraine’s population will fall to approximately 25 million by 2040.
If hostilities drag on, people are expected to abandon plans to have children, deepening the crisis even further.
Beyond exempting men under 25 from mobilization, the Kyiv government is rolling out various support packages to boost birth rates.
Under legislation enacted in the country, parents who have children receive a direct payment of 50,000 hryvnias (around $1,100).
Parents are also paid 7,000 hryvnias each month during the first year.
Other state programmes subsidize childcare costs, while Ukrainian soldiers are granted free freezing of egg and sperm cells.
Ukrainian Minister of Social Policy Denis Ulyutin said in May to the Livyi Bereh media outlet that roughly 22 to 25 million people lived in government-controlled territories.
Ulyutin characterized the prevailing picture by saying: “This is a catastrophe.”
Ella Libanova, Director of the Institute for Demography and Quality of Life Research, estimated the population at 29 million during the same period.
Libanova attributed the steep fall from a population of 30 million in 2025 to high death rates and the demographic crisis.
In a statement in October, Libanova announced that Ukraine’s population had slipped to 28.5 million.
Institute Director Libanova said: “The population is already at 28.5 million; we lost half a million people. We lost them, but thankfully this was still caused by migration rather than casualties.”
Diplomacy
Armenian opposition urged to form joint front against constitution
Narek Karapetyan, a lawmaker and head of the Strong Armenia faction in the Armenian parliament, has urged opposition parties to unite around four core principles set out in a joint declaration.
The key points of the declaration include resisting territorial concessions and blocking the adoption of a new constitution, which the opposition has termed the “Aliyev constitution”.
According to a report by Aysor.am, Narek Karapetyan stated that the opposition meeting was originally planned to be led by his uncle, businessman and Strong Armenia movement leader Samvel Karapetyan.
“We initiated the meeting, but the authorities took preemptive steps to prevent Samvel Karapetyan from launching the national unification process,” Narek Karapetyan said.
Noting that, despite these events, opposition representatives convened and signed a joint declaration based on four agreed articles, Narek Karapetyan invited other opposition forces and members of the public to join the alliance.
“We will not allow them to implement the Aliyev constitution in Armenia. We must unite,” Karapetyan said.
Ahead of these developments, Armenian National Security Service personnel detained Strong Armenia Party leader Samvel Karapetyan following a search of his home.
The party’s press secretary, Agavni Sukiasyan, announced that on the morning of the same day, the Investigative Committee of Armenia searched the homes of both Samvel Karapetyan and Narek Karapetyan.
In a report citing the Investigative Committee, Armenpress stated that Samvel Karapetyan was detained as part of a case involving allegations of causing large-scale financial damage to the Electric Networks of Armenia (ENA) company, embezzling entrusted property, and money laundering.
According to committee figures, the total damage inflicted on the company exceeds $179 million.
Narek Karapetyan’s home was also searched at the end of July as part of a criminal case.
On 22 July, Armenia’s Central Electoral Commission approved the Prosecutor General’s request to strip Narek Karapetyan of his parliamentary immunity, and Karapetyan was charged with large-scale money laundering.
According to information reported by Sputnik Armenia, the investigation is linked to charges brought against Strong Armenia supporter Aleksan Aleksanyan.
Investigative authorities allege that Aleksanyan received approximately $4.4 million and €230,000 from the Karapetyan-owned Tashir Foundation under the guise of gifts and loans.
Several criminal cases had previously been opened against Samvel Karapetyan.
In 2025, Karapetyan was charged with publicly calling for the violent seizure of power after backing the Armenian Apostolic Church, which had been criticized by Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan.
In January, legal proceedings were also launched against Karapetyan on charges of large-scale tax evasion and money laundering.
Separately, in early July 2025, the Armenian parliament approved a bill enabling the nationalization of the Electric Networks of Armenia company.
In March, Armenia’s Constitutional Court ruled that the nationalization process in question complied with the law.
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