ASIA
Trump’s potential auto tariffs worry Japan and South Korea

Following US President Donald Trump’s announcement that he would impose a 25% tariff on imported cars and auto parts, Japan’s Prime Minister sounded the alarm on Thursday.
Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba told lawmakers during a parliamentary session, “We need to consider appropriate responses,” adding, “All options will be on the table.”
This move, seen as undermining a bilateral agreement made between Trump and then-Prime Minister Shinzo Abe in September 2019, came as a surprise to Japan. This limited trade deal had opened Japan’s market to more American agricultural products. The agreement states that the two countries “will refrain from taking measures contrary to the spirit of these agreements.”
Japanese automakers reacted cautiously to the announcement. Toyota, Subaru, Mazda, and Honda issued brief statements saying they were assessing the potential impact.
Imported cars and trucks are currently subject to tariffs of 2.5% and 25%, respectively. When the new tariffs take effect on April 3, these rates will rise to 27.5% and 50%. The 25% tariff will also apply to automotive parts like engines and transmissions, taking effect no later than May 3.
Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi said the government intends to negotiate exemptions. Economists say it is unclear how exemptions might be secured, but there are several options.
According to economists, options Japan might consider include voluntary export restraints, a commitment to increase imports of items like natural gas, grain, and meat, and replacing Russian natural gas with gas from the US. In 2023, 8.9% of Japan’s natural gas imports came from Russia, while 7.2% came from the US.
“Japan will likely be looking at all these options,” said Koichi Fujishiro, a senior economist at the Dai-ichi Life Research Institute.
South Korea in a similar situation
South Korea is also expected to seek exemptions. Analysts said that South Korean automaker Hyundai Motor Group’s announcement earlier this week of a $21 billion US investment would help its negotiating position.
Esther Yim, a senior analyst at Samsung Securities, said, “The US has, in principle, applied a 25% tariff on all imported cars,” adding, “Washington can then negotiate with each country, and I think investment can be used as leverage.”
South Korea’s Ministry of Industry pledged an emergency response by April to help the country’s automakers, who are expected to face “significant challenges” when the tariffs take effect.
Over the years, global automakers have shifted to local production to avoid trade friction. According to the Mitsubishi Research Institute, 60% of Japanese cars sold in the US are produced in the US. This figure drops to 40% for Korean cars. For European brands, the rate is as high as 70%.
Although Ishiba insists all options are on the table, few analysts expect Japan to resort to retaliatory measures, at least at this point. “Japan would gain very little by retaliating against US tariffs,” Fujishiro said.
At a summit with Trump in February, Ishiba pointed out that Japan is the largest investor in the US and a significant job creator, promising to work towards increasing Japan’s investment balance from $783.3 billion in 2023 to $1 trillion.
Cars, Japan’s largest export item to the US, are worth 6 trillion yen ($40 billion) and will account for 28% of Japan’s total exports in 2024. This amount is equivalent to 1% of Japan’s nominal gross domestic product.
Takahide Kiuchi from the Nomura Research Institute estimates that a 25% tariff would reduce Japan’s car exports to the US by 15% to 20% and lower Japan’s GDP by 0.2%.
If Japanese automakers try to respond by shifting production to the US, this would reduce domestic employment and hollow out the country’s economy in the long run.
Masanori Katayama, chairman of the Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association, said at a press conference last week, “Car exports from Japan are necessary to supplement the domestic production of Japanese automakers and to provide a lineup of attractive cars… to meet the diverse needs of American customers through car dealerships in every US state.”
Katayama said that when the US implements the tariff, “a significant production adjustment is expected. The Japanese auto industry consists not only of automakers but also parts suppliers and employs 5.5 million people.”
Katayama insisted that the industry and the Japanese government must come together to take action and keep domestic supply chains intact.
The tariffs are also expected to harm American automakers because they too source parts and manufacture globally to keep costs down and make their cars competitive in the market.
Nomura analyst Anindya Das said General Motors could fall into an operating loss on an annual basis due to its reliance on factories in Mexico. He added that Toyota could also see a 30% drop in operating profit.
Jennifer Safavian, president and CEO of Autos Drive America, an industry group representing international automakers operating in the US, including Toyota, Honda, Nissan, and others, said, “Tariffs imposed today will make it more expensive to produce and sell cars in the US, ultimately leading to higher prices, fewer choices for consumers, and fewer manufacturing jobs in the US.”
ASIA
China retaliates with 84% tariff on US goods

China has announced it will impose an additional 50% tariff on all American imports, in response to US President Donald Trump’s similar tariff increases on its goods. This raises China’s total tariff on US goods to 84%.
The world’s second-largest economy also pledged to implement new supportive policies in a timely manner to counter external shocks.
Analysts warn that tit-for-tat retaliation and high tariffs risk further decoupling with the US, but noted that Beijing’s move is a clear signal that it will resolutely defend its interests and fight to the end.
US stock index futures fell sharply following China’s announcement of the retaliatory measures.
Trump’s action, which increased the total of additional import taxes since he took office in January to 104%, took effect at noon on Wednesday.
The tax to be implemented by Beijing will take effect at noon on Thursday, raising the total of additional tariffs raised by Beijing to 84%.
“China will resolutely defend its interests, the multilateral trading system, and the international economic order,” the Ministry of Commerce said in a statement online.
Zhang Zhiwei, president and chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management in Hong Kong, said: “China has sent a clear signal that it will maintain its stance on trade policies despite high tariffs in the US.”
In addition to filing a complaint with the World Trade Organization over the US’s new tariffs, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce has added six US companies – Shield AI, Sierra Nevada, Cyberlux, Edge Autonomy Operations, Group W, and Hudson Technologies – to its list of unreliable entities.
It also imposed export controls on 12 American companies, banning Chinese companies from supplying these companies with dual-use items that have both civilian and military applications.
Those facing restrictions are American Photonics, Novotech, Echodyne, Marvin Engineering, Exovera, Teledyne Brown Engineering, BRINC Drones, SYNEXXUS, Firestorm Labs, Kratos Unmanned Aerial Systems, Domo Tactical Communications, and Insitu.
Meanwhile, the Chinese government intervened in capital markets to bolster investor confidence by increasing A-share purchases through its “national team” of state-backed funds.
Premier Li Qiang said at a symposium with economists and entrepreneurs on Wednesday that the Chinese economy had gained good momentum in the first quarter and acknowledged external pressure.
“We have made a full assessment and are preparing for various uncertainties,” Li said, according to state broadcaster CCTV.
Li, China’s number 2 political figure, vowed new measures to stabilize the national economy, while setting his sights on boosting domestic markets.
“We will regard the expansion of domestic demand as a long-term strategy,” he added.
The world’s second-largest economy will release March trade figures and first-quarter GDP next week.
Before announcing its latest retaliation, Beijing released a comprehensive framework on Wednesday reaffirming its stance on trade relations with the US, warning that tariffs will “ultimately backfire,” while leaving the door open for an “equal dialogue” between the countries.
ASIA
Japan prepares for tariff negotiations with US

Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba has signaled his intention to use every means to mitigate risks to Japan’s economy by selecting his close aide and key economic policy figure, Ryosei Akazawa, to lead tariff negotiations with the US.
Akazawa, who serves as the state minister in charge of economic and fiscal policy, warned on Tuesday that US President Donald Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs could negatively impact Japanese exports and the global economy. Akazawa told lawmakers he would maintain a “sense of urgency.”
Shunichi Suzuki, a former finance minister who chairs the ruling Liberal Democratic Party’s General Council, said Ishiba had chosen a cabinet member with Akazawa who “can act as a playmaker.” He added, “I have worked with him, and he is very talented.”
As the state minister in charge of economic and fiscal policy, Akazawa coordinates the government’s economic agenda across institutions, giving him access to various bargaining chips and flexibility in negotiations.
Until now, Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry Yoji Muto and Foreign Minister Takeshi Iwaya had been in contact with the US side regarding tariffs through their own channels.
Akazawa is not the first person to lead key trade negotiations with the US in this role.
From 2013, Akira Amari served as the point person for the Obama administration in the Trans-Pacific Partnership talks. Toshimitsu Motegi led negotiations for the Japan-US Trade Agreement during Trump’s first term and was described as a “tough negotiator” by his American counterpart, then-US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer.
Akazawa, a former Ministry of Transport bureaucrat, has also served as state minister in the Cabinet Office and state minister of finance. He appears to have policy expertise in areas expected to be covered by the tariff talks.
Meanwhile, the US’s selection of Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent as its chief negotiator with Japan signals that the dollar-yen exchange rate may also be addressed in the upcoming talks.
Trump’s tariffs are expected to deal a heavy blow to the Japanese economy. A failed response from Ishiba could become a liability for the prime minister as he leads his party into upper house elections this summer.
A senior Japanese official said, “The difference between Trump’s first and second terms is that he has even more power this time.”
Ishiba’s cabinet was already shaky within the LDP and suffered from low approval ratings. His government faces the difficult task of persuading affected industries domestically to abide by the outcome of the negotiation and preparing relief measures.
Yuichiro Tamaki, leader of Japan’s opposition Democratic Party for the People, told reporters on Tuesday, “Even as officials negotiate, there will soon come a time when the prime minister himself must try to break the deadlock with a leaders’ summit.”
ASIA
China releases white paper on US trade relations

The State Council Information Office of China yesterday released a comprehensive white paper titled “China’s Position on Certain Issues in China-US Economic and Trade Relations,” outlining its official position on ongoing trade disputes with Washington.
The white paper addresses the nature of economic relations between the two countries, the implementation of the Phase One Trade Agreement, compliance with World Trade Organization (WTO) rules, and unilateral policies of the US.
In the introduction, Beijing stated that China and the US are the world’s largest developing and developed countries, respectively, emphasizing that economic and trade relations between the two are of great importance for both bilateral and global stability and development.
It noted that since the establishment of diplomatic relations in 1979, bilateral trade volume has increased from $2.5 billion to approximately $688.3 billion in 2024.
The white paper stated that the foundation of China-US economic and trade relations lies in the understanding of “mutual benefit and win-win.”
It was noted that the two countries are important trading partners for each other, with rapidly increasing trade in goods and services.
China is the US’s largest goods export market and second-largest source of imports; the US is China’s third-largest export market and second-largest source of imports.
Beijing argued that it does not pursue a trade surplus, and that the trade balance is a result of structural problems in the US economy, the comparative advantages of the two countries, and the international division of labor.
It was reported that when local sales through trade in goods, trade in services, and investments are considered together, the economic benefits obtained by the two countries are roughly balanced.
Additionally, it was stated that China is taking active steps to increase imports through platforms such as the China International Import Expo (CIIE).
The white paper gave extensive coverage to the Phase One Trade Agreement signed on January 15, 2020.
It was argued that the Chinese side has meticulously fulfilled its obligations under the agreement, despite challenges such as the COVID-19 pandemic, supply chain disruptions, and global economic recession.
In this context, it was stated that intellectual property protection has been strengthened, market access has been increased in the agricultural and food products and financial services sectors, and forced technology transfer has been prohibited.
In contrast, it was pointed out that the US side has not fulfilled its obligations under the agreement.
According to the white paper, Washington, contrary to the spirit of the agreement, tightened export controls, increased sanctions against Chinese companies, and imposed investment restrictions.
In particular, regarding technology transfer, it was argued that the US, as in the case of TikTok, is forcing companies to sell and preventing investment cooperation under the pretext of “national security.”
In the field of agriculture, it was stated that the US has not recognized China’s avian influenza-free zone status and has not responded to requests for cooperation on pesticides.
It was also claimed that the US has engaged in restrictive and discriminatory practices in financial services and exchange rate issues.
In addition, Beijing emphasized that since joining the WTO in 2001, it has adhered to the principle of free trade and has strictly complied with WTO rules.
It was stated that in this process, more than 2,300 central laws, regulations, and rules, and more than 190,000 local regulations have been reviewed and revised.
It was stated that customs duty rates have been reduced in line with WTO commitments and have even been further reduced unilaterally in recent years.
It was argued that subsidies are provided within the framework of WTO rules and within reasonable limits, and that relevant notifications are made in a timely manner.
The white paper stated that accusations that China creates “overcapacity” and disrupts international markets with “non-market economic behaviors” such as subsidies are “irrational and untrue.”
It was emphasized that such claims are trade protectionism and will harm global supply chains.
On the other hand, it was noted that China is constantly improving its business environment, expanding market access for foreign investments, and treating all domestic and foreign businesses equally.
A significant part of the white paper was devoted to criticizing the US’s unilateral and protectionist policies. It was stated that Washington arbitrarily expanded the concept of “national security,” used export controls as a political weapon (especially in the fields of semiconductors and artificial intelligence), and applied Section 301 and Section 232 customs duties that clearly violate WTO rules.
It was pointed out that the WTO panel found Section 301 tariffs to be against the rules. It was noted that these tariffs did not solve the US trade deficit, but rather increased costs for US importers and consumers.
Similarly, it was stated that Section 232 tariffs applied to steel and aluminum products were used not for “national security” reasons, but to put pressure on other countries in negotiations.
It was warned that US attempts to remove China’s Permanent Normal Trade Relations (PNTR) status violate WTO rules and would seriously damage bilateral relations.
It was stated that using the fentanyl issue as an excuse to increase customs duties is baseless and will not solve the problem.
Finally, it was pointed out that the “reciprocal customs duties” implemented by the US will harm both the US economy and global trade.
In the conclusion of the white paper, it was reiterated that China and the US are the world’s two largest economies and that cooperation between them is critical for global peace and development.
It was emphasized that it is natural for the two countries to have differences, but these should be resolved through equal dialogue and mutually beneficial cooperation rather than conflict.
Beijing, using the expressions “There are no winners in trade wars, and protectionism is a dead end,” called on the US side to move in the same direction as China, and to act in accordance with the principles of mutual respect, peaceful coexistence, and win-win cooperation.
It was stated that the two countries can address their concerns through dialogue and jointly promote the healthy, stable, and sustainable development of bilateral economic and trade relations.
-
EUROPE2 weeks ago
F-35 debate intensifies across Germany and Europe
-
ASIA2 weeks ago
Beijing’s energy rules threaten Nvidia H20 chip sales in China
-
EUROPE2 weeks ago
Huawei lobbying investigation leads to searches at EP offices in Strasbourg
-
EUROPE2 weeks ago
Leaked draft reveals German coalition disagreements on key policies
-
ASIA2 weeks ago
South Korean opposition leader Lee Jae-myung acquitted in election law case
-
DIPLOMACY2 weeks ago
Fidan and Rubio discuss Syria, Gaza, and defense in US meeting
-
MIDDLE EAST2 weeks ago
US presents conditions to HTS for potential sanctions relief
-
AMERICA2 weeks ago
Secret CIA files suggest the Ark of the Covenant was found