According to a plan devised by Arab leaders, the governance of Gaza will be handed over to the Palestinian Authority.
The “Arab plan,” prepared by Egypt for the reconstruction of Gaza and adopted at the Arab League’s Cairo Summit, envisages the establishment of a temporary administrative committee for a period of six months, followed by the transfer of Gaza’s governance to the Palestinian Authority. The plan suggests that, without explicitly naming Hamas, the group would lay down its arms if a credible political process is initiated.
Egypt has prepared a 91-page plan titled “Early Recovery, Reconstruction, and Development of Gaza.”
The report on this plan states that the total material damage resulting from Israel’s war of destruction on Gaza amounts to $29.9 billion, with the housing sector being the most affected, costing $15.8 billion and constituting 53% of the total damage.
According to the report, an estimated 30,000 residential buildings have been damaged, of which 272,000 apartments have been completely destroyed, and 58,500 apartments have been partially damaged.
The report indicates that satellite imagery reveals that 1,190 kilometers of Gaza Strip’s roads have been destroyed, with an additional 415 kilometers severely damaged and 1,440 kilometers significantly damaged.
In the health sector, the damage is estimated at $1.3 billion, with losses amounting to $6.3 billion. The report notes that 50% of the hospitals in the Gaza Strip (18 hospitals) are completely out of service, while 17 hospitals are partially operational, failing to meet the increasing health needs.
In the education sector, the damage is estimated at $874 million, with losses reaching $3.2 billion. The report highlights that 88% of schools have been destroyed, with the remainder converted into temporary shelters for families fleeing the war. Additionally, 51 university buildings have been destroyed.
In the trade and industry sector, the damage amounts to $5.9 billion, with losses totaling $2.2 billion. The report also estimates that the damage in the transportation sector is $2.5 billion, with losses of $377 million.
The damage in the water and sewage sector is recorded at $15 billion, with losses reaching $64 million. In the electricity sector, losses are estimated to be $450 million.
Recovery and reconstruction needs
Considering these damages, the plan estimates the total need for Gaza’s reconstruction at $53 billion, with $3 billion allocated for “early recovery” to be used within six months.
The report states that the housing sector accounts for the largest share of recovery needs, with a total value of $15.2 billion. This is followed by the health, trade, and industry sectors, each requiring $6.9 billion for recovery, roads at $2.45 billion, and the electricity sector at $1.5 billion.
The education sector needs $3.8 billion for recovery, while the agriculture and social protection sectors each require $4.2 billion. The transportation sector needs $2.9 billion, and the water and sanitation sector needs $2.7 billion.
The report indicates a need for $1.25 billion for a four-stage process that includes debris removal, unexploded ordnance disposal, recycling, and transformation.
Implementation stages of the plan
The report emphasizes the need to prepare a roadmap and an urgent development plan for the reconstruction of the Gaza Strip in three phases over a five-year period until 2030, accommodating approximately 3 million people.
The first phase, termed the “early recovery phase,” with an estimated timeframe of six months and a cost of $3 billion, includes tasks such as removing debris in some areas and repairing them for temporary housing, repairing 60,000 partially damaged houses to accommodate 360,000 people, and constructing 200,000 temporary housing units to accommodate 1.2 million people.
The second phase, with a two-year timeframe and a cost of $20 billion, envisages the construction of 200,000 new housing units, infrastructure development, completion of debris removal and sorting, restoration of 60,000 houses to accommodate 1.6 million people, reclamation of 20,000 acres of land, and the establishment of service facilities.
The third phase, termed the “second phase of reconstruction,” is expected to be completed in 2.5 years at a cost of $30 billion. This phase includes the construction of an additional 200,000 housing units to accommodate 1.2 million people and infrastructure development.
The report states that this phase envisages the establishment of the first stage of an industrial zone on a 600-acre area, as well as the construction of a fishing port, a commercial port, and Gaza Airport. It also indicates the provision of 500,000 jobs for Palestinians in Gaza in various sectors.
Political context of the plan
The plan states that while preserving the internationally accepted two-state solution horizon, reconstruction is based on the rights and dignity of Palestinians.
Emphasizing the rejection of any attempts to displace Palestinians from Gaza, the plan points out that it is illogical to ignore the desire and right of the Palestinian people, who are firmly attached to their land, to remain on this land in the face of this catastrophic crisis that the Gaza Strip and its people are experiencing.
Noting that the Gaza Strip is an integral part of the Palestinian territories, the plan warns that attempts to geographically separate Gaza from the West Bank will lead to further instability.
The plan warns that ignoring the suffering of Palestinians in Gaza could lead to an escalation of conflicts in the region and calls on the international community to support reconstruction efforts primarily for humanitarian reasons.
Transitional governance during Gaza’s reconstruction
Regarding the governance of Gaza during the reconstruction process, the plan indicates that efforts are underway to establish a temporary administrative committee composed of independent technocrats under the umbrella of the Palestinian government in the Gaza Strip for a period of six months, with the aim of paving the way for the full return of the Palestinian National Authority to the Gaza Strip.
The plan emphasizes that what is currently expected from the international community is to support and encourage these efforts to ensure the success of the administrative committee and its ability to manage the subsequent phase.
Regarding the mission to ensure security in Gaza, the plan notes that Egypt and Jordan are working to train Palestinian police to be sent to the Gaza Strip to enable the Palestinian Authority to return to the Gaza Strip and fulfill its administrative duties.
Calling for these efforts to be supported by political and financial support and the efforts of international and regional partners, the plan suggests that the United Nations Security Council consider deploying an international peacekeeping force in the Palestinian territories, including Gaza and the West Bank, within a clear timetable for the establishment of a Palestinian state.
The plan indicates that the problem of numerous Palestinian parties carrying weapons in Gaza can be eliminated forever “if the reasons are removed through a credible political process with a clear horizon and ensuring the return of rights to their owners.”
Egypt’s plan emphasizes that all previous efforts should be directed towards implementing the two-state solution and working to achieve a medium-term ceasefire between Israel and the Palestinian Authority, encompassing the West Bank and Gaza, as well as halting all unilateral initiatives such as settlement construction, house demolitions, military interventions, and protecting the legal and historical status of holy sites.
The plan notes that if there is political will, the reconstruction of Gaza as proposed is possible.