Middle East
US-backed Gaza oversight board presses Hamas for weekend decision
The Peace Board, established under US leadership and expected to oversee the administration of Gaza, has given Hamas until the weekend to accept a disarmament proposal, it was reported.
According to a report by The Times of Israel, citing three different sources, the board remains determined to advance Gaza’s reconstruction even while the war with Iran continues.
According to the sources, the Peace Board’s High Representative for Gaza, Nickolay Mladenov, met a delegation of senior Hamas officials in Cairo on Friday.
Two Arab diplomats and a third source said Hamas was told that the Gaza oversight body wanted the disarmament agreement finalized by the weekend.
The sources said minor changes to the disarmament proposal could be considered, but Hamas’s demands for changes of a fundamental nature would not be accepted.
According to one of the Arab diplomats, Mladenov believes progress can be made in the second phase of US President Donald Trump’s plan to end the Gaza war.
However, the same diplomat acknowledged that mediators such as Egypt, Qatar and Türkiye were not nearly as optimistic.
The mediators were said to be exerting intense pressure on Hamas to accept the US-backed disarmament proposal.
However, a diplomat from one of the mediator countries said the group was “unlikely to simply say ‘yes’ without significant reservations.”
“And even if they accept, Israel is very unlikely to comply,” the same diplomat said.
According to the diplomat, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will not approve an additional withdrawal from Gaza in an election year. The same diplomat cited the continued support of coalition partners for a permanent occupation of Gaza as the reason.
Hamas did not openly reject the proposal
According to the Arab diplomat, Hamas officials did not directly reject the disarmament proposal, which Mladenov first presented last month, during Friday’s meeting in Cairo.
Instead, they said Israel had failed to comply with the first phase of the Trump plan.
Hamas officials cited the limited operation of the Rafah border crossing, the low number of aid trucks entering Gaza, repeated Israeli military attacks deep inside Gaza, and the Tel Aviv government’s pushing of the ceasefire boundary known as the “Yellow Line” further into Gaza, thereby expanding the Israeli-controlled eastern zone.
According to the report, Israel waited several months after the October ceasefire before reopening the Rafah border crossing.
After reopening it, Israel also limited the number of passengers in each direction to 50 people.
During the war with Iran, the crossing point was again closed for roughly the first three weeks.
During the same period of fighting, daily aid deliveries, which under the ceasefire terms were required to reach 600 trucks a day, also fell far below that level.
The Arab diplomat said Mladenov had discussed some of these issues with Israeli officials in recent days.
According to the same diplomat, although the number of aid trucks has begun to rise again, the other alleged violations remain unresolved.
The same diplomat and a source familiar with the matter said the Peace Board’s Gaza representative was scheduled to hold another follow-up meeting with Hamas officials in Cairo today.
Final deadline is Saturday
The Saturday deadline conveyed to Hamas was said to have been given after the group moved slowly in responding to the proposal it received about four weeks ago.
The plan, parts of which were leaked to the media, contains an eight-month timetable.
That timetable begins with a committee of Palestinian technocrats taking over security control in Gaza under Peace Board supervision and ends with the full withdrawal of Israeli forces after Gaza has been “verified” as disarmed.
The entire reconstruction process for Gaza has been made conditional on Hamas accepting disarmament.
Mladenov also implied in a post on X last week that there would be consequences if the group did not join the process.
“He who does not cross the river drowns in the sea,” Mladenov wrote.
The leaked plan consists of two sections.
The first is a 12-point text titled “Steps Toward Completing the Implementation of Trump’s Comprehensive Peace Plan for Gaza.”
The second is a five-stage timetable under which Hamas would surrender its weapons within eight months.
The text states that all armed formations in Gaza, including groups such as Palestinian Islamic Jihad, will take part in the disarmament process under the supervision of Palestinian technocrats known as the Gaza National Administration Committee.
“Gaza will be governed in accordance with the principle of one authority, one law, one weapon. Accordingly, only persons authorized by (NCAG) will be permitted to carry weapons, and all armed groups will cease their military activities,” the text says.
It says the disarmament process will be overseen by a Weapons Collection Verification Committee to be established by Mladenov.
It also states that reconstruction will be permitted only in areas defined as disarmed.
Five-stage timetable
Under the plan’s timetable, the first stage will last 15 days.
During this stage, NCAG will assume security and administrative control in Gaza and begin preparatory steps for the collection of weapons.
The second stage will cover days 16 to 40.
During this period, Israel is to remove heavy weapons, including artillery systems and tanks, from the areas it controls, and an international security force is to be deployed.
The third stage, covering days 30 to 90, is defined as the most intensive period.
At this stage, Hamas will hand over all heavy weapons and military equipment in its possession to NCAG and will “allow the destruction of all tunnels, explosives and military infrastructure.”
In the fourth stage, from days 91 to 250, police forces affiliated with NCAG will collect and register all remaining weapons, including handguns and rifles.
During the same stage, Israeli forces will also begin a phased withdrawal.
The fifth stage is defined as “final verification.”
At this stage, “Israeli forces will fully withdraw from Gaza apart from their presence in the security perimeter, and comprehensive reconstruction efforts will begin.”
Middle East
France explores Syrian transit routes as alternative oil corridor to bypass Strait of Hormuz
France is evaluating the creation of alternative energy routes through Syria to mitigate potential disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz following the resumption of hostilities between the United States and Iran. French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot stated that Paris is working on new transit routes for the transport of Persian Gulf oil, with Syria emerging as a prominent option in this context.
“Among the initiatives we have pursued since the beginning of this crisis is the concept of preparing alternative routes, in order to avoid remaining dependent on blockages that could occur here or there,” Barrot said.
Barrot indicated that Syria, which has entered a process of reunification following the collapse of the Bashar al-Assad administration, could become a “new regional hub.” The French minister characterized the country as a strategic corridor that could transport Persian Gulf oil to the Mediterranean, thereby reducing the impact of potential shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.
Stating that France wishes to expand commercial and economic cooperation with the Damascus administration, Barrot expressed that they aim to establish a secure transit route for Gulf producing nations through this cooperation.
According to Barrot, implementing this plan requires a comprehensive assessment of existing infrastructure and the provision of necessary security guarantees. The French minister noted that these efforts are of critical importance for securing global energy markets.
Barrot’s remarks followed French President Emmanuel Macron’s visit to Damascus on Tuesday. During the visit, Macron met with Ahmed Shara, the former al-Qaeda leader who has declared himself President of Syria.
Patrick Pouyanné, the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of TotalEnergies, was among the delegation accompanying Macron. Characterizing Syria as a country situated “at the crossroads of the Middle East,” Pouyanné said it could establish a vital energy link between Iraq and the Mediterranean.
In response to the potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz, Iraq has been shipping its oil via tankers through Syria for export since April.
More than 600,000 tons of fuel were exported through this route between April and June. Last month, Iraqi and Syrian officials discussed the reactivation of the Kirkuk-Baniyas oil pipeline and the establishment of energy transit mechanisms.
TotalEnergies has also signed a memorandum of understanding for an offshore exploration block in the Mediterranean. However, Pouyanné stated that beyond this, the company currently has no concrete projects under development.
Stating that security conditions in the country have not yet stabilized, Pouyanné said, “It is clear today that the security situation does not yet permit us to operate here. However, I believe coming here, to Damascus, is a positive initiative.”
Shortly after Pouyanné’s statements, two bombs reportedly exploded near the Four Seasons Hotel, where the French delegation was staying.
Stating that the Syrian administration must be given time to establish control over the country, Pouyanné said, “We must not demand too much,” adding, “We need to be a little patient.”
Middle East
Senior US military officers ignored system alerts on obsolete targets, leading to strike on Iranian school
Senior US military commanders approved strike lists despite automated system warnings indicating that intelligence on certain targets in Iran was years out of date and required revalidation, according to a CNN report citing three sources familiar with the decision-making process.
The warnings were bypassed to “speed things up” under intense pressure to rapidly designate targets during the opening days of the conflict. One of the targets approved by commanders under these conditions resulted in a strike on a school in Minab.
This military decision is directly linked to the February 28 strike on the Shajara Tayyiba School in Minab, which killed at least 168 children and 14 teachers. The heavy loss of life makes the strike one of the mass casualty events involving the highest number of civilian deaths in the recent history of the US military.
According to the sources, automated system warning messages indicating that the intelligence was obsolete were already integrated into the database used during the target development process. Within this system, a target could only be added to a strike list with the approval of a senior officer. Two sources stated that the decision by senior commanders to ignore these warnings directly contributed to the school being targeted “by mistake.”
Military officials reportedly realized within days of the strike on the school that the error stemmed from outdated information. Despite the passage of months, the Pentagon has not released its investigation report on the incident.
A White House official stated that the investigation remains ongoing, asserting, “As we have said before, the US does not target civilians.”
The Pentagon referred inquiries on the matter to US Central Command (CENTCOM), which declined to comment, citing the active investigation.
School and military facility were located within the same compound
The strike reportedly occurred while the US military was targeting an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) facility located near the Shajara Tayyiba School. Initial military investigative findings also pointed to this conclusion.
Satellite imagery reveals negligence in the target analysis process. Imagery from 2013 shows the school and the IRGC base located within the same compound, whereas imagery from 2016 clearly indicates that the school had been separated from the base by a fence and provided with a separate entrance.
In satellite imagery dated December 2025, dozens of children can be seen playing in the schoolyard.
The strike took place on the first day of operations following Donald Trump’s decision to launch military action, a period during which military officials and intelligence analysts worked under intense pressure to update thousands of targets.
Analysts were unable to update all records in the Pentagon database prior to the operation. As a result, records for multiple targets—including the IRGC facility adjacent to the elementary school—consisted of information that was more than 10 years old.
Due to the accelerated timeline, analysts prioritized updating “high-priority” records, which included moving targets with a high probability of being struck first and locations posing an immediate threat to US forces. Because fixed facilities were deemed a lower priority, the information for the facility near the school was not updated.
Disconnected databases and staffing shortages compounded the error
At the center of the investigation are two separate targeting databases used by the Pentagon. These are known as the Modernized Integrated Database (MIDB), which was built in the 1980s and relies on manual data entry, and the Mitigation and Analysis Reporting System (MARS), a new artificial intelligence-backed digital platform.
Both systems indicated that information needed to be updated before use. However, efforts to fully transition to the MARS system were reportedly years behind schedule, leaving official targeting data still dependent on the legacy MIDB system.
An intelligence analyst had previously noted changes on the ground in a separate digital tool, but because this tool was not connected to the official targeting database, the information did not reach commanders. How this disconnect influenced the targeting of the school is also being examined as part of the investigation.
Following the strike, Donald Trump suggested that Iran might be responsible for the incident, later asserting that responsibility might never be determined. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stated that the strike would be thoroughly investigated, claiming that the US takes every possible measure to prevent civilian casualties.
However, due to cuts implemented early in Hegseth’s tenure, Civilian Harm Mitigation and Response (CHMR) teams within CENTCOM were reportedly facing severe staffing shortages.
Under the cuts made by Hegseth prior to the conflict with Iran, the 10-person civilian casualty specialist staff at CENTCOM was reduced to a single full-time employee.
Sources added that while the remaining staff did everything they could, they lacked adequate resources due to the budget and personnel cuts implemented by Hegseth.
Middle East
US revokes Iran oil license and launches airstrikes following Strait of Hormuz tanker attacks
The US Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) has revoked a general license that permitted commercial transactions involving Iranian oil.
According to a statement issued by the agency, the “General License X” regulation, which had been in effect since June 21, 2026, was fully rescinded as of July 7, 2026, and replaced by the newly introduced “General License X1” regulation.
The statement noted that a wind-down period lasting until July 17 has been granted to allow for the completion of transactions initiated prior to the revocation.
The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs reacted strongly to the OFAC decision, declaring that Tehran will take all necessary measures to protect its national security and interests.
In a statement shared on the ministry’s official Telegram channel, Iran stated: “The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Iran decisively condemns the US Department of the Treasury’s decision to revoke the temporary suspension of sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil. This step is a flagrant violation of Article 10 of the memorandum of understanding concerning the cessation of military conflict.”
Following the decision, the US Armed Forces conducted a series of airstrikes targeting Iranian territory during the night of July 8. US officials maintained that the military operation was a response to Tehran’s actions in the region. Washington characterized Iran’s conduct as a violation of the ceasefire regime and a threat to the security of navigation in the region.
The Iranian state broadcaster, IRIB, reported that explosions occurred at various locations across the country. News sources noted that seven explosions were heard near the village of Taherui in the Sirik district, and six explosions were heard near the city of Qeshm.
Previously, US media outlets including The Wall Street Journal and Axios, citing US officials, had reported that despite the active ceasefire, forces of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps had attacked oil tankers near the Strait of Hormuz.
According to data shared by the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO), a tanker off the coast of Oman was struck by an unidentified munition, causing a fire on board. It was reported that the incident resulted in no casualties, injuries, or environmental pollution.
The Wall Street Journal reported that one of the targeted vessels may have been the “Al Rekayyat,” a tanker owned by the Qatar-based shipping company Nakilat.
The vessel sustained damage to its engine room, though the crew was reported to be safe. Axios reported that while the attacked vessels sustained damage, no major destruction had occurred.
On June 18, 2026, the US and Iran had signed a memorandum of understanding that established a two-month ceasefire and envisioned the initiation of negotiations for a more comprehensive agreement.
Following the start of the ceasefire period, the US had also struck targets in Iran on June 27 and June 28, citing Iranian actions against commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.
Following those strikes, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps had announced that operations would be launched against US facilities located in Arab countries.
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