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US benefits from Ukraine conflict triggering world food crisis

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In 2022, the world food crisis has emerged and the world is in a weird contrast. While the latest global food crisis has thrust 345 million people into food insecurity, the US food giants are dominating global transitions. The US showed less interest to deal with the food crisis ignited from conflict in Ukraine while the US is framing itself as a guardian of global food security.

Indeed the war in Ukraine has created lots of problems especially for the underdeveloped nations in the region and Africa. The problem has hit the so-called developing nations hard. It is also topical for Afghanistan.

World food crisis brewed long before Ukraine war

The world food crisis has been brewing for a long time, while the Ukrainian conflict, which the Russian see as unleashed by the West, has allowed the US and its allies to take almost all the grain produced by Ukraine, which is a major food manufacturer.

Many argue that today’s situation at the food market is not the result of this year’s events, but at least a two-year trend. According to stock market data, in 2021 wheat prices soared by 25% (the West plays with the thesis of a 70% increase, but this is false). Biannual corn price rise has been 162%, rapeseed – 175%. In February-March 2022, quotations of the key agricultural goods were subject to severe volatility against the background of fear of curtailed deliveries. Last years’ crises at the agricultural market first and foremost are linked to the failures and accumulated systemic mistakes in macroeconomics, including finance and trade, energy, including climate, and food policies by the West.

Russia eyed safe trade corridors with Ukraine

Back in March 2022, Russia proposed to establish safe trade corridors from Ukraine for food export to the countries in need. Ukraine mined its seaports as per West’s order, and thus blocked ways out of its territorial waters to dozens of vessels stuck in its ports. Kiev refused to conduct demining. Despite Russia’s and Turkey’s efforts, an agreement on the export of grain was reached only by the end of July 2022. The sides agreed that Russian and Ukrainian grain, as well as Russian-produced fertilizers would be exported, first and foremost to those countries that need them most.

Needy countries did not benefit from grain shipment

It turned out however that the food did not in the least go to those countries that were experiencing the food crisis mentioned by the initiators of the agreement. Only 3% of exported grain left for the needy countries, while well-off Europe received 30%. In the course of the talk with UN Secretary General Antonio Gutierrez Russian President Vladimir Putin called upon to pay attention to the geography of deliveries in order to enhance the share of the most needed countries, first and foremost African ones.

Russia vessels barred from entering Mediterranean

The Russia-UN agreement lifted the barriers to Moscow’s grain and fertilizer export, which could alleviate world food conditions. However, this part of the agreement has never been fulfilled. Russian vessels are still barred from entering Mediterranean and other EU ports, while foreign vessels cannot take these goods in Russian ports. Nearly 300 thousand tonnes of the needy and efficient Russian-made potash fertilizers are arrested in the EU ports. Russia has suggested that Western countries should transfer these Russian fertilizers to the developing nations. However the West has refused to do so.

Instead of feeding the needy the food goes to West

At the end, we see the result, i.e. the West profiting from the Ukraine conflict as much as possible. Instead of feeding the needy the food goes to the US and its allies. At the same time the West is constantly blaming Russia as allegedly the only reason for the upcoming food crisis, which is refuted by the above-mentioned facts. In reality we see yet another outrageous cynical policy by the West which aims to fix its problems in the economy at the expense of others. In that context the fraud within the grain deal matches the freeze, or rather the theft, by the US of Afghan monetary reserves.

Countries warned to buy grain from Russia

On July 28, when the US commented on the grain deal signed by Ukraine, Russia, Turkey and the UN personnel, US State Department Spokesperson Ned Price urged Russia to implement the deal and lift the blockade against Ukraine quickly. But he did not mention about the US-led sanction on Russian exports which indeed affected many consumer countries. Furthermore, in mid-May, the US warned 14 countries, mostly in drought-stricken Africa not to buy wheat from Russia, while most of the Ukraine grain shipments were transferred to the West, ignoring these countries’ plight. But, India, close allies to the US, has shown readiness to resuming purchases of Russian wheat with the aim of processing and re-exporting it. India was purchasing wheat from Ukraine, Russia and Australia but suddenly stopped importing grain. India said the decision to halt the purchases of Russia’s grain has nothing to do with the conflict in Ukraine.

One thing is very clear that no matter how the situation in Ukraine may evolve, a fundamental reform is needed in the food industry and how it should be produced and prices must be set. The world is experiencing an unjust food crisis due to multiple reasons and this has to be changed in nutshell.

DIPLOMACY

Ukraine, US, Israel in talks to send up to eight Patriot systems to Ukraine

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The US, Israel and Ukraine are in talks to supply Kiev with up to eight Patriot air defence systems to significantly improve its ability to counter Russian air strikes.

According to the Financial Times (FT), the deal, which has yet to be finalised, would see the Patriot systems shipped from Israel to the US before being delivered to Ukraine.

The outlines of the deal, which would mark a shift in Israel’s relationship with Moscow, have been discussed between ministers and senior officials from the three countries, according to five people familiar with the negotiations.

Israel announced in April that it would retire eight Patriot batteries with more than 30 years of service and replace them with more advanced systems.

However, the batteries used in the Gaza war have not yet been decommissioned amid fears that tensions with Hezbollah in the north could escalate into a full-scale war.

If such a transfer were to take place, it would represent a significant change in Ukraine’s defence capabilities. The country currently has at least four Patriot systems supplied by both the United States and Germany.

Ukraine has frequently asked its Western allies to supply it with air defence systems, particularly US-made Patriots.

Last week, the US announced that it was halting deliveries of Patriot interceptors to other countries in order to prioritise deliveries to Ukraine.

Israel has been wary of taking sides in Ukraine because of Moscow’s influence in Syria.

But according to the FT, US officials have tried to persuade Benjamin Netanyahu’s government that Russia’s increasingly close ties with Iran, particularly in the area of military cooperation, are a more pressing concern.

However, the sources said that while the transfer of all eight systems was being discussed, not all of them might be sent to Ukraine. Three people familiar with the discussions said Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba had held talks on the issue with his US counterpart, Antony Blinken, in recent weeks.

White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan has also met at least twice with the Ukrainian president’s chief of staff, Andriy Yermak, the three sources said.

Kuleba did not confirm the talks, but told the FT: “Ukraine continues to work with various countries around the world to acquire additional Patriot systems. We once again call on all countries that have such systems to provide them to Ukraine,” he added.

In addition to the US-Ukraine talks, a person familiar with the diplomatic situation said there were also direct talks between Tel Aviv and Kiev on the transfer of Patriots.

Israel’s M901 PAC-2 batteries are older than most of the Patriot systems currently in Ukraine. But military analysts say the older model is still fully compatible with the newer ones.

According to a person familiar with the size of Israel’s arsenal, Tel Aviv has plenty of interceptors for use with these batteries, which Kiev also needs.

Analysts also said that Israel’s older interceptors have a longer range and a larger warhead than the new PAC-3 model.

Former officials and analysts said the Israeli systems would most likely be sold back to the United States, which could send them to Ukraine.

But they added that the real question was whether Tel Aviv was prepared to alienate its one-time ally Russia, despite Moscow’s increasingly close relationship with Tehran.

Israel has previously rejected Ukrainian requests for air defence systems. It also has an agreement with Russia that gives Israeli jets access to Syrian airspace.

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Polish president meets Xi Jinping in China

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Polish President Andrzej Duda met Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing on Saturday as part of a state visit. The two leaders attended a signing ceremony in Beijing on Monday, CGTN reported.

“Bilateral exchanges and cooperation have expanded and deepened in all fields, benefiting the people of both countries. China will work with Poland to uphold the Five Principles of Peaceful Coexistence, fulfil the commitments made at the time of the establishment of diplomatic relations, and take the relationship to greater heights,” Xi said.

The Polish leader said he had raised Russia’s war in Ukraine and the crisis on Poland’s border with Belarus during the talks, which also focused on developing economic ties.

Duda later said: “Thanks to the fact that President [Xi] called me his friend, which is a great honour for me, I am very happy to be able to contribute to the development of [Polish-Chinese] relations together with the president.”

Noting that his second and final term in office will end next year, Duda said he “hopes that these relations will be built in the future…[and] will always be based on common ideals…[and] mutual respect”.

Experts believe that this visit, which will last until Wednesday, will help strengthen China-Poland relations and increase economic cooperation between the two countries.

Duda and his wife Agata Kornhauser-Duda arrived in Beijing on Saturday at the invitation of Chinese President Xi Jinping. Duda and his wife were met at the airport by Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Deng Li and other officials, China Central Television reported.

Duda is expected to ask for visa exemptions for Poles travelling to China and seek ways to increase Polish exports to China to balance trade relations.

Polish state statistics reported that 13.9 per cent of the country’s imports came from China last year, while Polish exports to China were only a fraction of that amount.

A number of trade agreements are expected to be signed during the visit.

On Wednesday, Duda will fly to the financial centre of Shanghai to attend the Polish-Chinese Business Forum.

During his visit, Xi will hold talks with Duda to map out the future development of China-Poland relations, have in-depth exchanges on issues of common concern and jointly attend the signing ceremony of cooperation documents, Lin Jian, a Foreign Ministry spokesman, said at a routine press briefing last Thursday.

China is willing to work with Poland to take this visit as an opportunity to deepen political mutual trust, expand exchanges and cooperation in various fields, jointly pioneer high-quality cooperation on the Belt and Road Initiative and China’s cooperation with Central and Eastern European countries, and continuously enrich the connotation of the China-Poland comprehensive strategic partnership, Lin said.

Cui Hongjian, a professor with the Academy of Regional and Global Governance at Beijing Foreign Studies University, told the Global Times on Sunday that China’s relations with Central and Eastern Europe have remained stable this year, and Poland sees this visit as a way to boost cooperation in both political and economic fields.

Cui said strengthening cooperation with China would not only benefit Poland’s economy, but also help Warsaw increase its influence within the EU. Although Poland and the United States have been in close contact in recent years, Duda’s visit shows that the Eastern European country is seeking balanced diplomacy to build close ties with China as well, Cui said.

Chinese experts also said that while Beijing and Brussels have a complex relationship and the EU has threatened to launch a potential trade war against China, Poland could play a positive role in negotiating bilateral relations between China and the bloc.

Janusz Piechocinski, Poland’s former deputy prime minister, said in an interview with the Global Times: “China will remain a powerful engine of the global economy. Trade wars with China could reduce demand and limit opportunities for trade expansion. We need more cooperation and less confrontation, a more practical dialogue aimed at solving problems rather than exacerbating them through protectionist measures.

Experts expect the Russia-Ukraine crisis to be on the agenda during Duda’s visit, as Poland has thrown its full weight behind Ukraine. Although China’s position on the Ukraine crisis differs from Poland’s, Beijing has been in close contact with Warsaw since the beginning of the crisis. In March this year, Li Hui, the Chinese government’s special representative for Eurasian affairs, embarked on a second round of shuttle diplomacy to find a political solution to the Ukrainian crisis, visiting Poland in the process.

This is Duda’s third visit to China as President of Poland. The first was in November 2015, after which he became the only elected EU leader to attend the opening ceremony of the Beijing Winter Olympics in February 2022. Xi also visited Poland in 2016.

“I try to maintain friendly relations with China, Poland has always had good relations with China and I want this to continue,” Duda said in an interview with private Radio Zet on Friday.

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American troops begin withdrawal from Niger

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Following the decision by Niger’s military government to expel US forces from the country, the withdrawal of US troops serving in the country and the process of moving their equipment has officially begun.

According to the AA report, which cites local sources, US troops are being withdrawn from the country following the termination of the military agreement that allowed military and civilian personnel from the US Department of Defense to serve in Niger. It was learnt that 269 soldiers and tonnes of equipment had been sent to the US in the first phase.

Senior US officials had travelled to Niger in March to ensure that the US would maintain its base in the country despite the suspension of military and development aid to Niger’s coup government. But after three days of waiting, the US delegation left without meeting the country’s military commander, General Abdurrahmane Tchiani, and on 17 March Niger announced the end of the military partnership Washington had come to secure and demanded that US troops leave the country immediately.

It was then announced that the US would leave the country completely by mid-September.

There are around 1000 US troops in Niger. Near the city of Agadez, at the southern end of the Sahara, there is a drone base called ‘Niger Air Base 201’.

Niger 201 is the second largest base in Africa after the permanent base in Djibouti, where the US also conducts drone operations.

Built and funded by the US and owned by the Nigerian army, the base has been operational since 2019 and is equipped with high-tech satellite communications systems.

Niger 201, which is leased from the Niger state for 10 years, is considered the largest and most expensive UAV base in the US.

The US, which spent $110 million on its construction and $30 million on its annual maintenance, uses the base as its main intelligence and surveillance centre in the Sahel.

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