Diplomacy
US to establish joint military headquarters with Japan, Beijing reacts
The foreign and defence ministers of Japan and the United States on Sunday announced a far-reaching update of their alliance in the face of what they described as “profound global threats” to peace and security.
At a so-called ‘2+2’ meeting in Tokyo, Japanese Foreign Minister Yoko Kamikawa and Defence Minister Minoru Kihara and their US counterparts, Antony Blinken and Lloyd Austin, agreed to establish a new US Joint Forces Headquarters to assume ‘primary responsibility for coordinating security activities in and around Japan’.
This headquarters will be at the centre of efforts to ‘facilitate deeper interoperability and cooperation’ between US and Japanese defence forces in the Indo-Pacific region, the ministers said in a statement. They pledged to strengthen the two countries’ “deterrence capabilities” and expand intelligence sharing and cyber security measures.
During their talks, the ministers highlighted security challenges such as China’s activities in the South and East China Seas, North Korea’s missile development and both countries’ growing cooperation with Russia. They also discussed Russia’s ‘unjustified’ invasion of Ukraine.
We are at a historic crossroads, a critical juncture where today’s decisions will determine our future,’ Kamikawa told the joint press conference.
In their statement, the ministers acknowledged ‘the depth of the global threats to the shared vision and values of our alliance’, reaffirmed their countries’ determination to stand together, and reiterated the US commitment to defend Japan with all the means at its disposal.
Given the increasingly challenging security environment created by recent actions by regional actors’, the United States reaffirmed its ‘unwavering commitment’ to Japan’s defence ‘by all means at its disposal, including nuclear’.
Key to the strengthened alliance would be a ‘reconfigured’ US-Japan Force (USFJ), a joint air, land and sea headquarters reporting to the commander of the US Indo-Pacific Command in Hawaii. The ministers said the USFJ ‘is intended to serve as a key counterpart to the JJOC’.
JJOC refers to Japan Joint Operations Command, a new headquarters that will oversee the air, land and sea units of the Self-Defence Forces and is expected to be established by 2025.
Austin said at the press conference that updating the USFJ ‘will be the most significant change to US Forces Japan since its inception and one of the strongest developments in our military relationship with Japan in 70 years’.
The current USFJ, established in 1957, is headquartered at Yokota Air Base, west of Tokyo. Coordination between the US military and the Japanese Self-Defence Forces (SDF) has been carried out from Hawaii, but will be managed by the USFJ under the new system, which will be implemented ‘in a phased approach’, according to the joint statement.
The new USFJ ‘from peacetime to contingencies’ It will work with the SDF.
Blinken said the ministers were ‘delivering on commitments’ made by US President Joe Biden and Japanese Prime Minister Kishida in Washington in April to revise the command and control framework for regional defence operations.
Right now the alliance is stronger than ever,” Blinken said, adding: ‘I know it will be sustained regardless of the outcome of the elections in our countries.
Sunday’s dialogue came amid heightened tensions in the South China Sea, where there have been several clashes between Chinese and Philippine ships in recent months.
In a statement, the Japanese and US ministers expressed their ‘strong objections’ to China’s ‘threatening and provocative activities in the South China Sea’. They also condemned China’s ‘intensified attempts to unilaterally change the status quo in the East China Sea through force or coercion’ and objected to Russia’s military cooperation with Beijing.
The ministers said China’s foreign policy ‘poses the greatest strategic challenge in the Indo-Pacific region and beyond’.
The ministers reiterated their aim to ‘increase bilateral presence’ in Japan’s southwest islands, the westernmost of which are just 110 kilometres from Taiwan. They warned against ‘provocative actions in the Taiwan Strait’.
They also reaffirmed the need for multilateral coordination to ensure security in the Indo-Pacific region and looked forward to the Quartet foreign ministers’ meeting with Australia and India scheduled for Monday in Tokyo.
On the South China Sea, ministers welcomed greater cooperation with the Philippines. The US, Japan and the Philippines held their first trilateral summit in April and the leaders pledged close cooperation on defence and security in the Indo-Pacific.
The ministers called for deeper cooperation with South Korea over North Korea’s ‘continued reckless ballistic missile launches’ and its growing strategic relationship with Russia.
Sunday’s statement also announced a ‘high-priority’ plan to strengthen Japan-US defence industry cooperation by increasing production in Japan of the Patriot PAC-3 surface-to-air and advanced medium-range air-to-air missiles. Both of these US-developed weapons can be used to intercept ballistic missiles.
Following the two-plus-two meeting, the US and Japan held their first ministerial-level meeting on ‘extended deterrence’, a term referring to the US pledge to use nuclear weapons to defend its allies if attacked. According to a separate statement, the meeting aimed to strengthen bilateral cooperation on ‘arms control, risk reduction and non-proliferation’ in the face of growing nuclear threats from North Korea, China and Russia.
The Tokyo-Washington dialogues followed a trilateral meeting between the defence ministers of South Korea, Japan and the United States on Sunday morning, during which they signed a memorandum of understanding to enhance military cooperation in East Asia. The cooperation will include real-time intelligence sharing on North Korean missile launches, regular ministerial meetings on defence issues, and continued joint military training.
The MoU institutionalises the details of the ‘new era of trilateral partnership’ announced by Kishida, Biden and South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol at a meeting in Camp David, US, last August. With the signing of this memorandum, our trilateral cooperation has become stronger and more steadfast,’ Japanese Defence Minister Kihara told reporters on Sunday.
China reacts
Joint statements by the United States and Japan ‘falsely accused’ China on maritime issues and pointed fingers at its normal military development and defence policy, the Chinese Foreign Ministry said on Monday.
They have maliciously attacked and discredited China on maritime issues and made irresponsible remarks about China’s normal military development and national defence policy,’ Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Lin Jian told a regular press briefing.
‘Beijing is absolutely not satisfied with the exaggeration of China’s threat and malicious speculation about regional tensions,’ Lin added.
‘China has always followed the path of peaceful development, adopted an inherently defensive national defence policy, and its national defence construction and military activities are legitimate and reasonable,’ Lin said, adding that Beijing has ‘always kept its nuclear capability to the minimum necessary for national security and poses no threat to any country’.
‘We call on the United States and Japan to immediately stop interfering in China’s internal affairs and stop creating imaginary enemies,’ the Chinese official added.
Diplomacy
US drafts Ukraine plan with Nord Stream restart and sanctions relief
Draft proposals by the US administration to end the war in Ukraine envisage establishing a demilitarised line in the Donbass region, easing sanctions against Moscow, and offering a comprehensive investment package to Kyiv.
According to a report by the British magazine The Economist, citing Ukrainian officials, Washington is working on a broad framework comprising both economic and political points to persuade the parties to reach a settlement.
Under the draft plan reported by the publication, Russia is offered the opportunity to conclude trade agreements with the US, an easing of sanctions, and the normalisation of political relations.
Ukraine, in exchange for relinquishing its goal of NATO membership, is promised direct foreign investment and European Union accession.
The report notes that Ukrainian officials do not possess complete visibility over every detail of the final text on the table, but are closely familiar with its overarching framework.
Nord Stream pipeline and natural gas shipments on the table
The Economist reported that the package designed to persuade the leadership in Moscow also includes items such as the resumption of Russian natural gas sales to the European market and the reactivation of the Nord Stream pipeline.
The magazine also points out that decisions regarding the operation of a pipeline located on European territory do not fall directly under US jurisdiction.
Ukrainian negotiators, meanwhile, are concerned that the Washington delegation may lock in commercial agreements in line with its own economic interests before the fighting formally stops.
Speaking to the magazine, a Ukrainian official summed up the American side’s approach with the words: ‘Why wait and waste time? Time is money.’
Diplomatic contacts intensify at leadership level
Stating that it is ready for talks, the Russian government announced that an agreement had been reached in recent contacts with Washington to launch a trilateral negotiation process that would also include Ukraine.
Russian President Vladimir Putin said: ‘The objective of these negotiations will be to address the issue of ensuring the security of Ukraine and Russia once peace agreements are reached.’
As part of these diplomatic efforts, US President Donald Trump’s special envoy, Steve Witkoff, met Russian leader Putin on 21 October at the Konstantinovsky Palace in St. Petersburg.
Speaking during the portion of the meeting open to the media, Witkoff noted that he had brought documents outlining a pathway to peace and asked Putin to examine these texts.
Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov announced that the president would evaluate the American proposals.
Noting that concrete ground for a ceasefire had emerged during the St. Petersburg meeting, Witkoff expressed hope for the start of trilateral contacts between Russia, the US, and Ukraine to address technical matters.
Putin thanked Trump for his interest in peace efforts and recounted that the US president had specifically emphasized during their recent telephone calls that the war must end as soon as possible.
Framework prepared in Oslo carried to Moscow
Immediately before his visit to St. Petersburg, Witkoff had attended talks held on 20 October in Oslo, the capital of Norway.
Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner joined the meeting remotely due to illness, which was attended by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Finnish President Alexander Stubb, and Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Store.
According to information provided by Stubb, the parties at the Oslo meeting clarified key security and economic elements that the American envoy would present to Moscow. Air defence systems, energy infrastructure, and partial ceasefire measures were also discussed.
Commenting after the talks in St. Petersburg, Russian presidential aide Yury Ushakov argued that the newly presented approaches did not contain many elements useful for a resolution.
Noting that Witkoff informed Putin about the contacts in Oslo and relayed fresh nuances in the positions of European leaders and the Kyiv government, Ushakov stated that the meeting was thorough and frank, adding that the conflict is ‘moving toward an end.’
Diplomacy
South Korea pulls part of embassy staff from Ukraine amid POW dispute
The South Korean government has decided to withdraw part of its embassy staff from Ukraine.
According to the Yonhap news agency, Foreign Ministry spokesman Park Doo-sun cited the Kyiv administration’s failure to take “positive steps” in the dispute that began with the leak of information concerning the handover of North Korean prisoners of war as the justification for the move.
The spokesman also listed the ongoing threat of air strikes, which complicates the safety of diplomats, among the reasons.
Following the withdrawal of part of the personnel, essential diplomatic contacts will continue under the leadership of the charge d’affaires ad interim to Ukraine. All consular staff tasked with protecting South Korean citizens will remain in Ukraine.
Prior to this move, the Seoul administration decided on 8 October to withdraw its ambassador. The Foreign Ministry stated at the time that it was ready to continue consultations with Kyiv to resolve the emerging issues constructively.
Tensions between the two countries began with a speech delivered by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the United Nations General Assembly in September.
Zelenskyy announced that two captured soldiers from the North Korean army had been handed over to South Korea.
South Korean President Lee Jae-myung, meanwhile, accused Kyiv of breaching a confidentiality agreement.
Lee said the disclosure of this information endangered the prisoners’ families and stability on the Korean Peninsula.
Seoul expects a public apology
Dmytro Lytvyn, an adviser to the Ukrainian president, denied the existence of a confidentiality agreement.
The South Korean Foreign Ministry summoned Ukrainian Charge d’Affaires Andriy Veshkin on 28 September and issued a note of protest against Lytvyn’s remarks.
President Lee Jae-myung warned in a statement on 2 October that they would take additional measures against Kyiv if Ukrainian authorities did not acknowledge the agreement and make a public apology. Lee stated that Ukraine itself had initially requested that the transfer of the prisoners be kept confidential.
Ukrainian Foreign Ministry spokesman Heorhii Tykhyi said the dispute stemmed from differing interpretations of the confidentiality regime.
Tykhyi noted that Seoul, based on its constitution which recognises the entire Korean Peninsula as its own territory, requested that the prisoners be handed over “like its own citizens”.
Describing the handover as a “gesture of goodwill”, Tykhyi stated that they were conducting closed-door negotiations to resolve differences of opinion.
Ambassador Park Ki-chang returned to Seoul on 10 October. According to a report by The Korea Times newspaper citing the ministry, recalling the ambassador served as a diplomatic protest against the leak of information regarding the prisoners.
The newspaper wrote that South Korea had last taken a similar step in 2008 by withdrawing its ambassador to Japan.
Moscow warned foreign diplomats
On 3 October, the Russian Foreign Ministry reiterated its warning to foreign nationals, including diplomatic mission staff, against remaining in Ukraine.
The ministry recalled its advice to leave Kyiv, citing ongoing strikes against military targets.
The ministry noted that those who failed to heed the warnings would bear responsibility for the potential consequences.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said in a statement on 24 September that they had no information regarding Kyiv handing over two North Korean prisoners of war to Seoul.
Peskov, noting that prisoner matters fall under the authority of the Defence Ministry and intelligence services, said, “Contacts through the special services are continuing.”
Diplomacy
Ex-BND head Hanning tied to former Mossad chief amid spy inquiry
August Hanning, who led Germany’s Federal Intelligence Service (BND) between 1998 and 2005, was arrested on 6 October on allegations that he obtained roughly 2,000 classified agency documents and used them during contacts with intelligence officers from a foreign state.
Accused of high treason and espionage on behalf of a foreign intelligence agency, the former spy chief is alleged to have procured the documents from former BND employee Manfred D.
Prosecutors stated that the leaked records included internal briefing notes presented to senior German officials, though the Berlin government has not yet publicly disclosed which country received the classified data.
According to an exclusive report by Jake Green for The Cradle, seized email exchanges revealed extensive ties between the arrested Hanning and former Mossad director Danny Yatom.
The correspondence shows that the two former intelligence directors built an ongoing network of contacts following their public service, combining commercial ventures, efforts to secure political influence, and intelligence links.
This dynamic has triggered debate that using personal connections and official access for private gain has left Germany’s intelligence apparatus vulnerable.
Intelligence notes for 10,000 euros and campaign proposals
According to the reviewed emails, Hanning told Yatom in a 2018 message that he could prepare an “overall assessment based on information obtained from senior German officials and intelligence agencies” concerning an unidentified candidate.
The former BND head committed to completing the report by 13 July in exchange for 10,000 euros.
Contacts between the two men subsequently expanded to cover domestic political processes in Germany. Ahead of the September 2021 federal election, Yatom asked Hanning to approach leading candidates.
Describing CIY Global as a “political campaign company”, the former Mossad chief noted that he aimed to introduce its capabilities to German politicians, and he mentioned his intention in the same exchange to transfer documents concerning a cybersecurity firm.
Cybersecurity partnership and surveillance operations across Europe
The partnership between Yatom and Hanning reached beyond political lobbying initiatives into the cybersecurity sector.
Hanning reportedly served as a consultant for World Health Energy Holdings, a cybersecurity company linked to Yatom.
Firms of this type, established or managed by former intelligence personnel, provide commercial platforms on the international market for Israeli-origin surveillance, cyber intelligence, and political influence capabilities.
The operational presence of private Israeli-based surveillance technologies across Europe has recently entered judicial records through scandals in Poland, Spain, and Greece.
Polish prosecutors announced on 12 October that data collected under the previous government via Pegasus spyware against political opponents had been transferred out of the country, adding that manufacturer NSO Group maintained access to the technical infrastructure.
In Spain, the 2022 CatalanGate investigation established that at least 65 people, including politicians, lawyers, and civil society representatives, were targeted using Pegasus or Candiru software, with Citizen Lab researchers publishing strong evidence linking the operation to Spanish authorities.
In Greece, the surveillance operation targeting journalist Thanasis Koukakis and Member of the European Parliament Nikos Androulakis was determined to have used Predator software, linked to Intellexa, a company founded by former Israeli intelligence officer Tal Dilian.
In the German espionage investigation, the traffic between Hanning and Yatom involving paid reporting, contacts with electoral candidates, and commercial partnerships does not yet provide conclusive legal evidence regarding the final destination of the roughly 2,000 classified documents.
Nevertheless, the disclosed correspondence gives German investigators a concrete line of inquiry to assess whether classified state secrets reached commercial networks tied to Israeli intelligence.
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