Diplomacy
World leaders at Davos declare the end of the global order amid US disruption
Leaders speaking on the first day of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos have declared the end of the “global order as we know it,” driven by the actions of the US administration under Donald Trump.
In his address to the forum, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney stated that the rules-based international order is experiencing “not a transition, but a rupture,” calling on the world’s “middle powers” to unite in response.
Carney did not mention Trump by name, yet his speech received a standing ovation from attendees. The Canadian leader pointed out that the global order centered on “American hegemony” is now a “fiction,” stating that the era of multilateralism has ended with groups like the World Trade Organization and the UN having been “largely weakened.”
Carney spoke as follows:
“Canadians know that our old, comfortable assumption that our geography and alliance memberships automatically provide prosperity and security is no longer valid. Let me be clear. We are not in a period of transition; we are in the midst of a rupture.”
“You cannot live in the lie of mutual benefit through integration when that integration has become the source of your subservience,” Carney said.
Accusation of “economic coercion” against the US
Argued that major powers have recently begun weaponizing economic integration—using tariffs as tools of pressure, financial infrastructure as instruments of coercion, and supply chains as vulnerabilities to be exploited—Carney called on countries to begin openly condemning economic coercion even when applied by allies, a remark that served as another clear reference to the US.
The Prime Minister stated, “The old order is not coming back.”
Urging “middle powers,” including Canada, to cooperate with one another, the Canadian Prime Minister said, “If you are not at the table, you are on the menu. Nostalgia is not a strategy. But we believe we can build something bigger, better, stronger, and fairer from this rupture.”
Carney, whose Liberal Party won the election last year on a pledge to protect Canada from US tariffs, attempted to appease Trump while conducting trade agreement negotiations with him.
High-level European political figures praised Carney’s comments at the WEF. Alastair Campbell, adviser to former UK Prime Minister Tony Blair, wrote on X, “The speech today was true leadership.” Carl Bildt, co-chair of the European Council on Foreign Relations and former Prime Minister of Sweden, called it “very significant.”
As Ottawa seeks to diversify its relationships away from US trade, Carney traveled to Beijing last week for a historic meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping, the first such encounter in nearly a decade.
Speaking to reporters during the visit, he said that China is a more “predictable” partner than the US and that the Canada-China partnership is part of the emerging “new world order.”
Call from Canadian leader for “middle powers” to act together
Quoting the famous ancient Greek historian Thucydides and Václav Havel at Davos, the Canadian leader said that countries like Canada must change course to avoid further “coercion” by powerful actors:
“When the rules no longer protect you, you must protect yourself. But let us see clearly where this leads. A world surrounded by fortresses will be poorer, more fragile, and less sustainable.”
Carney stated, “Canada strongly opposes the tariffs regarding Greenland and demands focused discussions to achieve our shared goals of security and prosperity in the Arctic.”
As an example of cooperation among middle powers, Carney said that Canada is strictly committed to the collective defense of Greenland within the scope of NATO. The Prime Minister said, “On the matter of Arctic sovereignty, we stand with Greenland and Denmark, and we fully support Greenland’s unique rights to determine its future.”
Carney’s fundamental argument was that middle powers should join forces rather than competing to curry favor with major powers:
“When we engage in only bilateral negotiations with a hegemonic power, we negotiate from a weak position. We accept what is offered. This is not sovereignty. This is obeying while accepting sovereignty.”
The Prime Minister said that middle powers must establish new institutions among themselves, strengthen their domestic economies, diversify international trade, and work together in coalitions—not bilaterally—in their relations with major powers:
“Instead of waiting for a great power to rebuild the order it destroyed with its own hands, create institutions and agreements that work as advertised. This is not naive multilateralism. Nor is it relying on weakened institutions. It is building coalitions that work, issue by issue, with partners who share enough common ground to act together.”
Promise of a joint response from von der Leyen
Earlier in the day, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen told the World Economic Forum that the economic pressures threatened by Trump to seize Greenland were a mistake and warned that the EU’s response would be “decisive, united, and proportional.”
Von der Leyen pushed back against Trump’s threat to impose a 10% tariff on European allies and the UK until allowed to annex Greenland, as well as the warning that tariffs would rise to 25% in June.
Von der Leyen stated that the EU shares US concerns regarding the protection of Greenland and is ready to increase spending and protective measures there.
Stating that the “sovereignty and integrity” of Danish territory is “not open for debate,” von der Leyen said Brussels is working on a “major wave of European investment” in Greenland.
The Commission President said, “Hand in hand with Greenland and Denmark, we will explore how we can further support the local economy and infrastructure. We will work for broader Arctic security with the US and all partners.”
Arguing that “geopolitical shocks” could be an opportunity for Europe, von der Leyen said, “To me, the profound change we are experiencing today is an opportunity, even a necessity, to forge a new form of European independence”:
“Trying to buy time and hoping the situation will improve soon will not eliminate our structural dependencies. My point is this: If this change is permanent, Europe must also change permanently. It is time to seize this opportunity and build a new, independent Europe.”
Arguing that this new Europe is already emerging, von der Leyen cited the recent EU-Mercosur trade agreement as a sign of this. She said she would travel to India after Davos to negotiate an agreement with that country as well. Stating that a market of 2 billion people would be created through agreements made or to be made with countries such as Indonesia, the Philippines, Mexico, Australia, Thailand, and the UAE, alongside Latin America and India, von der Leyen noted that these would account for one-quarter of the world’s total GDP.
Macron: A world where rules are upended
Taking the podium wearing dark glasses due to illness, French President Emmanuel Macron stated it was clear that an era of “instability and imbalance” had begun in terms of both security and defense, as well as the economy.
Noting a “shift from democracy toward autocracy,” Macron argued that there is more war, that conflicts have normalized and become more complex, spreading to new demands, space, digital information, the cyber realm, and trade.
Emphasizing that there is also a shift toward a world without rules, the French leader continued:
“A world where international law is trampled underfoot and the only valid rule is the rule of the strongest. And imperial ambitions are resurfacing. Clearly, Russia’s war against Ukraine, which will enter its fourth year next month, and the conflicts continuing in the Middle East and Africa.”
According to Macron, this also signifies a slide toward a world where there is no “effective collective governance,” where “multilateralism” is weakened by powers that obstruct it or distance themselves from it, and where “rules are upended.”
Making a direct reference to the US, Macron noted that competition conducted by Trump through trade agreements that harm export interests, demand maximum concessions, and openly aim to weaken and subjugate Europe is combined with the endless accumulation of “new tariffs that are fundamentally unacceptable and become even more unacceptable when used as a tool of pressure against territorial sovereignty.”
Search for “rebalancing” with China on the table
Touching on China as well, Macron argued that competition from there poses a threat of upending entire industrial and trade sectors due to “massive overcapacity and disruptive practices.”
Suggesting that the solution to the problem is “more cooperation,” the French leader said that establishing greater “economic sovereignty and a strategic economy,” particularly for Europeans, is the fundamental answer.
Arguing that there are two approaches today, Macron called the first the vassal and colonial approach that accepts “the law of the strong,” noting that this is unacceptable.
Stating that the second is to adopt a “purely moral stance” and “limit ourselves to commenting,” Macron said, “This too would condemn us to marginalization and powerlessness.”
Macron stated that France and Europe, facing the “brutalization of the world,” must defend “effective multilateralism,” noting that this serves the interests of both Europe and everyone who refuses to bow to the use of force.
Arguing that “rebalancing” with China is crucial, Macron noted the following:
“Our door is open to China, but what we need is for more Chinese foreign direct investment to be made in certain key European sectors to contribute to growth and transfer certain technologies. Not to export to Europe certain devices or products that sometimes do not share the same standards as those produced in Europe or are much more heavily subsidized. This is not protectionism, it is simply restoring a level playing field and protecting our industry.”
Believing that Europe needs “simplification,” Macron called for the elimination of certain new regulations that prevent the EU from being “synchronized.” Stating that the deepening of the single market must also be accelerated in this context, Macron said, “In all sectors, the population and consumer market of 450 million must be the domestic market for all EU companies.”
Diplomacy
South Korea pulls part of embassy staff from Ukraine amid POW dispute
The South Korean government has decided to withdraw part of its embassy staff from Ukraine.
According to the Yonhap news agency, Foreign Ministry spokesman Park Doo-sun cited the Kyiv administration’s failure to take “positive steps” in the dispute that began with the leak of information concerning the handover of North Korean prisoners of war as the justification for the move.
The spokesman also listed the ongoing threat of air strikes, which complicates the safety of diplomats, among the reasons.
Following the withdrawal of part of the personnel, essential diplomatic contacts will continue under the leadership of the charge d’affaires ad interim to Ukraine. All consular staff tasked with protecting South Korean citizens will remain in Ukraine.
Prior to this move, the Seoul administration decided on 8 October to withdraw its ambassador. The Foreign Ministry stated at the time that it was ready to continue consultations with Kyiv to resolve the emerging issues constructively.
Tensions between the two countries began with a speech delivered by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the United Nations General Assembly in September.
Zelenskyy announced that two captured soldiers from the North Korean army had been handed over to South Korea.
South Korean President Lee Jae-myung, meanwhile, accused Kyiv of breaching a confidentiality agreement.
Lee said the disclosure of this information endangered the prisoners’ families and stability on the Korean Peninsula.
Seoul expects a public apology
Dmytro Lytvyn, an adviser to the Ukrainian president, denied the existence of a confidentiality agreement.
The South Korean Foreign Ministry summoned Ukrainian Charge d’Affaires Andriy Veshkin on 28 September and issued a note of protest against Lytvyn’s remarks.
President Lee Jae-myung warned in a statement on 2 October that they would take additional measures against Kyiv if Ukrainian authorities did not acknowledge the agreement and make a public apology. Lee stated that Ukraine itself had initially requested that the transfer of the prisoners be kept confidential.
Ukrainian Foreign Ministry spokesman Heorhii Tykhyi said the dispute stemmed from differing interpretations of the confidentiality regime.
Tykhyi noted that Seoul, based on its constitution which recognises the entire Korean Peninsula as its own territory, requested that the prisoners be handed over “like its own citizens”.
Describing the handover as a “gesture of goodwill”, Tykhyi stated that they were conducting closed-door negotiations to resolve differences of opinion.
Ambassador Park Ki-chang returned to Seoul on 10 October. According to a report by The Korea Times newspaper citing the ministry, recalling the ambassador served as a diplomatic protest against the leak of information regarding the prisoners.
The newspaper wrote that South Korea had last taken a similar step in 2008 by withdrawing its ambassador to Japan.
Moscow warned foreign diplomats
On 3 October, the Russian Foreign Ministry reiterated its warning to foreign nationals, including diplomatic mission staff, against remaining in Ukraine.
The ministry recalled its advice to leave Kyiv, citing ongoing strikes against military targets.
The ministry noted that those who failed to heed the warnings would bear responsibility for the potential consequences.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said in a statement on 24 September that they had no information regarding Kyiv handing over two North Korean prisoners of war to Seoul.
Peskov, noting that prisoner matters fall under the authority of the Defence Ministry and intelligence services, said, “Contacts through the special services are continuing.”
Diplomacy
Ex-BND head Hanning tied to former Mossad chief amid spy inquiry
August Hanning, who led Germany’s Federal Intelligence Service (BND) between 1998 and 2005, was arrested on 6 October on allegations that he obtained roughly 2,000 classified agency documents and used them during contacts with intelligence officers from a foreign state.
Accused of high treason and espionage on behalf of a foreign intelligence agency, the former spy chief is alleged to have procured the documents from former BND employee Manfred D.
Prosecutors stated that the leaked records included internal briefing notes presented to senior German officials, though the Berlin government has not yet publicly disclosed which country received the classified data.
According to an exclusive report by Jake Green for The Cradle, seized email exchanges revealed extensive ties between the arrested Hanning and former Mossad director Danny Yatom.
The correspondence shows that the two former intelligence directors built an ongoing network of contacts following their public service, combining commercial ventures, efforts to secure political influence, and intelligence links.
This dynamic has triggered debate that using personal connections and official access for private gain has left Germany’s intelligence apparatus vulnerable.
Intelligence notes for 10,000 euros and campaign proposals
According to the reviewed emails, Hanning told Yatom in a 2018 message that he could prepare an “overall assessment based on information obtained from senior German officials and intelligence agencies” concerning an unidentified candidate.
The former BND head committed to completing the report by 13 July in exchange for 10,000 euros.
Contacts between the two men subsequently expanded to cover domestic political processes in Germany. Ahead of the September 2021 federal election, Yatom asked Hanning to approach leading candidates.
Describing CIY Global as a “political campaign company”, the former Mossad chief noted that he aimed to introduce its capabilities to German politicians, and he mentioned his intention in the same exchange to transfer documents concerning a cybersecurity firm.
Cybersecurity partnership and surveillance operations across Europe
The partnership between Yatom and Hanning reached beyond political lobbying initiatives into the cybersecurity sector.
Hanning reportedly served as a consultant for World Health Energy Holdings, a cybersecurity company linked to Yatom.
Firms of this type, established or managed by former intelligence personnel, provide commercial platforms on the international market for Israeli-origin surveillance, cyber intelligence, and political influence capabilities.
The operational presence of private Israeli-based surveillance technologies across Europe has recently entered judicial records through scandals in Poland, Spain, and Greece.
Polish prosecutors announced on 12 October that data collected under the previous government via Pegasus spyware against political opponents had been transferred out of the country, adding that manufacturer NSO Group maintained access to the technical infrastructure.
In Spain, the 2022 CatalanGate investigation established that at least 65 people, including politicians, lawyers, and civil society representatives, were targeted using Pegasus or Candiru software, with Citizen Lab researchers publishing strong evidence linking the operation to Spanish authorities.
In Greece, the surveillance operation targeting journalist Thanasis Koukakis and Member of the European Parliament Nikos Androulakis was determined to have used Predator software, linked to Intellexa, a company founded by former Israeli intelligence officer Tal Dilian.
In the German espionage investigation, the traffic between Hanning and Yatom involving paid reporting, contacts with electoral candidates, and commercial partnerships does not yet provide conclusive legal evidence regarding the final destination of the roughly 2,000 classified documents.
Nevertheless, the disclosed correspondence gives German investigators a concrete line of inquiry to assess whether classified state secrets reached commercial networks tied to Israeli intelligence.
Diplomacy
Trump dismisses US envoy to Greece Kimberly Guilfoyle
US President Donald Trump has dismissed Kimberly Guilfoyle, the US ambassador in Athens, following serious press reports concerning her conduct.
White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia told reporters during her first briefing that Guilfoyle had been asked to resign.
“She was doing a good job, but we didn’t like what we read in the press,” Trump said. “She was not a member of my family. I think she dated my son a long time ago.”
In a social media post, Guilfoyle stated: “These claims are unfounded, and I will resolutely defend my name, reputation, and integrity.” She added that she was particularly proud of the embassy’s work.
According to Kathimerini, her removal came as no surprise in Washington. Days of successive disclosures and vigorous exploitation of the matter by Democrats had been inflicting political damage on the White House ahead of the sensitive midterm elections.
The US State Department was instructed not to comment, with crisis management transferred entirely to the White House.
Reports indicate that most of the president’s team swiftly favoured Guilfoyle’s dismissal, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio was reportedly uneasy with the demonstratively warm public welcome she had staged for him.
Democrats on the House Foreign Affairs Committee have called for an investigation.
“Her resignation does not absolve her of responsibility,” the lawmakers wrote, adding: “While American families struggled to make ends meet, she used her position as a Trump administration official to enrich herself.”
Chargé d’Affaires Josh Huck will assume ambassadorial duties until a successor is chosen.
Meanwhile, Guilfoyle’s departure is expected to cause delays in agreements between Greece and the US.
These include the so-called “Rubio package”, comprising approximately $4 billion in arms deals finalised only days before the secretary of state’s arrival.
Several procedural steps still remain before the contracts can be signed.
In Athens, opposition parties are demanding answers. Dimitris Mantzos of PASOK called for a detailed briefing on the agreements reached during Rubio’s visit.
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