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The Doha attack: Washington’s silent approval or an intelligence failure?

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As part of its strategy to “eliminate the leadership cadre” of resistance forces in the region since the beginning of the Gaza war, Israel yesterday attempted a new assassination outside Palestinian territories, targeting a center in Doha, the capital of Qatar, where Hamas leaders were meeting.

The operation was seen not just as a military attack, but as a clear attempt to sabotage the ongoing mediation process.

The attack constitutes a direct interference in the Qatari channel, which is personally supported by Washington to secure a ceasefire and prisoner exchange agreement between Israel and Hamas.

The failure of the assassination attempt does not diminish the seriousness of the incident or its potential consequences. This attack is considered a sign that Israel’s unchecked actions have reached a very advanced stage.

According to sources familiar with the matter who spoke to the Al-Akhbar newspaper, Egyptian authorities had warned Hamas officials in meetings over the past two weeks about security risks for the organization’s leaders outside Palestine, particularly in Lebanon and Türkiye.

However, the execution of such a blatant assassination attempt in Qatar came as a shock to both Doha and Cairo. Contrary to claims that the US had issued a warning before the attack, it was learned that Washington informed Qatari officials only ten minutes after the strike.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s claim that he decided on the assassination following the previous day’s attack in Jerusalem was not found to be credible.

More than a week ago, Israeli Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir had threatened Hamas leaders abroad, implying Israel’s intention to eliminate them.

It was reported that at least ten Israeli fighter jets participated in the attack, traveling approximately 1,800 kilometers through the airspace of Jordan, Syria, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. The jets were said to have launched ten precision-guided missiles targeting a building in Doha where the Hamas political leadership delegation was meeting.

US tacit approval

It seems unlikely that Israel could carry out an operation of this magnitude in a Gulf country allied with the US without Washington’s tacit consent and approval.

The presence of the US military base at Al Udeid requires the US Central Command (CENTCOM) to be informed in advance about the attack for operational security reasons.

It was also noted that the new commander of CENTCOM had visited Tel Aviv a few days prior to meet with senior military and security officials.

Even if the claim that the Americans were not informed with sufficient time and “could not do anything” is accepted as true, the question of what the US stance will be on this attack remains.

It is unknown whether Washington, out of respect for its “strategic ally” Qatar, which hosts one of the most important American military bases in the Middle East, will refrain from vetoing possible measures against Israel in the Security Council.

Netanyahu: The enemy will have no immunity

In an official statement, Netanyahu confirmed that he had instructed security units to prepare to target Hamas leaders following the attacks in Jerusalem and Gaza.

Stating that the organization’s leadership “organized the October 7 massacre and continues to embrace actions against Israel,” Netanyahu said, “The enemy will have no immunity, and the blood of Israelis will not be spilled in vain.”

Netanyahu, who vowed to pursue Hamas leaders wherever they are in the world, added, “Hamas leaders celebrated the October 7 operation in Qatar, and they were targeted in the same place.”

However, it is known that the footage of Hamas leaders celebrating the Al-Aqsa Flood operation was recorded in Istanbul, not Doha.

Harsh reaction from Hamas and Qatar

Hamas strongly condemned the attack, calling it a “heinous crime and a blatant act of aggression.” A statement from the movement declared that the attack was a clear violation of the sovereignty of Qatar, which has been acting as a mediator alongside Egypt.

The statement noted that the attack targeted the negotiating delegation discussing the details of the latest American proposal and that “the attempt failed” despite casualties.

The statement emphasized that Israel is trying to undermine all appeasement efforts and does not care about the lives of the prisoners held by the resistance, holding the US administration responsible for its “constant support for the occupation’s crimes.”

Hamas reiterated its demands for an end to the aggression, a complete withdrawal from the Gaza Strip, a genuine prisoner exchange, and the start of reconstruction.

Qatar, for its part, issued a sharp media rebuke against Israel, describing the operation as “state terrorism.” Qatari Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman stated that Doha would not compromise on its sovereignty and would respond decisively to any violation.

Abdulrahman noted that “a legal team has been formed to take deterrent measures against the attack.”

Describing Netanyahu as a “thug dragging the region to an irreparable stage,” Abdulrahman said they were not informed in advance about the attack and that a US official contacted them only ten minutes after the explosions.

Debate in Israel over timing

In Israel, Channel 13 television reported that senior military and government officials found the timing of the operation “inappropriate” and would have preferred to exhaust the negotiation opportunities mediated by Qatar.

According to a report by Kan television, the Chief of Staff, the Mossad Director, the Head of the Military Intelligence Directorate, and the Head of the National Security Council objected not to the attack itself, but to its timing.

Channel 12 reported that although Mossad had prior knowledge of the operation, it did not actively participate in its execution.

In Washington, according to the Axios news portal, Trump’s advisors claimed that “Israel did not consult Washington before the bombing” and that they were informed late.

It was stated that the US detected the Israeli aircraft with radar before receiving official notification from Tel Aviv, which caused discomfort as it occurred during a mediation process led by Washington.

The Israel Hayom newspaper, citing intelligence sources, wrote that the idea of targeting Hamas leaders in Qatar was raised a year ago but was rejected due to disagreements with the Americans.

The report suggested that the operation was given the “green light” following Strategic Planning Minister Ron Dermer’s visit to the US a few days ago.

Middle East

US waives human rights terms on $320m military aid to Egypt

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The US State Department stated that it has waived human rights conditions on more than $300 million in military aid to Egypt.

The statement emphasised that this decision was taken in consideration of Cairo’s “helpful role” since the outbreak of the war against Iran.

Egypt began receiving substantial support from the US after signing a peace treaty with Israel in 1979.

Since the late 1980s, the country has received approximately $1.3 billion annually in US military assistance.

A portion of this aid is subject to conditions related to human rights and democracy, which can be waived on national security grounds.

Withholding funds, including during the administration of former US President Joe Biden, has caused tension between Cairo and Washington in the past.

A letter dated 21 September and addressed to various congressional committees, obtained by Reuters, stated that Secretary of State Marco Rubio “decided to waive the certification requirement under the fiscal year 2025 Foreign Military Financing programme for Egypt of $320 million.”

This waiver was subsequently confirmed by the State Department.

An accompanying memorandum justifying the decision stated that this portion of military aid was “essential for counterterrorism, border security, or non-proliferation programmes, or otherwise important to the national security interests of the United States.”

The memorandum, dated 4 September and bearing Rubio’s signature, stated: “Exercising this waiver authority is critical to the US-Egypt relationship and to US national security priorities, particularly given the helpful role Egypt has played in the aftermath of Operation Epic Fury.”

“Operation Epic Fury” is the designation used by the US military for the campaign launched jointly with Israel against Iran in late February.

The State Department memorandum, whose authenticity was confirmed by two sources in Washington familiar with the letter, did not provide detailed information regarding what was termed Egypt’s “helpful role”.

The State Department’s annual decision on military aid to Egypt typically covers funds allocated for the preceding fiscal year, which ends on 30 September.

A State Department spokesperson stated that Rubio waived the certification in the interest of US national security and that the US continues to cooperate with the Egyptian government across a range of issues.

In an emailed statement, the spokesperson said: “This waiver recognizes the importance of maintaining security cooperation with Egypt at a time of significant security challenges in the region.”

The Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not immediately comment on the matter.

The spillover effects of the Iran war have imposed a heavy toll on US security partners, including Egypt.

Owing to rising fuel prices and other disruptions, the Egyptian economy is passing through a difficult period.

Under the Biden administration, the US withheld portions of the annual military allocation on multiple occasions over Egypt’s human rights record.

In 2024, following the Hamas-led 7 October attack on Israel and the subsequent war in Gaza, the Biden administration set aside human rights conditions, disbursing the entire $1.3 billion allocation to Egypt for the first time in its tenure.

Human rights organisations have long accused Egypt, under the administration of President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, of widespread human rights abuses, including torture and enforced disappearances.

This week, Egyptian police detained six journalists from a fact-checking and investigative media outlet, accusing them of spreading false information on behalf of the banned Muslim Brotherhood.

Egyptian authorities state that they have taken steps to address human rights issues. Sisi said stability is paramount and that the government supports human rights by working to provide for basic needs.

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Middle East

Britain expands curbs on arms exports to Israel over Gaza risks

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Britain has significantly broadened its military export restrictions targeting Israel, suspending or rejecting more than 80 licences for items the IDF could use in Gaza.

This figure is nearly triple the number affected when the policy was first introduced in September 2024.

United Kingdom Minister of State for the Middle East Stephen Doughty said that as part of what he described as a “tighter system” for assessing exports to Israel, more than 50 further export applications have been refused since approximately 30 licences were initially suspended.

Under the initial decision taken in September 2024, 30 of roughly 350 licences were suspended after the British government concluded there was a “clear risk” that certain military exports could be used to commit or facilitate serious violations of international humanitarian law in Gaza.

The affected equipment included components for military aircraft, drones, naval systems, and targeting gear.

Doughty said additional measures adopted this month established what he termed a “double safeguard” mechanism within the approvals process.

Export applications must now be assessed both against existing international humanitarian law criteria and in light of Britain’s position on the legality of Israel’s presence in the Palestinian territories.

“We have so far suspended or refused more than 80 licences,” Doughty said, adding that he had personally examined each licence.

Despite the wider restrictions, British-origin parts entering the international F-35 fighter jet supply chain continue to be largely exempt.

The UK government argues that preventing British-made components from entering the global F-35 pool could undermine the programme as a whole and have serious consequences for the security of the UK and its allies.

Direct exports of F-35 parts intended specifically for Israel remain suspended.

Doughty defended maintaining the supply of components via the international programme, arguing that halting it could have severe ramifications for the broader European and allied security architecture.

Foreign Affairs Committee Chair Emily Thornberry challenged this position, arguing that the issue was political rather than purely legal.

Thornberry suggested adopting an approach similar to the Dutch model, under which components entering the international supply chain could be flagged as “not intended for aircraft bound for Israel”.

The initial suspension was implemented in September 2024 by then Foreign Secretary David Lammy.

Lammy stressed at the time that the measure did not constitute an arms embargo and applied solely to items assessed as usable in military operations in Gaza.

Since then, the policy has been tightened further under Prime Minister Andy Burnham.

The expanded export restrictions follow the Burnham government’s adoption of a more confrontational policy toward the Israeli government.

Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband drew sustained applause at the Labour Party’s annual conference in Liverpool after delivering a sharp critique of the Netanyahu government’s policies and defending the decision to ban trade with Israeli settlements in the West Bank.

Accusing Israel of committing war crimes in Gaza, Miliband stated that the British government heard public outrage over the conflict, telling delegates: “We hear you. You were right.”

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Middle East

Netanyahu holds secret UAE talks with Saudi Arabia and Arab officials

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Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with representatives of Gulf and Arab nations that lack diplomatic ties with Israel, including Saudi Arabia, during his weekend visit to the United Arab Emirates.

Sources close to the gathering told the Israeli newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth on Monday that representatives from Morocco, Libya, Jordan, and Qatar also took part in the meeting.

Netanyahu made a unannounced visit to Abu Dhabi on Sunday, where he met with the country’s leader, Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan.

According to Israeli media, this marked the first time the United Arab Emirates officially confirmed a visit by Netanyahu.

The meeting was arranged by Mossad Director Roman Goffman “at the request of Saudi Arabia, which asked for Israel’s assistance against Houthi attacks in the Red Sea region,” according to Yedioth Ahronoth.

The discussions addressed Iran and the Houthi militia. The newspaper added that the Arab states heard from Israel that “Israel is prepared to assist countries in the region with air defence systems, just as it aided the UAE during the conflict with Iran.”

Conflict in Yemen intensified in September when Ansarullah militiamen launched a rapid offensive that seized Yemen’s entire Red Sea coastline, including the vital maritime corridor of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

The Yemeni resistance also imposed a blockade on Saudi Arabia’s energy exports and staged multiple attacks against the kingdom.

Saudi Arabia reportedly sought military assistance from the US to counter Ansarullah.

Washington declined to attack the Houthis directly, but announced that it would provide intelligence and targeting support.

Reporting on the same visit, The Jerusalem Post said Netanyahu spent six hours in the UAE and that the principal subject of his discussions with MBZ was Iran.

Citing sources familiar with the matter, the newspaper added that the trip came “after Netanyahu exerted heavy pressure on the United Arab Emirates to arrange a meeting ahead of the Israeli elections on 27 October.”

Separately, the Associated Press, citing a person with direct knowledge of the meeting, reported that Netanyahu’s visit to the UAE was arranged in part to ask MBZ to deny reports that he had warned the Israeli prime minister of an impending Hamas threat prior to 7 October 2023.

According to Israeli media, Netanyahu’s office denied the AP report, issuing the following statement:

“Fake news. The visit focused solely on strengthening ties between the two countries and on regional issues.”

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