East Mediterranean
Arguments of Cairo are different than that of Athens
While both Greece and Europe argue about the contents of the EEZ agreement made between Turkiye and Libya, Egypt instead opposes the signing of the agreement by the Tripoli government, which Egypt claims illegitimate.
Ankara’s agreement with the Tripoli government, on joint hydrocarbon drilling activities within the Libya’s Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) in the Eastern Mediterranean and over the Libyan territory, continues to be debated.
The preliminary of the Delimitation of the Maritime Jurisdiction Areas Memorandum between Turkiye and Libya in November 2019, was signed in Tripoli last week. The details of the preliminary are yet to be clarified, but according to the joint statements, Turkiye and Libya is set to start their joint oil and gas exploration and drilling activities in both the Eastern Mediterranean and the Libyan continental territories. The first country to react to this preliminary was Greece, just as it was back in 2019. Alongside the countries such as Germany and France, the European Union (EU) leadership also declared its opposition to this preliminary. Another reaction that was reflected among the public, came from Egyptian administration. Although it was being reported to the Turkish public as “Egypt opposes the preliminary”, under the headlines that of reactions from Greece and Europe, this is actually far from the full picture.

Nikos Dendias and Sameh Shoukry met in Cairo.
There are no comments on the content of the agreement
The truth is that, there have been two official statements from the Egyptian administration since the signing of this preliminary. Both were made by the Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry, and both were made after the meetings with the Greek Foreign Minister Nikos Dendias. And when we take a closer look at the contents of these statements, it seems somewhat different from the statements made by Greece and the EU. The statements from Greece and the EU suggest that this preliminary violates the sovereignty of other countries (namely Greece), and therefore being contrary to international maritime law. So, there is an objection directed towards the contents of the agreement.
Egyptian objection is a ‘formality’
The Egyptian Foreign Minister Shoukry stated in both statements that the government of Abdul Hamid Dbeibeh does not have the authority to sign any international agreements, since his term has expired after the Tripoli government’s failed election process in December last year. Shoukry did not comment on any of the content of the preliminary, while calling for elections to be held in Libya and support the initiatives taken by the House of Representatives (HoR).
This is because Egypt argues that the government of Fathi Bashagha, that is appointed by the HoR, is the legitimate government in Libya. As a matter of fact, when the Arab League foreign ministers meeting in Cairo last month was chaired by Tripoli government’s Foreign Minister Najla Mangoush, the Egyptian delegation decided to leave the meeting. Therefore, there is a quite big difference between Egypt’s “formal” objections and the West’s “solid” objections.
Afterall, there are no EEZ disputes between Turkiye and Egypt in the Eastern Mediterranean. However, the two countries’ long-standing lack of dialog and their mutual “hostile” policies towards each other, had brought Cairo closer to Athens in the Eastern Mediterranean issue. Though, this situation has begun to change drastically in the last two years.
There are no obstacles for an Ankara-Cairo memorandum
Egypt has already signed maritime jurisdiction area delimitation agreements with both Greece and the Greek Cypriots, but has left a piece of EEZ between the limitations of the two other agreements, where they can still make an agreement with Turkiye as well. Although Athens demanded the limitations to be extended all the way to the Southern Cyprus in the memorandum signed with Cairo, Egypt kept the agreement limitations to 28th longitude. The memorandum’s exclusion of Island of Meis (Kastellorizo) as a continental shelf, has also dealt a major blow on Athens’ Eastern Mediterranean claims. Again, Turkiye’s compliance to the continental shelf boundaries defined by the United Nations (UN) in its new hydrocarbon enterprises, has become one of the factors that opened up by the Ankara-Cairo rapprochement process.
Actually the “normalization” process between Ankara and Cairo had officially begun a little bit later, in order to re-establish the relations that were severed after 2013. And while the both foreign ministry delegations were establishing a dialog, the Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu announced that the negotiations could be started over a delimitation of maritime jurisdiction areas if Egypt also demanded, and said “It is obvious that they will get more from an agreement they make with us”.
Both countries are desperate to sign it
This statement from Cavusoglu gave a blow on the Greek officials, who suddenly began to visit Egypt to persuade them to finalize the partial agreement they made in 2020. A possible EEZ memorandum between Egypt and Turkiye could mean the end of Athens’ maritime claims. Greece, which opposes the Turkish claims on the basis that islands have their own EEZ, even had to make concessions on the continental shelf of the Island of Meis (Kastellorizo), in order to get Cairo’s signature.
In the case of a maritime jurisdiction delimitation memorandum signed between Egypt and Turkiye, Greece would have lost a total of 15 thousand square kilometers of EEZ and the Greek Cypriot Administration would lose 11.5 thousand square kilometers. Turkiye on the other hand, wishes to scrap these two memorandums and sign another delimitation agreement between them and Egypt. Cairo, which will benefit from a possible deal with Ankara, is also leaving a way out for this hypothetical deal. However, the slowness of the progress of “normalization” between the two countries and the tensions created by some developments in Libya, where the two countries support different sides, offers Greece a great opportunity. In order not to hand Greece such opportunities, and also to ease its cause in the Eastern Mediterranean, Ankara definitely needs to reconsider its “normalization” schedule. It is basically up to Cairo to reclaim the stolen maritime zones. Moreover, Cairo also has to get a middle ground with Ankara in order to secure its vast border with Libya.
East Mediterranean
Cyprus to become first EU country to import Israeli gas
Israeli energy company Energean announced on November 3 that it had signed an agreement to supply natural gas to the Greek Cypriot Administration of Southern Cyprus (GCASC).
With this agreement, the GCASC will become the first European Union country to import gas from Tel Aviv.
Energean, which operates Israel’s Karish, Tanin, and Katlan fields, has signed a memorandum of understanding with the Cyprus-based company Cyfield to supply gas to a power generation plant in the Mari region of Larnaca.
New pipeline proposal from Israel to Cyprus
As part of the agreement, Energean has also proposed the construction of a new pipeline to export natural gas from Israel to the GCASC.
According to the proposal submitted to the Israeli and GCASC governments, Energean will design, build, and operate the subsea pipeline that will directly connect the Karish field to the GCASC.
Eli Cohen, Israel’s Minister of Energy and Infrastructure, commented on the matter, stating, “The sale of gas to Cyprus will strengthen Israel’s diplomatic position in the region and in Europe, contribute to stability and prosperity, and generate billions of shekels in revenue for the state.”
Energean CEO Mathios Rigas stated that the proposal “will reduce Cyprus’s energy isolation with direct access to natural gas from a neighboring source, supporting regional cooperation and the transition to cleaner, sustainable energy.”
Cyfield CEO George Chrysocous also said the collaboration “has the potential to change the energy future of Cyprus.”
Agreement with Egypt awaits approval
In August, the Israeli company NewMed Energy signed a $35 billion deal with Egypt to supply 130 billion cubic meters of gas from the Leviathan field by 2040.
The Leviathan field in the Mediterranean Sea has reserves of approximately 600 billion cubic meters.
Following an initial agreement for 60 billion cubic meters in 2019, the field began production in 2020 and started supplying gas to Egypt.
However, Minister Cohen and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu have not yet approved this $35 billion agreement, stating that they prefer the gas to be sold on the domestic market due to current prices.
US Assistant Secretary of Energy Chris Wright canceled his visit to Israel scheduled for next week after Cohen withheld his approval.
The White House and US-based Chevron, the operator of the Leviathan field, are pressuring Israel to approve the deal.
Israel’s domestic demand concerns
Egypt imports approximately 15% to 20% of its natural gas from Israel.
A portion of this gas is liquefied at facilities in Egypt and shipped to Europe via tankers.
However, a recent increase in Egypt’s domestic consumption has negatively affected exports, leading to a sharp decline in 2025.
Meanwhile, Israel is reluctant to increase exports to Egypt due to its own growing domestic demand.
Israel’s Ministry of Finance issued a warning at the beginning of the year, stating that the country could face a natural gas deficit risk over the next 25 years due to growing domestic energy needs, which could raise electricity prices for households.
East Mediterranean
Israel’s Barak MX radar in Cyprus puts Türkiye in its sights
Israel delivered advanced air defense systems known as Barak MX to the Greek Cypriot administration last week. Sources familiar with the matter told Ragip Soylu of Middle East Eye that this was the third shipment to Southern Cyprus since December, amid escalating tensions with Türkiye.
In a video released on Thursday, a truck carrying parts of the Barak MX system was seen passing through the Port of Limassol. This air defense system, capable of neutralizing threats up to a range of 150 kilometers, is manufactured by Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI). The Reporter website reported that the delivery of the Barak MX has been completed and it is expected to become operational within this year.
The delivery follows an article written in July by Shay Gal, a former vice president of IAI. Gal argued that Israel should reconsider its approach to Cyprus and called for making military plans in coordination with Greece and the Greek Cypriot administration to “liberate” the northern part of the island from “Turkish forces”:
“Such an operation would neutralize Türkiye’s reinforcement forces from the mainland, eliminate air defense systems in Northern Cyprus, destroy intelligence and command centers, and ultimately restore the internationally recognized sovereignty of Cyprus by eliminating Turkish forces.”
Türkiye intervened in Cyprus in 1974 following a coup aimed at annexing the island to Greece.
There has been no official statement from Ankara regarding the newly deployed systems. However, with its 3D radars providing advanced surveillance and intelligence capabilities, the Barak MX creates an “air defense shield” with a range of up to 460 kilometers, covering a significant portion of Türkiye’s southern airspace.
In 1997, the Greek Cypriot administration’s attempt to purchase Russian-made S-300 air defense missiles led to a harsh reaction from Ankara, bringing the two sides to the brink of war. The crisis ended with the deployment of the S-300s in Greece.
Turkish defense analyst Arda Mevlütoğlu said of the Barak MX, “This system is much more dangerous than the S-300s ordered in 1997 but never used.” Mevlütoğlu emphasized that given the state of military relations between Israel and Southern Cyprus, this powerful air defense system and its radar will become a central element of Israel’s intelligence network in the Eastern Mediterranean.
According to Mevlütoğlu, thanks to its radar capabilities, the Barak MX can detect not only aerial targets but also howitzer, mortar, and rocket fire up to 100 kilometers away. This means the system poses a serious threat to both Turkish air and land assets in Cyprus and throughout the Eastern Mediterranean.
CHP Deputy Chairman and retired Rear Admiral Yankı Bağcıoğlu described the deployment of the system as a “violation of international law.” Bağcıoğlu stated, “This step will disrupt the fragile balance in the Eastern Mediterranean and Cyprus and will directly threaten Türkiye’s national security.”
Southern Cyprus’s Minister of Defense, Vasilis Palmas, stated on Tuesday that Türkiye continues to occupy the island, asserting that his government has an obligation to develop deterrent capabilities. When asked if the Barak MX was part of a defense agreement with Israel, Palmas responded, “Our decisions regarding armament are entirely within the scope of our sovereignty.”
Palmas added, “Any conflict between Israel and Türkiye does not concern us. Our primary duty is to protect ourselves.”
Turkish security sources, however, indicated that the systems are still in the testing phase at the Paphos Air Base and have not yet been put into active service. The sources added that subsequent Israeli shipments are being closely monitored.
East Mediterranean
UK trade envoy’s visit to Northern Cyprus sparks diplomatic backlash
The visit of the United Kingdom’s Trade Envoy to Turkey and Member of the House of Commons, Afzal Khan, to the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) via Ercan Airport has stirred political controversy on both islands.
According to a local newspaper, Afzal Khan traveled to Northern Cyprus last week for “a series of official meetings” and met with TRNC leader Ersin Tatar.
As part of his visit, Khan is also set to receive an honorary doctorate from a university today.
The United Kingdom does not recognize the “Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus” as an independent state.
Khan’s visit was protested by the National Federation of Cypriots in the UK, which represents over 300,000 British citizens of Cypriot origin.
The federation sent a letter to the UK government questioning the envoy’s visit to the “Turkish-occupied” areas of Cyprus and accused Khan, the Member of Parliament for Manchester Gorton, of “violating numerous international agreements.”
Describing the visit as a “clear violation” of international law and the UK’s long-standing policy, the federation demanded Khan’s removal from his post.
The Federation argued that the nature of Khan’s visit to Cyprus also violates the UK’s obligations under the 1944 Chicago Convention. They further asserted that Khan not only sabotaged the UK’s long-standing policy on the Cyprus issue but also the resolution of the Cyprus problem based on a bizonal, bicommunal federation with political equality.
In their bilateral meeting, Tatar told Khan that he wishes to pursue a “two-state solution” policy in Cyprus.
During the meeting on Wednesday, Tatar noted that Cyprus is located in a “very critical region,” adding that “Palestine, Gaza, and Israel are only 100 kilometers away from Cyprus.”
Tatar added that Cyprus has also “experienced many difficulties in the past” but “now, thanks to the presence of the Turkish army, we have been living in peace and security on the island for 51 years.”
Khan, for his part, stated that his friends of Cypriot origin living in Manchester had recommended he visit the island, saying, “That is why I am happy to be here.”
Meanwhile, Conservative MP Dame Priti Patel criticized the Labour MP, stating, “This visit undermines the credibility of the United Kingdom as a guarantor power and a neutral mediator in reconciliation negotiations. It also sends an alarming signal to British citizens of Cypriot origin, many of whom were displaced from the very areas Khan visited.”
Arguing that the Labour Party’s foreign policy “is embarrassing Britain,” the former Home Secretary asserted that this visit is “another example of the diplomatic failures” of a potential Labour government.
Patel called for Khan’s resignation and urged the government to reaffirm the UK’s long-standing position on Cyprus. She also called on them to publicly state whether the Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office or any other department of His Majesty’s Government had prior knowledge of Khan’s visit and whether any official advice was given before it took place.
The Foreign Office, in a statement to the Cyprus News Agency (CNA), said that the visit was made in Khan’s personal capacity, not as a trade envoy, and that the government was not informed in advance.
A government spokesperson said, “The visit to the north of Cyprus was undertaken in a personal capacity. There is no change in the government’s long-standing position on the so-called ‘Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus’.”
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