Diplomacy
Cost of living crisis remains top concern for voters in major western economies
The cost of living crisis that upended global politics last year continues to be the primary issue for populations living in the world’s largest economies.
A new international POLITICO poll shows that voter frustration over persistent financial hardships continues to have a very strong impact today.
The POLITICO poll conducted in five major economies reveals that pressure on the cost of living is reflecting on politics:
In the US, nearly two-thirds of voters (65 %) say the country’s cost of living got worse last year.
In the United Kingdom, where the Conservatives were ousted in 2024 after 14 years in power, 77 % of voters say the cost of living has worsened.
In France, as President Emmanuel Macron grapples with historically low approval ratings, nearly half of adults (45 %) say their country has fallen behind similar economies.
In Germany, following long internal strife over the economy, former Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s ruling coalition collapsed last year. There, 78 % of respondents say the cost of living worsened last year.
In Canada, the post-pandemic economic crisis increased public backlash against the government of then-Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who resigned earlier this year. According to the POLITICO poll, 60 % of adults in the country say the cost of living is at the worst level they can remember.
The results of the first joint international poll by POLITICO and Public First reveal the difficult struggle many leaders face as they try to contain intertwined economic and political turmoil.
Five years after the coronavirus pandemic upended the global economy, and as the world grapples with competing conflicts and artificial intelligence rapidly becomes a defining force, a significant portion of respondents in the US, Canada, and Europe’s largest economies—Germany, the United Kingdom, and France—view the cost of living as one of the biggest problems currently facing the world.
While leaders claim they are trying to solve economic problems, many people believe their leaders could provide more help regarding living costs but choose not to do so.
Among those surveyed, 71 % in Germany, 70 % in the United Kingdom, 69 % in France and the US, and 64 % in Canada argue that political leaders choose not to do more even though they could.
There is a widespread perception in all five countries that their economies are deteriorating. In France, 82 % of adults, 78 % of respondents in Germany, 77 % of adults in the United Kingdom, and 79 % in Canada say the cost of living in the country has worsened compared to last year.
Most people in the five countries go even further, stating that the cost of living crisis has never been this bad.
As another indicator of the problems leaders face, poll results reveal that many view the livelihood issue as a systemic problem rather than a personal one.
For example, in most of the countries, the majority state that the livelihood problem stems from the high cost of goods.
In the United Kingdom, approximately two-thirds of adults say the country’s economy is worsening; this rate is higher than the 46 % who said their own financial situations worsened last year.
The same trend applies to France, Canada, and Germany, indicating that the public carries widespread concerns about the economy and purchasing power beyond their individual lives.
Voters’ economic concerns are also roiling politics. In 2024, Trump campaigned on economic anxieties without having to manage the economy himself. In recent months, this dynamic has shifted, and voters have started to become dissatisfied with his economic management, highlighting the difficulty of convincing voters of economic progress amidst stubborn cost of living concerns.
This feeling of being left behind was particularly pronounced among Europeans participating in the POLITICO poll. Nearly half of adults in Germany, France, and the United Kingdom said their countries had “generally fallen behind other similar economies.”
More than half of the residents in these countries, excluding the US, believe the livelihood problem will get either “much worse” or “a little worse” in the next five years. In the US, the combined rate for these two options is 44 %. The total rate of those who believe it will get “a little” or “much better” is 31 %.
Diplomacy
Greece’s Marinakis says paying Hormuz transit fees beats enduring Red Sea shipping crisis detour
Evangelos Marinakis, one of Greece’s leading shipowners, has announced that he is prepared to pay up to $200,000 per transit to keep the Strait of Hormuz open to civilian maritime traffic.
Speaking to the Financial Times, Marinakis stated that paying a transit fee would be a far better option for him than having the strait closed to navigation.
As the chairman of Capital Maritime Group, which controls a fleet of 185 vessels including approximately 35 tankers, Marinakis emphasized that shipowners have been forced to use alternative routes around the Cape of Good Hope for years due to attacks launched by the Houthis in the Red Sea, a detour that has generated substantial additional costs.
The Greek shipowner indicated that paying a transit fee of $100,000 or $200,000, depending on the size of the cargo or the vessel, is far more reasonable than enduring the current logistical challenges. He added that such payments could offset all the losses experienced so far.
Following US strikes on Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the Tehran administration had introduced transit fees of up to $2 million for certain vessels transiting the waterway.
In May, Iran announced the establishment of a state agency tasked with managing the Strait of Hormuz. It was stated that the institution in question would provide real-time updates regarding maritime activities in the waterway.
Ebrahim Azizi, the chairman of the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, had noted that only commercial vessels and countries cooperating with Iran would be able to benefit from the facilities provided under this “professional mechanism.”
US President Donald Trump has explicitly opposed the imposition of transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz. In a statement on the matter, Trump said, “We want the strait to be open. We do not want any transit fees to be charged. This is an international waterway.”
On the other hand, the draft text of a planned 60-day ceasefire extension agreement between the parties stipulates that the Strait of Hormuz will remain open without any transit fees being demanded.
According to the draft details reviewed by Axios, the US in return commits to lifting the blockade it has imposed on Iranian ports. The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, however, announced that the management of the Strait of Hormuz has been excluded from the scope of the agreement with the US, asserting that the issue will be addressed solely by littoral states.
Diplomacy
Pashinyan promises aid to farmers hit by Russian import restrictions
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has pledged compensation for Armenian farmers affected by restrictions on exports to Russia.
According to Sputnik Armenia, Pashinyan made the announcement during an election campaign meeting in the Gegharkunik region.
Speaking at the event, Pashinyan said the subsidies would be designed to offset losses incurred by producers.
The prime minister also acknowledged that some Armenian products had failed to meet required quality standards, adding that such companies would receive support aimed at improving product quality.
Addressing alternative markets for Armenian exports, Pashinyan said several Armenian business delegations were already engaged in negotiations abroad.
He added that Armenia had received offers for the purchase of roses as well as fresh fruits and vegetables.
Pashinyan argued that Armenia’s agricultural output was not particularly large, describing this as an advantage under current circumstances. According to the prime minister, “a respected supermarket chain in Europe” would be capable of selling the entire volume of these products on its own.
Russia’s Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance (Rosselkhoznadzor) imposed temporary restrictions on imports of stone fruits and grapes from Armenia effective July 2.
The ban covers cherries, sour cherries, apricots, plums, peaches and nectarines, among other products.
On the same day, a temporary suspension was also introduced on certification procedures for live fish shipments from Armenia. Russian authorities had previously restricted the entry of flower products originating from Armenia into the Russian market.
In addition, Russia’s Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing (Rospotrebnadzor) halted the import of all consignments of Jermuk mineral water from Armenia.
In a statement, the agency said levels of bicarbonate, chloride and sulfate ions in the mineral water exceeded established limits and could mislead consumers regarding the product’s medicinal properties.
The Russian regulator argued that the growing number of violations stemmed from the abolition of Armenia’s Agriculture Ministry and the transfer of its responsibilities to the Economy Ministry.
Rosselkhoznadzor further stated that Armenia’s Economy Ministry was experiencing structural problems and was unable to adequately perform the supervisory functions assigned to it.
Diplomacy
Zelenskyy urges US to grant Ukraine license to produce Patriot missiles
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said he has asked the United States to grant Ukraine a license to manufacture missiles for the Patriot air defence system.
In a post on social media platform X, Zelenskyy argued that current US production of missile defence interceptors is insufficient and could contribute to crises in different parts of the world.
“Producing 60-65 missiles a month is nothing compared with the challenges we face today. This is no secret, and Russia knows it as well,” Zelenskyy wrote. “We need to expand production. As I requested from the previous US administration, I am asking the current administration to grant Ukraine a license to produce Patriot missiles.”
Zelenskyy said US companies possess advanced technologies that are not available in Ukraine, while Kyiv could contribute its extensive battlefield experience in return.
He also argued that granting such a license would benefit not only Ukraine, but also the Middle East and any country Washington chooses to support.
Washington pledges to maintain defence support
Zelenskyy’s remarks came a day after US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on May 30 that Washington would continue supporting Ukraine’s defence capabilities and ensure military shipments to Kyiv continue.
“We want them to be able to defend themselves, and we will find a way to help them do that,” Hegseth said.
Several days earlier, Yuriy Ihnat, spokesperson for the Ukrainian Air Force, warned that the country’s air defence forces were experiencing a shortage of missiles.
“Due to certain supply problems, we are practically at starvation levels when it comes to missiles today,” Ihnat said.
Concerns persist over air defence missile stocks
In April, Zelenskyy warned that Ukraine’s stockpile of air defence missiles could be exhausted at any moment.
He said that under current conditions, air defence missiles were more critical for Ukraine than the air defence systems themselves.
Highlighting what he described as a critical shortage of Patriot missiles, Zelenskyy said: “We are facing a deficit now that could hardly be worse.”
Concerns that Ukraine could face a severe shortage of US-made air defence missiles had previously been reported by Reuters.
The situation was expected to worsen as the United States and its allies depleted significant portions of their arsenals during tensions with Iran, a point Zelenskyy also underscored.
In a separate statement in January, Zelenskyy said Ukraine lacked sufficient missiles for both US- and European-made air defence systems.
The Ukrainian leader said he had been forced to personally secure every package of missiles from European countries and the United States.
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