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Growing Iran and Russia relations; new chapter unfolding

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The world has sanctioned Russia and Iran for several reasons and the one among dozens is Kremlin’s-orchestrated invasion of Ukraine, and Iran for supporting Moscow with drones and weapons. The effects of these sanctions are obviously gigantic, but at the same time paved the way for Tehran and Moscow to find some solution, though it is not easy due to the crippling stern sanctions. The only way to get some relief was to engage more and that’s why the more west widens the sanctions the more Russia and Iran gets closer.

Officials from both the countries are now paying working visits and promising new projects. The two capitals also consider increasing their annual trade to a minimum of $40 billion by 2025.

The significantly increased cooperation between the two countries will also encompass the financial and banking sector, oil, gas, petrochemicals, and nuclear energy. Furthermore, the two countries have agreed to conduct bilateral trade in their own currencies.

Russia to invest $4.5b in Iran oilfields

Russian investors and companies on October 31 said they have finalized a contract for developing seven oil and gas fields with Iran worth $4.5 billion dollars. Some projects have already made 7-35% physical progress.

Iranian Minister of Petroleum Javad Owji, who is in Moscow, said that at no time in history relations between Iran and Russia were so close and cordial. The two countries have realized the fact that they need to use this “golden opportunity” in the fields of energy, transportation, economy, industry, healthcare, banking, etc.

Highlighting US and EU sanctions on Russia due to its war in Ukraine, Owji said that Iran has been under sanctions for a long period of time, calling these sanctions as a good “opportunity to neutralize the sanctions with the help of two countries.”

Iran to export 40 gas turbines to Russia

Iran will export 40 homegrown gas turbines to Russia to help the country improve its economy. Iran, who is now capable of meeting 85% of its domestic needs for gas equipment and facilities, is making efforts now to help Russia. There is no immediate information when the turbine will be transferred, but the development came when the Russian energy giant Gazprom had to gradually reduce gas deliveries to Europe via the Nord Stream 1 pipeline due to technical problems related to servicing turbines. The company can’t do the maintenance due to sanctions as it needs some equipment.

One such turbine was supplied to Russia by the German company Siemens, but now it has been stuck in Canada as it was sent for maintenance purposes. However, Germany finally managed to get the turbine back, but it was yet to deliver to Russia as a result gas transportation stopped to Germany.

Russia said that Germany can get gas tomorrow if they get a new turbine, referring to a vital gas pipeline between Russia and Germany, however the West accused Russia of using gas supplies as a weapon.

16th meeting of the Joint Economic Commission of Iran and Russia

Iran’s ambassador to Russia, Kazem Jalali called the 16th meeting of the Joint Economic Commission of Iran and Russia a success where the two countries were able to establish close cooperation in the field of energy, investment in oil and gas fields.

The participants have agreed upon working and planning to further deepen relations in the face of existing tensions with the west. Iran has officially rejected the sanctions against Russia and Tehran repeatedly showed knees to develop trade and economic relations with Moscow.

One outlook is much clearer that Iran and Russia increased cooperation in the fields of security, politics, defense and military following sanctions, which is indeed in the best interest of both the countries in such a tense times.

Russia and Iran signed $40b memorandum of understanding

To further improve the ties and deal with economic hardship, the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC) and Russia’s Gazprom inked a $40 billion memorandum of understanding (MoU) for oil and gas projects and technological cooperation. The deal includes the development of the Kish and North Pars gas fields, pressure enhancement of the South Pars field, development of six oil fields, gas and product swap, completion of LNG projects, construction of gas export pipelines, and other scientific and technological cooperation.

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iran’s President Ebrahim Raisi hold a meeting in Tehran on July 19, 2022. SPUTNIK/AFP

The two countries are holding some of the world’s largest gas reserves at the same time, both are under strict sanctions.

In his July visit to Iran, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin met his Iranian counterpart Ebrahim Raisi and the country’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who also called for stronger long-term cooperation with Moscow.

Military cooperation in Ukraine war

For years there were many bold headlines in media outlets about the Russian air defense system heading to Iran, but now it is much in another direction as the world accused Iran of sending drones and weapons to Russia to use it in the Ukraine war.

Tehran has recently denied supplying Russia with weapons, but Kyiv and its Western partners accused Moscow of using Iranian-made drones in Ukraine. Iran rejected Kyiv claims and called the report based on political goals fueled by western sources. Iran has repeatedly declared that it is not a party to the war between Russia and Ukraine, and said it is ready to talk with Ukraine to remove misconception.

There are several news were doing rounds that Iranian-made drones, Shahed-136 and Mohajer-6, allegedly used in Ukraine by Russian forces that killed and wounded civilians.

Deepening relationship

Indeed, this deepening relation between Moscow and Tehran would have a positive impact for them, but they are both isolated and embattled by the west. Clearly the two countries became closer after they were abandoned and faced daily restrictions and sanctions.  Both are facing economic sanctions by the US and west – Russia for its war in Ukraine, and Iran for its nuclear program and human rights record.

Now Russia and Iran have made their way, and are trying to find a common ground to fight back US and west sanctions. But this is not an easy task for both the capitals. Apparently, Iran and Russia are somehow making efforts to find more partners in the regional countries. At the moment, Russia may get what it needs from Iran and in return Iran will get what it needs from Russia.

Middle East

Qatar and UAE LNG tankers go dark in Strait of Hormuz to evade security risks

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Qatar and United Arab Emirates liquefied natural gas (LNG) tankers are turning off their transponders in the Strait of Hormuz, shifting their logistical strategies in response to ongoing military conflict in the Middle East and the closure of the strategic waterway.

According to a Bloomberg report citing industry sources and vessel-tracking data, as time and patience run thin for both nations, tankers have begun operating under radio silence to conceal their movements and secure their LNG shipments.

The report noted that neither Qatar nor Abu Dhabi, the federal emirate of the UAE, is subject to international sanctions. Despite this, state-owned QatarEnergy and Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. (ADNOC) are employing these “going dark” tactics to minimize security risks for their vessels and crews transiting the Strait of Hormuz.

Vessel-tracking data revealed that in May, at least four Qatari LNG vessels and four tankers linked to Abu Dhabi-based ADNOC transited the Strait of Hormuz without transmitting tracking signals. Sources speaking to Bloomberg stated that Qatari authorities requested captains of state-owned and chartered tankers to turn off their Automatic Identification System (AIS) transponders when navigating around the Ras Laffan port—the world’s largest LNG export terminal—as well as when transiting or exiting the Persian Gulf.

The implemented security measures extend beyond turning off transponders. Sources reported that vessels have been instructed to transit the gulf in pairs to enhance security, and tanker captains who refused to comply with the “shadow” navigation protocols have been replaced.

Industry sources speaking to Bloomberg warned that the increase in covert transits undermines the fundamental rules of international maritime trade and transforms these shipping routes into high-risk areas.

They emphasized that until recently, every cargo in the LNG sector could be tracked in real time, but these newly adopted tactics have eliminated that transparency.

Saul Kavonic, a senior energy analyst at energy consultancy MST Marquee, commented on the situation, saying: “It is entirely natural for Persian Gulf LNG producers to try to avoid Iranian attacks and consequently adopt shadow fleet methods. This could persist as long as Iran continues to control and threaten transits through the Strait of Hormuz. This practice may continue for a long time even after a peace agreement is signed.”

Following the start of US and Israeli attacks on Iran, the Tehran government closed the Strait of Hormuz, a choke point for approximately 20% of global oil shipments and 30% of global liquefied natural gas.

After negotiations in Islamabad failed, US President Donald Trump announced on April 13 that he would impose a blockade on Iranian ports. In late May, he announced that the blockade was lifted as part of the planned peace treaty process with Tehran.

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Israeli defense exports hit record $19.2 billion fueled by regional conflicts

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The Israeli Ministry of Defense has announced that international demand for military systems manufactured in the country and deployed in regional conflicts has reached unprecedented levels.

In an official statement, the ministry declared that exports of military equipment and weaponry have hit an all-time high for the fifth consecutive year.

According to the disclosed data, export volume reached $19.2 billion in 2025, representing an approximate 30% increase compared to the previous year. The figures demonstrate that the country’s defense exports have doubled over the past five years and quadrupled over the past decade.

Data shared by the ministry indicates that missile, rocket, and air defense systems secured the largest share of military sales contracts signed throughout 2025.

Sales in this sector accounted for 29% of the total trade volume. The ministry noted that the vast majority of these agreements fell into the category of “mega-contracts”—each valued at a minimum of $100 million—and that these large-scale deals constituted 53% of the total export volume.

The Ministry of Defense directly attributed this export growth to ongoing regional military operations.

The statement argued that global demand was driven by results achieved on the ground and the “combat-proven” performance of Israeli-made systems across all fronts, including the “Rising Lion” operation launched against Iran in June 2025.

Since October 7, 2023, Israel has conducted simultaneous military operations across multiple fronts in Gaza, Yemen, Lebanon, Syria, and Iran.

The military equipment and ammunition described as “combat-tested” in the ministry’s report continue to be deployed in active conflict zones, most notably in Lebanon.

Among the defense firms highlighted during this period is the Israel-based company Xtend, which has drawn attention for its unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).

Systems developed by the company have reportedly been utilized in operations in Gaza and for targeted assassinations. International reports revealed that an Xtend UAV was used to locate Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, who was killed in October 2024.

Earlier in the year, Eric Trump, son of US President Donald Trump, announced that he would make significant investments in Xtend’s technology and support the company’s merger with the Florida-based JFB Construction Holdings.

Meanwhile, airstrikes and bombings conducted by the Israeli military continue to drive up civilian casualties in Gaza and Lebanon. In Lebanon alone, attacks over the past few months have claimed more than 3,400 lives. Thousands of deaths have also been reported in US-backed military operations carried out in Iran.

Studies published in the medical journal The Lancet project that the total death toll in Gaza, when including both direct and indirect fatalities, could reach hundreds of thousands.

During this period, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which has supported Israel’s operations, emerged as one of the largest buyers of Israeli-origin weapons.

The Gulf nation is reported to have procured billions of dollars in military equipment from Israel over the past five years. According to US sources, the Abu Dhabi and Tel Aviv administrations have established a joint fund to develop and procure new weapons systems.

On the other hand, as Tel Aviv continues to market its air defense systems globally, military tensions along the Lebanese border persist.

Hizbullah kamikaze drones have reportedly targeted Iron Dome batteries positioned at Israeli locations near the Lebanese border. The Israeli military has reportedly faced difficulties intercepting these attacks, with dozens of Israeli soldiers killed in Hizbullah strikes launched since March 2.

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Report challenges official assessments of damage from Iranian attacks on US military assets

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BBC Verify, the verification unit of the BBC, published a detailed investigation on June 1 based on satellite imagery and video analysis that found Iranian retaliatory strikes had successfully hit and damaged at least 20 US military facilities across the Middle East since the start of the war launched against Iran by the United States and Israel.

The findings suggest that the scale and accuracy of Iran’s retaliatory attacks were significantly greater than previously acknowledged by US officials. Some independent analysts estimate that the number of affected bases may be as high as 28.

The military facilities targeted were reportedly spread across eight Gulf countries: Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar, Kuwait, Iraq, Jordan, Bahrain and Oman.

Material losses in the region are said to include three THAAD missile defense batteries, each valued at approximately $1 billion and regarded as a cornerstone of the regional defense network.

Expert assessments also identified at least 42 aircraft that were destroyed or severely damaged, including F-35 fighter jets, MQ-9 Reaper drones and an E-3 Sentry airborne early warning and surveillance aircraft valued at $700 million.

According to military analysts, Iran achieved these results by altering its tactics. Rather than relying on large-scale, high-volume barrages, Tehran reportedly shifted to using smaller, more precise salvos concentrated on high-value infrastructure targets.

The shift in strategy was said to have exploited what was described as a degree of complacency within the US military during the early stages of the conflict.

US military commanders reportedly failed to relocate aircraft and other military assets at strategic installations such as Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia despite previous attacks on those facilities, a factor that is said to have increased losses. Commenting on the strikes, Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei declared that the Middle East was no longer a “safe place” for US bases.

The White House had previously claimed that Iran’s military capabilities had been almost entirely eliminated.

However, the Pentagon’s latest estimates place the cost of the war at $29 billion.

A substantial portion of that expenditure is reportedly being directed toward repairing heavily damaged military equipment and replenishing significantly depleted munitions stockpiles. Former military officials have warned that damaged air defense systems in the region “cannot be replaced quickly or easily.”

The heavy consumption of interceptor missiles during the conflict has also left other US facilities across the Gulf increasingly vulnerable to future Iranian precision-guided missile attacks, according to the assessments cited.

The Washington administration is also reported to have sought restrictions on satellite imagery providers in an effort to conceal the extent of the damage and limit criticism.

However, the “smoking craters” and flattened aircraft hangars featured in the BBC report appear to contradict official US assertions, illustrating what the report described as the true scale of the destruction on the ground.

Iran also announced that it struck a US air base in Kuwait with missiles and drones on Sunday night in retaliation for attacks by US forces on Iranian military targets over the weekend, which Tehran said constituted a violation of the ceasefire.

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