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Kaliningrad calls for peace and trade

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The “Eurasian International Intercultural Dialogue” meeting was held in Istanbul on July 6-7. Among the guests from Russia, Senator Aleksandr Shenderyuk-Zhidkov, hailing from Kaliningrad, the westernmost region of the country under the geographical blockade of the West, addressed the Turkish business world in an interview with Harici.

Relations between Turkey and Russia are discussed on various theoretical grounds in the international context. The prevailing view in Turkish academia is that Turkish-Russian relations are based on centuries of mistrust, but that this does not hamper pragmatic relations between the two countries.

On the other hand, there are those in both Russia and Turkey who are seeking a new kind of partnership in which strategic foundations will be built gradually over the long term instead of pragmatist relations based on a mutual “win-win” formula.

To be sure, Turkey is a NATO country, and optimistic intentions and wishes for the future of Turkish-Russian relations do not always correspond to actual practical realities. However, long-term projects such as Turkish Stream, the establishment of a gas hub in Turkey and the Akkuyu Nuclear Power Plant bolster those who argue that broader possibilities in Turkish-Russian relations are possible. Of course, the escalation of the war in Ukraine to more challenging levels that could put Turkish-Russian friendship to the test is also part of the pessimistic scenarios.

Leaving aside the discussions in Turkey, it might be interesting to listen to a voice from Russia’s far west. Russian politician Alexander Shenderyuk-Zhidkov is a senator from the Kaliningrad region of the Russian Federation. He graduated in 2004 from Immanuel Kant Baltic Federation University. Mr. Zhidkov studied business law in Denmark and is a member of the Federation Committee’s Budget and Financial Market Committee. He has worked  in industrial agriculture. He is interested in philosophy and often emphasizes Kant’s principles of universal peace in his speeches.

Senator Zhidkov, on the European Union (EU) sanctions list, was in Istanbul in early July with a large delegation. He came from the westernmost region of the country, not connected to the Russian mainland, and spoke in the second place at the “Eurasian International Intercultural Dialogue” meeting at Istanbul Kent University.

Kaliningrad is the birthplace of German philosopher Immanuel Kant and Senator Zhidkov said, “Immanuel Kant was not only a philosopher. He was also an idealist. He thought a lot about what the ideal world should look like in the future.” The Senator often emphasizes the importance of the philosopher’s message of universal peace.

Kaliningrad, which borders Poland and Lithuania, is nowadays more often mentioned as a possible second front between the West and Russia after the war in Ukraine than Kant’s messages of universal peace. Measuring the veracity of these claims at a time when psychological warfare is intertwined with real warfare is another story. However, it is important to note that there are many geopoliticians who claim that Kaliningrad would be the second critical flashpoint in an extended Eastern European war. Moreover, a report that “Wagner mercenaries are ready to march to the Suwalki corridor in a few hours to the area where they are needed” was widely reported in the Turkish media.

The Suwalki corridor is the ground link between Kaliningrad and Belarus. So you can go from Kaliningrad to Moscow by land through this corridor. In reverse, it is the land gateway to the Atlantic world for the NATO member Baltic states, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia.

In other words, it is an important region for both sides. According to an article published in Politico magazine in June 2022, this corridor is “the most dangerous region on earth.”

 

Senator Zhidkov says that Poland and Lithuania have blocked Kaliningrad by land and that they are having difficulties in accessing industrial materials such as cement and wood, and that this blockade is also negatively affecting the humanitarian situation.

Asked about war scenarios, Senator Zhidkov insists on referring primarily to Kant. The Senator says that next year they will celebrate Kant’s 300th birthday with a large worldwide event.

Although Senator Zhidkov does not mention it explicitly, the messages of peace from Kaliningrad may also be related to the possibility of the war spreading from there.

By celebrating Kant’s birthday at a time when in Europe the works of Dostoevsky, Pushkin and Tolstoy are being removed from educational curricula and Russia’s universal values are being excluded from the global cultural scene, the Senator is conveying the message that Russians do not view high culture in the same way as European politicians.

To cut to the chase, Turkey also has a position in this dangerous line between the West and Russia. Turkey, which has not joined the sanctions, is seeking to diversify trade routes with Kaliningrad.

“The peace between Russia and Turkey and 100 years of extraordinary relations show that peace is possible for all countries,” said Zhidkov, noting that last month a container line was established between Izmir and Kaliningrad.

“I have no doubt that the relationship between Russia and Turkey is a model for the whole world,” the Senator said, addressing the Turkish business community. He reminds that flights from Kaliningrad to Istanbul take about 3 hours, compared to Moscow, which is an hour and a half shorter: “Kaliningrad is also a free flight zone. We do not need a license from the federal government. All airlines can come to Kaliningrad and utilize our airport.”

Turkish tourists can also use the Kaliningrad route to bring tourists from Russia, Zhidkov said, adding that this city could become a new economic star in Turkish-Russian relations.

Senator Zhidkov also emphasized that Kaliningrad is a free economic zone and that there are great opportunities for Turkish businesspeople in investment, production and trade areas other than tourism.

No matter how one sees it, maintaining the balance in Turkish-Russian relations that has been in place since the beginning of the war seems to be closely tied to keeping the fever in Ukraine under control.

RUSSIA

Putin signals readiness for Arctic cooperation, including with the West

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Russian President Vladimir Putin, speaking at the plenary session of the International Arctic Forum in Murmansk on March 27, stated that Russia is ready for cooperation in the Arctic with both friendly nations and, should they express interest, Western countries.

Putin noted that international interaction in the Arctic is not currently experiencing its best period.

The President mentioned that the Arctic Council was previously established for cooperation, but this mechanism “has weakened today.”

“As they say in such cases: If you don’t want to, it’s up to you,” Putin added.

According to the Vedomosti daily, Putin also addressed US President Donald Trump’s idea of purchasing Greenland from Denmark.

According to Putin, “this might only seem surprising at first glance.” He stated it would be incorrect to consider these discussions unusual, adding, “In fact, such plans by the US emerged in the 1860s. At that time, the American administration was considering the possibility of annexing Greenland and Iceland, but this idea did not receive support from Congress.”

Putin then recounted the history of the matter, including the US establishing military bases on the island during World War II and subsequently offering to buy Greenland from Denmark after the war concluded.

According to the President, this issue primarily concerns relations between the US and Denmark and does not involve Russia. However, “the only fact that certainly worries us is that NATO countries are increasingly designating the Far North as a potential springboard for conflicts and are practicing the use of troops under these conditions.”

Furthermore, Putin stated that Russia is not threatening anyone in the Arctic but is establishing a defense line.

He detailed that the Arctic region constitutes more than a quarter of Russia’s territory, is home to approximately 2.5 million Russian citizens, and accounts for 7% of the country’s GDP and about 11% of its exports.

The President highlighted that cargo flow on the Northern Sea Route has increased tenfold over the last decade, rising from 4 million tons in 2014 to approximately 38 million tons in 2024. Projections estimate cargo flow will reach 70-100 million tons by 2030.

Putin emphasized that the primary objective is to transform the Northern Sea Route into a key segment of the Trans-Arctic Transport Corridor, extending from St. Petersburg via Murmansk to Vladivostok.

According to Putin, this route “should connect the world’s industrial, agricultural, energy centers, and consumer markets via a shorter, safer, and economically profitable route.”

Putin outlined several tasks for developing the Trans-Arctic Corridor. Noting that Russia currently possesses the world’s largest icebreaker fleet, he stressed the need to strengthen this position and commission new-generation icebreakers, including nuclear-powered ones currently unique to Russia.

“Four of these—the newest 22220 series—are already operating in the Arctic. Three more nuclear icebreakers of this series are under construction—Chukotka, Leningrad, and Stalingrad—as well as the super-powerful 120-megawatt Rossiya icebreaker,” Putin stated.

He also mentioned Russia’s need for its own merchant fleet, including cargo and emergency rescue vessels, to facilitate transportation in the Arctic.

Observing that current capacity is insufficient, Putin said, “It is necessary to move in all directions: purchase and order ready-made ships, establish cooperation with global manufacturers, and generally align the entire Russian shipbuilding system with upcoming strategic tasks.”

He added that the government should support Russian shipbuilding and repair enterprises and explore the issue of shipyard construction.

Putin also stated that conditions must be created for domestic operators transporting cargo via the Arctic within Russia, adding that Russia is prepared to establish joint ventures in this area.

“International logistics operators can profitably invest in such companies not only with capital and technology but also with a portion of their merchant fleets,” Putin assessed.

Stating that Russia will increase the capacity and turnover of its northern ports, Putin added that Belarus, China, the UAE, and other countries have shown interest in developing the Arctic’s transport infrastructure.

Putin announced that multimodal centers will be established within the framework of the Trans-Arctic Corridor and instructed the government to outline plans for expanding the capacity of Arctic seaports and identify locations for new ones.

He also confirmed that Russia will implement the Arctic Railway Polygon development project: “Today we are aware of the development issues concerning RZD (Russian Railways)… However, it is necessary to start thinking now about this—about what I just mentioned, the development of the Northern Railway.”

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Europe from Lisbon to Vladivostok will revive, Deripaska says

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One of Russia’s wealthiest men, Oleg Deripaska, announced his belief that the project to create a unified economic zone between Russia and Europe, stretching from Lisbon to Vladivostok, will be revived.

In a statement on his Telegram channel, Deripaska noted that this project would exclude Britain.

Deripaska stated, “The inevitable rapprochement after the conflict between Russia and Germany will completely change the political map of the European continent and lead to the revival of the project to create an economic zone from Lisbon to Vladivostok. This situation, along with Scotland’s secession from the United Kingdom, will definitively bury the British Empire in history.”

Deripaska stated that Britain’s problems have been accumulating for years, chief among them being “the virtual bankruptcy of public finances” and the complete failure of Brexit hopes.

Deripaska added, “No one came up with the dream of creating a Singapore on the Thames, and there was no desire for it in a society full of leftist ideas and not inclined to meticulous work.”

Deripaska assessed, “The collapse of the legal system and the terrible incompetence of judges in London have virtually destroyed the investment environment, and tax changes for foreigners have completely finished this situation.”

“But the worst is yet to come,” said Deripaska, adding, “All we have to do is wait and ignore the audacious ideas like ‘boots on the field.’ Let them crow a little.”

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Ukraine retreats from most occupied areas in Russia’s Kursk oblast

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According to military analysts and soldiers who spoke to The New York Times (NYT), the Ukrainian army has withdrawn from almost all of the territory it occupied in Russia’s Kursk oblast.

As a result of Moscow’s counterattacks, Ukraine’s months-long operation to seize and occupy Russian territory is nearing its end.

At the peak of the offensive, the Ukrainian army controlled approximately 1,295 square kilometers of Russian territory.

According to Pasi Paroinen, a military analyst at the Finland-based Black Bird Group, as of Sunday, the Ukrainian army was trying to hold on to a narrow area of approximately 78 square kilometers along the Russia-Ukraine border.

“The end of the war is coming,” Paroinen told the newspaper.

While the amount of Russian territory under Ukrainian control could not be independently verified, intense fighting was reported in the region.

With Russia’s rapid advance, supported by continuous air strikes and drone attacks, the Ukrainian army withdrew last week from several villages in Kursk oblast and from Sudzha, the main city they controlled.

The General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces announced that the troops had withdrawn to more defensible areas inside Russia and were taking advantage of the rugged terrain to provide better fire control against the approaching Russian forces.

On Sunday, it published a map showing the narrow area that Ukraine still controlled in Kursk oblast.

However, it remains unclear how long the Ukrainian army will be able to hold this area.

Ukrainian soldiers stated that the ongoing fighting in Kursk is no longer about holding Russian territory, but rather about controlling the best defensive positions to prevent the Russians from entering Ukraine’s Sumy oblast and opening a new front in the war.

An assault company commander, who identified himself only by his radio code, Boroda, said in a telephone interview, “We continue to maintain our positions on the Kursk front,” and added: “The only difference is that our positions have moved significantly closer to the border.”

Military experts say that although Ukraine’s withdrawal from most of Kursk oblast was rapid, it came after months of Russian attacks and bombardment that gradually weakened Ukraine’s foothold in the region and cut off supply routes, eventually making withdrawal necessary.

Austrian military analyst Franz-Stefan Gady, who visited Ukraine’s Sumy oblast on the Kursk border last month and met with Ukrainian commanders, said, “What has happened in the last few months was an operation that prepared the conditions for a successful advance.”

Serhiy Kuzan, the head of the non-governmental organization Ukrainian Center for Security and Cooperation, said, “There was no danger of encirclement of Ukrainian troops, and there is no evidence to the contrary.”

Meanwhile, Trump’s special representative for the Middle East and also a mediator with Russia, Steve Witkoff, told CNN on Sunday that he expected Trump to meet with Putin this week.

Witkoff said he had a positive three-to-four-hour meeting with Putin last week. While refraining from sharing the details of their discussions, Witkoff expressed his continued optimism that an agreement could still be reached.

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