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Rishi Sunak announces UK general election for Thursday 4 July

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British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak announced yesterday (22 May) that his party will go to the polls on 4 July, despite having been in power for 14 years.

In a special press statement outside the Prime Minister’s Office, Sunak insisted that he came to office to restore economic stability, that he was proud of what he had achieved and that he would fight for every vote.

Putting an end to months of speculation that he would call a general election, Sunak almost shouted against the backdrop of the Labour-identified song “Things Can Only Get Better”, which was played by protesters in the immediate vicinity of the press conference, as he listed his achievements in government, not only as prime minister but also as a former chancellor of the exchequer.

“Now is the time to choose Britain’s future,” he said, describing it as a choice between himself and stability, or Labour leader Keir Starmer and the unknown.

Sunak’s career as ‘Prime Minister Designate’

“Over the next few weeks I will fight for every vote, earn your trust and prove to you that only a Conservative government led by me will not jeopardise our hard-won economic stability,” the Prime Minister said.

“As a result, the future with them can only be uncertain,” Sunak said, arguing that Starmer had always taken the “easy way out” and had no plan.

Sunak is likely to enter the election trailing far behind Labour in the polls. He is also isolated within his own party and increasingly dependent on a small team of advisers to guide him through the process.

But with some successes to his credit, such as a partial fall in inflation and the economy growing at its fastest rate in almost three years, he appears to have decided that now is the time to take risks.

The former investment banker and chief secretary to the Treasury replaced Liz Truss less than two years ago and was criticised as an “unelected prime minister”.

Economy to dominate election campaign

Both the Conservatives and Labour have already launched an election campaign in which the lines of attack and defence have already been drawn.

Sunak and his government accuse Labour of wanting to raise taxes if it gets into government, and say that without a plan the party cannot be a “safe pair of hands” for Britain in an increasingly dangerous world.

The opposition denies the charges. Labour accuses the government of 14 years of mismanaging the economy, leaving people worse off, and a chaotic set of policies that have failed to provide the stability businesses crave to stimulate economic growth.

Labour wants to focus on Truss’s tenure as a sign that the Conservatives have lost credibility in managing the economy, causing market turmoil and a spike in mortgage prices.

Shadow chief secretary to the Treasury Rachel Reeves often boasts that she is a former Bank of England economist, while the party is reluctant to make big spending promises.

Parties united on Ukraine, divided on Gaza

While both parties agree on supporting Ukraine, the Conservatives have pledged to spend 2.5% of GDP on defence by the end of the 2020s. Labour has not set a date, saying it will do so ‘as soon as resources allow’.

Labour also pledged to support a ceasefire in the Israel-Gaza war and said Britain had a “legal obligation” to support the International Criminal Court’s decision to issue an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, which Rishi Sunak described as “utterly pointless”.

Sunak’s five priorities, announced earlier this year, include stopping small boat crossings in the English Channel and using Rwanda as a third country for deportation and deterrence.

Meanwhile, one of Labour’s first pledges was to scrap the Rwanda plan and replace it with a Border Force. The Conservatives will want to emphasise this difference and take a tough line on immigration.

Labour Party: Ready for election

The Labour Party said before Sunak’s announcement that it was more than ready for an election. A spokesman for Labour leader Keir Starmer told reporters: “We are fully prepared to call an election if the prime minister calls one. We have a fully organised and operational campaign and we believe the country is crying out for a general election,” the spokesman said.

The Labour leader was previously Britain’s most senior prosecutor and ‘shadow Brexit minister’, responsible for the party’s tendency to support a second EU referendum.

The option of a new referendum is now definitely off the table as Starmer steers the party towards governing in a post-Brexit world.

EUROPE

EU demands HTS to expel Russian and Iranian influence

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The European Union (EU) has called on Syria’s interim leadership, headed by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), to ensure the country’s future is inclusive, free of extremism, and independent of Russian and Iranian interference, according to senior European diplomats on Monday.

The Associated Press (AP) reported that following the fall of Damascus on 8 December, incidents of reprisals, revenge killings, or sectarian violence have been minimal. Looting and destruction were largely brought under control shortly thereafter.

The interim government, formed by opposition forces led by HTS, is deemed a terrorist organization by both the EU and the United States. Critics note that the new leadership has yet to articulate a comprehensive vision for governing Syria.

The EU plans to dispatch an envoy to Damascus for discussions with the new authorities, aiming to assess the direction of Syria’s political transition. EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas emphasized the bloc’s demand for a stable, peaceful, and inclusive government, acknowledging that clarity on Syria’s new trajectory could take weeks or months.

“Syria is facing an optimistic yet uncertain future. We need assurances that progress is moving in the right direction. This is not just about words—we need tangible actions,” Kallas stated during an EU foreign ministers’ meeting.

French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot outlined specific conditions for lifting sanctions or providing EU development aid. These include that a political transition ensuring representation for all Syrian minority groups, adherence to human rights and women’s rights, and a firm rejection of terrorism and extremism.

Similarly, Spanish Foreign Minister José Manuel Albares underscored the importance of respecting EU “red lines.” These include safeguarding Syria’s territorial integrity and eliminating foreign interference.

“If these issues are adequately addressed, we can open discussions about lifting sanctions,” Albares said.

Dutch Foreign Minister Caspar Veldkamp reinforced the EU’s demand for the removal of Russian military bases from Syria. “We want the Russians out,” he declared.

In a pointed statement, Kallas warned Syria’s new leaders against relying on Russia and Iran. “Russia and Iran are not your friends. They abandoned the Assad regime and are now weakened, preoccupied with their own challenges,” she asserted.

The EU remains cautious but hopeful as it navigates relations with Syria’s interim government, advocating for a peaceful political future rooted in democracy, human rights, and freedom from external manipulation.

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Germany’s new strategy: ‘Restructuring the country with a focus on defense’

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In parallel with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte’s call for NATO countries in Europe to develop a ‘war mentality’, the German government has drawn up a comprehensive plan for ‘defense cooperation’.

At an event last week organized by NATO’s public relations department, which aims to use intermediaries, including journalists, to spread the military alliance’s ‘message’, Rutte declared that even today we are no longer ‘living in peace’.

Claiming that the European defense industry had been ‘gutted’ by ‘decades of underinvestment’ and petty national interests, Rutte called for a ‘transition to a war mentality’.

‘National Security and Defence Industry Strategy’ in Berlin

The German government has long pursued the large-scale arms build-up called for by Rutte, and earlier this month adopted a National Security and Defence Industry Strategy document to underpin it.

The document states that Germany must ‘become defense-oriented as quickly as possible’. To this end, the ‘rapidly growing demand for military goods, services and innovations’ must be met as quickly as possible.

To this end, the German government has presented a new strategy drawn up in cooperation with the German defense industry, and Berlin is relying on close defense industry cooperation in Europe. In this context, it is stated that ‘only in cooperation with our European partners’ can the desired capacities be built.

‘National defence interests’ as a condition for German-European cooperation

It is emphasized, however, that this cooperation can only take place ‘in appropriate cases’ and with ‘equal participation’ of German companies.

This is because ‘in order to maintain and strengthen the strategic sovereignty and mobility of the Federal Republic of Germany’, ‘certain core capabilities and capacities of the security and defense industry … must be maintained at national level’.

It also aims to secure Germany’s leading position in the EU defense industry.

Farewell to civil R&D

In concrete terms, the German government proposes a number of measures.

For example, a “closer […] dovetailing of civilian and security- and defense-related research and development” is to be examined”.

This will also require an ‘open discussion on civil regulations’, which has been taking place at some universities for some time.

In addition, the current requirements for the construction and operation of arsenals are to be reduced, while the Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau (KfW) and the European Investment Bank are to be used more for arms financing.

Berlin is also seeking measures to ‘diversify and make more flexible supply chains’ in order to become virtually independent of ‘hostile states’, especially China.

This is likely to further increase the price of defense products. The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) recently reported that efforts by some new entrants in the U.S. defense industry to eliminate Chinese raw materials and components have shown that it is possible, but expensive: Expenditures were said to have increased ‘in some cases by six to 10 times’.

A global role for the Bundeswehr

The fact that the National Security and Defence Industrial Strategy explicitly states that ‘military capabilities, equipment and hardware’ for the Bundeswehr must be ‘deployable and operational in all situations, sizes, geo-strategic areas and climatic conditions’ refutes the claim that rearmament is only about national defense.

The document also confirms the German government’s intention to consolidate an increasing number of Bundeswehr operations in the Asia-Pacific region.

In fact, German troops are deployed in a wide range of ‘climatic conditions’ and ‘geo-strategic areas’ in the Asia-Pacific region and in the territorial waters and land masses leading to it.

The fact that the Bundeswehr is also ‘deployable’ everywhere shows that Berlin is clearly keeping the door open for German participation in wars anywhere in the world, including the Asia-Pacific region.

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Macron appoints François Bayrou as France’s new PM

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A week after the fall of the French government, President Emmanuel Macron has appointed François Bayrou as the country’s new prime minister. This appointment comes at a critical juncture as France faces political instability and mounting economic challenges.

Bayrou, 73, is the leader of the Mouvement Démocrate (Democratic Movement – MoDem) party, a centrist political group allied with Macron’s camp. He is also the mayor of Pau, a city in southern France, and is highly regarded by conservative factions. Known for his close ties with Macron, Bayrou is considered a trusted confidant of the president.

The announcement of Bayrou’s appointment followed a brief meeting with Macron at the Élysée Palace, which lasted less than two hours. The day before, the two had discussed the political situation over the phone. Macron’s entourage had earlier hinted that the new prime minister would be named on Friday morning.

Bayrou takes office amidst sharp political divisions in the National Assembly, where no party holds a majority. The assembly is currently split into three opposing blocs: The left-wing New Popular Front (NFP), Macron’s Centrist Coalition, and the right-wing National Rally (RN) and its allies.

The previous prime minister, Michel Barnier, was dismissed after failing to secure a quorum for the 2025 budget. Barnier’s tenure lasted only three months, highlighting the fragility of Macron’s government. The new head of government must now form an administration that can withstand potential votes of no confidence.

Bayrou’s appointment was met with mixed reactions. Conservatives expressed respect for Bayrou’s leadership and a willingness to cooperate. The Greens and Socialists criticized the decision, arguing that it signaled a continuation of existing policies rather than a fresh start.

Reports suggest that some conservatives and sections of the left have promised to tolerate the new government. However, if a broad coalition is not formed, a minority government would remain vulnerable to collapse.

Macron’s quick decision to appoint Bayrou is seen as a calculated risk. The president aims to stabilize the government and avert further political turmoil. Yet, opposition parties have escalated their criticism, with some even calling for Macron’s resignation.

France also faces mounting economic pressures, driven by excessive national debt. Observers suggest that fiscal discipline and strategic policymaking will be critical in navigating the ongoing challenges.

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