Diplomacy
Trump’s shadow looms over Davos as Leyen warns of global economic shifts
This year’s summit of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland, began under the shadow of Donald Trump’s potential second term in the White House.
The former president, Donald Trump, is set to address Davos participants via video conference today. Meanwhile, his tariff threats and their potential impact on the global economy have become a central topic of discussion.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen warned in her speech on Tuesday that the global economy is “beginning to break along new lines.” She emphasized that “it is in no one’s interest to sever ties in the global economy” and opposed a “race to the bottom” in global trade, referencing both China and the US.
Leyen stressed that the EU and the US must negotiate to preserve trade relations, given the €1.5 trillion trade volume and the scale of transatlantic investments. “Our priority will therefore be to engage early, discuss common interests, and be ready to negotiate. We will be pragmatic but always stand by our principles. We will defend our interests and uphold our values,” she said.
EU divided on response to Trump
Belgian Prime Minister Alexander De Croo, speaking in Davos, adopted a pragmatic stance, suggesting that the US must address its trade deficit. “Maybe we can buy more from your side and try to link what is economically favorable for us with what is geopolitically favorable for our American allies,” De Croo said.
However, Trump has not yet imposed tariffs on the EU. EU officials told the Financial Times (FT) that they believe business leaders who funded Trump’s campaign have dissuaded him from targeting Europe due to the potential economic fallout. One official noted, “It’s the same agenda as last time. It will be very transactional. He will look at what is good for the US and US industry. Last time, there were many exemptions, even on steel tariffs because they needed our materials.”
A ‘wake-up call’ for Europe
One of the key challenges for Europe in a Trump-led world is to enhance its “strategic autonomy” and competitiveness. A special roundtable discussion hosted by Massimo Andolina, CEO of Philip Morris International Europe, and Claus Strunz, CEO of Euronews, and moderated by Christoph Keese, CEO of World Minds, highlighted the need for Europe to become more competitive, innovative, and united.
Charles Michel, former President of the European Council, warned of the risks of a trade war, stating, “If a trade war starts, it means that everyone will be poorer.”
Some, however, see Trump’s potential return as an opportunity. Laurent Saint-Martin, France’s Minister for Foreign Trade, told CNBC that Trump’s election victory could be a “real opportunity” for Europe. “We have to stay together; it’s very important,” he said, emphasizing Europe’s industrial strength, savings, purchasing power, and the single market. “I think it is time to be more united in terms of industry and trade,” he added.
‘America First, then Europe’?
European business leaders have mixed feelings about Trump’s potential return. Richard Edelman, CEO of global communications firm Edelman, suggested that Trump’s leadership could be “invigorating” for businesses. Meanwhile, ING CEO Steven van Rijswijk described it as a “wake-up call for Europe.”
Finnish President Alexander Stubb emphasized the importance of Europe adopting a pragmatic, day-to-day approach to Trump’s tariff threats. “In foreign policy, especially when you come from a small state and you realize that you are working with whoever the president of the world’s biggest superpower is, you always have to react to a particular situation,” Stubb told CNBC’s Steve Sedgwick at the WEF.
Stubb added that Trump’s desire for the US to remain a superpower means he needs allies, and those allies “come from Europe.” He quipped, “If I simplify it a bit, it’s ‘America first,’ but maybe it should be Europe second, which is just as well.”
Praise for competitiveness
Polish Finance Minister Andrzej Domański argued that Europe’s “best answer” to potential tensions with the US is to restore competitiveness and strengthen its economy. “We know how to do this, and we will do it step by step. Poland’s relations with the US are very, very good, and as you said, we buy a lot of US military equipment—tanks, fighter jets. In fact, we buy everything you can think of,” Domański said.
However, he stressed that the EU “needs to be united” in its relations with the US.
Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez also emphasized the importance of strengthening transatlantic relations, warning that a trade war with the US would be a “zero-sum game.” “We share a strong transatlantic bond… our economies are very interconnected, and I believe that a trade war is in the interest of neither the United States nor the European Union,” Sánchez told CNBC.
He added, “We need to focus on how to strengthen our transatlantic relationship, which is more important now than ever.”
Diplomacy
Greece’s Marinakis says paying Hormuz transit fees beats enduring Red Sea shipping crisis detour
Evangelos Marinakis, one of Greece’s leading shipowners, has announced that he is prepared to pay up to $200,000 per transit to keep the Strait of Hormuz open to civilian maritime traffic.
Speaking to the Financial Times, Marinakis stated that paying a transit fee would be a far better option for him than having the strait closed to navigation.
As the chairman of Capital Maritime Group, which controls a fleet of 185 vessels including approximately 35 tankers, Marinakis emphasized that shipowners have been forced to use alternative routes around the Cape of Good Hope for years due to attacks launched by the Houthis in the Red Sea, a detour that has generated substantial additional costs.
The Greek shipowner indicated that paying a transit fee of $100,000 or $200,000, depending on the size of the cargo or the vessel, is far more reasonable than enduring the current logistical challenges. He added that such payments could offset all the losses experienced so far.
Following US strikes on Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the Tehran administration had introduced transit fees of up to $2 million for certain vessels transiting the waterway.
In May, Iran announced the establishment of a state agency tasked with managing the Strait of Hormuz. It was stated that the institution in question would provide real-time updates regarding maritime activities in the waterway.
Ebrahim Azizi, the chairman of the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, had noted that only commercial vessels and countries cooperating with Iran would be able to benefit from the facilities provided under this “professional mechanism.”
US President Donald Trump has explicitly opposed the imposition of transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz. In a statement on the matter, Trump said, “We want the strait to be open. We do not want any transit fees to be charged. This is an international waterway.”
On the other hand, the draft text of a planned 60-day ceasefire extension agreement between the parties stipulates that the Strait of Hormuz will remain open without any transit fees being demanded.
According to the draft details reviewed by Axios, the US in return commits to lifting the blockade it has imposed on Iranian ports. The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, however, announced that the management of the Strait of Hormuz has been excluded from the scope of the agreement with the US, asserting that the issue will be addressed solely by littoral states.
Diplomacy
Pashinyan promises aid to farmers hit by Russian import restrictions
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has pledged compensation for Armenian farmers affected by restrictions on exports to Russia.
According to Sputnik Armenia, Pashinyan made the announcement during an election campaign meeting in the Gegharkunik region.
Speaking at the event, Pashinyan said the subsidies would be designed to offset losses incurred by producers.
The prime minister also acknowledged that some Armenian products had failed to meet required quality standards, adding that such companies would receive support aimed at improving product quality.
Addressing alternative markets for Armenian exports, Pashinyan said several Armenian business delegations were already engaged in negotiations abroad.
He added that Armenia had received offers for the purchase of roses as well as fresh fruits and vegetables.
Pashinyan argued that Armenia’s agricultural output was not particularly large, describing this as an advantage under current circumstances. According to the prime minister, “a respected supermarket chain in Europe” would be capable of selling the entire volume of these products on its own.
Russia’s Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance (Rosselkhoznadzor) imposed temporary restrictions on imports of stone fruits and grapes from Armenia effective July 2.
The ban covers cherries, sour cherries, apricots, plums, peaches and nectarines, among other products.
On the same day, a temporary suspension was also introduced on certification procedures for live fish shipments from Armenia. Russian authorities had previously restricted the entry of flower products originating from Armenia into the Russian market.
In addition, Russia’s Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing (Rospotrebnadzor) halted the import of all consignments of Jermuk mineral water from Armenia.
In a statement, the agency said levels of bicarbonate, chloride and sulfate ions in the mineral water exceeded established limits and could mislead consumers regarding the product’s medicinal properties.
The Russian regulator argued that the growing number of violations stemmed from the abolition of Armenia’s Agriculture Ministry and the transfer of its responsibilities to the Economy Ministry.
Rosselkhoznadzor further stated that Armenia’s Economy Ministry was experiencing structural problems and was unable to adequately perform the supervisory functions assigned to it.
Diplomacy
Zelenskyy urges US to grant Ukraine license to produce Patriot missiles
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said he has asked the United States to grant Ukraine a license to manufacture missiles for the Patriot air defence system.
In a post on social media platform X, Zelenskyy argued that current US production of missile defence interceptors is insufficient and could contribute to crises in different parts of the world.
“Producing 60-65 missiles a month is nothing compared with the challenges we face today. This is no secret, and Russia knows it as well,” Zelenskyy wrote. “We need to expand production. As I requested from the previous US administration, I am asking the current administration to grant Ukraine a license to produce Patriot missiles.”
Zelenskyy said US companies possess advanced technologies that are not available in Ukraine, while Kyiv could contribute its extensive battlefield experience in return.
He also argued that granting such a license would benefit not only Ukraine, but also the Middle East and any country Washington chooses to support.
Washington pledges to maintain defence support
Zelenskyy’s remarks came a day after US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on May 30 that Washington would continue supporting Ukraine’s defence capabilities and ensure military shipments to Kyiv continue.
“We want them to be able to defend themselves, and we will find a way to help them do that,” Hegseth said.
Several days earlier, Yuriy Ihnat, spokesperson for the Ukrainian Air Force, warned that the country’s air defence forces were experiencing a shortage of missiles.
“Due to certain supply problems, we are practically at starvation levels when it comes to missiles today,” Ihnat said.
Concerns persist over air defence missile stocks
In April, Zelenskyy warned that Ukraine’s stockpile of air defence missiles could be exhausted at any moment.
He said that under current conditions, air defence missiles were more critical for Ukraine than the air defence systems themselves.
Highlighting what he described as a critical shortage of Patriot missiles, Zelenskyy said: “We are facing a deficit now that could hardly be worse.”
Concerns that Ukraine could face a severe shortage of US-made air defence missiles had previously been reported by Reuters.
The situation was expected to worsen as the United States and its allies depleted significant portions of their arsenals during tensions with Iran, a point Zelenskyy also underscored.
In a separate statement in January, Zelenskyy said Ukraine lacked sufficient missiles for both US- and European-made air defence systems.
The Ukrainian leader said he had been forced to personally secure every package of missiles from European countries and the United States.
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