Asia
China’s Third Plenum begins with call to ‘push forward modernisation’
Chinese Communist Party officials are gathering in Beijing from Monday to Thursday for the third plenary session of the 20th Central Committee, also known as the Third Plenum.
China’s state-run Global Times wrote that they are watching to see how the meeting will “set priorities for comprehensively deepening reform, draw up a blueprint for long-term economic development and open a new chapter in the country’s march towards Chinese modernisation”.
The meeting comes at a critical time for China’s economy, with policymakers grappling with an ongoing property crisis and sluggish domestic demand, as well as trade barriers and geopolitical threats from the West. On Monday, China released gross domestic product data for the second quarter, with growth coming in below forecasts at 4.7 per cent.
What is the Third Plenum?
The Central Committee of the Communist Party, comprising around 200 senior members and headed by President Xi Jinping, is a key decision-making body in China’s political system. It holds a total of seven plenary sessions, or plenums, in Beijing during its five-year term. The meetings produce documents that shape the country’s policies for years to come. The current Central Committee was elected in 2022.
The Third Plenum is closely watched because of its historic influence on economic policy. It was here that Deng Xiaoping announced his historic “reform and opening up” initiative in 1978. In 1993, the plenum endorsed the socialist concept of a market economy.
What is the procedure?
After discussions at the meeting, a statement is voted on and usually adopted on the day the meeting ends, and a full document detailing the decisions is usually published a few days later. A draft of the document was unveiled by the Politburo, the party’s top leadership body, state media reported in June. The title of the draft gave a hint of what was to come: “Deepening reform more comprehensively and pushing forward Chinese-style modernisation”.
The main topic of the meeting
There was no official announcement about the timing of the session. Observers had expected the third plenary session to be held last autumn. Instead, state media reported in April that it would be held in July. This led to speculation that the meeting had been postponed to allow time for basic policy decisions to be made.
The previous third plenum in 2018 focused on reforming party and state institutions rather than the economy, but this week’s meeting is expected to focus on the economy.
“This is the first third plenum in 11 years whose main theme is economic reform,” said Hiroya Yamauchi, a China and Asian markets expert at Nikko Asset Management in Tokyo.
At a meeting of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee chaired by Xi Jinping, general secretary of the CPC Central Committee, in June, it was noted that the upcoming plenum will mainly focus on issues related to deepening reform more comprehensively and pushing forward China’s modernisation, according to Chinese state agency Xinhua.
Next year the government is due to update its five-year economic plan, and the meeting is also important in the context of these plans.
The economic plenums are also seen as an opportunity to explain China’s strategic goals to the world.
A key priority for Xi Jinping is to achieve scientific and technological self-sufficiency. China has made great strides in areas such as electric vehicles and batteries, and is investing heavily in building its own semiconductor supply chain. Xi has often called for the development of “new quality productive forces” at meetings, and this is expected to be on the agenda of the communique.
The meeting is also seen as an opportunity to restore economic confidence among businesses and investors. Although the economy grew by 5.3% in the first quarter, consumer demand has yet to recover from the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.
China’s consumer confidence index fell from over 120 in February 2022 to 86.7 in April that year, and has remained below the pessimistic threshold of 100 ever since.
“External pressure is increasing … and it is necessary to realise that Western developed countries will continue the policy of protectionism, destruction of production chains and creation of technological barriers [targeting China] for decades to come,” Alexander Lomanov, deputy director of scientific studies at the Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences, told the Global Times.
Lomanov added that it was therefore important for the Third Plenum to draw up a high-level blueprint for the country’s economic course and updated reform priorities. Lomanov also suggested that China should speed up reform and opening-up measures to overcome numerous challenges, such as redoubling efforts to open up to the outside world and expanding the circle of new partners.
What do companies and investors expect?
Some are hoping for major stimulus measures to boost domestic consumption. Of particular concern is the property sector, where the decline in new and existing home prices accelerated in May despite measures such as incentives for state-owned enterprises to buy unsold homes.
There is no official indication that this issue will be addressed at the Third Plenum. A related issue that economists say may come to the fore is tax reform. For example, allocating more tax revenue to local governments, which have traditionally relied heavily on land sales, could help contain the property crisis.
On the other hand, experts believe that the third plenary session will focus on longer-term policies.
Political observers are also watching the reshuffle. Former foreign minister Qin Gang and former defence minister Li Shangfu were removed from their posts last year as part of an investigation. Li was formally expelled from the party in June for taking bribes, while Qin is still a member of the Central Committee. However, everyone agrees that the meeting will focus on the economy in general.
Asia
Pentagon plans covert spy ring for economic war on China, report says
The US Department of War (Pentagon) is reportedly planning to establish an extensive network of deep-cover agents to wage economic warfare against China and other adversaries of the US.
According to a report by The Washington Post citing six sources familiar with the initiative, the plan has not yet been put into effect. The newspaper reported that the initiative remains at the planning stage. The Pentagon, however, denies that any such initiative exists.
The report said the operatives would pose as entrepreneurs or private sector employees while concealing their ties to the US government. The network’s mission would be to gather economic intelligence and counter China.
The programme is led by Tom Rakusa, who spent 39 years at the CIA. Rakusa serves as a senior adviser to Deputy Secretary of Defence Steve Feinberg.
The proposed spy network is seen as part of a broader policy by the Donald Trump administration to sharpen economic competition with other countries.
The US is already resorting to tariffs, export controls, and investment in strategic sectors, alongside expanding its economic intelligence gathering.
According to The Washington Post, the new initiative demonstrates the Pentagon’s growing influence under the Trump administration. The department is currently seeking a record budget of $1.5 trillion.
Trade war flares up again with Trump’s return to the White House
The trade friction between the US and China flared up again following Donald Trump’s return to the White House. In April 2025, Washington raised tariffs on Chinese goods to as much as 145%, and Beijing retaliated with tariffs of up to 125%.
In May, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio described China as the primary geopolitical challenge facing Washington. Rubio said that to avoid war, the two sides needed to manage their conflict of interests.
In July, Chinese expert Zheng Yongnian did not simply warn that underestimating the US could prove to be a “fatal mistake”; he stated it explicitly.
According to Zheng’s assessment, the US maintains its primacy through the role of the dollar, its military superiority, and its technological advantages.
Even so, the two sides agreed in June to declare a truce and lower tariffs. In autumn 2026, the US and China extended their trade truce until 10 January 2027.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the extension would give the parties more time to discuss economic issues.
Trade deals do not eliminate the strategic contradictions between the two countries. Financial Times columnist Rana Foroohar likened the race between the two nations for commercial, technological, and geopolitical influence to the 19th-century “Great Game” between the Russian and British empires.
Foroohar cited China’s standing in shipbuilding and commercial maritime transport, as well as its expanding footprint in overseas ports, among its key advantages.
Asia
Japan plans curbs on short-term home sales to cool urban prices
Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) plans to restrict short-term property trading to rein in surging home prices in major urban centres, particularly Tokyo.
Led by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, the party aims to make support for working households a core priority ahead of local elections scheduled for April next year.
The LDP’s research commission on housing and land policy met on Wednesday to discuss the issue.
According to a report by the Nikkei Asia newspaper, Commission Chair and LDP lawmaker Midori Matsushima said at the opening of the meeting: “Prices of newly built condominiums across Tokyo’s 23 wards have doubled over the past decade. We must work on measures ensuring that people who wish to live in these homes can actually afford to buy them.”
Homeownership in the capital has become virtually unattainable for broad segments of the population. According to data from the Real Estate Economic Institute, the average sale price of a newly built condominium in Tokyo’s 23 wards rose %18.5 in fiscal 2025 compared with the previous year, reaching 137.84 million yen (around $872,000).
Meanwhile, statistics from the Ministry of Labour show that the average annual income of a full-time worker in the capital remained at 6.78 million yen in fiscal 2025. This widening gap between incomes and residential property prices is directly shaping political priorities.
During its campaign for the House of Representatives election in February, the LDP pledged to curb speculative transactions across metropolitan Tokyo and other regions. Earlier this month, a party project team focused on policies concerning foreign nationals also submitted a recommendation urging the government to introduce immediate tax measures against rising home prices.
Under current legislation, profits realized from properties sold within five years of acquisition are classified as “short-term capital gains”. These returns face a tax rate approaching %40, including income tax and local inhabitant tax.
Although this rate is twice the approximately %20 levied as “long-term capital gains” tax on properties held for more than five years, several party members argue it remains insufficient to deter speculation. Calls to tighten the framework may be considered as part of the annual tax reform package to be drafted in December alongside the LDP’s coalition partner, the Japan Innovation Party.
The ruling bloc wants to present concrete housing pledges to voters heading to the polls in April across numerous urban centres, including 22 of Tokyo’s wards where local assembly terms expire.
“We need to support families with children, who are typically at the stage of purchasing a home,” a senior LDP official said.
Opposition parties are also preparing alternative proposals that target not only prospective homebuyers, but also residents forced into the rental market by high property prices and now affected by escalating rents.
Tax steps take precedence over limits on foreign buyers
Several countries seeking answers to housing affordability pressures have imposed direct restrictions on foreign purchasers. In South Korea, real estate policies played a major part in the declining public approval ratings of President Lee Jae Myung.
In August 2025, authorities in Seoul introduced an approval requirement for foreign nationals buying homes in the capital and adjacent areas, while also mandating that buyers reside in the properties for at least two years.
Canada and Australia have enacted temporary bans on foreign residential purchases, while Singapore levies a %60 additional stamp duty on foreign buyers.
The role of overseas investors in Japan’s property market also drew debate during the February election. However, restrictions aimed directly at foreign nationals are viewed as potentially conflicting with international trade and services agreements.
Consequently, rather than imposing restrictions based on the nationality of buyers, the government is discussing tax measures aimed at speculative real estate deals, such as rapid resales.
Fears that sharp market measures could shake regional banks
Concerns have also surfaced that aggressive steps to force down prices could harm the wider national economy.
A senior LDP tax official cautioned that a steep drop in land prices could weaken local financial institutions, warning: “We must consider the impact on regional banks.”
The real estate sector accounts for roughly %18 of total lending by Japanese banks. This proportion sits well above the %10 level recorded during Japan’s bubble economy of the mid-to-late 1980s.
At certain regional banks, property lending accounts for nearly half of total loan portfolios.
According to March 2025 data from the Financial Services Agency, approximately one-quarter of all loans extended by regional banks to the real estate sector are concentrated directly in Tokyo’s five central wards.
Buoyant asset valuations, supported in part by rising stock indices, have underpinned strong public approval for the Takaichi administration. Observers note that property interventions designed to cool the market could drag down equity prices and weaken the government’s standing.
A senior official on the LDP research commission stressed that decision-makers must act with caution regarding the scope and timing of any measures intended to bring price increases under control.
Asia
South Korea plans $120B spend on eight US nuclear power plants
South Korea will spend $120 billion to construct eight nuclear power plants in the US under an agreement that provides for $350 billion in investments in exchange for lower tariffs.
The South Korean government also announced that Seoul and Washington will begin examining a liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in Alaska comprising a large-scale pipeline to transport natural gas from the north of the state to the south, alongside the construction of an LNG terminal for exports overseas.
Seoul stated that a decision regarding the LNG project will be made following a commercial feasibility study. However, US President Donald Trump said that South Korea would invest $54 billion in the project, pointing to an apparent lack of full coordination between the two sides on the matter.
Trade and Industry Minister Kim Jung-kwan said in a statement: “This announcement opens a new horizon of cooperation where the two countries join forces to develop joint commercial ventures in strategic areas directly linked to economic security and future sectors such as artificial intelligence, nuclear energy, and LNG.”
“We will adhere to the principle of prioritising national interests and investing solely in commercially viable projects,” Kim said.
Speaking at the White House, Trump characterised South Korea’s plans as “one of the largest energy infrastructure investments in American history”.
The announcement followed a meeting between Trump and South Korean President Lee Jae Myung roughly one year ago at the APEC Economic Leaders’ Meeting held in South Korea, where they agreed on the creation of a $350 billion investment fund.
Under that agreement, $150 billion was allocated to the shipbuilding sector and $200 billion to other sectors. In return, the US announced it would reduce tariffs imposed on goods imported from South Korea from 25% to 15%.
Under the nuclear power project, South Korea’s state-controlled utility will build two plants in the US, while Pennsylvania-based Westinghouse Electric will construct six plants.
According to the South Korean government, this will mark the first instance in which a foreign country builds its own nuclear power plants in the US.
South Korean firms are also evaluating the possibility of acquiring a stake in Westinghouse as part of negotiations over sharing profits generated by the project.
South Korea additionally announced that it will build a $22.3 billion natural gas-fired power plant in Texas with a capacity of 6,472 megawatts.
The facility will be designed to supply electricity directly to nearby data centres. The project’s first phase is targeted to begin commercial operations in 2029, with full-capacity operations slated for 2032.
Seoul also disclosed that it had agreed to allow the US to receive 50% of the profits generated by the projects until South Korea recoups all of its investments.
After South Korea fully recovers its total investment amount, 90% of the profits will go to the US.
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