Opinion
Cool thinking behind the recognition wave
As of September 22, during the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly, another ten countries recognized Palestine: the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, Portugal, Belgium, Monaco, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, and Andorra. The important feature of this “recognition wave” is that the State of Palestine has received widespread recognition from influential developed Western countries, bringing an explosive surge of large-scale and high-quality diplomatic recognition to the cause of Palestinian independence. Weighty countries in the Western world such as Germany, Italy and Japan, although under tremendous pressure from the United States, have also respectively stated that “recognizing the State of Palestine should be the end point of negotiations on the ‘two-state solution’,” “will recognize the State of Palestine conditionally,” and “recognizing the State of Palestine is only a matter of time.”
At this point, among the five permanent members of the UN Security Council, only the United States refuses to recognize the State of Palestine; among the 193 UN member states, the number that recognize the State of Palestine has reached 157, only nine fewer than Israel, which has been established for 83 years. Therefore, this roaring “recognition wave” can be called a historic victory for the Palestinian people. It embodies the international community’s collective affirmation of historical fairness, social justice, and the axioms of civilization; it reflects the unstoppable trend of the times; and it also reflects the great sympathy and firm support of the international family for the Palestinian people, who have endured profound suffering. On the 23rd in New York, U.S. President Trump, during a meeting with leaders and dignitaries of eight Arab and Islamic countries, proposed a “21-point peace plan” aimed at ending the Gaza war and also explicitly pledged to prevent Israel from annexing the West Bank.
The emergence of this “recognition wave,” in a certain sense, is also a victory of the Palestinian people’s continued struggle based on their natural rights endowed by international law, and can even be called a political victory for the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas). As I have analyzed many times, by launching the large-scale cross-border suicide attack “Al-Aqsa Flood,” inflicting heavy damage on Israel and thereby igniting the “Sixth Middle East War” that has lasted nearly two years and affected the entire Middle East, and by paying the price of unprecedented loss of life and property by the Palestinian people as well as plunging the entire region into war, turmoil, and insecurity, Hamas has made the world community feel the pain of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and enabled the international community to truly realize that the Palestinian issue is the core issue of Middle Eastern disputes.
Of course, Hamas must be condemned for harming Israeli civilians in the cross-border attacks, for kidnapping, abducting and detaining hundreds of civilians for long periods and causing the deaths of some detainees. It must also be pointed out that Hamas’s “self-mutilating” radical strategy of awakening the international community and seeking international sympathy at the cost of the unprecedented suffering of 2.3 million Palestinians in Gaza and the sacrifice of 65,000 lives is not worthy of affirmation and certainly not of praise. Under no circumstances can lofty goals and just demands be premised on the mass death of civilians, nor can they be achieved by means of mutual destruction.
The emergence of this “recognition wave” is of course a major historical failure for Israel and even for the Jewish nation. It not only reflects the international community’s firm rejection of Israel’s zero-sum thinking, law-of-the-jungle approach, logic of might, and fetishization of the military in its national policies and behavior, but also a firm opposition to Israel’s creation of a “hell on earth” in the Gaza Strip, its ethnic cleansing, its implementation of a “scorched-earth policy,” and its use of hunger as a weapon. It is also a firm resistance to Israel’s barbaric acts of arbitrarily invading neighboring sovereign countries in violation of the bottom line of human civilization, extinguishing the conscience of civilization, and violating the UN Charter and international law.
Israel can be described as having “asked for the hammer and gotten hammered.” In order to realize the mirage of “Greater Israel,” to nibble away at and annex the ancestral land of the Palestinian people, to obtain unilateral, one-sided, even selfish so-called absolute security, and even for the ethnic ideals, political propositions, and personal futures of extreme right-wing groups, it has been willing to place the country in a constant “state of war,” to seize cities and expand battlefronts through militarism and state terrorism, and even to openly and brutally attack friendly countries, ultimately turning itself into an undisputed “outcast of the West” and an “international orphan.”
Israel’s war-mongering and retrograde actions over the past two years have long provoked the wrath of heaven and the resentment of people, and have ultimately forced a large number of European countries that had long indulged its policies of aggression and expansion to take the opposite side, to stand with the Palestinian people, turning a country that entered the First World through innovation and self-struggle into a sovereign actor driven by war, speaking with its fists, flaunting force, and maintaining regime stability through endless military operations. Israel’s unscrupulous practice of “sustaining war with war” and “sustaining governance with war” has also completely overdrawn the international sympathy accumulated by the “Jewish Holocaust” and the millennia of Jewish suffering, and has in many countries triggered anti-Israel waves and even awakened anti-Semitism. This is a major loss for Israel and the Jewish people that is immeasurable and difficult to remedy.
However, the “recognition wave” is only a moral highlight, a diplomatic spectacle, and a momentary bustle; the Israeli-Palestinian conflict still needs cool-headed thinking to seek its path to resolution.
First, the State of Palestine announced its establishment as early as 1988, and became one of the only two observer states of the United Nations as well as a member of multiple UN organizations. However, the State of Palestine remains a de jure state, a state on paper, although it possesses inherent land recognized and guaranteed by international law, has a semi-autonomous government that has fallen into paralysis, and enjoys diplomatic recognition by most sovereign states along with extensive diplomatic relations.
The key problem is that the territory set for the State of Palestine, namely the limited space that accounts for only 23% of the entire area of Palestine before the partition between Arabs and Jews — East Jerusalem, the Gaza Strip and the West Bank of the Jordan River — still remains entirely in Israel’s hands. Broad international recognition cannot automatically bring about the independent, autonomous and free presence of the State of Palestine on this land. Therefore, the State of Palestine remains a national dream yet to be realized.
Second, Israel resolutely opposes the establishment of a Palestinian state, especially one that is unilateral or imposed from outside. Owing to the strong and unconditional protection of the United States, even if the State of Palestine, in accordance with international law and the collective self-defense obligations stipulated in the UN Charter, were to call on the international community to take all measures to “liberate Palestine,” it would still be impossible for a multinational force led by great powers to use military threats or even military action to forcibly recover from Israeli occupation the sovereign land recognized by the international community for the State of Palestine. Israel will inevitably, with the posture of a nationwide war, thwart any attempt to establish a Palestinian state through external military intervention.
So long as American hegemony does not decline, so long as the American view of Israel does not change, so long as the strong alliance between the United States and Israel remains, and so long as the conditions for Israel to accept the establishment of a Palestinian state are not met, the State of Palestine will have no hope of truly rising in the Gaza Strip and the West Bank, and East Jerusalem cannot become a capital under Palestinian control.
Third, the underlying logic of the “recognition wave” is the acknowledgment that historic Palestine belongs to both Israelis and Palestinians, the support for Palestinians to achieve effective partition, and the adherence to the “two-state solution,” or in other words, the opposition to Israel’s scheme to expel the Palestinian people and monopolize their land. Therefore, the greatest value of the “recognition wave” lies in urging Israel to abandon its illusions, and also urging Hamas and its regional allies to recognize Israel, so that both sides return to the right track of “land for peace,” reconciliation through negotiation, and seeking development through coexistence. Zero-sum victory and unilateral survival, development and prosperity are but the fantasies of a single country or a single side, and cannot be the fundamental way out for resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and Middle Eastern disputes.
Fourth, what inevitably follows the “recognition wave” is the cruel and complex reality that cannot be avoided. Whether it is the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the disputes in the Middle East, or the peace and security development of the entire region, all must return to the level of basic common sense, to the level of seeking truth and pragmatism, to the rational and realistic right path of changing mindsets, adjusting policies, altering strategies, avoiding single-win outcomes and striving for multiple-win outcomes, and must reject all the byways and even the crooked paths that have prolonged war and chaos in the Middle East for more than 80 years.
Fifth, the key to resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict lies in the sincere will and bold actions of both sides. This is the fundamental point. It is simply unrealistic for Israel to enjoy exclusively this historic land of Palestine, and a Palestine without Israel has long since become history. Israel and Palestine must follow the broad framework of the “two-state solution,” pick up the basic principles of the “Oslo Accords,” return to the negotiating table, and through consultation resolve all issues of partition between the two states and the establishment of the State of Palestine, including all the elements of how the future State of Palestine will be implemented — borders, capital, national defense, internal affairs and foreign affairs. One of the basic prerequisites for resuming negotiations is to end the current situation in Palestine of “a state without a government,” “a government without governance,” and the lack of a unified, authoritative, efficient decision-making center that truly holds the power to decide in negotiations.
Sixth, resolving Middle Eastern disputes is not limited to ending the Israeli-Palestinian conflict; it must also simultaneously resolve Israel’s territorial disputes with Lebanon and Syria, so as to eradicate at the root the lesions that frequently trigger clashes and wars. Israel must completely and thoroughly withdraw from the Golan Heights, and hand over the old territorial accounts of the Golan Heights, especially disputes such as the Shebaa Farms over which Lebanon claims sovereignty, to be handled through consultations between Syria and Lebanon. Once Israel no longer occupies an inch of Syrian or Lebanese land, the two countries should recognize Israel’s legitimate existence as a sovereign state and normalize relations with it, just as in 1978 when Egypt and Israel achieved land for diplomacy and secured security through diplomacy. Once Israel and Syria and Lebanon achieve normalized diplomatic relations, the two countries must also dismantle all non-state armed groups targeting Israel and stop all hate-Israel, anti-Israel and resist-Israel propaganda.
Seventh, resolving Middle Eastern disputes, in addition to systematically addressing the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the Israel-Syria conflict and the Israel-Lebanon conflict, must also eliminate external factors that hinder the peaceful settlement of Middle Eastern disputes, especially by achieving normalization of relations between Iran and Israel. Israel has no territorial dispute with Iran; the hostility in Israel-Iran relations is entirely based on the ideology of Iran’s Islamic regime. Because Iran’s Islamic regime pursues pan-Islamism and uses support for anti-Israel forces in the Middle East as a policy tool to intervene in Middle Eastern affairs, seek great-power status, or pry at geopolitical relationships, it has thereby plunged itself into the game board of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and Middle Eastern disputes.
More than forty years of lessons show that this policy of Iran’s Islamic regime has made itself a mortal enemy of Israel and has also turned itself into a financier, instigator and protector of anti-Israel forces; it has not only overdrawn vast amounts of the people’s wealth and national resources, but has also seriously impeded normal relations with the United States and the Western world, thereby enduring blockades and sanctions over the long term, long restricting the country’s opening to the outside world and normal development, and even ultimately bringing the flames of war from Israel and the United States onto its own soil, humiliating the country, the regime and the nation, and causing ordinary people to suffer from the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and Middle Eastern disputes. The Iranian authorities must understand that in today’s 21st century, ancient Islamic law cannot replace the existing norms of international relations and international law. To continue clinging to a predetermined anti-Israel policy in such a rigid, futile way is tantamount to entangling oneself in the snarls of the Israeli-Palestinian and Middle Eastern conflicts, a thorough case of spinning a cocoon to bind oneself.
Eighth, in resolving Middle Eastern disputes, the Arab states are the principal actors. The hard-won favorable momentum of Arab-Israeli reconciliation must not be reversed. While firmly opposing Israel’s expansion and militaristic policies, the Arab countries must adhere to the established principle of “land for peace,” stick to the overarching direction of peace and development, and strive to create an increasingly relaxed, secure, stable and harmonious macroclimate for Arab-Israeli relations, thereby creating external conditions for resolving the Israeli-Palestinian, Israel-Syria and Israel-Lebanon conflicts.
By making peace with Israel in 1978, Egypt thus rid itself of prolonged war and won half a century of peace and development. By reaching the “Oslo Accords” with Israel in 1993, Palestine was able to launch the process of transitional autonomy, once presenting a bright prospect for the two peoples. By making peace with Israel in 1994, Jordan, a tiny country wedged among powerful neighbors, managed to save itself from dire straits and has long basked in the sunshine of development and prosperity. The process initiated by the “Abraham Accords” in 2020 enabled the UAE, Bahrain, Sudan and Morocco to normalize relations with Israel, thereby stepping into a new era in which Arab states and Israel expand peaceful coexistence and engage in all-round contacts and exchanges.
If the Arab world and Israel move toward each other in both directions and jointly promote peace, they can fundamentally change Israel’s strategic security environment, relax Israel’s high-tension diplomatic posture, allow Israel to see new hopes and prospects for focusing on development and prosperity through resolving Middle Eastern conflicts, and ultimately help ease Israel’s taut geopolitical and security perceptions. This may also facilitate the resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian, Israel-Syria and Israel-Lebanon conflicts, and may even force the Iran that is “seeking defeat in solitude” to abandon its rigid Middle East policy, thereby laying a solid foundation for the region’s transition from war to reconciliation.
Of course, some may say that the successive reconciliations between Arab countries and Israel have not led Israel to give up the Palestinian occupied territories and Syria’s Golan Heights, have not prevented the marginalization of the Palestinian issue, and have not avoided the ignition of the “Sixth Middle East War” and its gradual expansion and escalation. However, from the perspective of grand history, Arab nationalism has completely ebbed, and Israel, as a sovereign state and a neighbor of different ethnicity and religion, is being widely accepted by the Arab public. The general indifference and coolness of Arab societies toward the plight of the Palestinians in the past two years, in stark contrast to Western societies, is clear evidence of this.
Moreover, it is precisely because the dead knots between Israel and Palestine, Syria and Lebanon have never been untied that today’s “butterfly effect” affecting the Middle East has formed. Therefore, to systematically resolve local conflicts, country-specific conflicts and the entire Middle Eastern dispute, and to achieve peace and stability across the whole region, efforts must proceed in parallel, with many parties working together to bring it about.
Prof. Ma is the Dean of the Institute of Mediterranean Studies (ISMR) at Zhejiang International Studies University in Hangzhou. He specializes in international politics, particularly Islam and Middle Eastern affairs. He previously worked as a senior Xinhua correspondent in Kuwait, Palestine, and Iraq.
Opinion
A voice rising from New Delhi: BRICS’s manifesto for a new world order
The BRICS Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, held in the Indian capital of New Delhi on May 15, 2026, carries a significance that extends far beyond the confines of routine diplomacy. This gathering culminated in the signing of one of the most comprehensive political documents to date, outlining the vision of the world order that BRICS envisions for 2026. Reading between the lines, the document reveals not merely the proceedings of a ministerial summit, but the contours of a comprehensive alternative vision challenging the Western-centric international system. Indeed, this text must be read as a political manifesto of the shifting balances of power, the accelerating global struggle for influence, and the emerging new world order of recent years.
The overarching theme dominating the entire document is “The Rise of the Global South.” BRICS members contend that the current international order is unjust, insufficiently representative, and fails to reflect the interests of developing nations. Consequently, they emphasize the urgent need to restructure foundational institutions such as the UN, IMF, World Bank, and the World Trade Organization (WTO). In doing so, BRICS now positions itself as the voice of the non-Western world. Today, the global arena is traversing an era in which the post-World War II international system has plunged into a profound crisis of legitimacy and representation. Developments such as the wars in Ukraine, Iran, and Lebanon, the Gaza crisis, global trade wars, the weaponization of sanctions, energy security challenges, and technological competition demonstrate that the current system struggles to mirror contemporary global realities. It is precisely from this premise that the BRICS nations operate, sending a clear message to the world through the New Delhi Outcome Document: “The status quo is no longer sustainable.”
One of the most striking aspects of the document is how clearly it demonstrates that BRICS no longer views itself as a mere platform for economic cooperation. Having long focused primarily on economic development, trade, and finance since its inception, BRICS has now reached a far more ambitious posture. In the New Delhi Outcome Document, issues of security, geopolitical crises, artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, climate policies, energy transition, and international governance reforms occupy a place as central as economics. This indicates that BRICS’s ambition to become a foundational actor in global politics is steadily gaining traction. Reading between the lines, the strongest emphasis emerges on the concept of a “multipolar world.” The core approach of BRICS is animated by the premise that the Western-centric, largely US-led international order, which took shape over the decades following the end of the Cold War, is no longer the sole alternative. Throughout the declaration, the repeated use of phrases like “more just,” “more representative,” “more democratic,” and “more inclusive” international system constitutes a direct critique of the current distribution of global power.
The sections concerning the reform of the United Nations Security Council are particularly critical. Indeed, the call for UN reform stands out as one of the most pivotal political segments of the document. BRICS nations explicitly state that the current structure fails to reflect contemporary realities. They contend that Africa, Latin America, and emerging Asian powers are underrepresented in decision-making mechanisms. What is even more remarkable is that China and Russia have reaffirmed their support for India and Brazil to assume greater roles within the Security Council. This state of affairs reveals, first and foremost, the elevation of India and Brazil to global-power status. Secondly, it demonstrates an increasing political cohesion within BRICS. Finally, it illustrates a fundamental questioning of the post-WWII international order.
Another prominent element in the document is the sharp critique of the sanctions policies pursued by the United States and the West. The intensive use of economic sanctions as a foreign policy tool in recent years has engendered collective discomfort among BRICS nations. The text emphasizes that unilateral sanctions violate international law and severely hamper the economic development of developing nations. Although no countries are named directly, this formulation can be read as a potent critique targeted at measures such as US sanctions on Iran, Russia, and Venezuela, as well as the embargo on Cuba. This approach is a continuation of BRICS’s long-standing critique regarding the “weaponization of economics.” Indeed, one of the most strategic segments of the declaration emerges here. For BRICS is no longer merely criticizing the existing financial architecture; it is actively endeavoring to construct alternative mechanisms. Initiatives such as cross-border payment systems, trade in local currencies, financial integration, and the strengthening of the New Development Bank can be read as harbingers of a long-term quest to forge an alternative to the dollar-centric global economic structure. While it is premature to speak of a system capable of fully displacing the dollar, the steps taken by BRICS are beginning to demonstrate that the current financial order is not the only option.
Another major political segment of the New Delhi Document concerns the Gaza and Palestine issue. Here, we witness one of the strongest stances BRICS has ever taken on the matter. The document employs highly resolute language regarding Gaza and Palestine, with a notable emphasis on an independent Palestinian state based on the 1967 borders. Furthermore, South Africa’s legal action against Israel and the rulings of the International Court of Justice are directly recalled in the text. In the face of recent offensives and the unfolding humanitarian crisis, BRICS nations have displayed one of their clearest collective stances to date. The call for an immediate ceasefire, the demand for unhindered humanitarian aid delivery, support for Palestinian statehood, and the emphasis on international law stand among the declaration’s most potent political messages. This can be interpreted as an indication of BRICS’s desire to become a more visible and effective political actor in global crises.
On the other hand, the text does not entirely gloss over the internal divergences within BRICS. It openly acknowledges that members hold differing views, particularly on Middle Eastern issues. This is significant because today’s BRICS is no longer a bloc comprised solely of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. With the integration of new members such as Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Indonesia, it has evolved into a far more complex geopolitical entity. Interestingly, the document explicitly notes that rather than a unified stance, differing perspectives exist on certain issues. Specifically, it is conceded that members hold divergent positions on matters concerning Iran, the Gulf states, and Yemen. Despite these differences, the bloc’s ability to establish common ground demonstrates an expansion of BRICS’s diplomatic capacity. Viewed from this perspective, the New Delhi process also represents a significant diplomatic triumph for India. While the recent wave of expansion—bringing in Iran, the UAE, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Indonesia—has enriched the platform’s geopolitical diversity, it has also rendered collective decision-making processes more intricate. Particularly at a juncture where the war in Iran continues, the deep-seated divergences between Iran and the Gulf states led many experts to predict that BRICS would struggle to find common political ground and that the summit would be fraught with severe diplomatic friction. However, despite all these differences, India succeeded in rallying members with diverging interests and priorities around the same platform, proving that BRICS retains its capacity to generate dialogue rather than fracture. In this context, the outcome in New Delhi is not limited merely to the content of the published joint text. The true, striking success lies in the preservation of a diplomatic arena that enabled members—who find themselves directly opposed on certain issues in an extremely sensitive and polarized crisis environment—to compromise on other matters and continue negotiating under the BRICS umbrella.
Furthermore, one of the document’s most critical messages emerges in the realm of technology. The extensive coverage of topics such as artificial intelligence, digital infrastructure, data security, and cybersecurity is no coincidence. Indeed, the global power struggle of the future will be shaped heavily through technological supremacy. BRICS nations clearly demonstrate their awareness of this reality and their intent to act in unison in the technological race. Particularly noteworthy is their quest to develop alternatives to Western-centric norms in artificial intelligence governance. A distinct approach is also observed in energy and climate policies. Instead of the rapid energy transition frequently championed by Western nations, the concept of a “just energy transition” is prioritized. At the heart of this approach lies the conviction that the economic growth needs of developing nations must not be disregarded. BRICS countries advocate for a balance between environmental responsibility and the right to development. This points to a major fault line that will become increasingly pronounced in global climate debates in the coming years.
When all these headings are evaluated together, the resulting picture is remarkably clear: BRICS is no longer merely a platform for safeguarding economic interests. It is a center of power beginning to articulate its own vision of how the international system ought to operate. At the core of this vision lies the objective of greater representation, sovereign equality, deeper multipolarity, and a stronger voice for developing nations in global decision-making processes.
The New Delhi Document, brought to the table at the BRICS Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, is far more than a mere communique; it is one of the landmark texts of the historic transformation unfolding in global politics. As the world rapidly moves away from a unipolar structure, BRICS is emerging as one of the most powerful political and economic vehicles of this transition. Today, many rules of the international system may still be written by the West. Yet, the message rising from New Delhi is clear: far more actors now demand a seat at the table to rewrite those very rules. BRICS is transitioning from an economic club into a political, diplomatic, financial, and technological powerhouse. Its claim to serve as the collective voice and compass of the Global South is strengthening. It pursues a dual strategy: offering an alternative to Western-centric institutions while simultaneously working to transform them. BRICS is not yet establishing institutions to directly replace the UN, IMF, World Bank, or WTO; rather, it is striving to change the rules and the distribution of power within them.
The 2026 New Delhi Document of the Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, hosted by India under its presidency, can be regarded as one of the most comprehensive strategic documents in the twenty-year history of BRICS. The text serves as a political manifesto for an era marked by the sunset of the US- and Western-led unipolar epoch, the demands of rising powers for greater agency, and the accelerating quest of the Global South to establish a permanent weight in the international system.
The essence of the document can be distilled into a single sentence: while BRICS remains a platform that adapts to the rules of the existing international order, it is simultaneously transforming into a global actor that seeks to rewrite them.
Umur Tugay Yücel – Political Scientist & Author of the book “The Decline of American Power and the Rising Powers” (China-Russia-India-Brazil).
X: @umur_tugay
Opinion
NATO as the apparatus of aggression and occupation of US imperialism
Contrary to what is written in its founding charter and press releases, or what its proponents claim, NATO is no ordinary defense and security organization. It is far more than that. It is a multidimensional, multifaceted organization driven by distinct ideological, political-economic, and class-based preferences. Moreover, as an organization born in the early stages of the Cold War, while its primary objective was ostensibly defined as “opposing the USSR and communism,” its actual function went far beyond this: it served as a mechanism to keep alliance members aligned with and under the control of the United States. Through NATO, the US has established immense influence not only over the defense, security, and foreign policies of member states, but also over their domestic politics, economic policies, educational institutions, universities, academia, think tanks, trade unions, and cultural industries.
As the apparatus of aggression and occupation of US imperialism, NATO launched its first out-of-area military operation in the mid-1990s in Bosnia and Herzegovina in the Balkans. This was followed by the intervention in Kosovo in 1999. In the Gulf War of 1990–1991, during the US assault on Iraq, NATO was not directly involved as an alliance or a corporate entity. Instead, there was a US-led coalition that included numerous NATO members. At the time, NATO provided air defense systems to Türkiye but did not launch a direct military attack on Iraq.
In those years, with less than a decade having passed since the end of the Cold War in 1991, liberals and neoliberals alike were busy extolling the virtues of a single-centered, monocentric world order (note: not a “unipolar” world order, as a “pole” logically requires at least two opposites; to call it unipolar is incorrect both linguistically and logically). A tempest of liberalism, capitalism, postmodernism, globalization, and the “New World Order” was sweeping the globe. The United States had triumphed. The USSR had dissolved. The Warsaw Pact had collapsed. The Eastern Bloc had been consigned to history. The Berlin Wall had fallen. Socialism and communism had been defeated.
Under those circumstances, since NATO’s raison d’être had ceased to exist, it should logically have been consigned to history as well. Its utility was being questioned; people were asking whom it would protect, and against whom. Consequently, there was an active search for an enemy—or enemies—for NATO. And indeed, they were found.
Weapons of mass destruction and weapons of mass persuasion
NATO—which stood idly by, biding its time and waiting for the right conditions while Yugoslavia was being torn apart, its people massacred, and ethnic cleansing and mass rapes were being carried out—finally mobilized at the exact moment and under the specific conditions dictated by US imperialism, delivering a clear message to the world. It announced to the globe that its mandate now encompassed missions such as “peacebuilding, peacekeeping, and combating radical movements and terrorism.” This, of course, aligned seamlessly with the rhetoric of “human rights, freedom, democracy, and the civilized world” championed by the United States as NATO’s founding leader. For the United States cast itself as the guardian of these values and concepts; yet in their name, and hiding behind them, it attacked, bombed, and occupied other nations. It would go so far as to first instigate disputes and conflicts in target nations, lay the groundwork for ethnic, religious, and sectarian strife, actively encourage and provoke these clashes, and then proceed to occupy those countries under the pretext of resolving these very problems and restoring stability.
And there were millions of people across the world who believed these American lies. In particular, the US media, along with global outlets, academics, non-governmental organizations, and think tanks supported by Washington, operated virtually as weapons of mass persuasion, designed to convince and deceive the public.
The United States grew so arrogant in this policy that US Presidents began to declare this mission to be far more than a mere political duty—it was, they claimed, a religious, divine, and moral responsibility. The US peddled this falsehood in Iraq, as it did in Yugoslavia. As Yugoslavia was disintegrating—or being disintegrated—NATO sought to project an image and send a message that, as an alliance whose sole Muslim member was Türkiye, it was defending Muslim Bosniaks and Kosovars against Christian Serbs, thereby shielding the righteous and oppressed from the unjust and tyrannical.
The collapse of the Atlantic system
Years have passed. The global balance of power has shifted. The imperialist dominance and hegemonic capacity of the United States have eroded and continue to decay. Russia, particularly after Putin took power, staged a rapid recovery starting in the 2000s. It consolidated its influence, beginning with its near abroad. China, alongside its economic prowess, expanded its political, military, scientific, and technological power, emerging as the primary competitor and most worrisome adversary of the United States. Within the Atlantic system and the Western alliance—whose rules and institutions were established by the US itself—deep-seated divisions have emerged, running parallel to its fragmentation and loss of power. Under these conditions, the United States is both failing to manage its own deep internal fault lines and socio-class contradictions, and experiencing major friction with its allies. Its intent to reduce Canada to a mere province, its ambition to annex Danish-administered Greenland, its barbarism in Venezuela and Palestine, its joint aggression with Israel against Iran, and its threats directed at Cuba must all be interpreted through this lens.
In the past, an imperialist power would at least superficially fabricate lies to rationalize, justify, and legitimize its invasions, aggression, plunder, and barbarism. For instance, when the United States invaded Afghanistan in 2001, immediately following the September 11 attacks, it cited the presence of Osama bin Laden—the Saudi leader of the Al-Qaeda terrorist network—in Afghanistan as its justification for the invasion. Similarly, during its 2003 invasion of Iraq, the US propagated the lie that “Saddam Hussein possesses chemical weapons and weapons of mass destruction.” When the German dictator Adolf Hitler invaded Poland in 1939, and the Italian dictator Mussolini invaded Abyssinia (Ethiopia) in 1935, they too presented historical, political, and geopolitical pretexts, however fabricated, to justify their actions.
Today, US imperialism does not even feel the need to construct such lies or manufacture pretexts. US President Trump openly talks of withdrawing from NATO, while scolding member states and insulting European leaders with arrogant remarks.
For this reason, NATO must be analyzed not by reading the words written in its founding treaty, but by grasping the shifting needs of US imperialism.
Opinion
Chinese diplomacy ascendant under Xi: All roads lead to Beijing
Beginning in late 2025 and extending throughout 2026, one of the most striking developments in world politics has been the successive convergence of major powers upon Beijing. Direct, high-level engagement with China by actors at the very core of the global system—such as the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, and Germany—is widely interpreted as a potent signal of a shifting international order. These visits are indubitably far from routine diplomatic encounters. Rather, they represent symbolic and strategic maneuvers indicative of a fundamental realignment of the world’s power centers. In particular, the intensive engagement with China by four of the permanent members of the United Nations Security Council within a brief window demonstrates that Beijing has evolved far beyond a mere economic powerhouse, establishing itself as a principal locus of global diplomacy.
For decades, the global order was predominantly US-centric. Following the end of the Cold War, the United States attained an unrivaled position militarily, economically, and diplomatically. China, conversely, was viewed as a rapidly growing economy defined primarily by its manufacturing capacity and cheap labor force. While Beijing possessed influence within the global system, the primary decision-making mechanisms of world politics remained firmly anchored in Washington. However, the transformation of the past two decades has elevated China from a mere economic giant to the epicenter of global strategic competition.
Today, China stands as one of the most pivotal actors in world trade. The vast majority of global supply chains are intricately linked to Chinese networks. Across a multitude of critical sectors—ranging from electric vehicles and battery technologies to artificial intelligence and solar energy—China has established itself as both a dominant producer and a global standard-setter. This immense economic capacity has naturally engendered commensurate political and diplomatic leverage. Global leaders now recognize that international challenges cannot be effectively managed by bypassing or ignoring China.
It is precisely here that the core significance of these recent visits to China becomes apparent. Donald Trump’s journey to Beijing to meet with Xi Jinping underscored that despite the intense rivalry between Washington and Beijing, direct engagement has become an absolute necessity. Similarly, while Vladimir Putin’s strategic alignment with China has long been established, Moscow’s deepened cooperation with Beijing in the wake of its profound crisis with the West has significantly bolstered China’s geopolitical weight across Eurasia. Meanwhile, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s visit was interpreted as a sign of Europe pivoting toward a more pragmatic trajectory in its policy toward China. The prior engagements of French President Emmanuel Macron had already demonstrated that Europe has no desire for a complete decoupling from China. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s discussions in Beijing were particularly noteworthy from an economic standpoint, as the Chinese market remains indispensable to German industry. Furthermore, the intensive diplomatic relations maintained by Serbian President Alexander Vučić with China demonstrate that Beijing’s influence on the European continent is by no means confined to major Western European states. Through infrastructure investments, transport projects, technology transfers, and defense cooperation in recent years, Serbia has emerged as one of China’s closest partners in Europe.
The common denominator among these visits was the pursuit of direct engagement with Xi Jinping. Xi is no longer viewed merely as the leader of China; for many nations, he has become a preeminent figure shaping the future of the global system. The transformation of China under Xi into a more centralized, visionary state structured around long-term strategic planning has magnified the personal significance of his leadership. Today, the international community is intensely focused on Xi Jinping’s decision-making. Consequently, pilgrimages to Beijing represent an effort to establish a direct, unmediated channel to Xi himself.
Symbolism is of paramount importance here; in international politics, the optics of “who travels to meet whom” are central to the perception of power. If global leaders continuously travel to Beijing while Xi travels sparingly—yet remains the figure everyone seeks to audience with—it naturally reinforces the message: Xi Jinping is no longer just the leader of China, but a chief architect of the global system. Remarkably, Xi’s reduced international travel has not diluted China’s influence. On the contrary, Beijing’s emergence as the primary destination of diplomatic pilgrimage projects an image of profound self-assurance. To many observers, this stands as one of the most visible symbols of a shifting world order. By rendering their respects in Beijing as much as in Washington, global leaders signal that the global equation is now being formulated here.
This shift is driven by tangible geopolitical realities. The contemporary world operates within a highly interdependent framework. While intense competition defines US-China relations, their economies remain deeply intertwined, rendering total decoupling virtually impossible. Across a vast spectrum of critical arenas—including trade, semiconductor technology, artificial intelligence, energy security, the Taiwan question, the Russia-Ukraine war, the Iranian crisis, and global supply chains—China has emerged as a decisive actor. Consequently, no major power, including Washington, can formulate a viable global strategy by sidelining China.
For Europe in particular, the China question has grown increasingly complex. The period between 2022 and 2024 saw Europe adopt a more hawkish and distant posture toward Beijing. However, slowing economic growth, energy crises, and trade frictions with the United States have compelled Europe to seek a more balanced approach. The pivot of European leaders toward Beijing reveals that complete economic decoupling from China would carry prohibitive costs for Europe. This dynamic also underscores the divergent internal priorities within the US-led Western bloc.
China’s rise should not be viewed solely through the prism of its relations with the West; the sphere of influence Beijing has cultivated across the Global South is of equal significance. In recent years, Chinese influence has expanded dramatically across Africa, Latin America, Central Asia, the Gulf States, and South Asia. Within this context, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s visit to China carries profound weight. The China-Pakistan relationship has long been characterized as an “ironclad friendship.” Through the Belt and Road Initiative, China has constructed ports, railways, energy facilities, and critical infrastructure in numerous countries, most notably Pakistan. Furthermore, unlike Western financial institutions, Beijing extends credit and investment with fewer political conditionalities. Consequently, many developing nations view China not only as a vital economic partner but also as a geopolitical counterweight to the West.
All of this inevitably raises the question: “Is China ascendant?” Based on the current landscape, the answer must be in the affirmative. For global leaders, Beijing has now emerged as a diplomatic hub as critical as Washington. Moreover, beyond its sheer economic scale, China is increasingly distinguished by its capacity for conflict resolution. Its pivotal role in facilitating the Iran-Saudi Arabia normalization, coupled with its close ties to Russia and its sweeping influence over the Global South, has significantly amplified Beijing’s diplomatic gravity.
The diplomatic traffic observed throughout 2026 highlights a fundamental truth: the world is no longer unipolar or monocivilizational. Opposite the United States stands a China capable of challenging it economically, technologically, culturally, and diplomatically. Consequently, this new era diverges sharply from the unipolar structure of the “American Century,” resembling instead a multipolar, multi-civilizational order where all actors cooperate and compete with one another simultaneously.
Xi Jinping’s position is central to this paradigm shift. For many leaders today, meeting with Xi in Beijing is not merely a matter of bilateral diplomacy, but a strategic imperative for positioning oneself within the global balance of power. This has immensely enhanced Xi’s personal prestige. Within the international system, there is a growing consensus that on most critical issues, “if Beijing is not at the table, no resolution can be complete.” The acceleration of visits to China since late 2025 is not merely a reflection of a crowded diplomatic calendar; it must be understood as a tangible indicator of a shifting world order. Beijing has transcended its status as an economic core to become one of the primary power centers of global politics. Consequently, Chinese President Xi Jinping is emerging as one of the most influential figures of this new, multipolar, and multi-civilizational world order.
Today, the diplomatic traffic directed toward Beijing is by no means limited to the United States, Russia, or the major European powers. The efforts of leaders from a vast geographical span—from Serbia and Pakistan to the Gulf States and African nations—to establish direct contact with China render Beijing’s central position in the global system increasingly conspicuous. Consequently, these recent visits are interpreted as signs that the power map of the new international order is being redrawn. For many capitals, the path to understanding global developments and formulating future strategies now runs through Beijing as much as it does through Washington. Thus, the adage “All roads lead to Beijing” is rapidly transforming from a rhetorical trope into a defining reality of contemporary international politics.
Umur Tugay Yücel – Political Scientist & Author of the book “The Decline of American Power and the Rising Powers” (China-Russia-India-Brazil).
X: @umur_tugay
-
Europe2 weeks agoAfD says Ukraine should compensate Germany over Nord Stream sabotage
-
Asia2 weeks agoPentagon adds Alibaba, Baidu and BYD to list of firms with alleged Chinese military ties
-
Opinion1 week agoA voice rising from New Delhi: BRICS’s manifesto for a new world order
-
Europe2 weeks agoToyota and JLR warn EU ‘Made in Europe’ rules could threaten jobs and investment
-
America2 weeks agoWorld Cup referee from Somalia denied entry to US as immigration scrutiny intensifies
-
Middle East1 week agoMine clearing in Strait of Hormuz could delay shipping traffic for up to 50 days
-
Diplomacy2 weeks agoTürkiye calls for Azerbaijan-Armenia peace treaty, highlights normalization steps with Yerevan
-
America6 days agoData leak exposes Peter Thiel’s secret ‘Dialog’ network of politicians, regulators, and tech elites
