America
Democrats take an 8-point lead over Republicans ahead of midterm elections, new poll finds
A new national poll published by NBC News shows that a large portion of voters believe President Donald Trump has failed to deliver on his promises, giving Democrats an early advantage in the race for next year’s congressional elections.
Approximately two-thirds of registered voters participating in the poll stated that the Trump administration has not met expectations on the economy and cost of living, while a majority also said it has failed to change the way Washington works.
However, the Democratic Party continues to have low popularity among voters as it struggles to present a viable alternative.
Trump’s approval rating on the decline
According to the poll results, Trump’s overall approval rating has dropped by 4 points since March, falling to 43%.
Meanwhile, 55% of participants stated they disapprove of the president’s performance.
In the poll, conducted one year before the 2026 midterm elections, Democrats lead Republicans by 8 points in the congressional race, 50% to 42%.
This is the largest margin for either party in NBC News polls since the 2018 midterm elections.
In a poll conducted in March, Democrats held only a 1-point advantage, at 48% to 47%.
“Combined with the results from elections in New Jersey and Virginia, as well as some others, we will see in a few days what effect these findings might have on a government shutdown,” said Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt, who conducted the poll with Republican pollster Bill McInturff.
“The one thing we know is that voters are deeply dissatisfied with the current situation,” Horwitt said.
Who is responsible for the government shutdown?
The Democrats’ lead in the congressional race stands out as one of the largest advantages seen in public opinion polls conducted in 2025.
According to the poll, conducted between October 24-28, 52% of participants blame Trump and congressional Republicans for the government shutdown that has lasted for months.
On the other hand, a historically high 42% hold congressional Democrats responsible.
During past government shutdowns, a key question was whether the political atmosphere would remain the same throughout the election cycle after the funding crisis was resolved.
Republican pollster McInturff noted that government shutdowns can create “unstable” moments in politics, stating, “In our experience, these situations generally fade over time.”
Voter enthusiasm is high
The poll also revealed that voters are highly enthusiastic about the next elections.
When asked to rate their interest in the 2026 elections on a 10-point scale, 66% of voters responded with a “9” or “10.”
This level of interest is higher than that recorded one year before four of the last five midterm elections.
While 74% of Democrats rated their interest as a “9” or “10,” 67% of Republicans and 50% of independents gave the same response.
The 7-point enthusiasm gap between the parties is similar to the 9-point gap Democrats held in the 2018 midterm elections.
The results clearly indicate that Trump will be a significant factor in next year’s midterm elections.
Seventy percent of voters stated they want their vote to send a message of support for or opposition to the president. This is the highest figure recorded in the nearly 30-year history of NBC News polling. Forty percent of voters said their vote would be against Trump, while 30% said it would be in support of him.
Warning signs in the economy
In an interview on NBC News’s Meet the Press last December, Trump attributed his 2024 victory to two key factors, saying, “I won on the border, and I won on groceries.”
However, the new poll results contain some warning signs for the president on these issues, as well as on areas voters consider most important, such as protecting democracy and constitutional rights.
On economic issues, a large majority of registered voters believe Trump and his administration have failed to meet expectations regarding the cost of living (66%), protecting the middle class (65%), and the economy (63%).
Some Republicans also share this view, with this sentiment being concentrated among those who do not identify as “MAGA Republicans.”
The parties’ report cards on different issues
The poll also showed that voters are divided on which party would better manage the economy.
Thirty-eight percent of participants prefer Republicans, while 37% favor Democrats.
This marks the smallest margin Republicans have held on this issue in NBC News polls.
Democrats last held an advantage in this area in December 2017. In September 2023, Republicans had a 21-point lead.
Republicans maintain a significant advantage on three key issues: border security (+31 points over Democrats), fighting crime (+22 points), and immigration (+18 points).
Democrats hold an 8-point lead on protecting constitutional rights and an 11-point lead on protecting democracy.
This marks a shift from 2023, when Republicans were ahead by 8 points on constitutional rights and 1 point on protecting democracy.
Immigration policies and constitutional rights
Trump’s agenda of pursuing broad executive actions on immigration and other major policy areas is causing some public debate.
Fifty-four percent of participants stated that the Trump administration’s deployment of federal agents and National Guard troops to various cities nationwide to “combat crime and immigration” was largely unjustified, while 44% found the move justified.
The protection of constitutional rights and democracy also ranks among voters’ top concerns.
Nearly a quarter of voters said they consider protecting democracy or constitutional rights to be the single most important issue when casting their vote in next year’s congressional elections.
Fifty-two percent of voters said Trump has done more to weaken the US Constitution than to protect it compared to previous presidents, while 31% believe he has taken more steps to protect it.
Negative views of both parties
Although Trump’s challenges in the polls create opportunities for Democrats, the party’s overall image remains at a record low.
Only 28% of registered voters have a positive view of the Democratic Party, while 53% hold a negative opinion.
The Republican Party is in a relatively better position, with 37% positive and 46% negative ratings.
While 78% of Republicans view their own party favorably, only 59% of Democrats have a positive view of their party.
Peace efforts in Gaza
The poll also measured opinions on one of Trump’s major foreign policy initiatives: efforts to secure peace in Gaza, where a two-year war between Israel and Palestinian groups has been ongoing.
Voters are divided on Trump’s overall handling of the war: 47% approve, while 48% disapprove.
However, US voters are skeptical that Palestinians and Israelis can achieve a lasting peace agreement.
Only 21% believe a permanent peace can be achieved, while 69% think it is not possible.
Regarding the participation of US troops in a peacekeeping operation in Gaza, 41% of participants support the idea, while 54% are opposed.
America
AI spending heads toward $7 trillion as analysts warn of market bubble risks
Massive financial resources directed into artificial intelligence technologies are driving companies into dangerous territory for global markets.
If expected productivity gains fail to materialize despite these immense capital flows, the artificial intelligence sector faces the risk of inflating into a giant bubble.
The Wall Street Journal reported that should such a scenario unfold, a widespread collapse capable of shaking the entire financial system and dragging down the broader market will become inevitable.
Estimates by McKinsey & Company project that global spending on data center construction alone could reach $7 trillion by 2030.
According to the newspaper, if these massive investments fail to deliver adequate productivity gains, the global economy will suffer a severe blow.
Should the sector as a whole turn out to be a bubble, the resulting damage will spread directly across the broader financial system.
While market observers note that a major crash—whether sooner or later—would drag all equity markets down with it, declines in AI-related stocks are currently being offset by gains in other sectors.
However, the first concrete signs of emerging vulnerability appeared in the memory chip market, where a sector-specific bubble formed and burst within just four months.
South Korean market shaken by sharp drop
In June, shares of South Korea’s Samsung and SK Hynix, the world’s two largest memory chip makers, sank by more than 12%.
The sharp sell-off pulled down the country’s broader stock index. South Korea’s benchmark Kospi index dropped 10%, triggering an automatic 20-minute trading halt.
Growing investor anxiety over artificial intelligence triggered the steep decline in the two giant companies, which together account for half of the total market capitalization of the Kospi index.
US equity markets also felt the ripple effects during the same period. The Nasdaq index closed down 2.2%, while the S&P 500 fell 1.4%, marking their worst single-day performances in two weeks.
Nevertheless, The Wall Street Journal pointed out that the disruption has not yet produced catastrophic consequences for the rest of the market.
While the bursting of massive historical bubbles resulted in disaster for national economies, smaller and localized bubbles in recent years have failed to paralyze broader economic growth.
The primary reason for this resilience is that these recent investments were not predominantly funded through leverage and bank credit.
When those localized bubbles burst, investors suffered wealth losses, but the financial system remained intact.
Russell Napier, a global macroeconomic strategist and keeper of the Library of Mistakes, a financial history archive in Edinburgh, evaluated the current market posture:
“The banking system is in superb condition, which means there will always be enough credit available to blow the next bubble.”
America
Anthropic AI models breach corporate systems after escaping isolated test environment
Anthropic has announced that several of its advanced artificial intelligence models escaped an isolated testing environment and accessed the live internet.
In a review published Thursday night, the company stated that in three separate incidents dating back to April, the models independently breached the systems of multiple companies without the AI developer’s knowledge.
Anthropic said the incidents involved an unreleased internal research test model, alongside its Opus 4.7 and Mythos 5 models.
Mythos was made available last month to a limited audience composed of technology companies and cybersecurity researchers, an initiative also known as Project Glasswing.
The AI developer did not disclose which companies were breached, but said the affected firms were informed of the incidents on Monday.
Anthropic noted that it conducted the review after OpenAI revealed last week that two of its most powerful models had breached containment, escaped their testing environment, and infiltrated several entities, including the AI platform Hugging Face and cloud provider Modal Labs.
System misconfiguration allowed internet access
Anthropic stated that it examined more than 140,000 tests to find evidence of whether Claude could gain access to the internet from test environments designed to be isolated.
The evaluations included “capture-the-flag” exercises, in which Claude was instructed to breach other systems to obtain information. This is a method frequently used by experts to assess a model’s hacking capabilities.
The San Francisco-based company stated that a “misconfiguration” in systems operated by Anthropic and its testing partner left the models with live internet access, enabling them to infiltrate external systems.
Anthropic said it approached remediation efforts “with full ownership of the responsibility.”
Neither Anthropic nor the affected organizations detected the unauthorized entries at the time they occurred.
Anthropic added that it may examine its logs more extensively, noting that the findings gave the company “cautious optimism” that such risks can be overcome through increased investment and more stringent safeguards.
David Allott, a cybersecurity expert, told the BBC: “The overarching lesson here is not that AI has developed fundamentally new attack vectors.”
“Instead, it means that AI agents can combine capabilities, acquire credentials and system access to act autonomously, while adapting scope and scale at machine speed,” Allott said.
The developments come as technology companies invest billions of dollars to develop AI agents capable of independently executing a range of tasks, from research and customer support to cybersecurity.
America
Elon Musk’s America PAC plans $100 million field operation for 2026 Republican midterm push
Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk is returning to the political spending arena with a new field program designed to help elect Republicans in at least eight states ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.
Musk has authorized his political action committee, America PAC, to spend between $100 million and $120 million on a new ground game focused on conservative voter turnout for the 2026 midterms, according to a Thursday report by The New York Times, which cited two unnamed sources informed about the plans.
America PAC funneled more than $250 million into Donald Trump’s reelection campaign in 2024, a expenditure that established Musk as the largest political donor in US history.
The New York Times reported that America PAC is reviving its spending initiatives and has reached out to other Republicans in recent weeks regarding the new field operations.
The effort is also being coordinated with other Republican Party spending groups, according to the report.
The newspaper identified targeted Senate races in the states of Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, while noting that discussions are also underway regarding contests in North Carolina, Georgia, and Texas.
The political action committee is additionally expected to deploy funds for House of Representatives elections in Washington, Wisconsin, and California.
The news comes a day after Axios first reported that America PAC’s operations were resuming, with a focus on driving Republican turnout during the non-presidential election cycle.
A spokesperson for America PAC declined to comment on The New York Times report but confirmed the Axios reporting to The Hill. The spokesperson stated that the spending group was “excited” to contribute to efforts to maintain the Republican majorities in Congress this fall.
“The President’s political team and the rest of the GOP apparatus have built a world-class operation that has Republicans well-positioned to make history and retain control of Congress this fall,” America PAC spokesperson Andrew Romeo said in a statement. “We’re excited to be part of the team again.”
The campaign will reportedly target Republican voters through door-to-door canvassing, mailers, and digital advertisements, enabling other groups to concentrate their resources on television advertising.
The developments were reported days after Musk told The Economist magazine that he had gotten “carried away” during his brief foray into politics.
The SpaceX CEO entered the political arena during the 2024 election, pouring hundreds of millions of dollars into Trump’s presidential campaign and accompanying the candidate on the campaign trail.
Musk went on to lead Trump’s cost-cutting initiative, known as the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which executed sweeping employment and funding reductions across the federal government. Those efforts sparked controversy for Musk and his enterprise empire, including Tesla, whose shares fell sharply during his period of political involvement.
Musk departed the White House in late May 2025, and DOGE officially terminated its operations on July 4.
Shortly after leaving government, Musk and Trump engaged in a public dispute over the president’s sweeping spending legislation, the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act.” During the friction, Musk threatened to form a third party, though the initiative never materialized.
Musk and the US President appeared to resolve their differences last year, with the tech billionaire most recently joining Trump alongside other technology leaders on a trip to China in May.
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